Orioles vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 04 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Baltimore Orioles (36–47) will face the Atlanta Braves (41–42) on July 4, 2025, at Truist Park in Atlanta, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM ET. Both teams are looking to improve their standings as they approach the All-Star break.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 04, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (39-47)

Orioles Record: (37-49)

OPENING ODDS

BAL Moneyline: +149

ATL Moneyline: -179

BAL Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have a 4–6 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in recent matchups.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have struggled at home recently, with a 1–4 ATS record in their last five home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Braves’ last 8 home games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs at Truist Park.

BAL vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Laureano over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Baltimore vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/4/25

The Atlanta Braves and Baltimore Orioles meet on July 4, 2025, at Truist Park in a battle of two underperforming yet dangerous teams looking to make a second-half push in their respective leagues. The Braves enter the matchup just below .500 at 41–42, having struggled to find the offensive consistency and rotation health that defined their previous seasons, while the Orioles sit at 36–47 and are similarly searching for rhythm amid a turbulent campaign in the ultra-competitive American League East. For Atlanta, the loss of Ronald Acuña Jr. has taken a significant bite out of their power and energy, placing added pressure on Matt Olson, Ozzie Albies, and Austin Riley to carry the load. While all three have produced in spurts, the team’s scoring output has been erratic, and their 1–4 ATS record at home over the last five games underscores their recent inability to seize momentum even at Truist Park. Their pitching staff, anchored by Max Fried and a resilient bullpen led by Raisel Iglesias, has posted a respectable 3.92 ERA, but a lack of run support has turned many competitive outings into wasted efforts. On the flip side, the Orioles arrive with a younger and less proven roster, but one with talent bubbling just beneath the surface. Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have continued to show they can anchor the lineup, providing much-needed pop and consistency, though Baltimore’s offense often struggles to generate multi-run innings or keep up in slugfests.

The pitching staff has been a revolving door of inconsistency, with young arms like Grayson Rodriguez and DL Hall offering potential but not yet performing to the level required to carry a rotation. The bullpen, while gritty, has blown several late leads, a frustrating trend that mirrors their 4–6 ATS record over the last ten games. Defensively, both teams are average, with neither showcasing elite run-saving metrics, though Baltimore has done a commendable job limiting fielding errors. The total has gone UNDER in six of Atlanta’s last eight home games, which may point to another low-scoring affair unless either offense breaks through early. For Baltimore, this series offers a valuable opportunity to get back on track and perhaps surprise a vulnerable Braves team with a few early offensive jabs. For Atlanta, the focus must be on capitalizing at home and avoiding the kind of middle-inning lapses that have cost them close games recently. As the All-Star break approaches, this game carries added weight for both clubs: the Braves need a win to regain ground in a tight NL East race, while the Orioles are simply trying to prevent the season from slipping further away. A win for either team could serve as a confidence jolt heading into the back half of July, and with both squads boasting individual stars capable of swinging momentum quickly, this July 4 matchup has all the ingredients for a hard-fought and telling midseason clash.

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles arrive at Truist Park on July 4, 2025, with a 36–47 record and a roster that continues to search for identity and consistency in a season that’s been frustratingly uneven. While the Orioles were hopeful to build on their impressive 2023 campaign and remain competitive in the AL East, a combination of offensive inconsistency, shaky pitching depth, and untimely injuries has left them languishing near the bottom of the division as they begin this road series against the Braves. One of the few bright spots for Baltimore has been the continued development of young stars Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson, both of whom have flashed All-Star caliber production even as the rest of the lineup has often struggled to contribute. Rutschman continues to shine as both a backstop and middle-of-the-order bat, hitting for average and providing strong defensive leadership, while Henderson offers both power and speed, frequently generating offense in an otherwise light-hitting lineup. Veteran Anthony Santander has chipped in with clutch home runs, and outfielder Colton Cowser has shown flashes of his potential, but the Orioles have had difficulty sustaining rallies and remain below league average in most offensive categories, including runs per game and team batting average.

On the mound, the Orioles have seen their youth-based strategy yield mixed results. Grayson Rodriguez has been inconsistent, capable of dominating lineups for five innings and then unraveling in the sixth, while DL Hall, once projected to be a breakout starter, has bounced between the rotation and bullpen without a defined role. The team ERA sits in the mid-4.00s, and while they’re not getting shelled nightly, they’re giving up enough contact and walks to force the bullpen into overuse, and that’s where trouble often begins. Closer Craig Kimbrel has converted his opportunities with veteran steadiness, but the rest of the relief corps has been far from reliable, blowing multiple leads late in games over the past three weeks. Defensively, the Orioles are better than their record suggests, as Rutschman’s framing and Henderson’s range at shortstop help limit damage, but too often the team’s defensive play is overshadowed by offensive lulls or pitching collapses. With a 4–6 record against the spread in their last ten games, the Orioles remain competitive, but their inability to finish games has been a defining weakness. Heading into Atlanta, manager Brandon Hyde will need his young roster to maintain discipline and look for chances to manufacture offense early rather than play from behind, a scenario that has frequently doomed them this season. This series presents a critical opportunity for Baltimore to make a statement against a slumping but talented Braves team. If the Orioles can get quality starts from their young arms and find a way to produce in the clutch, they have enough talent to steal wins on the road. However, another series loss could push them further into AL East obscurity, and time is quickly running out for a second-half turnaround to take root.

The Baltimore Orioles (36–47) will face the Atlanta Braves (41–42) on July 4, 2025, at Truist Park in Atlanta, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM ET. Both teams are looking to improve their standings as they approach the All-Star break. Baltimore vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves return home to Truist Park on July 4, 2025, sitting just below .500 with a 41–42 record and facing mounting pressure to rediscover the dominant form that made them perennial National League contenders over the past few seasons. While the Braves have remained within striking distance in the NL East, their inability to sustain winning streaks, combined with a glaring lack of offensive firepower since the season-ending injury to Ronald Acuña Jr., has dulled their once-intimidating lineup. Matt Olson continues to be the primary source of power, leading the team in home runs and RBIs, while Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies offer consistent production in the heart of the order, but the depth has been a concern, particularly in the outfield and lower third of the lineup. Recent call-ups and veterans alike have struggled to produce, leading to a string of low-scoring games and a 1–4 ATS record at home in their last five, which underscores their offensive malaise and difficulty seizing momentum at Truist Park. The Braves have managed to stay competitive thanks to a pitching staff that, while not perfect, has kept them in most games. Max Fried remains the ace of the rotation, delivering quality starts with a mix of pinpoint control and experience, while Bryce Elder and Reynaldo López have filled out the rotation with some ups and downs.

The bullpen, long a strength for Atlanta, is led by closer Raisel Iglesias, who has been reliable in tight games, and setup men A.J. Minter and Joe Jiménez, who provide swing-and-miss stuff in late-inning situations. Still, the overall staff ERA of 3.92 and WHIP near 1.43 suggest that the Braves are giving up more base runners than they’d like, and unless the offense offers better support, the pressure on the pitching staff will continue to build. Defensively, the Braves remain solid, with Dansby Swanson and Albies forming a dependable middle infield and Michael Harris II providing strong range and arm strength in center field. However, even their typically strong defense has been tested by the close nature of games and the thin margins that come with a struggling offense. Manager Brian Snitker has been forced to juggle the lineup card more than he’d prefer, mixing young talent and veterans in search of a spark, but with Acuña’s absence looming large, there’s only so much shuffling that can change the run-scoring ceiling of this team. The matchup against the Orioles, who have been equally inconsistent but boast young talent and speed, provides the Braves an opportunity to start turning things around. Atlanta must take advantage of Baltimore’s pitching instability and get to the bullpen early, while ensuring that their own staff limits walks and avoids giving up big innings. With the All-Star break on the horizon and the NL East still within reach, this series at home on a holiday stage is an ideal moment for the Braves to reestablish their dominance and begin the type of winning streak that has defined their past success.

Baltimore vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Orioles and Braves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Laureano over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Baltimore vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Orioles and Braves and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Orioles team going up against a possibly rested Braves team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Baltimore vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Orioles vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have a 4–6 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in recent matchups.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have struggled at home recently, with a 1–4 ATS record in their last five home games.

Orioles vs. Braves Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Braves’ last 8 home games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs at Truist Park.

Baltimore vs. Atlanta Game Info

Baltimore vs Atlanta starts on July 04, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Baltimore +149, Atlanta -179
Over/Under: 8.5

Baltimore: (37-49)  |  Atlanta: (39-47)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Laureano over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Braves’ last 8 home games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring affairs at Truist Park.

BAL trend: The Orioles have a 4–6 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in recent matchups.

ATL trend: The Braves have struggled at home recently, with a 1–4 ATS record in their last five home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Baltimore vs. Atlanta Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Baltimore vs Atlanta Opening Odds

BAL Moneyline: +149
ATL Moneyline: -179
BAL Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Baltimore vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves on July 04, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN