The July 9, 2025 series finale between the Colorado Rockies and Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park presents a clear mismatch on paper, with the surging Red Sox aiming to complete a sweep against a Rockies team enduring one of the toughest seasons in baseball. Boston comes into the game with a 47-45 record, riding a wave of momentum powered by an explosive offense that has averaged nearly seven runs per game over their last ten contests. At the heart of this surge is shortstop Trevor Story, who has rediscovered his All-Star form and currently boasts an eight-game hitting streak, batting .410 over his last ten games with multiple extra-base hits and 14 RBIs. Complementing him is Wilyer Abreu, the team’s home run leader with 17 on the year, while outfielder Ceddanne Rafaela continues to be a sparkplug with timely hitting and solid defense. On the mound, Boston will likely lean on left-hander Garrett Crochet, who has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the American League this season with a 9-4 record, a 2.39 ERA, and an impressive 151 strikeouts across 120.1 innings pitched. His emergence as a top-end starter has helped stabilize Boston’s rotation, which earlier in the year had questions about depth and durability. On the other side, the Rockies limp into this matchup with a brutal 21-71 record and a host of issues on both sides of the ball.

Their pitching has been a major liability, with veterans like German Marquez (5.84 ERA) and Kyle Freeland (5.49 ERA) consistently failing to deliver quality outings, while the bullpen has offered little relief in high-leverage situations. Offensively, Colorado has gotten production from promising young players like Hunter Goodman, who owns a .277 average and a .510 slugging percentage, and Jordan Beck, who has also shown flashes of power and consistency. However, these isolated performances haven’t been enough to compensate for a lineup that has failed to consistently generate scoring opportunities or keep pace in high-scoring games, particularly on the road where they’ve lost 36 of their first 46 away matchups. The contrast between these two clubs is stark not only in record but in overall trajectory—Boston is pushing hard to climb the AL East standings and position themselves for a postseason run, while Colorado appears locked in rebuild mode, experimenting with lineups and giving extended looks to younger talent in hopes of finding long-term contributors. Historically, matchups between these teams have tended to be high scoring, with the total going over in 14 of their last 19 meetings, and with the way Boston’s bats have been performing, another offensive outburst seems likely. The Red Sox are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, while the Rockies are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16, further reinforcing the uphill battle Colorado faces in this game. Barring a dramatic reversal of form, Boston appears well-positioned to secure the sweep and continue their charge up the standings, while the Rockies will be left searching for answers as the All-Star break approaches.