Tigers vs Guardians Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 05)
Updated: 2025-07-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Detroit Tigers (55–34) and Cleveland Guardians (40–46) continue their AL Central rivalry on Saturday, July 5, 2025, at Progressive Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. The Tigers, leading the division, aim to extend their dominance, while the Guardians seek to rebound from a recent slump.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jul 05, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Progressive Field
Guardians Record: (40-46)
Tigers Record: (55-34)
OPENING ODDS
DET Moneyline: -139
CLE Moneyline: +116
DET Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
DET
Betting Trends
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.
CLE
Betting Trends
- The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.
DET vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. McKinstry over 4.5 Fantasy Score.
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Detroit vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/5/25
Ramírez leads Cleveland with a .297 average and 13 home runs, while Kwan remains a tough out with his .295 average and ability to put the ball in play, but the Guardians’ offense has often stalled due to lack of production from the bottom half of the order and an inability to generate runs with men in scoring position. Logan Allen will take the mound for Cleveland, carrying a 5–6 record and a 4.27 ERA into the start, and while he’s shown flashes of being an effective mid-rotation starter, his tendency to allow early base runners and fall behind in counts has made it difficult to get into a rhythm. The Guardians’ bullpen, led by Cade Smith with a 2.29 ERA, has solid arms, but they’ve often been forced into high-leverage situations without much room for error due to short starts and limited run support. Cleveland’s defense has been average and occasionally error-prone, especially in late-game situations when pressure mounts. Based on current form, the Tigers hold the upper hand in virtually every aspect—starting pitching, lineup depth, bullpen consistency, and defensive execution—and with Mize on the mound, they are poised to control the tempo of the game from the outset. If the Guardians are to have a shot, they’ll need Allen to pitch one of his best games of the season and for their offense to break out of its funk and finally deliver with runners on base. Otherwise, this contest may serve as another reminder of Detroit’s dominance in the division and Cleveland’s continued struggle to find consistency in 2025.
cue the fireworks 🎆 pic.twitter.com/nd7CJmcur1
— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) July 5, 2025
Detroit Tigers MLB Preview
The Detroit Tigers arrive at Progressive Field on July 5, 2025, riding the momentum of a dominant first half, holding a 55–34 record and sitting atop the AL Central thanks to a balanced roster built on elite starting pitching, timely hitting, and consistent defense. This Tigers team has taken major strides forward in 2025 under manager A.J. Hinch, who has orchestrated a dramatic turnaround in Detroit’s fortunes by emphasizing fundamentals, player development, and aggressive in-game tactics that take advantage of the team’s speed and depth. At the core of the Tigers’ success is ace Casey Mize, who is expected to start and enters the contest with an impressive 8–2 record and a 2.86 ERA, showcasing his maturation into a true frontline starter capable of shutting down any lineup. Mize has been lethal with his splitter and improved command, and his ability to induce weak contact and navigate jams has been pivotal to the Tigers’ consistency. Behind Mize, the Detroit bullpen has quietly become one of the most reliable in the league, led by Will Vest, who sports a 2.33 ERA and has become a go-to option in high-leverage innings, along with a supporting cast that includes Jason Foley and Tyler Holton, giving the team a dependable bridge from starter to closer.
Offensively, the Tigers are led by Riley Greene, who has blossomed into one of the league’s top power threats with a .292 average and 21 home runs, delivering consistent damage in the heart of the order. Gleyber Torres has brought his postseason pedigree and steady bat to the top of the lineup, hitting .282 and maintaining a strong OBP, while Spencer Torkelson continues to show off his raw power with 17 homers, despite a middling average. Kerry Carpenter and Matt Vierling provide balance and length to the lineup, while veterans like Javier Báez and Zach McKinstry have stabilized the infield defense and delivered opportunistic hits in pressure moments. The Tigers’ offense doesn’t always overwhelm, but they play smart baseball, advancing runners, executing sacrifice plays, and capitalizing on defensive miscues, often turning tight games into late victories. Defensively, the club ranks among the best in the AL in fielding percentage, thanks to clean execution and sound positioning, helping to limit extended innings and supporting their pitching staff. As a unit, the Tigers have been strong against the spread as well, covering in 6 of their last 10 contests and playing up to expectations in both betting markets and division showdowns. Coming into Cleveland against a struggling Guardians squad that has dropped eight straight, Detroit knows it has a chance to tighten its grip on the division by not letting up against lesser opponents. With Mize dealing, Greene mashing, and the bullpen locked in, the Tigers are built to handle their business efficiently on the road, and another win on Saturday could be another step toward their first division title in over a decade. All signs point to a focused and confident group ready to keep their foot on the gas as the season pushes toward the All-Star break.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians return home to Progressive Field on July 5, 2025, searching for answers and desperately hoping to snap an eight-game losing streak that has them drifting further from relevance in the American League Central standings. At 40–46, the Guardians have struggled to string together wins despite having several strong individual performers and an experienced core led by José Ramírez, who continues to be the heartbeat of the team with a .297 batting average and 13 home runs, providing both leadership and production from the middle of the order. Steven Kwan has also remained one of the more consistent contact hitters in baseball, batting .295 and often setting the table with his elite bat control and on-base skills, but the rest of the lineup has failed to consistently follow suit, often falling short in key moments with runners in scoring position. The Guardians’ offense, while not entirely dormant, has become one-dimensional during their losing stretch, too reliant on Ramírez to deliver in clutch spots while the bottom half of the order offers little resistance, especially against strong starting pitching like what they’ll face in Casey Mize of the Tigers. Cleveland will turn to left-hander Logan Allen on the mound, hoping he can give them a quality outing after posting a 5–6 record and 4.27 ERA through the first half of the season, which reflects his inconsistency—he’s been effective at times when he locates well and gets ahead, but he’s also been vulnerable to early crooked numbers when his command falters.
The Guardians’ bullpen features some bright spots, including Cade Smith with a 2.29 ERA, but they’ve been overused and often forced to protect slim leads or keep games close due to short outings from the rotation and lack of offensive cushion, a recipe that has backfired repeatedly during this recent slump. Defensively, Cleveland has been average, with some lapses in critical situations that have led to unearned runs or extended innings, compounding the pressure on both the pitching staff and lineup. Manager Stephen Vogt, in his first season at the helm, has shown signs of steady leadership and poise, but his tactical decisions haven’t always translated into results, and with the team now falling more than five games back in the division, the urgency to right the ship is becoming more pronounced. The Guardians’ recent performance against the spread has also been dismal—they’ve failed to cover in their last eight games, signaling that they’re underperforming even relative to betting expectations and not simply losing by narrow margins. Saturday’s game against Detroit presents another stiff challenge, but it also offers a potential reset if Allen can keep the Tigers’ power bats quiet and the lineup can scratch across runs early to give the bullpen something to protect. For Cleveland to salvage this homestand and get back on track, they’ll need more than just Ramírez and Kwan carrying the load—they need a full-team effort, sharper defense, and a collective mental reset before the season slips too far away. The task is tall, but the Guardians still have enough talent and pride to make a fight out of it if they can execute clean baseball from first pitch to final out.
Let's try again on July 5th.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/jScfE1NpO0
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) July 5, 2025
Detroit vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)
Detroit vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Tigers and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Guardians team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Detroit vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Tigers vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.
Guardians Betting Trends
The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Trends
In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.
Detroit vs. Cleveland Game Info
What time does Detroit vs Cleveland start on July 05, 2025?
Detroit vs Cleveland starts on July 05, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is Detroit vs Cleveland being played?
Venue: Progressive Field.
What are the opening odds for Detroit vs Cleveland?
Spread: Cleveland +1.5
Moneyline: Detroit -139, Cleveland +116
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Detroit vs Cleveland?
Detroit: (55-34) | Cleveland: (40-46)
What is the AI best bet for Detroit vs Cleveland?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. McKinstry over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Detroit vs Cleveland trending bets?
In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.
What are Detroit trending bets?
DET trend: The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Detroit vs Cleveland?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Detroit vs. Cleveland Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Detroit vs Cleveland Opening Odds
DET Moneyline:
-139 CLE Moneyline: +116
DET Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Detroit vs Cleveland Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
|---|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians on July 05, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |