Twins vs Marlins Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 03)

Updated: 2025-07-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Minnesota Twins (41–45) and Miami Marlins (38–46) will conclude their three-game series at loanDepot Park on Thursday, July 3, 2025, with the first pitch scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are slight favorites at -121 on the moneyline, while the Marlins are listed at +101, with the over/under set at 8 runs .

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 03, 2025

Start Time: 12:10 PM EST​

Venue: loanDepot park​

Marlins Record: (38-46)

Twins Record: (41-45)

OPENING ODDS

MIN Moneyline: -121

MIA Moneyline: +101

MIN Spread: -1.5

MIA Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

MIN
Betting Trends

  • The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–5 ATS in their last six games and 1–10 straight up (SU) in their last 11. Notably, they are 0–5 ATS and SU in their last five home games .

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been performing well ATS, with a 7–3 record in their last 10 games. They are also 4–1 ATS and SU in their last five road games, and the total has gone under in five of their last five games .

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone over in four of Minnesota’s last five games, while Miami has gone under in six of its last seven and is 9–2 ATS in its last eleven road matchups. This contrast suggests a clash between Minnesota’s high-scoring tendencies and Miami’s tighter, more controlled outcomes.

MIN vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Stowers over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Minnesota vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/3/25

The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins will close out their three-game series at loanDepot Park on July 3, 2025, in a matchup that brings together two teams heading in sharply different directions. The Twins, who entered the series with a 41–45 record, have seen their season increasingly spiral in recent weeks, dropping 10 of their last 11 games and struggling mightily both at the plate and on the mound. Their offense, once expected to carry them through the summer, has sputtered behind inconsistent production and a lack of situational hitting, managing a team batting average below .230 during their recent skid. Byron Buxton has continued to be a rare bright spot, slashing .277 with a .558 slugging percentage, while Trevor Larnach has contributed with a .253 average and 32 RBIs, but the rest of the lineup has failed to maintain momentum or capitalize on scoring opportunities. The rotation has been equally problematic, with a team ERA ballooning to 6.44 over their last 10 games and multiple late-inning collapses putting additional pressure on a bullpen that lacks depth and reliability. Joe Ryan has been one of the few reliable arms, boasting an 8–4 record and a 2.75 ERA, but he has often pitched without run support or defensive consistency behind him. Making matters worse for Minnesota, starting pitcher Bailey Ober was recently placed on the injured list with a right hip impingement, further thinning an already vulnerable rotation. Meanwhile, the Miami Marlins are moving in the opposite direction, having won eight of their last ten games to bring their record to 38–46. While still under .500, their recent surge has featured improved pitching, solid defensive execution, and timely hitting that has lifted them back into the fringes of the Wild Card conversation.

Offensively, the Marlins have been led by Kyle Stowers (.283 AVG, .509 SLG) and Xavier Edwards (.279 AVG, .353 OBP), and their lineup has proven adept at manufacturing runs and applying pressure through small ball and aggressive baserunning. On the mound, Ronny Henriquez (2.85 ERA) and Lake Bachar (3.38 ERA) have stabilized the starting rotation, while the bullpen has provided consistency in the late innings, converting save opportunities and minimizing damage in high-leverage spots. Miami’s recent home success and current form have made them a popular pick against the spread, going 7–3 ATS in their last 10 games and consistently outperforming expectations, particularly against struggling teams like the Twins. The betting odds reflect a tight contest, with the Twins holding a slight edge at -121 on the moneyline, but recent form and momentum strongly favor Miami, who will look to complete a series win and head into the weekend on a high note. The over/under is set at 8, an intriguing number given Minnesota’s recent trend toward high-scoring games contrasted with Miami’s tendency to lean toward unders, especially in more controlled pitching environments. This final game of the series presents a pivotal moment for both clubs: the Twins desperately need to stop their freefall and regain competitiveness in the AL Central, while the Marlins have an opportunity to continue their charge and prove that their recent success is more than a temporary spark. With motivation high on both sides and contrasting styles of play clashing in South Florida, fans can expect a compelling conclusion to the series and potentially meaningful implications for the weeks ahead.

Minnesota Twins MLB Preview

The Minnesota Twins enter the final game of their road series against the Miami Marlins trying to halt what has been a difficult and demoralizing stretch in their 2025 campaign, currently sitting at 41–45 and struggling to maintain traction in the American League Central. After enduring a brutal 1–10 run that exposed both offensive and pitching weaknesses, the Twins finally snapped their losing skid with a gritty 2–1 victory on July 2, halting Miami’s eight-game winning streak and potentially setting the stage for a much-needed rebound. That victory was fueled by a timely go-ahead RBI single from Carlos Correa, whose leadership has been vital during the team’s slide, and an impressive outing by Simeon Woods Richardson, who limited Miami to one run across five solid innings. Minnesota’s bullpen, which has been inconsistent for much of the season, came through effectively in that contest with key contributions from Brock Stewart, Louis Varland, Danny Coulombe, Griffin Jax, and closer Jhoan Duran, who collected his 13th save of the year. Offensively, the team has leaned heavily on Byron Buxton, who has delivered a standout first half with a .286 batting average, 19 home runs, and a .558 slugging percentage, serving as one of the few steady contributors in an otherwise uneven lineup. Trevor Larnach has offered supplementary production, maintaining a .242 average with 7 home runs and 32 RBIs, though the team’s collective struggles with runners in scoring position have severely limited their ability to close out close games.

A key obstacle for Minnesota remains their injury-depleted rotation, which has been hit particularly hard with the recent loss of ace Pablo López due to a shoulder strain that will sideline him for 8–12 weeks, coupled with Bailey Ober’s hip impingement that also landed him on the IL just days ago. These injuries have forced the Twins to dig deeper into their pitching depth, often relying on younger arms who have yet to fully adjust to major league pressure, contributing to the team’s inflated ERA and late-inning volatility. However, Joe Ryan has continued to serve as the foundation of the rotation with an 8–4 record, a sharp 2.75 ERA, and 108 strikeouts in 98.1 innings, and Minnesota will need his consistency now more than ever. Defensively, the Twins have been erratic, with untimely errors and lapses that have allowed opponents to extend innings and capitalize on additional scoring chances, adding unnecessary pressure to an already burdened pitching staff. Heading into this series finale, the Twins know that while their postseason hopes are far from lost, the window to reverse their downward momentum is narrowing quickly. Every game from here on carries added urgency, and the Twins must string together quality performances on both sides of the ball to remain in contention. Against a surging Miami club, Minnesota’s challenge will be to build on their rare recent win, limit the damage from the Marlins’ contact-driven offense, and finally show the level of competitive balance expected of a team that began the season with far higher aspirations than where they currently stand.

The Minnesota Twins (41–45) and Miami Marlins (38–46) will conclude their three-game series at loanDepot Park on Thursday, July 3, 2025, with the first pitch scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Twins are slight favorites at -121 on the moneyline, while the Marlins are listed at +101, with the over/under set at 8 runs . Minnesota vs Miami AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins head into the final game of their three-game home series against the Minnesota Twins with confidence and renewed energy, having won eight of their last ten games and displaying a brand of baseball that has reenergized both the clubhouse and fanbase. Currently sitting at 38–46, the Marlins may still be under .500, but their recent surge has propelled them out of the basement of the National League East and back into discussions around the Wild Card chase. Although their eight-game win streak was halted in a narrow 2–1 loss to Minnesota on July 2, that game still demonstrated the team’s growing maturity, discipline, and ability to stay competitive in close, low-scoring affairs. Central to their recent run has been a pitching staff that has delivered quality outings with increasing consistency, led by emerging arms such as Ronny Henriquez, who boasts a 2.85 ERA, and Lake Bachar, who has stepped into a dependable starting role with a 3.38 ERA, both of whom have helped stabilize a rotation that earlier in the season struggled to get deep into games. The Marlins’ bullpen has also improved, often shutting down opponents late, with arms like Anthony Bender and Tanner Scott giving manager Skip Schumaker reliable options in high-leverage situations.

Defensively, the Marlins have played clean baseball, minimizing errors and executing fundamentals with sharpness, helping them stay in games even when their offense cools. On the offensive side, Kyle Stowers has emerged as one of the most dangerous bats in the lineup, maintaining a .283 average with a .509 slugging percentage and extending his hitting streak to six games with another strong showing against Minnesota. Xavier Edwards has continued to be a table-setter, hitting .279 with a .353 OBP and playing solid defense in the infield. Otto Lopez has also contributed timely hits and situational offense that has helped fuel the Marlins’ comeback victories, including their recent sweep of the San Francisco Giants and a gritty road series win in Arizona. The Marlins’ offensive philosophy has shifted toward contact-first, situational execution—focusing on getting runners on base, moving them along, and creating pressure through smart base running rather than swinging for the fences. This has resulted in more consistent run production and allowed the lineup to stay competitive even against stronger pitching. While the Marlins are not built around star power, they’ve embraced a gritty, team-first identity and have begun to make a name for themselves as a club that competes hard every night. Heading into this final game of the series, Miami knows the importance of finishing strong at home, especially with another tough schedule stretch on the horizon. A series win over Minnesota would not only reinforce their recent progress but could serve as a further launchpad for a climb up the NL standings. With pitching clicking, defense holding steady, and a quietly effective offense, the Marlins are playing with confidence, and as they take the field for this afternoon contest, they appear well-equipped to continue their ascent in the 2025 season.

Minnesota vs. Miami Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Twins and Marlins play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at loanDepot park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Stowers over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Minnesota vs. Miami Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Twins and Marlins and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors regularly put on Miami’s strength factors between a Twins team going up against a possibly rested Marlins team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Minnesota vs Miami picks, computer picks Twins vs Marlins, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–5 ATS in their last six games and 1–10 straight up (SU) in their last 11. Notably, they are 0–5 ATS and SU in their last five home games .

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been performing well ATS, with a 7–3 record in their last 10 games. They are also 4–1 ATS and SU in their last five road games, and the total has gone under in five of their last five games .

Twins vs. Marlins Matchup Trends

The total has gone over in four of Minnesota’s last five games, while Miami has gone under in six of its last seven and is 9–2 ATS in its last eleven road matchups. This contrast suggests a clash between Minnesota’s high-scoring tendencies and Miami’s tighter, more controlled outcomes.

Minnesota vs. Miami Game Info

Minnesota vs Miami starts on July 03, 2025 at 12:10 PM EST.

Spread: Miami +1.5
Moneyline: Minnesota -121, Miami +101
Over/Under: 8

Minnesota: (41-45)  |  Miami: (38-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Stowers over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone over in four of Minnesota’s last five games, while Miami has gone under in six of its last seven and is 9–2 ATS in its last eleven road matchups. This contrast suggests a clash between Minnesota’s high-scoring tendencies and Miami’s tighter, more controlled outcomes.

MIN trend: The Twins have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 1–5 ATS in their last six games and 1–10 straight up (SU) in their last 11. Notably, they are 0–5 ATS and SU in their last five home games .

MIA trend: The Marlins have been performing well ATS, with a 7–3 record in their last 10 games. They are also 4–1 ATS and SU in their last five road games, and the total has gone under in five of their last five games .

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Minnesota vs. Miami Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Minnesota vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Minnesota vs Miami Opening Odds

MIN Moneyline: -121
MIA Moneyline: +101
MIN Spread: -1.5
MIA Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Minnesota vs Miami Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-148
+134
-1.5 (+116)
+1.5 (-136)
O 7.5 (+101)
U 7.5 (-121)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins on July 03, 2025 at loanDepot park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN