Pirates vs Mariners Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 06)
Updated: 2025-07-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Pittsburgh Pirates (38–51) and Seattle Mariners (47–42) will conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park on Sunday, July 6, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners, aiming to solidify their position in the AL West, have taken the first two games, including a 6–0 shutout on July 4.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jul 06, 2025
Start Time: 4:10 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Park
Mariners Record: (47-42)
Pirates Record: (38-52)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: -112
SEA Moneyline: -107
PIT Spread: -1.5
SEA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates are 30–37 against the run line this season, reflecting challenges in covering spreads consistently.
SEA
Betting Trends
- The Mariners have a 3–7 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent difficulties in covering the run line.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the run line in 6 games against the Pirates.
PIT vs. SEA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Williamson over 3 Fantasy Score.
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Pittsburgh vs Seattle Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/6/25
Defensively, Pittsburgh has also faltered, committing a pair of errors in the previous two games that contributed to extended innings and backbreaking rallies by the Mariners. Historically, the Pirates have fared poorly against Seattle, owning just a 9–15 record all-time in the matchup, and the Mariners have covered the run line in six of the last ten head-to-head meetings. Still, Pittsburgh has quietly posted a 19–15 record since May 26, showing resilience and growth in certain areas even as their overall record of 38–51 continues to reflect a team in development. Sunday offers a chance to showcase how far they’ve come, especially if Skenes can neutralize Seattle’s momentum and deliver another dominant performance. For the Mariners, the formula is simple: continue getting early offense from Rodríguez and Raleigh, protect the lead with strong bullpen arms, and play error-free baseball to put pressure on Pittsburgh’s young roster. The game carries weight for both sides—the Mariners are trying to tighten their grip on a playoff spot in a competitive division, while the Pirates are trying to give fans something to rally behind heading into the All-Star break. With elite pitching on both sides and plenty of young talent on display, this series finale promises to be a hard-fought, potentially low-scoring affair where the team that capitalizes on the small moments—runners in scoring position, smart baserunning, defensive positioning—could decide the outcome in what might feel more like a postseason dress rehearsal than a midsummer interleague matchup.
Final. pic.twitter.com/yZOeYvXU4l
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) July 6, 2025
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates head into Sunday’s series finale at T-Mobile Park with a 38–51 record and one last opportunity to leave Seattle with something to build on before the All-Star break, and they’re placing their hopes squarely on the shoulders of rookie phenom Paul Skenes. Skenes, the highly-touted right-hander with a dominant 1.96 ERA and a staggering 170 strikeouts already in his debut campaign, represents not just the Pirates’ best shot to avoid a sweep but also their brightest sign of hope for a long-term resurgence. Despite dropping the first two games of the series—capped by a 6–0 shutout where their offense never found its footing—Pittsburgh has shown flashes of resilience, particularly with a 19–15 run since May 26 that suggests they’re beginning to coalesce around a young core. Still, consistency remains a major issue, especially offensively where the team continues to struggle with situational hitting and leaving runners stranded. Veterans like Andrew McCutchen, who recently passed Roberto Clemente on the franchise’s all-time home run list, have done their part to lead by example, while Ke’Bryan Hayes continues to provide steady infield defense and occasional clutch hitting. But too often the bats have gone silent, especially in big moments, and Seattle’s pitching has taken full advantage of that, limiting the Pirates to just two total runs through the first two games of the series.
The Pirates’ bullpen, while improved in spots, has had issues maintaining close deficits and giving the offense a chance to come back late, and defensive miscues have cost the team dearly in extended innings. In a ballpark like T-Mobile where precision and clean execution are crucial, the Pirates simply haven’t put together the kind of mistake-free baseball needed to compete with a playoff-caliber team like Seattle. That said, Skenes has the kind of electric stuff that can completely shift the dynamic of a game; his ability to generate swings and misses and dominate through the first two turns in a lineup could neutralize Seattle’s early momentum and give Pittsburgh a real shot if they can scratch across a couple of runs. Sunday’s challenge will be less about star power and more about discipline—working counts, limiting strikeouts, executing bunts or sac flies, and making the routine defensive plays that turn a close game into a win instead of a loss. If the Pirates can get timely offense from the top of the lineup and back up Skenes with solid defense and bullpen execution, they could leave Seattle with not only a win but renewed confidence for the second half. For a team that has struggled to gain traction in a crowded NL Central, any sort of positive momentum heading into the break is critical, and with a generational talent like Skenes on the mound, Sunday’s game represents not just a possible win but a reminder of the future this club is slowly building toward.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Seattle Mariners MLB Preview
The Seattle Mariners will close out their final home series before the All-Star break on Sunday afternoon with a chance to complete a three-game sweep of the Pittsburgh Pirates and further solidify their place as legitimate AL West contenders. Sitting at 47–42 after two commanding wins to open the series—including a 6–0 shutout on Friday that showcased the team’s pitching dominance and offensive opportunism—the Mariners enter the finale with confidence and momentum, bolstered by a roster that continues to blend star power with depth. Cal Raleigh has been one of the anchors of Seattle’s offense this season, clubbing 33 home runs while providing strong defensive work behind the plate, and his presence in the middle of the lineup has been critical in igniting big innings and neutralizing opposing base runners. Julio Rodríguez, one of the league’s brightest young stars, has complemented Raleigh’s slugging with consistent contact hitting and all-around excellence, leading the team with 89 hits while playing elite defense in center field and offering much-needed leadership. This blend of thunder and consistency has powered the Mariners through a stretch where their pitching has completely suffocated opposing lineups—Seattle’s staff has allowed just five runs combined over their last five games, posting a collective ERA of 2.74 during that span and demonstrating a formula built for postseason success.
From the rotation to the bullpen, the Mariners have thrived thanks to well-defined roles, a deep arsenal of strike-throwing arms, and the ability to execute in high-leverage moments; their relievers have locked down late leads with minimal drama, and the rotation has consistently gone deep into games to preserve bullpen health. Defensively, Seattle has played sharp, disciplined baseball, making very few errors and regularly converting tough plays into outs—a level of consistency that has helped limit big innings and keep games manageable even when the bats temporarily go quiet. That defensive steadiness has been especially valuable at T-Mobile Park, where the Mariners have enjoyed a strong home-field advantage and a comfort level that allows them to play their brand of low-mistake, high-efficiency baseball. Though they’ll face a tough test in Pittsburgh’s rookie ace Paul Skenes, whose electric fastball and strikeout ability have made headlines across the league, Seattle’s veteran hitters like Raleigh, Rodríguez, and J.P. Crawford have shown the discipline and experience needed to work counts, force mistakes, and capitalize when opportunities arise. With a 6–4 record in their last ten games and the opportunity to end the first half of the season with a statement sweep, the Mariners will be focused, prepared, and motivated on Sunday, aiming to send a message that they’re not just surviving in a competitive division—they’re building something sustainable. A win in the finale would push them further above .500, reaffirm their ability to handle rising young talent like Skenes, and set the tone for an energized, confident second-half push toward October.
Another shutout dub! #TridentsUp pic.twitter.com/vArDmuMQSj
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 6, 2025
Pittsburgh vs. Seattle Prop Picks (AI)
Pittsburgh vs. Seattle Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pirates and Mariners and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly deflated Mariners team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Seattle picks, computer picks Pirates vs Mariners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates are 30–37 against the run line this season, reflecting challenges in covering spreads consistently.
Mariners Betting Trends
The Mariners have a 3–7 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent difficulties in covering the run line.
Pirates vs. Mariners Matchup Trends
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the run line in 6 games against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh vs. Seattle Game Info
What time does Pittsburgh vs Seattle start on July 06, 2025?
Pittsburgh vs Seattle starts on July 06, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.
Where is Pittsburgh vs Seattle being played?
Venue: T-Mobile Park.
What are the opening odds for Pittsburgh vs Seattle?
Spread: Seattle +1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -112, Seattle -107
Over/Under: 6.5
What are the records for Pittsburgh vs Seattle?
Pittsburgh: (38-52) | Seattle: (47-42)
What is the AI best bet for Pittsburgh vs Seattle?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Williamson over 3 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Pittsburgh vs Seattle trending bets?
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Mariners have covered the run line in 6 games against the Pirates.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates are 30–37 against the run line this season, reflecting challenges in covering spreads consistently.
What are Seattle trending bets?
SEA trend: The Mariners have a 3–7 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent difficulties in covering the run line.
Where can I find AI Picks for Pittsburgh vs Seattle?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Seattle Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Seattle trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Seattle Opening Odds
PIT Moneyline:
-112 SEA Moneyline: -107
PIT Spread: -1.5
SEA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
Pittsburgh vs Seattle Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners on July 06, 2025 at T-Mobile Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |