Pirates vs Royals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 08)

Updated: 2025-07-06T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38–53) face the Kansas City Royals (43–48) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams aim to improve their standings as the season progresses.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 08, 2025

Start Time: 7:40 PM EST​

Venue: Kauffman Stadium​

Royals Record: (44-48)

Pirates Record: (38-54)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +117

KC Moneyline: -140

PIT Spread: +1.5

KC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have a 44–47 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Royals have a 6–4 ATS record over their past 10 games, reflecting a stronger recent performance in covering the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

PIT vs. KC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Witt over 7.5 Fantasy Score.

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Pittsburgh vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/8/25

Tuesday’s interleague matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium presents an opportunity for both clubs to build momentum as the All-Star break approaches. The Royals, currently sitting at 43–48, are still clinging to hopes of staying relevant in the AL Central and have shown signs of life recently, while the Pirates, at 38–53, remain in the basement of the NL Central and continue to search for consistency in both pitching and hitting as they trudge through another rebuilding season. Kansas City has been slightly more competitive in recent weeks, going 6–4 against the spread in their last ten games, buoyed by the strong play of star shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the team in hits and runs scored while adding pop and speed at the top of the order. Their starting rotation has shown modest improvement, and their bullpen, though still a work in progress, has performed respectably when protecting narrow leads. The Royals’ biggest issue has been run prevention against higher-scoring teams, though against Pittsburgh’s underwhelming lineup, that concern may be somewhat mitigated. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has continued to flounder, especially on the road, where they’ve struggled to manufacture runs and have covered the spread in less than half of their games this season.

With a 44–47 ATS mark overall, they’ve been competitive in spots but lack the reliable offense to support solid starting pitching. Ke’Bryan Hayes and Bryan Reynolds have done their part in generating offense, but it’s not enough to mask a batting order that lacks depth and plate discipline. On the mound, the Pirates will likely lean on a young starter or spot arm, a reflection of the franchise’s long-term development strategy that prioritizes youth over immediate results. Defensively, they’ve been relatively steady, but that alone hasn’t been enough to stay in games, especially when early deficits snowball into multi-run leads for the opponent. Historically, the Pirates and Royals don’t see much of each other, but in limited matchups, Kansas City has had the edge, covering the spread in three of their last five meetings. With home-field advantage, a healthier and more balanced roster, and an offense that at least occasionally shows signs of life, the Royals enter this game with a slight edge in both form and personnel. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, will need to rely on a near-perfect effort from their pitching staff and timely hitting if they want to walk out of Kauffman with a rare road victory. While both teams are long shots for playoff contention, this matchup gives each side a chance to evaluate where they are and who might be part of their core moving forward. Ultimately, unless the Pirates can jump on Kansas City’s starter early and flip the script offensively, this shapes up to be a low-scoring affair with the Royals holding the upper hand.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Tuesday’s game at Kauffman Stadium with a 38–53 record and a roster that continues to reflect a team in transition, trying to build for the future while managing the rigors of a long and grinding season. Sitting near the bottom of the National League Central standings, the Pirates have struggled to find offensive consistency all year, averaging just under four runs per game while frequently finding themselves in low-scoring affairs they can’t quite finish off. Offensively, Bryan Reynolds has been one of the few bright spots, providing power and versatility with a .271 average, 16 home runs, and a team-leading 56 RBIs, while Ke’Bryan Hayes remains a defensive asset at third base and has chipped in offensively when healthy. However, Pittsburgh’s lineup thins out quickly after those two, with rookies and journeymen often overmatched by high-caliber pitching. The Pirates have had difficulty producing with runners in scoring position and are prone to extended scoreless stretches, especially on the road where their approach becomes even more conservative. On the mound, the rotation is populated largely by inexperienced arms or struggling veterans, with Paul Skenes and Jared Jones offering flashes of potential but not always the run support to make their outings meaningful. The bullpen has been a bit more stable, with David Bednar returning to his All-Star form and Colin Holderman posting respectable numbers as a setup man, but too often they are entering games with the team already behind.

Defensively, Pittsburgh has avoided major mistakes, but their lack of elite athleticism or speed in the outfield has allowed opposing teams to stretch singles into doubles and take extra bases on hits to the gap. With a 44–47 record against the spread, the Pirates have managed to stay within striking distance in many games but have lacked the offensive punch to capitalize on tight scenarios late. Against a Kansas City team that has been competent at home and has outperformed expectations in certain stretches, the Pirates will need to be aggressive early, perhaps trying to run the bases creatively or take advantage of defensive lapses from the Royals. Manager Derek Shelton has shown a willingness to mix things up, whether it’s tweaking the batting order or using pinch hitters earlier than expected, but there’s only so much creativity that can compensate for a roster still being assembled. If Pittsburgh hopes to steal a win on the road, it’ll likely have to come via a standout pitching performance paired with a timely long ball or a Royals bullpen collapse. These types of games—winnable but not guaranteed—can often come down to one or two at-bats, and unless the Pirates find a way to cash in those moments, they risk falling further behind in a season that already feels like a long shot. Tuesday’s game offers a chance for individual players to make their mark, especially younger ones hoping to cement future roles, but from a team perspective, Pittsburgh’s ceiling remains modest as they continue to build toward 2026 and beyond.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38–53) face the Kansas City Royals (43–48) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams aim to improve their standings as the season progresses. Pittsburgh vs Kansas City AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 08. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals enter Tuesday’s home matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates sitting at 43–48 and clinging to the hope of pushing back toward .500 as the All-Star break nears, showing occasional glimpses of competitiveness despite a roster still finding its long-term identity. With a 6–4 record against the spread over their last ten games, the Royals have shown an ability to keep games close and cover when needed, thanks in part to improved starting pitching and more consistent offensive production from their core contributors. Leading the way is Bobby Witt Jr., the heart of the lineup and face of the franchise, who continues to shine in all aspects of the game with elite speed, power, and defensive range, making him one of the most exciting young players in the league. Witt’s .290+ average, double-digit home run total, and team-leading hits and stolen bases provide the Royals with a legitimate star to build around. Supporting him are Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino, who add depth to a lineup that has shown it can put pressure on opposing pitchers when aggressive on the basepaths and focused at the plate. Salvador Perez remains a reliable veteran presence and offers power from the middle of the lineup, while MJ Melendez has had streaky moments of production. The pitching staff, although not among the league’s elite, has delivered steady performances in recent weeks with Alec Marsh and Cole Ragans helping to stabilize the rotation.

Ragans, in particular, has looked like a breakout candidate with a high strikeout rate and the ability to pitch deep into games when efficient. The bullpen, headlined by closer James McArthur, has been a surprise strength, converting save opportunities and shutting down games with minimal damage in late innings. Kansas City’s defense has also been sharp, with Witt and Garcia turning double plays and limiting opponents’ ability to manufacture runs through small ball. At home, the Royals have benefited from familiar dimensions at Kauffman Stadium, with the spacious outfield working to their advantage both defensively and for hitters who excel at gap-to-gap power. Against a Pirates team that ranks near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, Kansas City has a clear opportunity to dictate pace, play with a lead, and put pressure on a struggling lineup that doesn’t thrive in comeback situations. Manager Matt Quatraro has found a more consistent formula in recent weeks, deploying timely pinch-hitting and making quicker decisions with bullpen matchups. The Royals know this is the type of series they must win if they’re to claw back into Wild Card consideration, especially with stronger divisional opponents looming on the schedule. If their bats can stay hot early and they receive five or six solid innings from the starter, they’ll be in strong position to close out Pittsburgh and continue their July push. While the season’s long-term outlook remains uncertain, Tuesday’s game is another important checkpoint in Kansas City’s attempt to move from pesky underdog to legitimate second-half spoiler or surprise postseason entrant.

Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Royals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kauffman Stadium in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Witt over 7.5 Fantasy Score.

Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Pirates and Royals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly improved Royals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Pirates vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have a 44–47 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have a 6–4 ATS record over their past 10 games, reflecting a stronger recent performance in covering the spread.

Pirates vs. Royals Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Kansas City starts on July 08, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.

Spread: Kansas City -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +117, Kansas City -140
Over/Under: 8

Pittsburgh: (38-54)  |  Kansas City: (44-48)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Witt over 7.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in three games against the Pirates, suggesting a slight edge in recent encounters.

PIT trend: The Pirates have a 44–47 record against the spread (ATS) this season, indicating challenges in covering the spread consistently.

KC trend: The Royals have a 6–4 ATS record over their past 10 games, reflecting a stronger recent performance in covering the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Kansas City Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +117
KC Moneyline: -140
PIT Spread: +1.5
KC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Pittsburgh vs Kansas City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Kansas City Royals on July 08, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN