Mets vs Phillies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 21)
Updated: 2025-06-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Chicago White Sox will visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays on June 21, 2025 in a matchup with first pitch set for 3:07 p.m. ET. Toronto enters as a strong favorite with a −213 moneyline and an 8.5-run total, pointing to a game expected to lean toward the over.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jun 21, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Phillies Record: (46-30)
Mets Record: (45-31)
OPENING ODDS
NYM Moneyline: -101
PHI Moneyline: -119
NYM Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
NYM
Betting Trends
- The White Sox are a middling 5–5 ATS over their last 10 games, though they’ve been more competitive as underdogs, posting a 6–4 ATS mark in their recent 10 games against the spread.
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Blue Jays are 4–6 ATS over their past 10 games and have been favored in four of those but only managed a 2–2 record when priced as favorites.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Toronto’s recent games have leaned over the total in 5 of the last 10, while Chicago’s underdog games have stayed under 6 of 10—suggesting a tilt toward offensive production, but also room for a tighter scoring pace.
NYM vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Marsh over 3.5 Fantasy Score.
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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/21/25
The Phillies have shown the ability to grind pitchers down with deep counts, foul balls, and smart situational hitting, which makes them extremely dangerous against underprepared or overworked arms. The Mets still have talent in their lineup—Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil delivered back-to-back homers to briefly tie Friday’s game—but the offensive production has been thin, and they’ve struggled mightily with runners in scoring position, hitting just .215 in that situation over the past week. Their bullpen has also been exposed during this losing streak, particularly in the middle innings, where control issues and lack of depth have contributed to big innings for opponents and irreversible momentum swings. In contrast, Philadelphia’s bullpen has remained sturdy, with Tanner Banks and Camilo Doval offering late-inning reliability that has been instrumental in sealing wins. Defensively, both teams are capable, though Philadelphia has played cleaner baseball lately and committed fewer costly mistakes. The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which reflects the recent offensive outburst in Game 1, but also respects the strength of the Phillies’ pitching when Wheeler is on the mound. Given the trajectory of both teams, the Phillies are deserved favorites, and the Mets will need to play their best, most mistake-free baseball in weeks to even keep the game within reach. The keys for New York will be early offense and competent starting pitching, while Philadelphia’s success will hinge on Wheeler’s dominance and continued clutch hitting. Expect the Phillies to control the pace and tempo of the game, with a likely final score around 5–3 or 6–4 in favor of the home team if current trends hold steady.
Back-to-back jacks 💥#VoteMets 🗳️👉 https://t.co/pvcqpJqQb7 pic.twitter.com/mxcM9DRBqj
— New York Mets (@Mets) June 21, 2025
New York Mets Mets MLB Preview
The New York Mets enter Saturday’s matchup against the Phillies in desperate need of a turnaround as they ride a disheartening seven-game losing streak that has derailed their previously promising season and exposed serious concerns in both their pitching depth and offensive consistency. Now at 45–29, the Mets remain in playoff contention thanks to a strong early record, but their recent play suggests that momentum has completely shifted away from them, especially after a humbling 10–2 loss to open the series. Expected to start for New York is either mid-rotation arm Griffin Canning or young right-hander Blade Tidwell, both of whom have shown flashes but lack the presence to match up evenly against Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler in a hostile road environment. New York’s offensive woes have been particularly glaring during the losing streak, as they’ve scored three or fewer runs in five of the past seven games and are hitting under .220 as a team with runners in scoring position during that stretch, leaving Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil to carry the burden with little support from the rest of the lineup. Alonso and McNeil briefly sparked life on Friday with back-to-back home runs, but the lack of sustained rallies and inability to string together multi-run innings has prevented the team from building leads or answering opponents’ scoring bursts.
On the pitching side, the Mets’ bullpen has been overtaxed due to short starts and inconsistent command from their starters, and middle relievers have been exposed repeatedly by aggressive opponents, giving up crooked innings that turn tight games into blowouts. While the Mets have historically played the Phillies close, including a 2–1 ATS record against them this season, recent trends and the psychological toll of the losing streak present major hurdles, especially on the road in front of a charged-up Philadelphia crowd. New York’s best hope lies in attacking Wheeler early and getting him off his rhythm, which could open the door for a rare offensive breakthrough, but that will require discipline at the plate, taking pitches, and forcing deeper counts than they’ve managed recently. Defensively, the Mets have held up well, but even small mistakes have become magnified when the offense fails to produce, and any lapses in execution will be costly against a team like Philadelphia that excels at capitalizing on miscues. Manager Carlos Mendoza faces difficult choices in how to deploy his bullpen, especially if the starter falters early, and without a reliable long reliever, the Mets could find themselves in a similar spot as Friday—trailing big before the game reaches the sixth inning. The Mets do have talent, and a team this skilled is always capable of snapping out of a slump, but given the current matchup, road conditions, and state of the rotation, it’s hard to project a clean or complete performance. If New York can keep the game within reach through five innings and steal a few runs with baserunning or small ball, they might push it to a one-run game, but the most probable outcome remains another narrow defeat unless something drastically shifts early.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies enter Saturday’s home matchup against the New York Mets riding a wave of confidence and momentum, having won eight of their last nine games and dominating the series opener 10–2 to firmly reassert themselves atop the NL East standings with a 44–30 record. Led by Zack Wheeler, who is scheduled to take the mound with a sterling 2.76 ERA and a strong strikeout-to-walk ratio, the Phillies hold a clear advantage in starting pitching and will look to press that edge from the first pitch, particularly given Wheeler’s ability to control tempo, navigate lineups multiple times, and neutralize power hitters like Pete Alonso. Philadelphia’s offense has been efficient and dangerous during this hot stretch, as evidenced by Friday’s output that included multi-hit games from Nick Castellanos and Brandon Marsh, clutch RBI production from Trea Turner, and a lineup-wide approach centered on working counts, hitting to all fields, and capitalizing on mistakes. Their plate discipline has been especially sharp lately, often pushing starters into early exits and giving their bullpen a lead to protect, which bodes well against a Mets pitching staff that has been stretched thin and ineffective during New York’s ongoing losing streak.
Manager Rob Thomson’s bullpen usage has been excellent this season, with dependable late-inning arms like Tanner Banks and Camilo Doval allowing him to lock down tight games, though they may not be necessary if the Phillies replicate the offensive pressure they applied in Game 1. Defensively, the team has cleaned up sloppy play from earlier in the season, with crisp infield work and efficient outfield coverage that minimizes extra-base opportunities and keeps games under control even when opponents do reach base. The Phillies’ recent 6–4 ATS record and an 18–17 mark against the run line at home suggest steady performance both outright and in spread-based betting, and given their current form, those numbers are trending upward. Against a Mets team on its heels and showing cracks both on the mound and at the plate, Philadelphia has a prime opportunity to continue building its lead in the division and send a message of dominance. The keys will be Wheeler’s early command, continued selective aggression at the plate, and avoiding let-up innings that allow New York to hang around. If the Phillies can jump out to an early lead again and keep pressure on the Mets’ bullpen, they are well-positioned to post another solid win, likely with a scoreline resembling 5–3 or 6–4, particularly if their bullpen is rested and able to slam the door in the late innings. With Citizens Bank Park fully behind them and confidence peaking, this Phillies squad looks locked in and ready to extend their winning ways into the weekend.
That's how ya do it#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/sLdveXz3ng
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) June 21, 2025
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Mets and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly improved Phillies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Mets vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Mets vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Mets Betting Trends
The White Sox are a middling 5–5 ATS over their last 10 games, though they’ve been more competitive as underdogs, posting a 6–4 ATS mark in their recent 10 games against the spread.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Blue Jays are 4–6 ATS over their past 10 games and have been favored in four of those but only managed a 2–2 record when priced as favorites.
Mets vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
Toronto’s recent games have leaned over the total in 5 of the last 10, while Chicago’s underdog games have stayed under 6 of 10—suggesting a tilt toward offensive production, but also room for a tighter scoring pace.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does New York Mets vs Philadelphia start on June 21, 2025?
New York Mets vs Philadelphia starts on June 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is New York Mets vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for New York Mets vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: New York Mets -101, Philadelphia -119
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for New York Mets vs Philadelphia?
New York Mets: (45-31) | Philadelphia: (46-30)
What is the AI best bet for New York Mets vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Marsh over 3.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Mets vs Philadelphia trending bets?
Toronto’s recent games have leaned over the total in 5 of the last 10, while Chicago’s underdog games have stayed under 6 of 10—suggesting a tilt toward offensive production, but also room for a tighter scoring pace.
What are New York Mets trending bets?
NYM trend: The White Sox are a middling 5–5 ATS over their last 10 games, though they’ve been more competitive as underdogs, posting a 6–4 ATS mark in their recent 10 games against the spread.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Blue Jays are 4–6 ATS over their past 10 games and have been favored in four of those but only managed a 2–2 record when priced as favorites.
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Mets vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Mets vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
NYM Moneyline:
-101 PHI Moneyline: -119
NYM Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Live Odds
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Mets Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies on June 21, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |