Astros vs. Dodgers
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 04 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Astros (52–35) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (56–32) on July 4, 2025, at Dodger Stadium for a marquee interleague showdown between two of baseball’s top teams. The Dodgers are slight favorites at home, but the Astros enter with momentum after a series win in Colorado.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 04, 2025

Start Time: 9:10 PM EST​

Venue: Dodger Stadium​

Dodgers Record: (56-32)

Astros Record: (52-35)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: +152

LAD Moneyline: -184

HOU Spread: +1.5

LAD Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

HOU
Betting Trends

  • The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.

LAD
Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.

HOU vs. LAD
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conforto over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/4/25

The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers will square off in a highly anticipated interleague battle on July 4, 2025, at Dodger Stadium, where fireworks are expected both in the stands and on the field between two of MLB’s best. With the Dodgers leading the NL West at 56–32 and the Astros sitting atop the AL West at 52–35, this showdown features two powerhouse teams with elite talent, strong recent form, and postseason aspirations. The Dodgers have found their rhythm offensively, scoring in bunches behind MVP frontrunner Shohei Ohtani, who leads the team in home runs and continues to impact games both at the plate and on the mound. Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman offer reliable support, forming a formidable top of the order that has combined for over 160 RBIs and 40 home runs through the first half of the season. The Dodgers’ pitching staff, featuring standout rookie Yoshinobu Yamamoto and a solid bullpen anchored by Evan Phillips, has delivered a 3.64 team ERA and ranks among the top five in strikeouts, allowing the Dodgers to hold leads and lock down close contests. Defensively, they’ve been consistent, and their 7–3 record ATS in their last ten games reflects just how dialed in this team has been across all phases. The Astros, meanwhile, come into this series on a tear, winning eight of their last ten and surging into first place in the AL West despite the absence of Yordan Alvarez due to lingering injuries. Rookie Cam Smith has been an unexpected spark plug, slashing .353 with a .977 OPS and driving in key runs from the cleanup spot just a week into his promotion.

José Altuve and Kyle Tucker have continued their veteran leadership with timely hits and solid defense, while the rotation, anchored by Framber Valdez and Lance McCullers Jr., has held opposing offenses in check. The Astros’ bullpen has been lights out, led by closer Josh Hader, who has yet to blow a save in 22 opportunities this year, providing Houston with confidence in tight late-game scenarios. With both teams entering this holiday matchup at near full strength (aside from Alvarez), the game could come down to execution in key innings—whether that’s Smith continuing his hot streak, Ohtani launching a momentum-shifting homer, or one of the bullpens bending under pressure. These teams also bring playoff experience and high-stakes mental toughness, which could make this game feel more like an October preview than a midsummer interleague tilt. The pitching matchup is expected to feature Yamamoto against Valdez, a duel that pits finesse against power, and both will be tested by deep, talented lineups that can capitalize on the smallest mistake. Beyond the star power and playoff positioning, this contest also carries emotional weight, as recent postseason history between the franchises still lingers in the background. All signs point to a tightly contested, well-played game under the lights in Los Angeles, and with both clubs riding winning trends, fans can expect a memorable July 4th clash between two of the most complete and dangerous teams in baseball.

Houston Astros MLB Preview

The Houston Astros enter their July 4th showdown at Dodger Stadium riding a wave of momentum that has solidified their place atop the American League West with a 52–35 record, a reflection of their resilience, depth, and emerging young talent as they eye yet another postseason run. This recent surge has been fueled by a well-rounded attack that has compensated for the absence of Yordan Alvarez, who continues to work through injury setbacks, by leaning into unexpected heroes like rookie Cam Smith, who has burst onto the scene with a .353 average, a .977 OPS, and 10 RBIs in his first seven games batting cleanup. Smith’s emergence has injected new life into an already formidable lineup that includes stalwarts José Altuve and Kyle Tucker, both of whom have remained productive and consistent, with Altuve continuing to grind out tough at-bats and Tucker supplying left-handed power and plus defense. Alex Bregman’s bat has shown signs of heating up just in time for the heart of the summer schedule, giving manager Joe Espada more flexibility with run manufacturing and situational hitting. On the mound, the Astros continue to feature one of the more reliable pitching staffs in baseball, anchored by Framber Valdez and Lance McCullers Jr., both of whom have been crucial in stabilizing the rotation amid various injuries and workload concerns.

Valdez brings elite ground-ball rates and composure in high-leverage situations, while McCullers’ heavy curveball has proven a consistent weapon against both righties and lefties. Houston’s bullpen has quietly been one of the best in the league, led by closer Josh Hader, who has converted 22 consecutive save opportunities without a single blemish, supported by reliable arms like Bryan Abreu and Ryan Pressly, who offer Espada multiple matchup options in the later innings. Defensively, Houston has been sharp, ranking near the top of the league in fielding percentage and turning timely double plays that have helped kill opponent rallies. While the Astros’ road record has been solid, they face one of their stiffest tests yet in this trip to Los Angeles, a team that mirrors their own strengths in pitching, power, and playoff pedigree. Still, Houston’s recent form—including a sweep of the Rockies and a tough series win over a division rival—suggests they are peaking at the right time, and their 8–2 mark over their last ten games shows they are thriving even in Alvarez’s absence. With the trade deadline approaching, this series is also a prime opportunity for the Astros to gauge where they stack up against one of the top teams in the National League, and a series win in Los Angeles would serve as both a confidence boost and a message to the rest of baseball. For now, the focus remains execution—minimizing free passes, capitalizing on scoring chances, and letting their balanced roster continue to prove that Houston remains a legitimate threat to return to the World Series in 2025.

The Houston Astros (52–35) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (56–32) on July 4, 2025, at Dodger Stadium for a marquee interleague showdown between two of baseball’s top teams. The Dodgers are slight favorites at home, but the Astros enter with momentum after a series win in Colorado. Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers step onto the national stage this July 4, 2025, with a 56–32 record, first place in the NL West, and one of the deepest and most dynamic rosters in all of baseball as they prepare to host the Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium in a primetime interleague showdown. Powered by a relentless offense, formidable rotation, and a bullpen that has settled into rhythm, the Dodgers have found their midseason groove, going 7–3 against the spread in their last ten and showcasing why they remain perennial World Series contenders. Shohei Ohtani has taken center stage, not just as a headline name but as a true two-way force, leading the club in home runs with 29 and providing key innings on the mound, where his fastball-slider combo continues to dominate hitters. Ohtani is flanked by offensive anchors Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, who bring experience, power, and on-base brilliance to a lineup that is averaging 6.5 runs per game over the last ten contests and putting relentless pressure on opposing pitchers from top to bottom. The Dodgers’ batting order doesn’t really have a weak link—young contributors like James Outman and Gavin Lux have stepped up when called upon, while veterans such as Will Smith and Max Muncy add depth and power that few other teams can match.

On the mound, rookie sensation Yoshinobu Yamamoto has emerged as the ace of the staff, racking up 101 strikeouts and keeping his ERA in elite territory while displaying poise well beyond his years. He’s been backed by solid contributions from Bobby Miller and Walker Buehler, the latter of whom has returned from injury with a sharp breaking ball and improved command, giving manager Dave Roberts a wealth of options in the rotation. The bullpen, long a point of scrutiny for LA, has found stability with closer Evan Phillips continuing his run of consistency, while setup men Brusdar Graterol and Ryan Brasier have been effective in high-leverage roles. Defensively, the Dodgers remain sound, with Gold Glove-caliber play from Betts in right field and elite infield defense led by Freeman at first and Betts when playing second. The team’s chemistry, clubhouse leadership, and postseason experience make them a formidable opponent no matter the stakes, but playing at home on the Fourth of July with a packed stadium and playoff-like energy gives them an extra layer of advantage. Against an Astros team riding a wave of success and anchored by a strong bullpen, the Dodgers know this will be a test of execution and patience—but they also understand the significance of series like this for measuring World Series readiness. The Dodgers will look to jump on Houston’s starters early, force high pitch counts, and let their explosive offense build a cushion for their bullpen to protect. If Ohtani delivers as both slugger and stopper, and the supporting cast continues to click, the Dodgers will be tough to beat at home, especially with the momentum of a dominant first half propelling them toward what they hope is another deep October run.

Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Astros and Dodgers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Dodger Stadium in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conforto over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Astros and Dodgers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the growing weight human bettors often put on Los Angeles Dodgers’s strength factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly deflated Dodgers team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers picks, computer picks Astros vs Dodgers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Astros Betting Trends

The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.

Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.

Astros vs. Dodgers Matchup Trends

The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.

Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Game Info

Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers starts on July 04, 2025 at 9:10 PM EST.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
Moneyline: Houston +152, Los Angeles Dodgers -184
Over/Under: 9

Houston: (52-35)  |  Los Angeles Dodgers: (56-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Conforto over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Dodgers have a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, showcasing a strong recent performance in covering spreads.

HOU trend: The Astros are 14–13 against the run line this season, reflecting a slight edge in covering spreads.

LAD trend: The Dodgers have a 24–22 record against the run line this season, indicating a modest success rate in covering spreads.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: +152
LAD Moneyline: -184
HOU Spread: +1.5
LAD Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Houston vs Los Angeles Dodgers Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+172
-205
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+136
-162
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+138
-164
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-142
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-162
+136
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-118
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers on July 04, 2025 at Dodger Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN