Astros vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 04)

Updated: 2025-06-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Houston Astros (32–27) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (22–39) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025, at PNC Park. The Astros seek to build on momentum from a 3–0 win Tuesday, while the Pirates aim to pull off an upset at home.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 04, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (22-39)

Astros Record: (33-27)

OPENING ODDS

HOU Moneyline: -136

PIT Moneyline: +115

HOU Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

HOU
Betting Trends

  • Houston is 14–13 against the run line this season—covering slightly above .500 in those matchups.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has struggled to cover on their home turf, posting a 13–18 ATS record at PNC Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Pirates have gone OVER the total in 3 of their last 5 games, and Houston is favored by 1.5 runs with the total set at 9—suggesting bettors expect a moderately high-scoring affair.

HOU vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Melton over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Houston vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/4/25

The Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates conclude their three-game interleague series on Wednesday, June 4, 2025, at PNC Park in a matchup that showcases two clubs on opposite sides of the competitive spectrum—Houston pushing toward playoff contention in the AL West with a 32–27 record, and Pittsburgh continuing a lengthy rebuild at 22–39. Houston enters the series finale riding the momentum of a 3–0 shutout win on Tuesday, which featured a dominant six-inning performance from Lance McCullers Jr. and key late-inning home runs from Christian Walker and Isaac Paredes, demonstrating both the strength of their rotation and the resilience of their lineup. The Astros’ offense has been reliably productive behind veterans like Jose Altuve and rising star Jeremy Peña, who recently collected his 500th career hit, while new additions like Paredes have helped lengthen the lineup and provide consistent run support. On the mound, Houston owns a 3.78 team ERA with 367 strikeouts across 402.2 innings, reflecting a strong balance between starting and relief pitching, even with recent injuries to the staff.

Meanwhile, Pittsburgh remains in a transitional phase, but rookie phenom Paul Skenes has injected hope into the rotation with a 2.15 ERA and eye-opening performances that have drawn national attention, including a recent six-inning scoreless outing that gave fans a glimpse of the franchise’s future ace. The Pirates continue to lean on veteran leadership from Andrew McCutchen and Adam Frazier, who have each produced in clutch moments, but offensive inconsistency remains a major hurdle, with the team frequently struggling to capitalize with runners in scoring position. Defensively, Pittsburgh has shown improvement, and the bullpen has held its own in low-pressure situations, but they remain vulnerable when facing high-leverage innings against top-tier teams like the Astros. Betting lines favor Houston by 1.5 runs, with the game total hovering around 9, indicating expectations for a moderate scoring environment that could swing on early momentum or bullpen reliability. The Pirates have gone over the total in three of their last five games, while the Astros continue to trend steady both SU and ATS, especially when favored on the road. With Paul Skenes expected to start, Pittsburgh’s best chance lies in riding a dominant outing from their rookie while scraping together runs through situational hitting and aggressive base running. Houston, however, holds the edge in lineup depth, bullpen experience, and overall consistency, making them clear favorites to take the series. If they can replicate Tuesday’s formula—early shutdown pitching followed by timely offense—they should close out the trip with a series win and head into the weekend with confidence and momentum.

Houston Astros MLB Preview

The Houston Astros head into Wednesday’s series finale against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 32–27 record and an opportunity to secure a road series win as they continue to gain momentum in the American League West playoff race. Coming off a 3–0 shutout victory highlighted by a dominant six-inning performance from Lance McCullers Jr. and timely power from Christian Walker and Isaac Paredes, the Astros are showcasing a blend of elite pitching and a deepening offensive attack that has helped them climb out of their early-season inconsistency. Jose Altuve remains the heartbeat of the lineup, consistently reaching base and delivering in key moments, while Jeremy Peña has not only provided excellent defense at shortstop but recently reached the 500-hit milestone, further cementing his status as one of the most reliable everyday players in the league. The addition of Isaac Paredes has given the Astros a much-needed jolt in the middle of the order, and his ability to drive in runs has helped ease the burden on the veterans, creating a more balanced and dangerous lineup. On the mound, Houston owns a 3.78 ERA with 367 strikeouts in just over 400 innings, showcasing their ability to limit damage and overpower hitters, even with injuries thinning parts of the rotation earlier this season.

McCullers’ return is a significant development, offering the team a proven frontline arm to pair with an already efficient bullpen that can handle close games late. The Astros also enter with a 14–13 ATS record, suggesting they typically meet expectations, especially in road games where they face underperforming teams like the Pirates. Houston’s offensive discipline and veteran poise give them the tools to wear down inexperienced pitching staffs, and while they’ll be facing Pittsburgh’s electric rookie Paul Skenes—who has been stellar in limited action—the Astros’ veteran bats should provide a stern test for the right-hander. Expect manager Joe Espada to stick to a proven formula: work long at-bats early, force Pittsburgh’s bullpen into action by the sixth or seventh inning, and lean on their defensive fundamentals and bullpen depth to seal the deal. With a favorable schedule ahead and momentum on their side, Houston knows the importance of taking care of business in these types of games and will aim to leave PNC Park with a clean, efficient win that further strengthens their case as legitimate contenders in the AL. If their lineup remains patient and opportunistic, and their pitching staff keeps delivering quality outings, the Astros should be in prime position to close out the series on a winning note.

The Houston Astros (32–27) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (22–39) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025, at PNC Park. The Astros seek to build on momentum from a 3–0 win Tuesday, while the Pirates aim to pull off an upset at home. Houston vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return to PNC Park for the final game of their three-game set against the Houston Astros with a 22–39 record, looking to avoid a series loss and inject some positivity into a season that’s been defined by growing pains, flashes of promise, and overall inconsistency. Though firmly in rebuilding territory, the Pirates have a budding star in rookie Paul Skenes, who has quickly established himself as the ace of the staff with a sparkling 2.15 ERA and the poise of a veteran, and he’s expected to take the mound again Wednesday in what will be one of his most high-profile tests to date. Skenes has consistently given Pittsburgh a chance to compete in games they’d otherwise be outmatched in, and his dominance has brought energy to both the clubhouse and fanbase. Offensively, Pittsburgh continues to lean on seasoned veterans Andrew McCutchen and Adam Frazier to provide timely hitting and leadership, and while both have had their moments, the Pirates’ biggest hurdle has been sustaining rallies and cashing in on scoring chances with runners in scoring position.

They’ve gone over the total in three of their last five games, a sign that the offense is starting to show more life, especially at home, but inconsistency still plagues them from inning to inning. Pittsburgh has struggled against the spread at home with a 13–18 ATS record, often failing to keep games close when their pitching falters or their bats go cold for long stretches. Despite that, their bullpen has occasionally held firm in lower-leverage innings, and if they can keep the game close heading into the late innings, the Pirates do have the pieces to surprise. With Houston’s offense clicking and their pitching staff locked in, Pittsburgh’s best shot lies in Skenes silencing the Astros early and the offense finding a way to manufacture a couple of runs through small ball and opportunistic base running. Manager Derek Shelton will likely stick with a conservative, fundamentals-first game plan—short leashes for relievers, aggressive at-bats early in counts, and tight defensive alignments—to try to squeeze out a gritty home win. A victory against a playoff-caliber team like Houston would not only snap the current slide but also serve as a meaningful benchmark for a young Pirates squad trying to lay the foundation for future success. Even if their playoff hopes are non-existent, these types of games are opportunities to build confidence, reward fan support, and showcase the potential of their next generation led by the likes of Skenes and other emerging contributors.

Houston vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Astros and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Jun seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Melton over 0.5 Total Bases.

Houston vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Astros and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly improved Pirates team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Houston vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Astros vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Astros Betting Trends

Houston is 14–13 against the run line this season—covering slightly above .500 in those matchups.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has struggled to cover on their home turf, posting a 13–18 ATS record at PNC Park.

Astros vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

The Pirates have gone OVER the total in 3 of their last 5 games, and Houston is favored by 1.5 runs with the total set at 9—suggesting bettors expect a moderately high-scoring affair.

Houston vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Houston vs Pittsburgh starts on June 04, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Houston -136, Pittsburgh +115
Over/Under: 9

Houston: (33-27)  |  Pittsburgh: (22-39)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Melton over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Pirates have gone OVER the total in 3 of their last 5 games, and Houston is favored by 1.5 runs with the total set at 9—suggesting bettors expect a moderately high-scoring affair.

HOU trend: Houston is 14–13 against the run line this season—covering slightly above .500 in those matchups.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has struggled to cover on their home turf, posting a 13–18 ATS record at PNC Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Houston vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Houston vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

HOU Moneyline: -136
PIT Moneyline: +115
HOU Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Houston vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on June 04, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN