Marlins vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 07)

Updated: 2025-06-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins travel to Tampa Bay on June 7, 2025, to face the Rays in the second game of a three-game set, with both teams looking to shake off recent inconsistency. Tampa Bay enters as a solid favorite at –1.5 on the run line, with the total set at 8.5, hinting at a moderately high-scoring affair.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 07, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (34-29)

Marlins Record: (23-38)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +129

TB Moneyline: -154

MIA Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • Miami sits at a 27–24–0 run line record this season, covering 52.9% of the time—roughly league average and showing no clear edge either way.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have gone 5–0 ATS over their last five games, including a perfect record in that stretch when favored on the run line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rays have hit the OVER in just 2 of their last 5 games, but overall Tampa Bay home games have gone OVER 13 of 38 times—meaning the 8.5 total is plausible depending on game flow.

MIA vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Hicks over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Miami vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/7/25

Saturday’s interleague battle between the Miami Marlins and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field showcases two teams heading in very different directions as they approach the midpoint of the season. The Rays come in at 34–29 with growing momentum, riding a five-game ATS winning streak and consistently cashing tickets for backers in close, low-scoring games where their pitching and bullpen have held strong. Miami, meanwhile, sits at 23–38 and continues to struggle in virtually all aspects of the game, including road performance, offensive consistency, and bullpen execution, which have made them difficult to trust even in modest underdog roles. The pitching matchup features lefty Ryan Weathers for the Marlins, who holds an 0–5 record on the road and has been unable to pitch deep into games, against Taj Bradley of the Rays, a 24-year-old right-hander who brings a 4–5 record with a 3.95 ERA into the start and has been reliable over his last few outings. Bradley’s recent success is supported by a Tampa Bay bullpen that has locked down late leads, while the Marlins’ relievers have allowed too many inherited runners to score, putting pressure on Weathers to be flawless. Offensively, Tampa has been led by Jonathan Aranda, who enters the game with a red-hot .324/.413/.500 slash line, and Yandy Díaz, a doubles machine who sets the tone with disciplined at-bats and smart baserunning.

The Marlins have relied heavily on Xavier Edwards, one of their few consistent hitters of late, and are missing power bats like Griffin Conine due to injury, leaving them with limited options in middle-inning scoring spots. The Rays are 13–25 when it comes to hitting the OVER at home, reflecting their tight, pitching-driven style of play, while Miami has hit the OVER in just under 50% of their games, a split that leans toward another UNDER scenario with the total set at 8.5. Both teams rank in the bottom third in total offense but differ dramatically in defensive efficiency, with Tampa among the league’s most reliable in preventing extra bases and turning double plays. This game may come down to execution in the fourth through sixth innings, where Miami has routinely faltered, and Tampa Bay has recently surged thanks to situational hitting and consistent bullpen timing. If Bradley can give the Rays six clean innings and the offense capitalizes on even one or two mistakes from Weathers, Tampa is well positioned to take control early and let the bullpen seal the win. For Miami, the keys are early offense, flawless defense, and Weathers finally giving them a quality start—anything less likely results in another loss for a team still searching for rhythm. This matchup may not carry playoff weight, but for the Rays, it’s a chance to continue climbing in the AL East, and for the Marlins, it’s a test of pride and execution under pressure.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter Saturday’s matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays with a 23–38 record and a growing list of frustrations as they continue to search for an identity and rhythm nearly halfway through the season. Their road woes have been particularly glaring, and they turn to left-hander Ryan Weathers in hopes of reversing course, though his 0–5 road record and inconsistent command make that a tall order. Weathers owns a 4.55 ERA across his starts and has struggled to keep hitters off balance when pitching away from LoanDepot Park, especially when falling behind in counts or giving up early base traffic. Miami’s offense has been one of the least productive in the National League, with only Xavier Edwards showing any real consistency of late, hitting .280 over his last eight games and providing a bit of spark at the top of the order. Griffin Conine had shown some power before a recent injury sidelined him, and in his absence, the Marlins have had to rely more heavily on small ball, bunts, and station-to-station baseball to generate offense, often leaving them unable to overcome early deficits. Their 27–24–0 ATS record indicates they’ve been able to hang around in some matchups but have struggled to maintain momentum in games where they fall behind by the third inning.

The bullpen has been a significant liability, frequently surrendering inherited runners and failing to hold slim leads in close games, further magnifying the pressure on Weathers to deliver a rare quality start. Defensively, the Marlins have been spotty, with infield errors and miscommunication in the outfield costing them runs in multiple recent road games. Manager Skip Schumaker has tried to mix things up with aggressive baserunning and earlier bullpen pulls, but the team’s inability to string together consistent offensive innings or close tight contests has left them in the division’s basement. Against Tampa Bay’s sharp bullpen and disciplined lineup, the Marlins must jump on Taj Bradley early, use situational hitting to manufacture runs, and avoid falling into the same late-game patterns that have sunk them repeatedly. If Weathers can give them at least five innings of competitive work and the offense can find success with runners in scoring position, there’s a chance Miami can stay competitive into the seventh inning. But if they’re unable to capitalize on early opportunities and give up momentum by the fourth, they risk another road defeat and an extension of their slide. The Marlins don’t have the margin for error to trade scoreless frames and hope for a late comeback—their path to victory is narrow and demands their sharpest effort in every phase of the game.

The Miami Marlins travel to Tampa Bay on June 7, 2025, to face the Rays in the second game of a three-game set, with both teams looking to shake off recent inconsistency. Tampa Bay enters as a solid favorite at –1.5 on the run line, with the total set at 8.5, hinting at a moderately high-scoring affair. Miami vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter Saturday’s home matchup against the Miami Marlins with confidence and momentum, sitting at 34–29 and riding a five-game ATS winning streak that reflects their growing consistency and sharp late-game execution. Manager Kevin Cash’s club has leaned heavily on elite bullpen usage and high-contact offense, and the formula has worked—particularly at home, where they’ve combined stingy pitching with timely scoring to control tempo and game flow. Right-hander Taj Bradley will take the mound for Tampa Bay, bringing a 4–5 record with a 3.95 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 70.2 innings, offering a solid mix of fastball command and secondary pitch deception that has kept him in games deep into the sixth inning. Bradley’s success is often tied to early rhythm and strike efficiency, and against a Marlins offense that struggles to hit with runners in scoring position, his ability to induce ground balls and work quickly could once again give the Rays the edge. Offensively, Tampa is led by Jonathan Aranda, who is currently slashing an impressive .324/.413/.500 and consistently sets the tone from the top of the lineup with selective plate discipline and contact-first mechanics.

He’s complemented by Yandy Díaz, who continues to rack up doubles and apply pressure with patient, smart at-bats that force opposing pitchers to work through the heart of Tampa’s lineup with traffic on the bases. The Rays don’t rely on the long ball to win games but instead leverage walks, steals, hit-and-runs, and sacrifice plays to create scoring chances—a strategy that has worked particularly well during their recent run. Defensively, Tampa has been one of the cleanest teams in baseball, with minimal fielding errors and quick-reacting infielders that excel at turning double plays and preventing extra bases. Their bullpen remains one of the team’s most valuable assets, led by versatile relievers who can stretch across multiple innings and protect leads with confidence. With the Marlins struggling on the road and entering with a shaky bullpen and a starter who has yet to find footing away from home, Tampa Bay’s opportunity lies in striking early, forcing Ryan Weathers into long innings, and building a lead that allows their relievers to control the game’s final third. Cash has also managed his matchups well all season, often calling on platoon advantages and late-game substitutions that maximize every edge, especially against less-experienced teams like Miami. If Bradley can deliver five or six steady innings and Tampa’s offense continues to manufacture scoring through quality at-bats and smart baserunning, the Rays are positioned to extend both their winning and ATS streaks. At this stage of the season, every game matters in the crowded AL East, and Tampa is showing signs of becoming a team that knows how to win close games without relying on flash—just discipline, execution, and a proven identity.

Miami vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Rays play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Jun almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Hicks over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Miami vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Marlins and Rays and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly tired Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Miami vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Marlins vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Marlins Betting Trends

Miami sits at a 27–24–0 run line record this season, covering 52.9% of the time—roughly league average and showing no clear edge either way.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have gone 5–0 ATS over their last five games, including a perfect record in that stretch when favored on the run line.

Marlins vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The Rays have hit the OVER in just 2 of their last 5 games, but overall Tampa Bay home games have gone OVER 13 of 38 times—meaning the 8.5 total is plausible depending on game flow.

Miami vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Miami vs Tampa Bay starts on June 07, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +129, Tampa Bay -154
Over/Under: 8.5

Miami: (23-38)  |  Tampa Bay: (34-29)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Hicks over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rays have hit the OVER in just 2 of their last 5 games, but overall Tampa Bay home games have gone OVER 13 of 38 times—meaning the 8.5 total is plausible depending on game flow.

MIA trend: Miami sits at a 27–24–0 run line record this season, covering 52.9% of the time—roughly league average and showing no clear edge either way.

TB trend: The Rays have gone 5–0 ATS over their last five games, including a perfect record in that stretch when favored on the run line.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Miami vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +129
TB Moneyline: -154
MIA Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Miami vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays on June 07, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN