Rays vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 15)

Updated: 2025-06-13T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays (36–32) and New York Mets (45–24) conclude their three-game interleague series on Sunday, June 15, 2025, at Citi Field. With the series tied at 1–1, both teams aim to secure the rubber match and gain momentum as they approach the midpoint of the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 15, 2025

Start Time: 1:40 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (45-26)

Rays Record: (38-32)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: +138

NYM Moneyline: -165

TB Spread: +1.5

NYM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, with a 4–11 record in their last 15 games.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have a 4–6 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in covering the spread.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Mets’ last 20 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

TB vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/15/25

Sunday’s series finale between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Mets at Citi Field promises to be a closely contested rubber match between two postseason-caliber clubs with very different narratives in 2025. The Mets, at 45–24, have been one of the most dominant teams in baseball, particularly at home where they’ve compiled a stellar 27–8 record, thanks to a combination of elite pitching, timely hitting, and a strong defensive foundation. Their offense has been powered by Pete Alonso, who leads the team with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor continues to be the heart and soul of the lineup with a .290 average, strong baserunning, and clutch hitting in key moments. On the mound, New York is expected to start right-hander Griffin Canning, who has carved out a steady role in the rotation with an ability to limit hard contact and work efficiently through opposing lineups. With the Mets trending toward low-scoring, tightly managed games—they’ve hit the UNDER in 14 of their last 20 matchups—Canning’s control and the bullpen’s reliability will be critical against a Rays team that thrives on pressuring pitchers. Tampa Bay enters the game at 36–32, a respectable mark in a brutally competitive AL East, and though their recent record against the spread (4–11 in their last 15) is poor, they remain dangerous thanks to a deep, athletic roster.

The offense is anchored by Junior Caminero and Randy Arozarena, who have combined for consistent run production with power and speed, and they will be tasked with cracking a Mets pitching staff that rarely gives up big innings. The Rays turn to Shane Baz, who brings elite stuff and the ability to pile up strikeouts, but has at times struggled with pitch efficiency and high pitch counts. His ability to keep Alonso and Lindor in check while managing traffic on the bases will likely determine how far into the game he can go. Tampa’s bullpen remains one of its strongest assets, capable of bridging high-leverage innings with multiple looks and late-game execution, and they’ll need to be ready in a game that could swing on just a few pitches. Both teams are among the league leaders in defensive metrics, minimizing errors and turning double plays consistently, meaning extra-base hits and timely situational hitting may separate the winner. The Mets’ recent struggles against the spread reflect close contests rather than underperformance, while the Rays’ recent struggles suggest missed opportunities and bullpen leaks late. Given the pitching matchup and both teams’ strength in tight contests, expect a low-scoring game with playoff-level energy, where one swing from a star like Alonso or Arozarena could tilt the outcome. With the series tied, the edge may go to the Mets on home-field advantage and bullpen depth, but Tampa Bay’s scrappy, resilient style makes them a threat to steal a series-deciding game if they can capitalize early and force New York into chasing runs. Either way, this rubber match sets up as one of the day’s most compelling interleague battles.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter Sunday’s rubber match against the New York Mets with a 36–32 record, looking to rebound from recent inconsistencies and secure a statement series win on the road against one of the National League’s best teams. Tampa Bay has been solid throughout the season despite being in one of MLB’s most competitive divisions, but their recent 4–11 stretch against the spread highlights some underlying struggles in close games, particularly late-inning execution and offensive slumps in key spots. Offensively, the Rays continue to rely on a blend of speed, power, and contact, with Junior Caminero and Randy Arozarena leading the charge. Caminero, the hard-hitting young infielder, brings impressive raw power and a developing eye at the plate, while Arozarena provides versatility and a clutch-hitting profile that has made him a postseason hero in years past. Both will be crucial in this matchup, as they’ll be facing a Mets staff that has held opponents to minimal run totals, especially at Citi Field, where New York’s team ERA is among the best in the league. The Rays will counter with Shane Baz on the mound, a high-upside arm who has flashed elite stuff when healthy, including a mid-to-upper-90s fastball and a sharp slider capable of generating swings and misses.

Baz’s biggest challenge has been pitch efficiency, and against a patient Mets lineup featuring hitters like Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo, he’ll need to avoid long innings and high pitch counts early. Tampa Bay’s bullpen remains a strength, ranked among the league’s best in ERA and strikeout rate, and manager Kevin Cash is never hesitant to go to his relievers early if needed, trusting the depth and matchup flexibility of his late-inning arms. Defensively, the Rays are fundamentally sound, rarely beating themselves with errors, and routinely converting grounders into outs with crisp infield play anchored by slick defenders such as Taylor Walls and Yandy Díaz. One of the keys to Sunday’s game will be execution in the small moments—advancing runners, two-out hitting, and bullpen matchups—as the Rays are unlikely to get a blowout win at Citi Field. Instead, their best path to victory is a tight, controlled game where Baz can go at least five strong innings and the bullpen can preserve a one- or two-run edge. Tampa Bay has handled interleague play well this season and has shown they can beat elite teams when they play mistake-free baseball. A win would not only give them the series on the road but also serve as a much-needed momentum boost as they try to keep pace in the AL East race. With Baz on the mound and their key hitters ready to spark the offense, the Rays have the tools to silence the Mets’ crowd and head home with a series win over one of the best teams in baseball.

The Tampa Bay Rays (36–32) and New York Mets (45–24) conclude their three-game interleague series on Sunday, June 15, 2025, at Citi Field. With the series tied at 1–1, both teams aim to secure the rubber match and gain momentum as they approach the midpoint of the season. Tampa Bay vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 15. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets enter Sunday’s finale at Citi Field with a 45–24 record and a golden opportunity to secure a series win against the Tampa Bay Rays, reinforcing their status as one of the National League’s most complete and consistent teams in 2025. Dominant at home with a 27–8 record, the Mets have relied on a balanced blend of veteran leadership, deep pitching, and timely hitting to maintain their lead in the NL East, and Sunday’s rubber match provides another test of their ability to respond to adversity after dropping Saturday’s game. Offensively, the Mets are anchored by slugger Pete Alonso, who leads the team with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs, bringing elite power and a proven knack for changing games with one swing. Francisco Lindor complements Alonso with his all-around game, providing clutch contact hitting, smart baserunning, and gold-glove-caliber defense, while Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil round out a lineup that gets on base and wears pitchers down with extended at-bats. Despite averaging 4.20 runs per game, the Mets have increasingly leaned on their pitching and defense during a stretch in which the total has gone UNDER in 14 of their last 20 games, a reflection of low-scoring, tightly managed contests. On the mound Sunday, New York will start right-hander Griffin Canning, who has been a steady presence in the rotation, utilizing command and pitch sequencing to neutralize lineups even when not overpowering hitters.

Canning’s key to success lies in his ability to get ahead in counts and induce ground balls, and against a Rays offense that can strike quickly with speed and power, his margin for error will be slim. The Mets’ bullpen has been a true strength, with Edwin Díaz anchoring the ninth and reliable setup arms like Brooks Raley and Adam Ottavino bridging the middle innings, making New York particularly dangerous in close games. Defensively, the Mets are one of the league’s best, turning double plays with ease and consistently backing their pitchers with clean, efficient play in the field, a trait that’s helped them avoid the kinds of mistakes that often swing tight matchups. The team’s recent 4–6 record against the spread doesn’t reflect poor play as much as the nature of close, low-margin wins that haven’t always covered betting lines. In a series-deciding game, manager Carlos Mendoza will likely stick to his successful formula—length from his starter, aggressive bullpen usage, and manufacturing runs when big swings aren’t available. With the support of a home crowd and the confidence that comes with a 45-win mark before the midpoint of the season, the Mets are well-positioned to outlast the Rays if they execute in the late innings. A win Sunday would not only secure the series but also send a strong message across the league that this Mets team is built not just to contend, but to control games and dominate series against playoff-caliber opponents, especially in their own ballpark.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Rays and Mets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Jun almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Rays and Mets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly tired Mets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Rays vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, with a 4–11 record in their last 15 games.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have a 4–6 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in covering the spread.

Rays vs. Mets Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Mets’ last 20 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Game Info

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets starts on June 15, 2025 at 1:40 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +138, New York Mets -165
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay: (38-32)  |  New York Mets: (45-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Lowe over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Mets’ last 20 games, suggesting a trend toward lower-scoring contests.

TB trend: The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, with a 4–11 record in their last 15 games.

NYM trend: The Mets have a 4–6 record against the spread in their last 10 games, indicating some inconsistency in covering the spread.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: +138
NYM Moneyline: -165
TB Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-148
+126
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-137)
O 7.5 (+100)
U 7.5 (-122)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets Mets on June 15, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN