Tigers vs Guardians Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 05)

Updated: 2025-07-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Detroit Tigers (55–34) and Cleveland Guardians (40–46) continue their AL Central rivalry on Saturday, July 5, 2025, at Progressive Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. The Tigers, leading the division, aim to extend their dominance, while the Guardians seek to rebound from a recent slump.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 05, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (40-46)

Tigers Record: (55-34)

OPENING ODDS

DET Moneyline: -139

CLE Moneyline: +116

DET Spread: -1.5

CLE Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

DET
Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.

DET vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. McKinstry over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Detroit vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/5/25

The July 5, 2025 matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field features two American League Central rivals on opposite sides of the division standings, as the Tigers enter the contest at 55–34 and leading the division, while the Guardians continue to stumble with a 40–46 mark and an eight-game losing streak. Detroit has found its groove as a balanced and fundamentally sound team that wins with dominant starting pitching, timely power hitting, and one of the league’s most effective bullpens, all of which have combined to make them a genuine contender in the AL. The Tigers will hand the ball to Casey Mize, who’s been their most dependable starter, boasting an 8–2 record and a 2.86 ERA through the first half of the season, showing excellent command and an ability to pitch deep into games, which allows their strong relief corps to stay fresh. Mize is supported by an offense that’s powered by Riley Greene’s 21 home runs and .292 average, Gleyber Torres’s contact and on-base skills, and the pop provided by Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter, creating a lineup that can strike quickly but also wear pitchers down. Defensively, Detroit has committed few mistakes and boasts one of the better team fielding percentages in the American League, with consistent play from Zach McKinstry and Javier Báez helping control the middle infield. In contrast, the Guardians come into this game in freefall, having failed to cover the run line in their last eight games and dropping well below .500 despite strong individual seasons from José Ramírez and Steven Kwan.

Ramírez leads Cleveland with a .297 average and 13 home runs, while Kwan remains a tough out with his .295 average and ability to put the ball in play, but the Guardians’ offense has often stalled due to lack of production from the bottom half of the order and an inability to generate runs with men in scoring position. Logan Allen will take the mound for Cleveland, carrying a 5–6 record and a 4.27 ERA into the start, and while he’s shown flashes of being an effective mid-rotation starter, his tendency to allow early base runners and fall behind in counts has made it difficult to get into a rhythm. The Guardians’ bullpen, led by Cade Smith with a 2.29 ERA, has solid arms, but they’ve often been forced into high-leverage situations without much room for error due to short starts and limited run support. Cleveland’s defense has been average and occasionally error-prone, especially in late-game situations when pressure mounts. Based on current form, the Tigers hold the upper hand in virtually every aspect—starting pitching, lineup depth, bullpen consistency, and defensive execution—and with Mize on the mound, they are poised to control the tempo of the game from the outset. If the Guardians are to have a shot, they’ll need Allen to pitch one of his best games of the season and for their offense to break out of its funk and finally deliver with runners on base. Otherwise, this contest may serve as another reminder of Detroit’s dominance in the division and Cleveland’s continued struggle to find consistency in 2025.

Detroit Tigers MLB Preview

The Detroit Tigers arrive at Progressive Field on July 5, 2025, riding the momentum of a dominant first half, holding a 55–34 record and sitting atop the AL Central thanks to a balanced roster built on elite starting pitching, timely hitting, and consistent defense. This Tigers team has taken major strides forward in 2025 under manager A.J. Hinch, who has orchestrated a dramatic turnaround in Detroit’s fortunes by emphasizing fundamentals, player development, and aggressive in-game tactics that take advantage of the team’s speed and depth. At the core of the Tigers’ success is ace Casey Mize, who is expected to start and enters the contest with an impressive 8–2 record and a 2.86 ERA, showcasing his maturation into a true frontline starter capable of shutting down any lineup. Mize has been lethal with his splitter and improved command, and his ability to induce weak contact and navigate jams has been pivotal to the Tigers’ consistency. Behind Mize, the Detroit bullpen has quietly become one of the most reliable in the league, led by Will Vest, who sports a 2.33 ERA and has become a go-to option in high-leverage innings, along with a supporting cast that includes Jason Foley and Tyler Holton, giving the team a dependable bridge from starter to closer.

Offensively, the Tigers are led by Riley Greene, who has blossomed into one of the league’s top power threats with a .292 average and 21 home runs, delivering consistent damage in the heart of the order. Gleyber Torres has brought his postseason pedigree and steady bat to the top of the lineup, hitting .282 and maintaining a strong OBP, while Spencer Torkelson continues to show off his raw power with 17 homers, despite a middling average. Kerry Carpenter and Matt Vierling provide balance and length to the lineup, while veterans like Javier Báez and Zach McKinstry have stabilized the infield defense and delivered opportunistic hits in pressure moments. The Tigers’ offense doesn’t always overwhelm, but they play smart baseball, advancing runners, executing sacrifice plays, and capitalizing on defensive miscues, often turning tight games into late victories. Defensively, the club ranks among the best in the AL in fielding percentage, thanks to clean execution and sound positioning, helping to limit extended innings and supporting their pitching staff. As a unit, the Tigers have been strong against the spread as well, covering in 6 of their last 10 contests and playing up to expectations in both betting markets and division showdowns. Coming into Cleveland against a struggling Guardians squad that has dropped eight straight, Detroit knows it has a chance to tighten its grip on the division by not letting up against lesser opponents. With Mize dealing, Greene mashing, and the bullpen locked in, the Tigers are built to handle their business efficiently on the road, and another win on Saturday could be another step toward their first division title in over a decade. All signs point to a focused and confident group ready to keep their foot on the gas as the season pushes toward the All-Star break.

The Detroit Tigers (55–34) and Cleveland Guardians (40–46) continue their AL Central rivalry on Saturday, July 5, 2025, at Progressive Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. The Tigers, leading the division, aim to extend their dominance, while the Guardians seek to rebound from a recent slump. Detroit vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians return home to Progressive Field on July 5, 2025, searching for answers and desperately hoping to snap an eight-game losing streak that has them drifting further from relevance in the American League Central standings. At 40–46, the Guardians have struggled to string together wins despite having several strong individual performers and an experienced core led by José Ramírez, who continues to be the heartbeat of the team with a .297 batting average and 13 home runs, providing both leadership and production from the middle of the order. Steven Kwan has also remained one of the more consistent contact hitters in baseball, batting .295 and often setting the table with his elite bat control and on-base skills, but the rest of the lineup has failed to consistently follow suit, often falling short in key moments with runners in scoring position. The Guardians’ offense, while not entirely dormant, has become one-dimensional during their losing stretch, too reliant on Ramírez to deliver in clutch spots while the bottom half of the order offers little resistance, especially against strong starting pitching like what they’ll face in Casey Mize of the Tigers. Cleveland will turn to left-hander Logan Allen on the mound, hoping he can give them a quality outing after posting a 5–6 record and 4.27 ERA through the first half of the season, which reflects his inconsistency—he’s been effective at times when he locates well and gets ahead, but he’s also been vulnerable to early crooked numbers when his command falters.

The Guardians’ bullpen features some bright spots, including Cade Smith with a 2.29 ERA, but they’ve been overused and often forced to protect slim leads or keep games close due to short outings from the rotation and lack of offensive cushion, a recipe that has backfired repeatedly during this recent slump. Defensively, Cleveland has been average, with some lapses in critical situations that have led to unearned runs or extended innings, compounding the pressure on both the pitching staff and lineup. Manager Stephen Vogt, in his first season at the helm, has shown signs of steady leadership and poise, but his tactical decisions haven’t always translated into results, and with the team now falling more than five games back in the division, the urgency to right the ship is becoming more pronounced. The Guardians’ recent performance against the spread has also been dismal—they’ve failed to cover in their last eight games, signaling that they’re underperforming even relative to betting expectations and not simply losing by narrow margins. Saturday’s game against Detroit presents another stiff challenge, but it also offers a potential reset if Allen can keep the Tigers’ power bats quiet and the lineup can scratch across runs early to give the bullpen something to protect. For Cleveland to salvage this homestand and get back on track, they’ll need more than just Ramírez and Kwan carrying the load—they need a full-team effort, sharper defense, and a collective mental reset before the season slips too far away. The task is tall, but the Guardians still have enough talent and pride to make a fight out of it if they can execute clean baseball from first pitch to final out.

Detroit vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Tigers and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. McKinstry over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Detroit vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Tigers and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors often put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly rested Guardians team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Detroit vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Tigers vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.

Detroit vs. Cleveland Game Info

Detroit vs Cleveland starts on July 05, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland +1.5
Moneyline: Detroit -139, Cleveland +116
Over/Under: 9

Detroit: (55-34)  |  Cleveland: (40-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Z. McKinstry over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a 6–4 record against the spread, while the Guardians are 0–8, suggesting a betting edge for Detroit in recent performances.

DET trend: The Tigers have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

CLE trend: The Guardians have struggled recently, failing to cover the run line in their last 8 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Detroit vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Detroit vs Cleveland Opening Odds

DET Moneyline: -139
CLE Moneyline: +116
DET Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Detroit vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians on July 05, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN