The Minnesota Twins enter Sunday’s series finale against the Milwaukee Brewers desperate to halt a two-game slide that has seen them outscored 26–6, and they’ll look to regroup behind right-hander David Festa, whose young arm offers potential but has yet to show consistent dominance at the Major League level. Festa brings a 1–1 record with a 4.78 ERA into this matchup and has struggled with command at times, though he has flashed promising strikeout stuff when he’s in rhythm, which the Twins will hope shows up against a red-hot Milwaukee lineup. Offensively, Minnesota leans on a steady but not overpowering group featuring Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach, and Ty France, all of whom bring solid contact rates and occasional power but haven’t consistently driven in runs this week. The Twins’ inability to capitalize with runners in scoring position has haunted them in the first two games of the series, and that trend must reverse if they hope to avoid a sweep on their home field. Defensively, Minnesota remains fundamentally sound, particularly on the infield, and they’ve made very few errors this month, which gives them at least a chance to stay in close games if their pitching holds up.

The bullpen, featuring reliable options like Jhoan Durán and Jorge Alcalá, has the pieces to keep games close, but they haven’t been used in ideal situations over the last two outings due to early deficits, which the team can’t afford to repeat against Milwaukee’s aggressive offense. The Twins’ record at home remains respectable, and their 25–19 ATS mark at Target Field reflects a club that generally plays better in front of their own crowd, though they’ve only gone 4–6 ATS in their last ten games as favorites, hinting at recent underperformance. They’ve also been part of five overs in their last ten contests, suggesting some vulnerability in their pitching but also an ability to score enough to keep games competitive, which will be vital given the total for Sunday is set at 9.5 runs. Minnesota’s path to a win includes Festa throwing at least five solid innings, the offense scratching out early runs against Quinn Priester to shift momentum, and the bullpen being deployed with a lead or tie rather than cleaning up a deficit. The Twins must avoid the sluggish starts that have buried them in the first two games and instead take control early by working counts, forcing Milwaukee’s defense to make plays, and staying aggressive on the basepaths. If they can establish a lead and give their relievers a real opportunity to manage the late innings, a 6–4 or 7–5 win is within reach. But if Festa falters early and the offense remains quiet, the game could quickly resemble the previous two blowouts. This game may be the Twins’ last chance to salvage momentum before heading into the next week’s schedule, and a strong all-around performance is essential to avoid another home series loss.