Phillies vs. Giants
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 09 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants are set to conclude their series on July 9, 2025, at Oracle Park, with first pitch scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Both teams are vying for momentum heading into the All-Star break, making this matchup crucial for their respective playoff aspirations.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 09, 2025

Start Time: 3:45 PM EST​

Venue: Oracle Park​

Giants Record: (51-42)

Phillies Record: (53-39)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -131

SF Moneyline: +110

PHI Spread: -1.5

SF Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have covered the run line in 14 of their last 20 away games, yielding a 20% ROI.

SF
Betting Trends

  • The Giants have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have covered the spread in 6 games against the Giants, suggesting a favorable trend for Philadelphia bettors.

PHI vs. SF
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Philadelphia vs San Francisco Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/9/25

The July 9, 2025 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park is a compelling National League battle between two playoff contenders looking to close out the first half of the season on a high note. The Phillies, at 53-37, are entrenched in a fierce NL East race and continue to assert themselves as one of the most well-rounded teams in baseball, powered by a high-functioning offense and solid pitching. Bryce Harper and Trea Turner headline an explosive Philadelphia lineup that averages 4.6 runs per game, with Harper maintaining a .286 average with power to all fields and Turner using his speed and bat control to consistently set the table. Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos provide additional depth and timely hitting, giving the Phillies the firepower to compete with any rotation. On the mound, lefty Cristopher Sánchez is expected to start and has been one of the more reliable arms for the Phillies, posting a sub-4 ERA and showing excellent command and composure in tight spots. The Philadelphia bullpen, led by José Alvarado and Seranthony Domínguez, has become increasingly effective late in games, helping the club lock down close contests. Meanwhile, the San Francisco Giants come into the contest with a 49-42 record, sitting in the thick of the NL West and Wild Card picture, thanks to a balanced attack and steady contributions across their roster.

The offense has been strengthened by the addition of Rafael Devers, who adds pop and plate presence to a lineup that also includes dependable veterans like Thairo Estrada and Michael Conforto. Though they don’t score in bunches consistently, the Giants have found ways to manufacture runs, especially at home, where their 25-20 record reflects their comfort in Oracle Park’s spacious outfield. On the hill, Logan Webb anchors the Giants’ rotation and is expected to make the start Wednesday afternoon, bringing a 3.34 ERA and veteran savvy to a matchup that demands precision and stamina. San Francisco’s bullpen remains one of the more reliable units in the National League, with Camilo Doval dominating in the ninth and Tyler Rogers serving as a versatile setup option who thrives on weak contact. The Phillies have had the edge in recent head-to-head meetings, covering the spread in six of their last ten matchups against San Francisco, though this series has historically produced tight, well-pitched games. With both clubs jockeying for postseason positioning, this rubber match is more than just another game—it’s a tone-setter heading into the All-Star break. Expect a close, strategic contest with playoff-like intensity, as both teams look to gain a crucial series win and head into the second half of the season with momentum and confidence. With talented lineups, proven pitchers, and postseason implications already looming, this Phillies-Giants finale offers everything a fan could want from a midseason showdown between two determined ballclubs.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter their July 9, 2025 matchup against the San Francisco Giants with a 53-37 record and plenty of momentum as they continue to push toward the top of the National League standings and establish themselves as one of the most complete teams in baseball. Led by manager Rob Thomson, the Phillies have built their success on a well-balanced formula of veteran leadership, timely hitting, reliable pitching, and strong road performances—having covered the run line in 14 of their last 20 away games, a stat that speaks volumes about their consistency and competitiveness outside Citizens Bank Park. Bryce Harper continues to be the offensive catalyst for Philadelphia, hitting .286 with a solid mix of power and on-base ability, while Trea Turner’s speed, defense, and leadoff presence give the Phillies a multidimensional threat at the top of the lineup. Alongside them, Alec Bohm, Kyle Schwarber, and Nick Castellanos provide a deep middle order that can change games quickly with extra-base hits and a willingness to grind out long at-bats. The Phillies offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, and even during occasional slumps, their lineup rarely goes silent for long stretches thanks to the discipline and experience embedded throughout the order. On the mound, left-hander Cristopher Sánchez has emerged as a key component in the Phillies rotation, demonstrating poise beyond his years with a solid ERA under 4.00, low walk rate, and ability to induce weak contact. While he may not overpower hitters, his ability to work efficiently through lineups has been crucial in giving the bullpen manageable workloads.

That bullpen, which features hard-throwing lefty José Alvarado and the always reliable Seranthony Domínguez, has tightened up in recent weeks and has become a strength, especially in close games where command and control are paramount. The Phillies’ defense has also been sharper in the second half of the first half, with Turner’s range, Johan Rojas’ outfield glove, and J.T. Realmuto’s elite work behind the plate all contributing to run prevention. Philadelphia has also done a good job playing up to the competition this year, taking series from several top-tier opponents, and they’ve handled West Coast road trips well, which bodes well for their finale in San Francisco. With postseason ambitions clearly on their radar, every game has started to carry more urgency, and the Phillies have responded by executing well in situational hitting, avoiding big innings defensively, and trusting their game plan regardless of venue. Facing a Giants team that has been tough at Oracle Park, the Phillies will need Sánchez to set the tone early and keep San Francisco’s lefty-heavy lineup in check, while the offense looks to generate early pressure against Logan Webb and force the Giants into their bullpen. If the Phillies can secure the series win here, they’ll head into the All-Star break not only with a strong record but with a clear statement that they are contenders capable of beating anyone, anywhere, with October aspirations growing more realistic by the day.

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants are set to conclude their series on July 9, 2025, at Oracle Park, with first pitch scheduled for 3:45 p.m. ET. Both teams are vying for momentum heading into the All-Star break, making this matchup crucial for their respective playoff aspirations. Philadelphia vs San Francisco AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

San Francisco Giants MLB Preview

The San Francisco Giants head into their July 9, 2025 series finale against the Philadelphia Phillies at Oracle Park with a 49-42 record and a clear sense of purpose as they try to remain in striking distance in the competitive NL West and bolster their Wild Card position heading into the All-Star break. Under the direction of manager Bob Melvin, the Giants have embraced a balanced and resilient style of baseball, thriving on solid pitching, timely offense, and the ability to adapt to different types of games, whether it’s a tight pitchers’ duel or a back-and-forth slugfest. Offensively, the lineup has been energized by the midseason acquisition of Rafael Devers, who has added much-needed left-handed power and presence to the heart of the order while immediately impacting the club’s run production with a blend of patience, home run pop, and the ability to hit to all fields. Devers, along with contributors like Michael Conforto, Thairo Estrada, and LaMonte Wade Jr., has helped elevate an offense that now averages a respectable 4.2 runs per game, and while the Giants aren’t among the league leaders in power, they’ve been efficient with runners in scoring position, particularly at home. Veteran Brandon Crawford continues to provide steady defense and occasional clutch hitting, and the team’s situational approach at the plate has led to an uptick in stolen bases, hit-and-runs, and well-executed bunts that keep pressure on opposing defenses.

On the pitching side, Logan Webb remains the clear ace of the staff and is expected to take the ball in this crucial game, entering the contest with a 3.34 ERA and a reputation for being nearly unhittable at Oracle Park thanks to his elite ground ball rate, deceptive changeup, and cool composure in big spots. Behind Webb, the bullpen has been one of San Francisco’s greatest assets, with Camilo Doval emerging once again as a lockdown closer, and submariner Tyler Rogers consistently neutralizing both righties and lefties in high-leverage situations. The Giants’ bullpen ERA ranks among the best in the National League, and they’ve been especially dominant in the eighth and ninth innings, allowing Melvin to confidently manage tight games. Defensively, San Francisco has made significant improvements since the early part of the season, tightening up infield play and committing fewer errors, with team defense becoming a stabilizing force. Their 25-20 home record reflects the value of playing within the pitcher-friendly confines of Oracle Park, where the team’s contact-oriented offensive strategy and pitching depth play to their strengths. In this game against the Phillies, the Giants will look to Webb to keep Philadelphia’s power threats in check, while the offense aims to wear down Cristopher Sánchez and force the game into the bullpen by the middle innings. A win would not only secure a statement series victory over one of the NL’s best teams but also send the Giants into the break with momentum, confidence, and a renewed sense of belief that they have the tools and depth to make a serious postseason push in the months ahead.

Philadelphia vs. San Francisco Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Giants play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oracle Park in Jul can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

Philadelphia vs. San Francisco Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Phillies and Giants and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Philadelphia’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Giants team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs San Francisco picks, computer picks Phillies vs Giants, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have covered the run line in 14 of their last 20 away games, yielding a 20% ROI.

Giants Betting Trends

The Giants have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.

Phillies vs. Giants Matchup Trends

In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have covered the spread in 6 games against the Giants, suggesting a favorable trend for Philadelphia bettors.

Philadelphia vs. San Francisco Game Info

Philadelphia vs San Francisco starts on July 09, 2025 at 3:45 PM EST.

Spread: San Francisco +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -131, San Francisco +110
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia: (53-39)  |  San Francisco: (51-42)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have covered the spread in 6 games against the Giants, suggesting a favorable trend for Philadelphia bettors.

PHI trend: The Phillies have covered the run line in 14 of their last 20 away games, yielding a 20% ROI.

SF trend: The Giants have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. San Francisco Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs San Francisco trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs San Francisco Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -131
SF Moneyline: +110
PHI Spread: -1.5
SF Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia vs San Francisco Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+160
-190
+1.5 (-134)
-1.5 (+112)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+240
-295
+1.5 (+126)
-1.5 (-152)
O 7.5 (-112)
U 7.5 (-108)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-215
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/28/25 3:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+168)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/28/25 3:08PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+166
-198
+1.5 (-137)
-1.5 (+114)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/28/25 3:10PM
Dodgers
Mariners
-106
-110
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-182)
O 8 (-104)
U 8 (-118)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/28/25 3:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+124
-146
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+132)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/28/25 3:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-132
+112
-1.5 (+128)
+1.5 (-154)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 3:16PM
Pirates
Braves
+168
-200
+1.5 (-128)
-1.5 (+106)
O 7.5 (-106)
U 7.5 (-114)
Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/28/25 3:20PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-165
 
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 30, 2025 2:30PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 2:30PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-120
pk
pk

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants on July 09, 2025 at Oracle Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS