Phillies vs Braves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 28)

Updated: 2025-06-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies (47–34) face the Atlanta Braves (37–43) on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at Truist Park. The Phillies are favored with a -120 moneyline, while the Braves are listed at +100.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (37-44)

Phillies Record: (48-34)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: =+134

ATL Moneyline: -160

PHI Spread: =+1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.

PHI vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

LIVE MLB ODDS

MLB ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
325-240
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+395.4
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,540
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1593-1364
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+371.9
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,192

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/28/25

Saturday’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park promises to be an intriguing contest between two NL East rivals trending in different directions, with the Phillies entering at 47–34 and looking to maintain their grip near the top of the division, while the Braves, at 37–43, are trying to claw their way back into postseason relevance following a disappointing first half. The Phillies send left-hander Jesús Luzardo to the mound, a high-strikeout starter who boasts a 7–3 record and 4.08 ERA over 88.1 innings, highlighted by an elite 10.36 strikeouts per nine innings, though he’s also surrendered a fair number of home runs when he misses his spots. Opposing him is Atlanta’s young right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach, who has emerged as a bright spot in an otherwise inconsistent Braves rotation, bringing a 6–4 record and 3.21 ERA with strong command, though he has allowed a higher hard-hit percentage that could prove costly against a Phillies lineup loaded with power. Offensively, Philadelphia leans on the potent bats of Kyle Schwarber, who’s hitting .247 with a .527 slugging percentage, and Trea Turner, batting .295 while consistently setting the table at the top of the order, with both players capable of igniting big innings with one swing. Atlanta’s offense has been less consistent, though Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna continue to provide much-needed thump, combining for a strong middle of the order, but the lineup as a whole has struggled to string together rallies and has often relied too heavily on the long ball.

Defensively, both teams have been mediocre, but the Phillies’ bullpen has performed more reliably in recent weeks, with strong outings from closer José Alvarado and setup man Seranthony Domínguez helping to lock down leads, whereas the Braves have suffered from late-inning breakdowns that have contributed to their underwhelming 35–45 ATS record. Philadelphia, by contrast, has covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 matchups against Atlanta and holds a 44–37 ATS mark overall this season, a testament to their ability to play consistent, winning baseball in a variety of settings. The Phillies have also fared well on the road, showing poise and resilience when playing away from Citizens Bank Park, and their lineup’s ability to work counts and make opposing pitchers labor could pose a challenge to Schwellenbach, especially if he’s unable to keep the ball in the park. For Atlanta, success may hinge on getting early run support to ease the pressure on Schwellenbach and avoid overexposing their bullpen, while for the Phillies, a quality start from Luzardo and continued contributions from the middle of the lineup should be enough to tilt the balance in their favor. With playoff implications already beginning to take shape, this divisional showdown sets the stage for a hard-fought, high-leverage contest, and if Philadelphia continues its recent dominance in the season series and capitalizes on Atlanta’s defensive lapses, they should emerge with a valuable road win to extend their lead over a faltering division rival.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies arrive at Saturday’s game against the Atlanta Braves with a 47–34 record and the confidence that comes from being one of the National League’s most consistent teams this season, led by a deep rotation, power-laden lineup, and a bullpen that has improved significantly over the past month. Starting for the Phillies is Jesús Luzardo, who brings a 7–3 record and 4.08 ERA into the matchup across 88.1 innings pitched, and while his ERA may not stand out among league leaders, his high strikeout rate of 10.36 per nine innings underscores his ability to miss bats and control innings when he’s executing properly. Luzardo has leaned heavily on his fastball-slider combination, and if he’s able to command his changeup effectively against a right-handed heavy Braves lineup, he could neutralize key threats like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna, who tend to do their damage against left-handers who fall behind in counts. Offensively, the Phillies are clicking, with Kyle Schwarber anchoring the middle of the lineup thanks to his .247 average and powerful .527 slugging percentage, while Trea Turner continues to do damage at the top with a .295 average and smart baserunning that creates scoring opportunities nearly every time he reaches base. The supporting cast has been equally impressive, with players like Alec Bohm, J.T. Realmuto, and Bryson Stott contributing clutch hits and showing situational awareness at the plate that allows the lineup to stay productive even when the long ball isn’t a factor.

Defensively, the Phillies have improved over recent seasons and now field a more athletic and reliable infield behind Luzardo, while the outfield remains solid, particularly with the defensive instincts of Brandon Marsh and Johan Rojas covering plenty of ground. The bullpen has emerged as a quiet strength, with closer José Alvarado and high-leverage arms like Gregory Soto and Seranthony Domínguez combining to shorten games when the Phillies hold a lead late, and their recent efficiency in closing out tight contests has contributed to a solid 44–37 record against the spread this season. The Phillies have also had Atlanta’s number recently, covering the spread in six of their last eight meetings with the Braves, which speaks to their ability to exploit Atlanta’s inconsistencies and stay poised under pressure in divisional games. If Luzardo can give them a quality start and limit home run damage—an issue that has occasionally plagued him—they’ll be in excellent position to lean on their offense to create a run cushion and force Atlanta to play catch-up against a bullpen that has been particularly stingy of late. With the NL East race tightening and every game carrying increased importance, the Phillies know that stringing together wins against divisional foes like Atlanta is critical to building separation in the standings, and their well-balanced roster, veteran leadership, and recent momentum make them the more complete team entering this contest with a clear opportunity to notch another key road victory.

The Philadelphia Phillies (47–34) face the Atlanta Braves (37–43) on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at Truist Park. The Phillies are favored with a -120 moneyline, while the Braves are listed at +100. Philadelphia vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves enter Saturday’s divisional showdown against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 37–43 record and an urgent need to course-correct after an uneven first half of the season that has left them chasing consistency and cohesion in nearly every phase of the game, and they’ll place their trust in right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach, who has shown flashes of brilliance in his rookie campaign with a 6–4 record and a solid 3.21 ERA across 103.2 innings. Schwellenbach has leaned on his mid-90s fastball and sharp breaking stuff to keep hitters off balance, and while his high hard-hit rate raises some concerns—especially against a dangerous Phillies lineup—his poise and efficiency have allowed him to work deep into games and limit big innings, which will be critical if Atlanta wants to avoid exposing a vulnerable bullpen that has struggled in late-inning scenarios throughout the season. Offensively, the Braves have been underwhelming relative to expectations, with star power in the middle of the order in the form of Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna—both of whom bring solid slugging potential—but the lineup’s inconsistency, particularly with runners in scoring position, has hindered their ability to sustain momentum and build leads. Ronald Acuña Jr.’s absence has clearly hurt the team’s dynamism, and with a lack of depth in the bottom third of the order, Atlanta has often found itself relying too heavily on home runs to produce runs, which becomes a challenge when facing pitchers like Jesús Luzardo who can rack up strikeouts and keep the ball in the park.

Defensively, the Braves have experienced uncharacteristic lapses this season, with fielding miscues and miscommunications in the infield leading to costly errors and extended innings, and that sloppiness has often shown up in critical spots, compounding the pressure on a pitching staff that’s had little margin for error. With a 35–45 record against the spread, the Braves have struggled to meet expectations both as favorites and underdogs, and facing a Phillies team that has covered in six of their last eight meetings, Atlanta will need to deliver a clean, focused performance to prevent falling further behind in the NL East. Schwellenbach’s ability to handle the heart of Philadelphia’s order—particularly Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner—will go a long way in determining whether the Braves can keep the game close enough to allow their bats a chance to respond late, and if the offense can jump on Luzardo early, it may shift pressure back onto a Phillies bullpen that has been sharp but not invincible. The Braves’ path to victory will likely require a near-flawless outing from Schwellenbach, timely contributions from Olson and Ozuna, and defensive discipline to avoid giving away extra bases or free outs, and if those pieces fall into place, Atlanta can reverse recent trends and pick up a much-needed home win that could provide a spark heading into a critical July stretch.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Braves play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in Jun can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Phillies and Braves and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Braves team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Phillies vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.

Phillies vs. Braves Matchup Trends

The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Game Info

Philadelphia vs Atlanta starts on June 28, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia =+134, Atlanta -160
Over/Under: 8.5

Philadelphia: (48-34)  |  Atlanta: (37-44)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.

PHI trend: The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

ATL trend: The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: =+134
ATL Moneyline: -160
PHI Spread: =+1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Philadelphia vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-157
+129
-1.5 (+118)
+1.5 (-144)
O 7.5 (+102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves on June 28, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN