Dodgers vs. Padres
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jun 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-06-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will face off on June 11, 2025, at Petco Park in a pivotal National League West matchup. With both teams vying for divisional supremacy, this game carries significant implications for the standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 11, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Petco Park​

Padres Record: (38-28)

Dodgers Record: (40-28)

OPENING ODDS

LAD Moneyline: -147

SD Moneyline: +123

LAD Spread: -1.5

SD Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

LAD
Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 24-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting a consistent performance in covering the run line.

SD
Betting Trends

  • The Padres have a 33-22 record ATS, indicating a strong ability to cover the spread, particularly at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Dodgers have a 523-427 record against the Padres, showcasing a longstanding competitive rivalry.

LAD vs. SD
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Machado over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/11/25

The June 11, 2025 matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres at Petco Park represents one of the most pivotal divisional clashes on the National League calendar as both teams continue to jockey for supremacy in the NL West. The Dodgers arrive with a 40–27 record and the top spot in the division, but the Padres sit just a few games back at 37–28, and a win here could narrow that margin and shift momentum in San Diego’s favor. These two powerhouses bring star-studded lineups and deep pitching staffs into a rivalry that’s grown increasingly intense over the last few seasons. The Dodgers continue to lean on two-way phenom Shohei Ohtani, who’s not only contributed heavily at the plate but has also offered high-quality innings on the mound, though he’s currently limited to hitting duties. Ohtani, along with Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts, has helped make Los Angeles one of the most potent offenses in baseball, blending power, patience, and contact. The Dodgers’ pitching staff has been effective as well, with a rotation that has delivered consistent innings and a bullpen that has largely avoided late-game collapses. On the other side, the Padres are enjoying a resurgence, thanks to the continued brilliance of Fernando Tatis Jr., the power production from Manny Machado, and solid supplementary contributions from players like Jake Cronenworth and Ha-Seong Kim.

Their pitching staff has quietly been one of the more efficient units in the league, anchored by Dylan Cease and a bullpen that’s locked in during home games, allowing the Padres to thrive in tight matchups. San Diego’s 33–22 record against the spread underscores their ability to exceed betting expectations, particularly at home, where they’ve managed to win big series and hold serve against playoff-level competition. This game will likely hinge on who controls the early innings: if the Dodgers can jump on Cease early, they may neutralize the Padres’ aggressive base running and late-inning flair; but if San Diego’s pitching holds the line and the offense grinds out at-bats against L.A.’s starters, the home crowd could become a major factor down the stretch. Both teams rank near the top in key offensive and defensive metrics, which means the margins in this contest will be razor-thin—defensive execution, bullpen management, and timely hits with runners in scoring position will decide the outcome. This rivalry has trended close in recent years despite the Dodgers’ historical edge, and with playoff implications already swirling, both clubs will approach this as more than just another June game. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere, stars playing to their strengths, and managers pushing their rotations and bullpens to their limits. With the division lead potentially shifting hands over the next few weeks, this contest is less about one win and more about psychological leverage—and neither team will want to blink first in what’s shaping up to be a classic West Coast showdown.

Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter the June 11, 2025 clash against the San Diego Padres with a 40–27 record and the top spot in the National League West, continuing to showcase the depth, talent, and championship-caliber execution that have become synonymous with the franchise over the past decade. Despite injuries and occasional slumps, the Dodgers remain one of the most consistent and dangerous teams in baseball, led by their star trio of Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman—three of the game’s most respected and productive players. Ohtani, while currently limited to hitting, has been a revelation at the plate, pacing the Dodgers with a blend of power and plate discipline that makes him a nightmare for opposing pitchers, while Freeman continues to drive in runs with timely doubles and professional at-bats, and Betts adds dynamic defense, leadoff production, and leadership. Together, they form the core of an offense that ranks near the top of the league in runs scored, slugging percentage, and on-base metrics, with contributions coming from younger pieces like James Outman and veterans like Max Muncy. The Dodgers’ pitching staff has been equally impressive, with the rotation stabilizing behind solid outings from Walker Buehler, Gavin Stone, and Tyler Glasnow, while the bullpen, anchored by closer Evan Phillips, has been one of the league’s most reliable in the late innings.

That pitching consistency has allowed the Dodgers to win tight games and perform well against the spread, posting a 24–22 ATS record and covering frequently on the road, where their mental toughness and experience show in hostile environments. Against the Padres, the Dodgers have historically had the upper hand, and they know that every game in this rivalry carries added weight—especially in a year when San Diego is threatening to close the gap. Manager Dave Roberts continues to push the right buttons, balancing rest and rhythm across his deep lineup and managing the bullpen with postseason-level urgency when necessary. Wednesday’s game will likely see the Dodgers attempting to strike early against Padres ace Dylan Cease, whose electric stuff can be vulnerable when he’s behind in counts. For Los Angeles, working counts, drawing walks, and driving up Cease’s pitch count will be key to forcing San Diego’s bullpen into action sooner than they’d prefer. Defensively, the Dodgers have few weaknesses and routinely convert balls in play into outs, thanks to Betts’ versatility and Freeman’s Gold Glove-caliber play at first. If the Dodgers can avoid giving away extra outs, capitalize on mistakes, and stay patient at the plate, they’ll put themselves in a strong position to secure a critical divisional win. Every game against the Padres feels like a tone-setter for the weeks ahead, and the Dodgers—well-versed in high-stakes baseball—will approach this finale with playoff-like intensity, knowing full well that separating themselves in the division now could pay massive dividends in the second half of the season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will face off on June 11, 2025, at Petco Park in a pivotal National League West matchup. With both teams vying for divisional supremacy, this game carries significant implications for the standings. Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

San Diego Padres MLB Preview

The San Diego Padres approach their June 11, 2025 matchup against the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers with a 37–28 record, a growing sense of confidence, and a legitimate shot at turning the NL West race into a summer-long battle. After a rocky start to the season, the Padres have found their stride in recent weeks, thanks to the resurgence of their core players, improved consistency on the mound, and an ability to win key games at home—where they’ve built one of the stronger records in the National League. Fernando Tatis Jr. continues to be the team’s offensive heartbeat, providing not just power and speed but a presence that energizes the lineup and fans alike. Manny Machado, the steady veteran presence at third base, has also begun to heat up, delivering clutch hits and anchoring a defensive unit that has minimized mistakes during their winning stretch. The lineup is deep, with Xander Bogaerts and Jake Cronenworth giving manager Mike Shildt flexibility in balancing right-left matchups and pressure at different points in the batting order. With Juan Soto now in the Bronx, the Padres have reshaped their identity around sharper fundamentals, quicker decision-making, and better situational hitting. On the mound, Dylan Cease has emerged as the rotation’s most impactful arm, bringing swing-and-miss stuff and front-line confidence to a staff that was searching for leadership following early-season injuries.

Cease enters this critical game tasked with shutting down one of MLB’s most dangerous lineups, and his ability to manage counts and stay ahead of Dodgers hitters like Ohtani and Freeman will be key to keeping the game in San Diego’s control. The bullpen, led by closer Robert Suarez, has become more stable, showing improvement in high-leverage spots and reducing the kind of blown saves that plagued the team earlier in the year. The Padres’ ATS record (33–22) reflects their resilience and ability to outperform expectations, particularly at home where Petco Park remains a tough place to play for visiting teams. San Diego’s defense has been sharp as well, with standout infield work from Ha-Seong Kim and solid outfield tracking from Tatis and Jurickson Profar, allowing the team to limit big innings and protect tight leads. In facing the Dodgers, the Padres understand they must play clean, aggressive baseball from the first pitch to the last; capitalizing on every scoring opportunity, minimizing walks, and making every defensive play will be non-negotiable if they hope to narrow the division gap. A win in this game would not only boost their record to 38–28 but would serve as a critical statement of intent against their most consistent divisional rival. As Petco Park fills with playoff-like energy and tension, the Padres will look to ride their recent momentum, leverage their star power, and push the Dodgers with everything they’ve got—fully aware that wins like this in June could be the difference in October.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Dodgers and Padres play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Petco Park in Jun rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Machado over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Dodgers and Padres and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on Los Angeles Dodgers’s strength factors between a Dodgers team going up against a possibly strong Padres team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego picks, computer picks Dodgers vs Padres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have a 24-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting a consistent performance in covering the run line.

Padres Betting Trends

The Padres have a 33-22 record ATS, indicating a strong ability to cover the spread, particularly at home.

Dodgers vs. Padres Matchup Trends

Historically, the Dodgers have a 523-427 record against the Padres, showcasing a longstanding competitive rivalry.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Game Info

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego starts on June 11, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: San Diego +1.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -147, San Diego +123
Over/Under: 9.5

Los Angeles Dodgers: (40-28)  |  San Diego: (38-28)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Machado over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Dodgers have a 523-427 record against the Padres, showcasing a longstanding competitive rivalry.

LAD trend: The Dodgers have a 24-22 record against the spread (ATS) this season, reflecting a consistent performance in covering the run line.

SD trend: The Padres have a 33-22 record ATS, indicating a strong ability to cover the spread, particularly at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Opening Odds

LAD Moneyline: -147
SD Moneyline: +123
LAD Spread: -1.5
SD Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+177
-197
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+143
-158
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+132
-156
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-132
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+104
-115
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres on June 11, 2025 at Petco Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN