The Colorado Rockies return to Coors Field for Sunday’s finale against the Arizona Diamondbacks hoping to salvage a win in what has been a painfully one-sided season, as their 17–59 record speaks to deep struggles in both pitching and offensive execution. Antonio Senzatela is expected to get the start, and while the veteran right-hander offers experience and pitch-to-contact tendencies suited for high-altitude games, his 2–10 record and 6.72 ERA underscore how frequently things have gone wrong when he’s on the mound, particularly against disciplined, power-laden lineups like Arizona’s. Senzatela’s success will depend entirely on his ability to generate early-count groundballs, avoid elevated pitches, and survive the first two trips through the order, where the Diamondbacks thrive with gap-to-gap power and aggressive base running. Offensively, the Rockies are built around flashes of power from Hunter Goodman and Jordan Beck, while Ryan McMahon continues to lead the team in OBP and clutch situations, but beyond those names, there is a noticeable drop in consistency and run-producing capability. Colorado has been unable to string together multi-run innings, often relying on solo homers or opponents’ mistakes to generate offense, a strategy that doesn’t work when trailing by multiple runs or facing bullpens that can lock down late innings.

The team’s bullpen remains one of the least reliable in the majors, frequently overused due to short starts and yielding high ERAs across the board, leaving manager Bud Black with few trustworthy options in high-leverage spots. Defensively, the Rockies have not helped themselves either, ranking near the bottom of the league in fielding percentage and often extending innings due to poor infield execution and outfield miscues, especially in tricky conditions at Coors Field. From a betting and ATS standpoint, Colorado has provided some limited value at home when extremely undervalued, but their 9–43 overall record and inability to cover consistently—even when catching large plus-money run lines—highlights just how difficult it has been for them to remain competitive beyond the third or fourth inning in most games. If the Rockies have any chance to pull off an upset, it will require an early offensive outburst combined with a rare quality start from Senzatela that stretches beyond five innings, plus a bullpen that doesn’t collapse late, a scenario that’s happened only a handful of times all season. Still, the unpredictable nature of Coors Field means a high-scoring slugfest could unfold if Arizona’s pitchers lose command and Colorado’s bats catch fire, and in that best-case scenario, the Rockies could grind out something like a 9–7 win. Realistically, though, their margin for error is razor thin, and they’ll need contributions from top to bottom—both offensively and defensively—to stand a chance against one of the NL’s more balanced lineups. Sunday’s matchup may provide a window into how Colorado evaluates its young core, but in terms of outcome, the Rockies are massive underdogs needing their best game of the month just to stay within striking distance.