Mets vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 29)

Updated: 2025-06-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets (48–35) and Pittsburgh Pirates (33–50) conclude their three-game series on Sunday, June 29, 2025, at PNC Park. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Pirates look to avoid a sweep and gain momentum heading into July.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 29, 2025

Start Time: 1:35 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (34-50)

Mets Record: (48-36)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -155

PIT Moneyline: +130

NYM Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have covered the run line in 43 of their 81 games this season, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have struggled against the spread, covering in only 38 of their 83 games this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets have hit the game total under in 45 of their 81 games this season, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

NYM vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Baty over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/29/25

The New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates wrap up their three-game series at PNC Park on Sunday, June 29, 2025, with the Mets looking to continue their strong run and the Pirates hoping to avoid another home series loss in what has been a difficult season. The Mets, at 48–35, remain one of the most consistent teams in the National League, powered by a top-five pitching staff and a deep lineup led by the red-hot Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Alonso’s 24 home runs and .292 batting average put him among the league’s most dangerous sluggers, while Lindor brings veteran savvy and clutch power with his 18 home runs and .262 average, often delivering big hits when the team needs them most. New York will hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who is set to make his season debut after a long rehab process and brings upside as a power pitcher who, when healthy, can dominate with a mid-90s fastball and sharp splitter. On the other side, the Pirates, now sitting at 33–50, send Mike Burrows to the mound, a young right-hander with a 1–2 record and a 4.45 ERA who has shown flashes of promise but still struggles with consistency, especially against deeper lineups like the Mets’.

Pittsburgh has leaned on Bryan Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen for offense, though Reynolds’ .235 average and 9 homers and McCutchen’s .265 mark with 8 homers are not enough to lift an inconsistent lineup that lacks punch beyond the top third. Defensively, the Mets hold a distinct advantage with a 3.25 team ERA, while the Pirates sit at 3.88, and New York’s bullpen, anchored by Edwin Díaz and Brooks Raley, has been particularly reliable in late-game situations. Betting trends also support the Mets, who have covered the run line in 43 of their 81 games and consistently played to the under with strong pitching and timely defense, having hit the under in 45 games. Meanwhile, the Pirates have covered in just 38 of 83 contests and have shown vulnerability when forced to play from behind early. For the Mets, the key to victory lies in giving Montas early run support and easing the pressure in his first start, while continuing to get quality plate appearances from the likes of Juan Soto, who has added 19 home runs and a .259 average to deepen the order. The Pirates, meanwhile, must capitalize on every scoring opportunity and hope for a surprise gem from Burrows if they hope to stay competitive. Sunday’s matchup not only offers the Mets a chance to further distance themselves from the pack but also provides them a valuable opportunity to ease Montas into game action and test their depth as July nears. For Pittsburgh, a win would be a morale boost and a sign that their young arms can hold up against top-tier lineups, but they’ll need an error-free game and a hot bat or two to make that happen.

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets enter Sunday’s series finale against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 48–35 record and a clear sense of confidence as they continue to solidify their status as one of the National League’s most balanced and dangerous clubs. Their pitching staff has been the cornerstone of their success, boasting a team ERA of 3.25, and they’ll look to debut right-hander Frankie Montas in this matchup, who is making his first start of the season after an extended recovery period. When healthy, Montas is capable of front-line results with a high-velocity fastball and a nasty splitter that generates ground balls and strikeouts alike, and while expectations should be tempered in his first outing back, his ceiling gives the Mets another potentially valuable arm heading into the summer stretch. Offensively, the Mets are clicking behind Pete Alonso, who continues to mash with 24 home runs and a .292 average, giving him one of the most dangerous power profiles in the game and making him a threat to leave the yard every time he steps in the box. Francisco Lindor remains a vital cog in the lineup with his combination of pop and contact, hitting .262 with 18 home runs while also playing elite defense at shortstop, and Juan Soto adds even more punch with a .259 average and 19 home runs, giving New York multiple middle-of-the-order threats who can turn games around in a single inning.

Complementary hitters like Brandon Nimmo, Starling Marte, and Jeff McNeil provide a mix of speed, on-base ability, and positional versatility, giving manager Carlos Mendoza multiple ways to construct matchups and apply pressure on opposing pitchers. The Mets have shown a strong trend toward lower-scoring games, particularly on the road, where they’ve hit the under in 45 of 81 games, which speaks to the control their starters and bullpen maintain in high-leverage situations. The team has also covered the run line in 43 of their games, underscoring their ability to not only win but often do so convincingly, especially against teams like Pittsburgh who struggle to generate offense. The keys for New York on Sunday will be to allow Montas to settle in early, give him run support through patient, power-driven at-bats, and continue their bullpen dominance in the later innings, where arms like Edwin Díaz and Brooks Raley have consistently locked down leads. With the All-Star break approaching, the Mets have an opportunity to tighten their grip on a playoff spot and use this game as a confidence builder, both for Montas and for their overall momentum. A win would give them another road series and further affirm their identity as a team capable of making a deep run, powered by smart pitching usage, a deep and patient lineup, and just enough star power to break open tight contests when needed.

The New York Mets (48–35) and Pittsburgh Pirates (33–50) conclude their three-game series on Sunday, June 29, 2025, at PNC Park. The Mets aim to secure a series win, while the Pirates look to avoid a sweep and gain momentum heading into July. New York Mets vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter Sunday’s matchup against the New York Mets with a 33–50 record and little margin for error as they attempt to close June on a high note and avoid a home sweep against one of the National League’s most complete teams. Mike Burrows gets the start for Pittsburgh and will be tasked with navigating a deep Mets lineup in just his fourth major league appearance this season, entering the game with a 1–2 record and a 4.45 ERA. Burrows has shown flashes of potential with decent strikeout stuff and mound presence, but he has also been vulnerable to long innings and trouble when falling behind in counts, which makes facing aggressive power hitters like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor a daunting challenge. The Pirates’ lineup has struggled with consistency all season and ranks near the bottom of the National League in runs scored and batting average, which has made stringing together competitive innings difficult, especially against elite pitching staffs like the Mets’. Bryan Reynolds continues to lead the offense statistically, but his .235 batting average and 9 home runs highlight just how much he’s underperformed compared to expectations, while Andrew McCutchen provides steady veteran presence with a .265 average and 8 homers, though his power and speed have waned.

One bright spot has been the emergence of young infielder Nick Gonzales, who’s hitting .300 and providing quality at-bats while flashing above-average glove work, giving fans some hope for the future core of the team. Still, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has had to carry too much of the burden, and while their 3.88 ERA suggests competence, the bullpen has often faltered late in games, especially when playing from behind. Defensively, the Pirates must avoid the costly errors and lapses in concentration that have derailed so many winnable games, and they’ll need to capitalize on every scoring opportunity to support Burrows and keep the game close. The Pirates have covered the run line in just 38 of 83 games, reflecting their struggles to keep pace when facing superior opponents, and their lack of reliable run production makes comeback wins a rarity. For Sunday’s game, manager Derek Shelton will be hoping for Burrows to deliver five solid innings, for the bullpen to avoid walks, and for someone in the lineup—whether it be McCutchen, Reynolds, or perhaps Jack Suwinski—to come up with a timely extra-base hit. The Pirates’ path to victory lies in pitching to contact, playing mistake-free defense, and finding ways to manufacture runs through situational hitting, as they’re unlikely to slug their way past a Mets team with strong arms and a veteran approach at the plate. While the playoffs are a long shot, every game is a chance for Pittsburgh to evaluate its young talent and instill a competitive mindset, and a win against a contender like the Mets could serve as a morale boost and stepping stone toward building a more resilient, fundamentally sound team heading into the second half of the season.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jun almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Baty over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Mets and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly unhealthy Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Mets vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have covered the run line in 43 of their 81 games this season, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have struggled against the spread, covering in only 38 of their 83 games this season.

Mets vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

The Mets have hit the game total under in 45 of their 81 games this season, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh starts on June 29, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -155, Pittsburgh +130
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets: (48-36)  |  Pittsburgh: (34-50)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Baty over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets have hit the game total under in 45 of their 81 games this season, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

NYM trend: The Mets have covered the run line in 43 of their 81 games this season, reflecting a strong performance against the spread.

PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled against the spread, covering in only 38 of their 83 games this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -155
PIT Moneyline: +130
NYM Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-148
+126
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-137)
O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-122)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on June 29, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN