Astros vs. Dodgers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 04 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-07-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Astros (52–35) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (56–32) on July 4, 2025, at Dodger Stadium for a marquee interleague showdown between two of baseball’s top teams. The Dodgers are slight favorites at home, but the Astros enter with momentum after a series win in Colorado.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 04, 2025
Start Time: 9:10 PM EST
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Dodgers Record: (56-32)
Astros Record: (52-35)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: +152
LAD Moneyline: -184
HOU Spread: +1.5
LAD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.
LAD
Betting Trends
- The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.
HOU vs. LAD
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conforto over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
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Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/4/25
José Altuve and Kyle Tucker have continued their veteran leadership with timely hits and solid defense, while the rotation, anchored by Framber Valdez and Lance McCullers Jr., has held opposing offenses in check. The Astros’ bullpen has been lights out, led by closer Josh Hader, who has yet to blow a save in 22 opportunities this year, providing Houston with confidence in tight late-game scenarios. With both teams entering this holiday matchup at near full strength (aside from Alvarez), the game could come down to execution in key innings—whether that’s Smith continuing his hot streak, Ohtani launching a momentum-shifting homer, or one of the bullpens bending under pressure. These teams also bring playoff experience and high-stakes mental toughness, which could make this game feel more like an October preview than a midsummer interleague tilt. The pitching matchup is expected to feature Yamamoto against Valdez, a duel that pits finesse against power, and both will be tested by deep, talented lineups that can capitalize on the smallest mistake. Beyond the star power and playoff positioning, this contest also carries emotional weight, as recent postseason history between the franchises still lingers in the background. All signs point to a tightly contested, well-played game under the lights in Los Angeles, and with both clubs riding winning trends, fans can expect a memorable July 4th clash between two of the most complete and dangerous teams in baseball.
Cam Smith again! Tie game!#BuiltForThis pic.twitter.com/aJVnPLp7bx
— Houston Astros (@astros) July 3, 2025
Houston Astros MLB Preview
The Houston Astros enter their July 4th showdown at Dodger Stadium riding a wave of momentum that has solidified their place atop the American League West with a 52–35 record, a reflection of their resilience, depth, and emerging young talent as they eye yet another postseason run. This recent surge has been fueled by a well-rounded attack that has compensated for the absence of Yordan Alvarez, who continues to work through injury setbacks, by leaning into unexpected heroes like rookie Cam Smith, who has burst onto the scene with a .353 average, a .977 OPS, and 10 RBIs in his first seven games batting cleanup. Smith’s emergence has injected new life into an already formidable lineup that includes stalwarts José Altuve and Kyle Tucker, both of whom have remained productive and consistent, with Altuve continuing to grind out tough at-bats and Tucker supplying left-handed power and plus defense. Alex Bregman’s bat has shown signs of heating up just in time for the heart of the summer schedule, giving manager Joe Espada more flexibility with run manufacturing and situational hitting. On the mound, the Astros continue to feature one of the more reliable pitching staffs in baseball, anchored by Framber Valdez and Lance McCullers Jr., both of whom have been crucial in stabilizing the rotation amid various injuries and workload concerns.
Valdez brings elite ground-ball rates and composure in high-leverage situations, while McCullers’ heavy curveball has proven a consistent weapon against both righties and lefties. Houston’s bullpen has quietly been one of the best in the league, led by closer Josh Hader, who has converted 22 consecutive save opportunities without a single blemish, supported by reliable arms like Bryan Abreu and Ryan Pressly, who offer Espada multiple matchup options in the later innings. Defensively, Houston has been sharp, ranking near the top of the league in fielding percentage and turning timely double plays that have helped kill opponent rallies. While the Astros’ road record has been solid, they face one of their stiffest tests yet in this trip to Los Angeles, a team that mirrors their own strengths in pitching, power, and playoff pedigree. Still, Houston’s recent form—including a sweep of the Rockies and a tough series win over a division rival—suggests they are peaking at the right time, and their 8–2 mark over their last ten games shows they are thriving even in Alvarez’s absence. With the trade deadline approaching, this series is also a prime opportunity for the Astros to gauge where they stack up against one of the top teams in the National League, and a series win in Los Angeles would serve as both a confidence boost and a message to the rest of baseball. For now, the focus remains execution—minimizing free passes, capitalizing on scoring chances, and letting their balanced roster continue to prove that Houston remains a legitimate threat to return to the World Series in 2025.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers MLB Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers step onto the national stage this July 4, 2025, with a 56–32 record, first place in the NL West, and one of the deepest and most dynamic rosters in all of baseball as they prepare to host the Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium in a primetime interleague showdown. Powered by a relentless offense, formidable rotation, and a bullpen that has settled into rhythm, the Dodgers have found their midseason groove, going 7–3 against the spread in their last ten and showcasing why they remain perennial World Series contenders. Shohei Ohtani has taken center stage, not just as a headline name but as a true two-way force, leading the club in home runs with 29 and providing key innings on the mound, where his fastball-slider combo continues to dominate hitters. Ohtani is flanked by offensive anchors Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, who bring experience, power, and on-base brilliance to a lineup that is averaging 6.5 runs per game over the last ten contests and putting relentless pressure on opposing pitchers from top to bottom. The Dodgers’ batting order doesn’t really have a weak link—young contributors like James Outman and Gavin Lux have stepped up when called upon, while veterans such as Will Smith and Max Muncy add depth and power that few other teams can match.
On the mound, rookie sensation Yoshinobu Yamamoto has emerged as the ace of the staff, racking up 101 strikeouts and keeping his ERA in elite territory while displaying poise well beyond his years. He’s been backed by solid contributions from Bobby Miller and Walker Buehler, the latter of whom has returned from injury with a sharp breaking ball and improved command, giving manager Dave Roberts a wealth of options in the rotation. The bullpen, long a point of scrutiny for LA, has found stability with closer Evan Phillips continuing his run of consistency, while setup men Brusdar Graterol and Ryan Brasier have been effective in high-leverage roles. Defensively, the Dodgers remain sound, with Gold Glove-caliber play from Betts in right field and elite infield defense led by Freeman at first and Betts when playing second. The team’s chemistry, clubhouse leadership, and postseason experience make them a formidable opponent no matter the stakes, but playing at home on the Fourth of July with a packed stadium and playoff-like energy gives them an extra layer of advantage. Against an Astros team riding a wave of success and anchored by a strong bullpen, the Dodgers know this will be a test of execution and patience—but they also understand the significance of series like this for measuring World Series readiness. The Dodgers will look to jump on Houston’s starters early, force high pitch counts, and let their explosive offense build a cushion for their bullpen to protect. If Ohtani delivers as both slugger and stopper, and the supporting cast continues to click, the Dodgers will be tough to beat at home, especially with the momentum of a dominant first half propelling them toward what they hope is another deep October run.
Mookie magic!
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) July 4, 2025
Dodgers x @FlyANA_official pic.twitter.com/1i7Q0XhBvZ
Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Astros and Dodgers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the growing weight human bettors often put on Los Angeles Dodgers’s strength factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly deflated Dodgers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers picks, computer picks Astros vs Dodgers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Astros Betting Trends
The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.
Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.
Astros vs. Dodgers Matchup Trends
The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.
Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Info
What time does Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers start on July 04, 2025?
Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers starts on July 04, 2025 at 9:10 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers being played?
Venue: Dodger Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Moneyline: Houston +152, Los Angeles Dodgers -184
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Houston: (52-35) | Los Angeles Dodgers: (56-32)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conforto over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers trending bets?
The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.
What are Los Angeles Dodgers trending bets?
LAD trend: The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
+152 LAD Moneyline: -184
HOU Spread: +1.5
LAD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+194
-235
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
|
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-168
|
-1.5 (+118)
|
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+132
-156
|
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
|
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+198
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-124
+106
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
|
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+172
-205
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+136
-162
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+138
-164
|
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+120
-142
|
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-162
+136
|
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+100
-118
|
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
|
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers on July 04, 2025 at Dodger Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |