Cardinals vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 02 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-06-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates conclude their three-game series on Wednesday, July 2, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals aim to rebound after a narrow 1-0 loss in the previous game, while the Pirates look to secure a series win.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 02, 2025

Start Time: 12:35 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (37-50)

Cardinals Record: (47-40)

OPENING ODDS

STL Moneyline: -140

PIT Moneyline: +118

STL Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

STL
Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performance in covering the run line.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have gone 7-3 ATS over their past 10 games, indicating a strong trend in covering the spread recently.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last five head-to-head matchups between these teams, the Pirates have won three times, with a 60% success rate against the spread.

STL vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/2/25

Wednesday’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park wraps up a three-game divisional series with both clubs eyeing very different goals in the standings and very different levels of urgency heading into the All-Star break. The Cardinals, currently sitting at 47-40, are in the thick of the NL Central race and have relied heavily on steady starting pitching and a lineup anchored by veterans like Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt to maintain playoff aspirations, despite recent offensive inconsistency highlighted by Tuesday’s 1-0 shutout loss. Brendan Donovan continues to be a spark plug at the top of the order, batting .295 and providing clutch situational hitting, while Sonny Gray has been the team’s ace, posting an 8-2 record with a 3.36 ERA, giving St. Louis a fighting chance nearly every time he takes the mound. The team’s bullpen, although mostly stable, has had its moments of volatility, and the defensive unit, while generally sound, has had a few untimely lapses that have cost them runs in close contests. The Pirates, meanwhile, sit at 35-50 but have been quietly playing better baseball of late, going 6-4 in their last 10 games and covering the run line in seven of those contests.

Their recent surge has been led by the electric Paul Skenes, who brings a 2.12 ERA and 110 strikeouts into the spotlight as one of the league’s most promising young arms, and the emergence of hitters like Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds, who have been producing timely offense to complement strong pitching. Pittsburgh has averaged nearly six runs per game during this stretch, and their bullpen—especially closer David Bednar with his 2.83 ERA—has been instrumental in locking down narrow leads. This game figures to be another low-scoring, tightly contested affair where execution in the late innings and capitalizing on runners in scoring position could determine the outcome. The Pirates hold a 3-2 edge in the last five meetings against St. Louis and have historically played tough at home against divisional opponents, particularly when their pitching holds up. From a betting perspective, St. Louis has gone 5-5 ATS in its last 10, while Pittsburgh’s 7-3 record ATS in the same span shows they’ve been a good value play as underdogs. With two strong starters expected on the mound and both teams needing the win for different reasons—St. Louis to keep pace in the division and Pittsburgh to continue proving they can play spoiler and build for the future—this game promises to be more than just a rubber match; it’s a litmus test for momentum heading into the midseason stretch. Expect managerial tactics to come into play late, with each bullpen likely facing a high-leverage situation, and whichever club can stay composed defensively and deliver in the clutch may very well walk away with the series victory.

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals enter Wednesday’s series finale against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 47-40 record and a clear sense of urgency to avoid dropping a critical road series against a division rival that’s gaining momentum. Offensively, the Cardinals have had both shining moments and baffling droughts, as seen in Tuesday’s 1-0 loss where they failed to score despite putting runners on base in multiple innings. Brendan Donovan has been their most consistent bat of late, providing a near-.300 average and bringing a mix of plate discipline and contact hitting that fuels the top of the order. Nolan Arenado continues to provide pop in the middle of the lineup with 15 home runs, and Paul Goldschmidt’s veteran presence remains vital despite a quieter first half than in recent seasons. The biggest strength for St. Louis remains its starting pitching, headlined by ace Sonny Gray, who has anchored the rotation with an 8-2 record and a 3.36 ERA, providing deep outings and command over both sides of the plate. The rest of the rotation has been serviceable, but shaky middle relief has occasionally derailed otherwise winnable games. Defensively, the Cardinals play a fundamentally sound brand of baseball, though minor lapses have proved costly in tight games, particularly against opportunistic lineups like Pittsburgh’s.

Heading into this matchup, St. Louis has a 5-5 ATS record over its last 10 games, illustrating their inability to string together consistent performances either offensively or from the mound, a trend they will need to reverse if they intend to make up ground in the NL Central. With a crowded division race unfolding, every loss feels magnified, and the Cardinals are acutely aware that letting series slip away to teams well below .500 could haunt them down the stretch. Wednesday’s rubber match is not just about salvaging a road series but also about making a statement that they can assert their will against division opponents regardless of recent form. The key to turning things around lies in delivering clutch hits with runners in scoring position—something the Cardinals failed to do on Tuesday—and in executing a clean game defensively and on the bases. Manager Oli Marmol may look to shake up the lineup slightly to spark the offense, possibly shifting some bats to create more favorable matchups against Pittsburgh’s young arms. In order to grab a win, the Cardinals need a strong outing from their starter, timely hits from their big bats, and a lockdown performance from the bullpen if handed a lead. With postseason hopes still alive and the season approaching its midway point, the pressure is on for St. Louis to show that it can not only beat teams it’s supposed to but also handle adversity and deliver when it matters most. The next 24 hours will speak volumes about their resilience and readiness to compete in what’s shaping up to be one of the tightest divisional battles in the National League.

The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates conclude their three-game series on Wednesday, July 2, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals aim to rebound after a narrow 1-0 loss in the previous game, while the Pirates look to secure a series win. St. Louis vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 02. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into Wednesday’s series finale against the St. Louis Cardinals with a renewed sense of energy and confidence, bolstered by their 1-0 shutout win on Tuesday and a recent uptick in form that has seen them go 6-4 in their last 10 games. Despite a 35-50 overall record that has them far from the playoff picture, the Pirates are quietly establishing themselves as a tough out, especially at home, where their young roster continues to show promise and hunger. Oneil Cruz has been a catalyst for the offense, flashing both power and speed, while Bryan Reynolds remains the most reliable bat in the lineup with his consistent ability to reach base and drive in runs. The Pirates’ offense has averaged nearly six runs per game over their last 10 contests, and while they didn’t score much on Tuesday, they delivered just enough and executed key plays to secure the win, something they’ve struggled with earlier in the year. On the mound, Paul Skenes has emerged as a legitimate ace, posting a stellar 2.12 ERA and racking up 110 strikeouts through 106 innings, giving Pittsburgh a clear edge every fifth day and raising the standard for the rest of the staff. He’s been complemented by an improving bullpen, with David Bednar anchoring the late innings with a 2.83 ERA and double-digit saves.

Defensively, the Pirates have become more disciplined, cutting down on costly mistakes and improving their positioning and decision-making in the field, which has paid dividends in low-scoring affairs. Their recent success against the spread—7-3 in their last 10—also points to a team that’s outperforming expectations and staying competitive, even when overmatched on paper. Manager Derek Shelton has done a commendable job keeping the clubhouse focused and giving his young players space to develop while also pushing them to perform in key moments. Winning a series against a division rival like St. Louis would not only be a morale booster but also a tangible sign that this rebuilding group is starting to turn the corner. The Pirates know that their margin for error is slim, so attention to detail—like executing sacrifice bunts, moving runners over, and converting routine defensive plays—will be crucial in securing a series victory. While the postseason is likely out of reach in 2025, matchups like this offer Pittsburgh a chance to shape the NL Central landscape and lay a foundation for the future, especially if their young core continues to grow in confidence and production. Wednesday’s game presents another opportunity for this Pirates team to show that they’re no longer just a spoiler—they’re building toward something more substantial, one competitive series at a time.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Cardinals and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jul almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Cardinals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Cardinals team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI St. Louis vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Cardinals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performance in covering the run line.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have gone 7-3 ATS over their past 10 games, indicating a strong trend in covering the spread recently.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

In the last five head-to-head matchups between these teams, the Pirates have won three times, with a 60% success rate against the spread.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh starts on July 02, 2025 at 12:35 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: St. Louis -140, Pittsburgh +118
Over/Under: 8

St. Louis: (47-40)  |  Pittsburgh: (37-50)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the last five head-to-head matchups between these teams, the Pirates have won three times, with a 60% success rate against the spread.

STL trend: The Cardinals have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, reflecting inconsistent performance in covering the run line.

PIT trend: The Pirates have gone 7-3 ATS over their past 10 games, indicating a strong trend in covering the spread recently.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the St. Louis vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

STL Moneyline: -140
PIT Moneyline: +118
STL Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+195
-218
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-124)
U 8.5 (+108)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-119)
U 9 (+104)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+138
-152
+1.5 (-152)
-1.5 (+134)
O 8.5 (-113)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+104
-115
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+174)
O 8.5 (-107)
U 8.5 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+195
-218
+1.5 (-107)
-1.5 (-107)
O 8 (+101)
U 8 (-116)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-128
+116
-1.5 (+129)
+1.5 (-146)
O 8 (-112)
U 8 (-103)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+116
-128
+1.5 (-184)
-1.5 (+162)
O 9 (+107)
U 9 (-123)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-200
+1.5 (-117)
-1.5 (+103)
O 8.5 (-107)
U 8.5 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+120
-132
+1.5 (-183)
-1.5 (+161)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+153
-169
+1.5 (-141)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-102)
U 8 (-113)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+128
-141
+1.5 (-183)
-1.5 (+161)
O 7 (-118)
U 7 (+103)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+122
-135
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+156)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+127
-1.5 (+116)
+1.5 (-131)
O 9 (-107)
U 9 (-107)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+113
-125
+1.5 (-197)
-1.5 (+173)
O 7 (-116)
U 7 (+101)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+166)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (+100)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 02, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN