Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 01)

Updated: 2025-06-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays will face off on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, with the first pitch scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. This Canada Day matchup features a marquee pitching duel between Yankees ace Max Fried and Blue Jays stalwart Kevin Gausman, as both teams vie for positioning atop the AL East standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 01, 2025

Start Time: 3:07 PM EST​

Venue: Rogers Centre​

Blue Jays Record: (46-38)

Yankees Record: (48-36)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -168

TOR Moneyline: +140

NYY Spread: -1.5

TOR Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well against the spread when away from home.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, indicating a strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In games where Kevin Gausman starts at home, the Blue Jays have a 60% success rate against the spread, while the Yankees have covered in 65% of Max Fried’s road starts this season.

NYY vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Goldschmidt under 1.5 Total Bases.

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/1/25

Tuesday’s AL East showdown between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre is packed with divisional drama, high-end pitching, and playoff-level implications, making it one of the marquee matchups of the MLB calendar heading into July. The Yankees enter this Canada Day game clinging to a narrow lead in the AL East, sporting a 45-34 record and hoping to build off a recent offensive eruption that saw them score 12 runs in a statement win, snapping a frustrating 4-9 skid. Their rotation has been one of the best in baseball, headlined by Max Fried, who’s been nothing short of sensational in his debut season in pinstripes, posting a 1.92 ERA with elite command and the ability to silence lineups both at home and on the road. He’ll be tested against a Blue Jays lineup that, while inconsistent, still boasts star power in Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette—both of whom are capable of flipping a game with one swing. On the other side, Kevin Gausman gets the nod for Toronto, and while his ERA is slightly inflated due to an uptick in home runs allowed, his strikeout rate remains excellent and his home splits have largely been favorable.

Gausman will need to be sharp early, as the Yankees lineup has regained its aggression and plate discipline, with Judge, Soto, and Verdugo offering a blend of power, patience, and contact that’s hard to game plan for over multiple at-bats. The bullpens could play a decisive role late, and while both teams feature capable closers—Clay Holmes for the Yankees and Jordan Romano for the Jays—New York’s recent edge in leverage situations and the presence of multiple power arms in middle relief gives them a slight upper hand. Defensively, both squads are above average, though Toronto has been prone to occasional lapses, something they can’t afford with Fried on the mound. With first pitch slated for 3:07 p.m. ET and a fired-up Rogers Centre crowd expected for Canada Day, this game figures to be both emotionally charged and tactically intense. The Yankees will aim to extend their lead in the division with a road win behind their ace, while the Blue Jays look to defend their home turf, pull closer in the standings, and send a message that they’re a serious contender in the American League. Expect tight margins, key at-bats in the sixth through ninth innings, and a playoff-like atmosphere from the first pitch on—this is baseball at its most compelling in early July.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees arrive in Toronto with a 45-34 record and a narrow lead atop the American League East, looking to continue regaining their early-season form after enduring a challenging 4-9 stretch in mid-June that temporarily stalled their momentum. That recent funk appears to be fading after an emphatic 12-run victory over the Blue Jays on Sunday, signaling a resurgence in the offense and providing a confidence boost entering the final few games of the first half. A major catalyst for the Yankees’ success has been left-handed ace Max Fried, who starts Tuesday’s game boasting a league-best 1.92 ERA, a 0.94 WHIP, and an uncanny ability to shut down elite hitters regardless of environment. His mix of velocity, movement, and precision has stabilized a Yankees rotation that’s dealt with injuries and inconsistencies elsewhere, and his presence on the mound gives New York a significant advantage any time he pitches. Offensively, the Yankees have relied on their star power to carry the load, with Aaron Judge slugging at an MVP pace and Juan Soto bringing a combination of plate discipline and raw power that few can match.

Gleyber Torres has provided clutch hitting in recent weeks, and Anthony Volpe’s growth at the top of the lineup has allowed the Yankees to string together longer rallies. Defensively, they’ve been one of the sharper teams in baseball, turning double plays and limiting errors behind their pitchers, which has been crucial during their offensive droughts. Their bullpen, anchored by Clay Holmes, has held up well, especially in high-leverage situations, and the recent return of arms like Jonathan Loáisiga has deepened their late-inning options. Manager Aaron Boone has repeatedly emphasized staying steady and embracing the grind of a long season, and his message appears to be resonating again with the clubhouse as they seek to hold off a resurgent Toronto team on the road. The Yankees have also been strong against the spread in recent road games, covering in 7 of their last 10, suggesting they’re not just winning but doing so convincingly outside of Yankee Stadium. This matchup is also personal—division rivals, a national holiday crowd, and the chance to not only win a road series but potentially push the Jays further back in the standings. For New York, Tuesday’s game is more than just another start—it’s a chance to demonstrate their staying power, reaffirm their status as AL East frontrunners, and ride the power and poise of Max Fried toward another crucial midseason win. With a hot bat in Soto, the looming presence of Judge, and a road-tested pitching staff, the Yankees enter this contest with confidence and focus, fully aware that every game from here on out will have postseason consequences.

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays will face off on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, with the first pitch scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. This Canada Day matchup features a marquee pitching duel between Yankees ace Max Fried and Blue Jays stalwart Kevin Gausman, as both teams vie for positioning atop the AL East standings. New York Yankees vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays return home for a crucial Canada Day clash with the New York Yankees sitting at 42-37, just a few games behind their division rivals in the AL East and with a golden opportunity to chip away at that gap in front of a fired-up Rogers Centre crowd. After a shaky start to the season, the Jays have found their rhythm by winning 16 of their last 25 games, a stretch that’s featured steadier pitching, sharper defense, and just enough offense to keep them in the thick of the playoff conversation. Leading the charge on the mound is veteran right-hander Kevin Gausman, who will get the start Tuesday and look to contain a Yankees lineup that recently erupted for 12 runs in a resounding win. Gausman has had some trouble with the long ball this season, but his command remains strong and his signature splitter continues to be one of the toughest pitches to square up in the league, especially when he’s pitching at home where he’s been far more reliable. Offensively, Toronto has shown flashes of its potential, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette still serving as the primary engine of the lineup despite some inconsistency from the rest of the order.

Guerrero, in particular, has started to heat up at the plate and could be poised for a breakout series, while Bichette’s all-field approach gives him a chance to pressure the Yankees in multiple ways. The rest of the batting order has rotated contributors, with George Springer and Daulton Varsho offering occasional power but also struggling with contact and strikeouts in key moments. Defensively, the Jays have cleaned up earlier miscues and now rank near the middle of the league in error prevention, helping to support a bullpen that has been forced into a heavy workload. Jordan Romano continues to close out games effectively, and the setup corps featuring Yimi García and Tim Mayza has shown more consistency of late, although fatigue could be a concern if Gausman doesn’t get deep into the game. Manager John Schneider has stressed the importance of limiting free passes and playing clean baseball, especially against a disciplined Yankees team that thrives on exploiting mistakes. While Toronto has been solid against the spread in recent weeks—covering in 23 of their last 35 games—the real test will come against elite arms like Max Fried, who has dominated lineups all season and rarely gives teams a second chance. With a raucous home crowd behind them and momentum on their side, the Blue Jays will need a composed, complete effort to avoid falling further behind in the division and instead reassert themselves as serious contenders. Tuesday offers not just a chance to celebrate the nation, but to prove that Toronto’s midseason surge is more than just a hot streak—it’s the beginning of a real push for October baseball.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Blue Jays play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rogers Centre in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Goldschmidt under 1.5 Total Bases.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Yankees and Blue Jays and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly strong Blue Jays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Toronto picks, computer picks Yankees vs Blue Jays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well against the spread when away from home.

Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, indicating a strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Matchup Trends

In games where Kevin Gausman starts at home, the Blue Jays have a 60% success rate against the spread, while the Yankees have covered in 65% of Max Fried’s road starts this season.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Game Info

New York Yankees vs Toronto starts on July 01, 2025 at 3:07 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -168, Toronto +140
Over/Under: 8

New York Yankees: (48-36)  |  Toronto: (46-38)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Goldschmidt under 1.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In games where Kevin Gausman starts at home, the Blue Jays have a 60% success rate against the spread, while the Yankees have covered in 65% of Max Fried’s road starts this season.

NYY trend: The Yankees have covered the run line in 7 of their last 10 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well against the spread when away from home.

TOR trend: The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, indicating a strong performance against the spread in recent matchups.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -168
TOR Moneyline: +140
NYY Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

New York Yankees vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays on July 01, 2025 at Rogers Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN