Reds vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 01 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-06-29T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds (44–41) and Boston Red Sox (42–44) square off at Fenway Park on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET. Both teams aim to gain momentum as they approach the All-Star break.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 01, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Fenway Park​

Red Sox Record: (42-44)

Reds Record: (44-41)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: -105

BOS Moneyline: -114

CIN Spread: -1.5

BOS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 10

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent struggles in covering the run line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the Red Sox have won four times against the Reds, including a 13–6 victory on Monday night.

CIN vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Story over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Cincinnati vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/1/25

Tuesday night’s interleague matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park carries weight for two teams that are both hovering near the .500 mark and in need of a boost heading into the second half of the season. The Reds, currently sitting at 44–41, have been one of the more exciting young teams in the National League thanks to their explosive lineup led by Elly De La Cruz, who’s posted 18 home runs and 57 RBIs so far this season. He’s been flanked by steady contributors like TJ Friedl, who leads the team with a .284 batting average, and Spencer Steer, whose 54 RBIs continue to give the lineup some backbone. Cincinnati’s pitching staff, while not dominant, has been serviceable with a team ERA of 4.00, and they’ll send Brady Singer to the mound for this game, a right-hander with a 7–6 record and 4.31 ERA who has pitched effectively when avoiding early command issues. The Red Sox, at 42–44, are coming off a dominant 13–6 win over these same Reds on Monday night and will look to keep their bats hot. Wilyer Abreu has been the most consistent source of power for Boston, leading the club with 16 home runs, while Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and veteran Trevor Story round out an offense capable of putting up crooked numbers at Fenway when they’re clicking.

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Richard Fitts, a rookie still searching for his first MLB win, entering with an 0–3 record and 4.68 ERA. Boston’s bullpen has been inconsistent, and Fitts will likely be on a short leash, making early run support crucial for the home team. The over/under is set at 10 runs, an indication that oddsmakers expect another high-scoring game, especially with Fenway’s short porches and two lineups capable of exploiting fastballs. Historically, Boston has had the edge in this matchup, winning four of the last five meetings, including that convincing win on Monday, and they’ll rely on the energy of their home crowd and familiarity with the field to try and even up their season record. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has covered the spread in five of their last ten games and continues to lean on its aggressive base running, young core, and improving bullpen to stay competitive in tight games. If Singer can neutralize Boston’s power hitters early and Cincinnati’s top bats continue to rake, the Reds could find themselves in position to bounce back from Monday’s rout and steal a road win. The key to this game will be which starter settles in more quickly and whether either bullpen can hold a late lead, as both lineups are more than capable of producing late-inning fireworks. With both teams still within striking distance of Wild Card spots, Tuesday’s game could offer a tone-setting moment as they look to define their direction heading into the All-Star break. Expect urgency, offense, and an atmosphere that reflects the high stakes of midsummer baseball in one of the game’s most historic ballparks.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds enter Tuesday’s matchup against the Boston Red Sox with a 44–41 record, clinging to Wild Card relevance in the National League and looking to bounce back after a 13–6 loss in the series opener. Led by one of baseball’s most electrifying young players in Elly De La Cruz, the Reds have built their identity around speed, power, and high-energy baseball that thrives on pressure and tempo. De La Cruz has been the engine of that identity, leading the team with 18 home runs, 57 RBIs, and a presence on the basepaths that keeps opposing pitchers rattled and defenses on their toes. He’s complemented by TJ Friedl, who holds a team-best .284 batting average and offers consistency and contact skills from the top of the lineup. Spencer Steer has quietly become a clutch bat in key situations, tallying 54 RBIs and bringing a steady approach that often anchors big innings. Gavin Lux has also chipped in with a .267 average, giving the Reds lineup depth beyond its headline names. Cincinnati’s pitching staff holds a collective ERA of 4.00, and they’ll send right-hander Brady Singer to the mound with a 7–6 record and 4.31 ERA. While not overpowering, Singer has succeeded by mixing in his sharp slider and inducing ground balls, and when he’s on his game, he’s capable of neutralizing lineups that struggle with off-speed pitches low in the zone.

The Reds bullpen has been relatively stable in high-leverage innings, with Alexis Díaz continuing to anchor the ninth inning and several middle relievers showing improved command over the last few weeks. Defensively, the Reds have tightened up considerably since the start of the season, playing clean behind their pitchers and reducing costly mistakes that plagued them earlier in the campaign. On the road, Cincinnati has shown an ability to stay competitive, and even though they dropped the first game of this series, they’ve covered the run line in five of their last ten games, a sign of their ability to keep things close and claw back late. Manager David Bell has managed the roster with flexibility, mixing in young arms and rotating positional players to keep legs fresh and matchups optimized. The key for the Reds on Tuesday will be Singer settling in early and avoiding big innings, especially against a Red Sox lineup that can pile on runs in a hurry when it smells blood. Offensively, they’ll look for De La Cruz to set the tone and apply early pressure on Richard Fitts, a rookie still finding his footing. With a mix of athleticism, offensive upside, and improved pitching depth, Cincinnati remains a dangerous team when locked in, and they’ll need that edge to even up this series and continue asserting themselves as a postseason threat in the National League.

The Cincinnati Reds (44–41) and Boston Red Sox (42–44) square off at Fenway Park on Tuesday, July 1, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET. Both teams aim to gain momentum as they approach the All-Star break. Cincinnati vs Boston AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox return to Fenway Park on Tuesday night riding the momentum of a dominant 13–6 win over the Cincinnati Reds in the series opener, a performance that reignited their offense and raised hopes for a second-half surge in the AL East. Now sitting at 42–44, the Red Sox find themselves in a familiar position—hovering around .500 and seeking consistency from a roster that has flashed potential but struggled to sustain success. Wilyer Abreu has been the team’s most dependable power source, leading Boston with 16 home runs and adding a .256 batting average, while veteran infielder Trevor Story leads the club with 43 RBIs, giving manager Alex Cora a reliable run producer in the middle of the lineup. Jarren Duran and Ceddanne Rafaela have both brought speed and defensive range, and although neither has put up eye-popping numbers at the plate, their contributions in the outfield and on the basepaths have been valuable in tight games. Rafael Devers continues to be an offensive wild card, capable of game-breaking moments when locked in, though he’s dealt with streakiness and minor injuries that have hampered his full impact.

The Red Sox will give the ball to rookie right-hander Richard Fitts, who enters with an 0–3 record and a 4.68 ERA, still in search of his first big league win. Fitts has shown flashes of potential with his curveball and command, but he’s also struggled to pitch deep into games, which has placed pressure on a Boston bullpen that has been one of the team’s weaker areas this season. While the bullpen has shown occasional steadiness behind relievers like Chris Martin and Kenley Jansen, late-inning meltdowns have cost the Red Sox several winnable games and remain a concern in matchups like this one. Defensively, Boston has performed well, ranking among the better teams in terms of fielding percentage and overall efficiency, helping to mitigate some of the pitching staff’s inconsistencies. At home, the Red Sox have been streaky, with stretches of offensive dominance followed by droughts, but Fenway Park continues to serve as a friendly backdrop for their power bats, especially against fastball-heavy arms like Brady Singer’s. Boston’s recent 3–7 stretch entering this series underscores their volatility, but Monday’s blowout victory was a reminder of how quickly this team can light up the scoreboard when the top half of the lineup gets rolling. To keep that energy going Tuesday, Fitts will need to survive the early innings and avoid giving the Reds momentum, while the offense must remain aggressive against a Cincinnati pitching staff that has improved but is still vulnerable to

Cincinnati vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Reds and Red Sox play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fenway Park in Jul seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Story over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Cincinnati vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Reds and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly rested Red Sox team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Boston picks, computer picks Reds vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent struggles in covering the run line.

Reds vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the Red Sox have won four times against the Reds, including a 13–6 victory on Monday night.

Cincinnati vs. Boston Game Info

Cincinnati vs Boston starts on July 01, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: Boston +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -105, Boston -114
Over/Under: 10

Cincinnati: (44-41)  |  Boston: (42-44)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Story over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the Red Sox have won four times against the Reds, including a 13–6 victory on Monday night.

CIN trend: The Reds have covered the run line in 5 of their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance against the spread.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have a 4–6 record against the spread over their past 10 games, indicating recent struggles in covering the run line.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Boston Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Cincinnati vs Boston Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: -105
BOS Moneyline: -114
CIN Spread: -1.5
BOS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 10

Cincinnati vs Boston Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox on July 01, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN