Marlins vs. Phillies
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 18 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins (5–9) travel to Citizens Bank Park to face the Philadelphia Phillies (7–3) on Friday, April 18, 2025, in a pivotal NL East showdown. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET, featuring a marquee pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara (2–0, 4.70 ERA) and Zack Wheeler (1–1, 4.07 ERA).
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 18, 2025
Start Time: 6:45 PM EST
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Phillies Record: (11-8)
Marlins Record: (8-10)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +179
PHI Moneyline: -217
MIA Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.
MIA vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Miami vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/18/25
He’ll need to bring his best stuff on Friday to neutralize a red-hot Phillies offense and go deep into the game to relieve a bullpen that has been unreliable through the first few weeks. Offensively, Miami has been a mixed bag. Xavier Edwards leads the team in batting average at .333, and Matt Mervis has been the power source, already notching six home runs and 12 RBIs. Still, beyond those two, consistent production has been hard to come by, and situational hitting has been a recurring issue that’s left runners stranded in key moments. If the Marlins are going to compete in this series, they’ll need more from their supporting cast and a sharper approach at the plate—particularly against Philadelphia’s frontline starters and a bullpen that’s been dependable thus far. Historically, the Phillies have won six of the last ten meetings between these two clubs, and recent matchups have tended to be high scoring, with the over hitting in seven of those games. Friday’s game sets the tone for the series and could offer a critical swing in the early NL East standings. For the Phillies, a win would reinforce their status as division contenders and keep their early momentum intact. For the Marlins, it’s a chance to stop the bleeding, reset their rotation, and remind the league they’re capable of contending when their core pieces click. With aces on the mound and sluggers in both dugouts, this series opener promises drama, fireworks, and postseason energy far earlier than expected in April.
X 🤝 Griff pic.twitter.com/jEyEkQOMOZ
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) April 17, 2025
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter Friday’s matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 5–9 record and a strong sense of urgency as they try to reverse a slow start and stabilize what has been an inconsistent opening stretch to the 2025 season. Despite the underwhelming record, the Marlins have seen flashes of what they can be when their lineup and pitching staff are in sync, but those moments have been too sporadic to translate into series wins. Friday presents a golden opportunity to begin turning the tide as ace Sandy Alcantara takes the mound, bringing a 2–0 record and a 4.70 ERA into Citizens Bank Park. While Alcantara hasn’t yet displayed the Cy Young form that made him one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball, his ability to command the zone, generate weak contact, and work deep into games still gives Miami its best shot at winning—particularly against a red-hot Phillies offense. His primary challenge will be navigating through the heart of the Philadelphia order, including the surging Kyle Schwarber and the always-consistent Nick Castellanos, both of whom are already in midseason form. For Miami to keep this game within reach, Alcantara will need to limit traffic on the bases and avoid giving up the early inning big fly that’s cost him in previous starts. On offense, the Marlins have leaned heavily on the efforts of Xavier Edwards, who’s hitting .333 and providing a spark at the top of the order, and Matt Mervis, who has emerged as the team’s most dangerous power threat with 6 home runs and 12 RBIs.
Those two have carried the scoring load, but the lack of production behind them has made the Marlins’ attack too one-dimensional, especially in late-game situations where clutch hitting has been noticeably absent. If Miami is going to compete against a team as well-rounded as Philadelphia, it will need more from its role players—Jesus Sanchez, Jake Burger, and Bryan De La Cruz must rise to the occasion and deliver quality at-bats with runners in scoring position. Defensively, the Marlins have been solid but not exceptional, and the bullpen remains a concern. Miami’s relievers have been hit-or-miss, often failing to hold narrow leads or close the gap when trailing by a few runs, which puts added pressure on Alcantara to pitch deep into the game to avoid a late-game letdown. The Marlins’ recent struggles against the Phillies—losing six of the last ten meetings—highlight the uphill battle they face, especially on the road in a notoriously hitter-friendly ballpark like Citizens Bank Park. Still, the Marlins can take some solace in the fact that they’ve played in several tight contests and have shown the grit to bounce back. This matchup with Philadelphia offers them a chance to start a turnaround and build some early-season momentum, especially with their ace on the mound. It won’t be easy, but if Alcantara can quiet the Philly bats, and Mervis or Edwards can strike early offensively, the Marlins have the tools to pull off the upset and change the tone of their season. The challenge now is execution—on the road, under pressure, and in need of a win.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies return to Citizens Bank Park on April 18 riding the momentum of a 7–3 start to their 2025 campaign, confident in their identity as a balanced, playoff-caliber team that’s performing well in all facets of the game. Friday night’s opener against the Miami Marlins offers a prime opportunity for the Phillies to assert dominance within the NL East, especially as they send veteran right-hander Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler, who holds a 1–1 record and a 4.07 ERA entering the contest, has delivered competitive outings in his early starts and is known for his ability to handle pressure, particularly at home. He’ll be tasked with containing a Marlins lineup that’s had inconsistent production but still features a few dangerous bats capable of punishing mistakes. Wheeler’s combination of high-velocity fastballs and a sharp slider should match up well against Miami’s aggressive hitters, especially if he can get ahead in counts and force weak contact early in at-bats. The Phillies’ bullpen has also looked sharp through the first few weeks, with strong contributions from relievers like Seranthony Domínguez and Gregory Soto, giving manager Rob Thomson confidence in preserving late leads—a stark contrast to some of the team’s early-season challenges from previous years. Offensively, Philadelphia is clicking, with Kyle Schwarber leading the power surge as he’s already launched six home runs and driven in 14 RBIs through ten games. Schwarber’s hot start at the plate has been critical in setting the tone for the rest of the lineup, particularly in key moments with runners on base.
Complementing him is Nick Castellanos, who has provided a consistent bat with a .304 average and continues to be a difficult out in the middle of the order. The Phillies’ approach at the plate has been disciplined and opportunistic, capitalizing on fastballs early in counts and showing patience when needed to extend innings. Their ability to strike quickly and put pressure on opposing pitchers early in games has been a key element in their 4–2 home record so far, and they’ll look to apply that pressure against Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara, who, while talented, has been touchable this year with a 4.70 ERA. The Phillies also boast one of the best defensive infields in the league, with Trea Turner’s athleticism at shortstop and Bryson Stott’s glove work at second base making routine plays look effortless and helping convert high-leverage double plays when needed. In what’s expected to be a closely contested game featuring top-tier starting pitching, Philadelphia’s recent offensive form, home-field advantage, and bullpen dependability give them a clear edge. The Phillies understand the importance of every divisional game, and with a chance to extend their early-season success and keep pressure on the Atlanta Braves atop the division, they’ll be looking to execute cleanly, capitalize on any Marlins mistakes, and continue proving they’re one of the most complete teams in the National League.
Hugs for the winners 🤗 pic.twitter.com/127OEe4c8Z
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 17, 2025
Miami vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly healthy Phillies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Marlins vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/30 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/30 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 9/30 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 9/30 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/30 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 9/30 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 9/30 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – | |
MLB | 9/30 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 9/30 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.
Marlins vs. Phillies Matchup Trends
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.
Miami vs. Philadelphia Game Info
What time does Miami vs Philadelphia start on April 18, 2025?
Miami vs Philadelphia starts on April 18, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Philadelphia being played?
Venue: Citizens Bank Park.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Philadelphia?
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +179, Philadelphia -217
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Miami vs Philadelphia?
Miami: (8-10) | Philadelphia: (11-8)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Philadelphia?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Philadelphia trending bets?
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Philadelphia?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Philadelphia Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Philadelphia Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+179 PHI Moneyline: -217
MIA Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Miami vs Philadelphia Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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In Progress
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
In Progress
Tigers
Guardians
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1
0
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-340
+250
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-1.5 (-152)
+1.5 (+114)
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O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (-108)
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Sep 30, 2025 3:08PM EDT
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Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 3:08PM
Padres
Cubs
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–
–
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+108
-126
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+1.5 (-225)
-1.5 (+184)
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O 6.5 (-124)
U 6.5 (+102)
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Sep 30, 2025 6:09PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
9/30/25 6:09PM
Red Sox
Yankees
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–
–
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+116
-136
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+168)
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O 7 (-102)
U 7 (-120)
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Sep 30, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
9/30/25 9:08PM
Reds
Dodgers
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–
–
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+172
-205
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+1.5 (-128)
-1.5 (+106)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on April 18, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |