Braves vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jun 26 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-06-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets conclude their four-game series at Citi Field on Thursday, June 26, 2025, at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets, holding a 46–34 record, aim to secure a series split, while the Braves, at 37–41, look to build momentum in the NL East standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 26, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (47-34)

Braves Record: (37-42)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -109

NYM Moneyline: -111

ATL Spread: -1.5

NYM Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have hit the game total under in 28 of their last 45 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring outcomes.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have hit the game total under in 43 of their last 76 games, reflecting a similar pattern of low-scoring games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the runs under in 17 of his last 20 home games, suggesting limited run production in his recent home appearances.

ATL vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Atlanta vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/26/25

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets wrap up their four-game series at Citi Field on Wednesday, June 26, 2025, in a matchup that has important implications in the NL East standings. The Braves, currently hovering below .500, are looking to build some momentum with a road win, while the Mets hope to protect home field and remain competitive at the top of the division. Atlanta will turn to Grant Holmes, who enters with a 4–6 record and a respectable 3.71 ERA, showing flashes of potential in recent starts as he grows into a larger role within the Braves’ rotation. He’ll be countered by New York’s Griffin Canning, a dependable right-hander with a 7–3 record and 3.91 ERA, who has been a stabilizing presence for the Mets all season long. The Braves have struggled to score consistently, and their record reflects some of those woes with more than 20 losses in games decided by fewer than three runs. Their inability to capitalize in tight contests will be tested again against a Mets team that has been equally cautious in offensive production, with totals trending to the under in a majority of their recent matchups.

Both teams have leaned toward lower-scoring affairs this season, particularly in recent weeks, as New York has seen the under hit in 43 of its last 76 games, while Atlanta is on a similar trend with 28 unders in their last 45. The absence of explosive offense has shifted pressure to pitching and defensive execution, which bodes well for Canning and Holmes if they can command early innings and avoid crooked numbers. For the Braves, players like Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson must step up if Atlanta wants to produce runs early, while New York will look to Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo to set the tone. Jeff McNeil’s continued trend of going under on run totals at home suggests the Mets may continue to rely on situational hitting and strong bullpen work to secure wins. This game may come down to which side executes better in late innings and avoids costly errors, as both clubs have struggled with consistency in one-run games. With divisional stakes rising and each side seeking a tone-setting win, fans can expect a tight contest where every pitch and at-bat will carry added weight.

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves come into their June 26 matchup against the New York Mets seeking to stabilize what has been an up-and-down 2025 season defined by inconsistency and offensive stagnation. Entering the game with a sub-.500 record and sitting in the lower half of the NL East standings, the Braves have struggled to establish any real momentum despite flashes of potential from both young talent and seasoned veterans. Grant Holmes gets the ball for Atlanta, posting a 4–6 record with a 3.71 ERA across 13 starts, and while his command and strikeout rate have shown growth, the team’s lack of run support has made wins hard to come by. Atlanta’s offense has not delivered consistently this season, ranking in the bottom third of the league in runs per game and leaning heavily on a few key bats such as Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies to spark production. Unfortunately, the Braves’ batting average with runners in scoring position has been among the lowest in the National League, and they’ve recorded just two wins in their last nine one-run games, a stat that highlights their inability to deliver in high-leverage situations.

Their bullpen, though talented, has faltered late in games, often allowing leads to slip away or failing to hold ties, contributing to a frustrating number of close losses. Defensively, Atlanta has been relatively steady, but without consistent offense to back it up, their margin for error is razor-thin. Their road performance hasn’t offered much relief either, with the Braves hovering around a .400 winning percentage away from home, and despite solid pitching performances, the bats have simply not followed. Ronald Acuña Jr.’s extended absence due to injury has also left a noticeable void in the lineup and outfield, forcing others to overperform to compensate. If the Braves hope to turn things around against the Mets, they’ll need Holmes to deliver a quality start while finding a way to manufacture runs against Griffin Canning, who has been effective in suppressing extra-base hits and limiting walks. Any chance of victory may rest on Atlanta’s ability to capitalize on New York’s occasional middle-inning pitching lapses and avoid stranding runners, which has been their Achilles’ heel all season. With the NL East still within reach mathematically but slipping from view, every divisional matchup becomes a must-win, and the Braves need to start stringing together clean, focused games if they want to claw back into contention. Their performance in this series finale will say a lot about their resilience and postseason aspirations as the midseason mark approaches.

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets conclude their four-game series at Citi Field on Thursday, June 26, 2025, at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets, holding a 46–34 record, aim to secure a series split, while the Braves, at 37–41, look to build momentum in the NL East standings. Atlanta vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 26. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets return home to Citi Field on June 26, 2025, hoping to bounce back from a series of tough outings and regain momentum as they host the division-rival Atlanta Braves in what promises to be a high-stakes NL East clash. Sitting in the lower half of the division standings, the Mets have shown flashes of resilience throughout the season but have struggled to string together consistent results, especially against elite opposition. At home, their performance has been marginally better than on the road, and they’ll need to capitalize on that edge to overcome a Braves team that has routinely had their number in recent matchups. Key to the Mets’ chances will be the performance of their starting rotation, which has endured a rollercoaster season marked by flashes of brilliance and stretches of mediocrity. With Kodai Senga still working his way back to form after returning from injury, the Mets may turn to veteran righty José Quintana or a bullpen-heavy strategy, both of which bring their own set of challenges against a potent Braves lineup. Offensively, the Mets have leaned heavily on Pete Alonso’s power and Francisco Lindor’s clutch hitting, with contributions from Brandon Nimmo and J.D. Martinez providing some depth when healthy.

However, their offense has been inconsistent, often struggling to produce runs in key situations despite respectable overall numbers in batting average and OBP. The Mets’ bullpen, anchored by Edwin Díaz, has been serviceable but has shown vulnerabilities in high-pressure innings, something that could become a factor late in the game if the Braves continue their trend of late scoring surges. Manager Carlos Mendoza has emphasized situational hitting and defensive precision in recent team meetings, aiming to tighten up fundamentals and reduce costly errors that have plagued them in close contests. The Mets’ fanbase, ever hopeful, will be out in force to push their team to victory, aware that series like this are crucial not just for standings but for morale and playoff positioning down the stretch. If the Mets can establish a rhythm early, contain Atlanta’s sluggers, and manufacture runs without relying too heavily on the long ball, they stand a legitimate chance to flip the script and make a statement. Ultimately, the Mets enter this game as underdogs, but in front of a home crowd and with a chance to turn the tide of their season, they will aim to play with urgency, discipline, and the kind of edge that has defined their most successful stretches in recent years.

Atlanta vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Braves and Mets play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Jun seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.

Atlanta vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Braves and Mets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly tired Mets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Braves vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have hit the game total under in 28 of their last 45 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring outcomes.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have hit the game total under in 43 of their last 76 games, reflecting a similar pattern of low-scoring games.

Braves vs. Mets Matchup Trends

Jeff McNeil has hit the runs under in 17 of his last 20 home games, suggesting limited run production in his recent home appearances.

Atlanta vs. New York Mets Game Info

Atlanta vs New York Mets starts on June 26, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -109, New York Mets -111
Over/Under: 8.5

Atlanta: (37-42)  |  New York Mets: (47-34)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Jeff McNeil has hit the runs under in 17 of his last 20 home games, suggesting limited run production in his recent home appearances.

ATL trend: The Braves have hit the game total under in 28 of their last 45 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring outcomes.

NYM trend: The Mets have hit the game total under in 43 of their last 76 games, reflecting a similar pattern of low-scoring games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Atlanta vs New York Mets Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: -109
NYM Moneyline: -111
ATL Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Atlanta vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
In Progress
Cardinals
Cubs
3
5
 
-1100
 
-1.5 (-265)
O 9.5 (+115)
U 9.5 (-150)
In Progress
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
In Progress
Rays
Blue Jays
0
3
+580
-1000
+2.5 (+125)
-2.5 (-165)
O 6.5 (-140)
U 6.5 (+105)
In Progress
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
In Progress
Rockies
Giants
2
0
-140
+105
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-165)
O 9.5 (+105)
U 9.5 (-140)
In Progress
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
In Progress
Mets
Marlins
1
0
-590
+340
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-127)
O 11 (-114)
U 11 (-122)
In Progress
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
In Progress
Tigers
Red Sox
0
0
+110
-145
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:45PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:45PM
White Sox
Nationals
-110
-110
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-186
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+123)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+132
-162
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+138)
O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+175)
O 7 (-115)
U 7 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+140
-170
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Mets on June 26, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS