Phillies vs Braves Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 28)
Updated: 2025-06-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Philadelphia Phillies (47–34) face the Atlanta Braves (37–43) on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at Truist Park. The Phillies are favored with a -120 moneyline, while the Braves are listed at +100.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jun 28, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (37-44)
Phillies Record: (48-34)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: =+134
ATL Moneyline: -160
PHI Spread: =+1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.
PHI vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Philadelphia vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/28/25
Defensively, both teams have been mediocre, but the Phillies’ bullpen has performed more reliably in recent weeks, with strong outings from closer José Alvarado and setup man Seranthony Domínguez helping to lock down leads, whereas the Braves have suffered from late-inning breakdowns that have contributed to their underwhelming 35–45 ATS record. Philadelphia, by contrast, has covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 matchups against Atlanta and holds a 44–37 ATS mark overall this season, a testament to their ability to play consistent, winning baseball in a variety of settings. The Phillies have also fared well on the road, showing poise and resilience when playing away from Citizens Bank Park, and their lineup’s ability to work counts and make opposing pitchers labor could pose a challenge to Schwellenbach, especially if he’s unable to keep the ball in the park. For Atlanta, success may hinge on getting early run support to ease the pressure on Schwellenbach and avoid overexposing their bullpen, while for the Phillies, a quality start from Luzardo and continued contributions from the middle of the lineup should be enough to tilt the balance in their favor. With playoff implications already beginning to take shape, this divisional showdown sets the stage for a hard-fought, high-leverage contest, and if Philadelphia continues its recent dominance in the season series and capitalizes on Atlanta’s defensive lapses, they should emerge with a valuable road win to extend their lead over a faltering division rival.
Big shout to the bullpen! pic.twitter.com/MO2oQnNyIa
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) June 28, 2025
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies arrive at Saturday’s game against the Atlanta Braves with a 47–34 record and the confidence that comes from being one of the National League’s most consistent teams this season, led by a deep rotation, power-laden lineup, and a bullpen that has improved significantly over the past month. Starting for the Phillies is Jesús Luzardo, who brings a 7–3 record and 4.08 ERA into the matchup across 88.1 innings pitched, and while his ERA may not stand out among league leaders, his high strikeout rate of 10.36 per nine innings underscores his ability to miss bats and control innings when he’s executing properly. Luzardo has leaned heavily on his fastball-slider combination, and if he’s able to command his changeup effectively against a right-handed heavy Braves lineup, he could neutralize key threats like Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna, who tend to do their damage against left-handers who fall behind in counts. Offensively, the Phillies are clicking, with Kyle Schwarber anchoring the middle of the lineup thanks to his .247 average and powerful .527 slugging percentage, while Trea Turner continues to do damage at the top with a .295 average and smart baserunning that creates scoring opportunities nearly every time he reaches base. The supporting cast has been equally impressive, with players like Alec Bohm, J.T. Realmuto, and Bryson Stott contributing clutch hits and showing situational awareness at the plate that allows the lineup to stay productive even when the long ball isn’t a factor.
Defensively, the Phillies have improved over recent seasons and now field a more athletic and reliable infield behind Luzardo, while the outfield remains solid, particularly with the defensive instincts of Brandon Marsh and Johan Rojas covering plenty of ground. The bullpen has emerged as a quiet strength, with closer José Alvarado and high-leverage arms like Gregory Soto and Seranthony Domínguez combining to shorten games when the Phillies hold a lead late, and their recent efficiency in closing out tight contests has contributed to a solid 44–37 record against the spread this season. The Phillies have also had Atlanta’s number recently, covering the spread in six of their last eight meetings with the Braves, which speaks to their ability to exploit Atlanta’s inconsistencies and stay poised under pressure in divisional games. If Luzardo can give them a quality start and limit home run damage—an issue that has occasionally plagued him—they’ll be in excellent position to lean on their offense to create a run cushion and force Atlanta to play catch-up against a bullpen that has been particularly stingy of late. With the NL East race tightening and every game carrying increased importance, the Phillies know that stringing together wins against divisional foes like Atlanta is critical to building separation in the standings, and their well-balanced roster, veteran leadership, and recent momentum make them the more complete team entering this contest with a clear opportunity to notch another key road victory.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves enter Saturday’s divisional showdown against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 37–43 record and an urgent need to course-correct after an uneven first half of the season that has left them chasing consistency and cohesion in nearly every phase of the game, and they’ll place their trust in right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach, who has shown flashes of brilliance in his rookie campaign with a 6–4 record and a solid 3.21 ERA across 103.2 innings. Schwellenbach has leaned on his mid-90s fastball and sharp breaking stuff to keep hitters off balance, and while his high hard-hit rate raises some concerns—especially against a dangerous Phillies lineup—his poise and efficiency have allowed him to work deep into games and limit big innings, which will be critical if Atlanta wants to avoid exposing a vulnerable bullpen that has struggled in late-inning scenarios throughout the season. Offensively, the Braves have been underwhelming relative to expectations, with star power in the middle of the order in the form of Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna—both of whom bring solid slugging potential—but the lineup’s inconsistency, particularly with runners in scoring position, has hindered their ability to sustain momentum and build leads. Ronald Acuña Jr.’s absence has clearly hurt the team’s dynamism, and with a lack of depth in the bottom third of the order, Atlanta has often found itself relying too heavily on home runs to produce runs, which becomes a challenge when facing pitchers like Jesús Luzardo who can rack up strikeouts and keep the ball in the park.
Defensively, the Braves have experienced uncharacteristic lapses this season, with fielding miscues and miscommunications in the infield leading to costly errors and extended innings, and that sloppiness has often shown up in critical spots, compounding the pressure on a pitching staff that’s had little margin for error. With a 35–45 record against the spread, the Braves have struggled to meet expectations both as favorites and underdogs, and facing a Phillies team that has covered in six of their last eight meetings, Atlanta will need to deliver a clean, focused performance to prevent falling further behind in the NL East. Schwellenbach’s ability to handle the heart of Philadelphia’s order—particularly Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner—will go a long way in determining whether the Braves can keep the game close enough to allow their bats a chance to respond late, and if the offense can jump on Luzardo early, it may shift pressure back onto a Phillies bullpen that has been sharp but not invincible. The Braves’ path to victory will likely require a near-flawless outing from Schwellenbach, timely contributions from Olson and Ozuna, and defensive discipline to avoid giving away extra bases or free outs, and if those pieces fall into place, Atlanta can reverse recent trends and pick up a much-needed home win that could provide a spark heading into a critical July stretch.
You bring so much joy to the game and we’re all pulling for you. Get well soon, Wash! pic.twitter.com/Yf60KITyu1
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) June 27, 2025
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Phillies and Braves and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Braves team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Phillies vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
Braves Betting Trends
The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.
Phillies vs. Braves Matchup Trends
The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does Philadelphia vs Atlanta start on June 28, 2025?
Philadelphia vs Atlanta starts on June 28, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is Philadelphia vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for Philadelphia vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia =+134, Atlanta -160
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Philadelphia vs Atlanta?
Philadelphia: (48-34) | Atlanta: (37-44)
What is the AI best bet for Philadelphia vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Philadelphia vs Atlanta trending bets?
The Phillies have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games against the Braves.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have a 44–37 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Braves hold a 35–45 ATS record this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Philadelphia vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Philadelphia vs Atlanta Opening Odds
PHI Moneyline:
=+134 ATL Moneyline: -160
PHI Spread: =+1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Philadelphia vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-143
+130
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-1.5 (+120)
+1.5 (-140)
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O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves on June 28, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |