Marlins vs. Phillies
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 18 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Miami Marlins (5–9) travel to Citizens Bank Park to face the Philadelphia Phillies (7–3) on Friday, April 18, 2025, in a pivotal NL East showdown. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET, featuring a marquee pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara (2–0, 4.70 ERA) and Zack Wheeler (1–1, 4.07 ERA).

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 18, 2025

Start Time: 6:45 PM EST​

Venue: Citizens Bank Park​

Phillies Record: (11-8)

Marlins Record: (8-10)

OPENING ODDS

MIA Moneyline: +179

PHI Moneyline: -217

MIA Spread: +1.5

PHI Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

MIA
Betting Trends

  • The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.

MIA vs. PHI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Miami vs Philadelphia Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/18/25

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins open a crucial early-season divisional series at Citizens Bank Park on April 18, 2025, with each team bringing a different kind of momentum into the matchup. The Phillies have stormed out to a 7–3 start, powered by a lineup that’s firing on all cylinders and a pitching staff that has provided stability, especially in high-leverage situations. Zack Wheeler, who gets the start on Friday, has been steady if unspectacular through his first couple of outings, carrying a 1–1 record and a 4.07 ERA. He’ll look to sharpen his command and work deep into the game against a Marlins team that has struggled to put together consistent innings. Offensively, Philadelphia has found its groove early, with Kyle Schwarber doing what he does best—launching baseballs into the stands. He already has six home runs and 14 RBIs, providing the kind of early-season thump the Phillies count on him for. Complementing him is Nick Castellanos, whose .304 average adds a steady, contact-oriented presence in the heart of the lineup. The Phillies have been particularly strong at home, both in terms of run production and defensive execution, making them a formidable opponent in any three-game series, especially against a team still searching for its identity like Miami. The Marlins, entering at 5–9, have had a rougher go of it early in the year, but they remain dangerous—especially when Sandy Alcantara is on the mound. Though his 4.70 ERA suggests he hasn’t been at his Cy Young-caliber best yet, Alcantara’s 2–0 record and pedigree give Miami a fighting chance any time he takes the ball.

He’ll need to bring his best stuff on Friday to neutralize a red-hot Phillies offense and go deep into the game to relieve a bullpen that has been unreliable through the first few weeks. Offensively, Miami has been a mixed bag. Xavier Edwards leads the team in batting average at .333, and Matt Mervis has been the power source, already notching six home runs and 12 RBIs. Still, beyond those two, consistent production has been hard to come by, and situational hitting has been a recurring issue that’s left runners stranded in key moments. If the Marlins are going to compete in this series, they’ll need more from their supporting cast and a sharper approach at the plate—particularly against Philadelphia’s frontline starters and a bullpen that’s been dependable thus far. Historically, the Phillies have won six of the last ten meetings between these two clubs, and recent matchups have tended to be high scoring, with the over hitting in seven of those games. Friday’s game sets the tone for the series and could offer a critical swing in the early NL East standings. For the Phillies, a win would reinforce their status as division contenders and keep their early momentum intact. For the Marlins, it’s a chance to stop the bleeding, reset their rotation, and remind the league they’re capable of contending when their core pieces click. With aces on the mound and sluggers in both dugouts, this series opener promises drama, fireworks, and postseason energy far earlier than expected in April.

Miami Marlins MLB Preview

The Miami Marlins enter Friday’s matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 5–9 record and a strong sense of urgency as they try to reverse a slow start and stabilize what has been an inconsistent opening stretch to the 2025 season. Despite the underwhelming record, the Marlins have seen flashes of what they can be when their lineup and pitching staff are in sync, but those moments have been too sporadic to translate into series wins. Friday presents a golden opportunity to begin turning the tide as ace Sandy Alcantara takes the mound, bringing a 2–0 record and a 4.70 ERA into Citizens Bank Park. While Alcantara hasn’t yet displayed the Cy Young form that made him one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball, his ability to command the zone, generate weak contact, and work deep into games still gives Miami its best shot at winning—particularly against a red-hot Phillies offense. His primary challenge will be navigating through the heart of the Philadelphia order, including the surging Kyle Schwarber and the always-consistent Nick Castellanos, both of whom are already in midseason form. For Miami to keep this game within reach, Alcantara will need to limit traffic on the bases and avoid giving up the early inning big fly that’s cost him in previous starts. On offense, the Marlins have leaned heavily on the efforts of Xavier Edwards, who’s hitting .333 and providing a spark at the top of the order, and Matt Mervis, who has emerged as the team’s most dangerous power threat with 6 home runs and 12 RBIs.

Those two have carried the scoring load, but the lack of production behind them has made the Marlins’ attack too one-dimensional, especially in late-game situations where clutch hitting has been noticeably absent. If Miami is going to compete against a team as well-rounded as Philadelphia, it will need more from its role players—Jesus Sanchez, Jake Burger, and Bryan De La Cruz must rise to the occasion and deliver quality at-bats with runners in scoring position. Defensively, the Marlins have been solid but not exceptional, and the bullpen remains a concern. Miami’s relievers have been hit-or-miss, often failing to hold narrow leads or close the gap when trailing by a few runs, which puts added pressure on Alcantara to pitch deep into the game to avoid a late-game letdown. The Marlins’ recent struggles against the Phillies—losing six of the last ten meetings—highlight the uphill battle they face, especially on the road in a notoriously hitter-friendly ballpark like Citizens Bank Park. Still, the Marlins can take some solace in the fact that they’ve played in several tight contests and have shown the grit to bounce back. This matchup with Philadelphia offers them a chance to start a turnaround and build some early-season momentum, especially with their ace on the mound. It won’t be easy, but if Alcantara can quiet the Philly bats, and Mervis or Edwards can strike early offensively, the Marlins have the tools to pull off the upset and change the tone of their season. The challenge now is execution—on the road, under pressure, and in need of a win.

The Miami Marlins (5–9) travel to Citizens Bank Park to face the Philadelphia Phillies (7–3) on Friday, April 18, 2025, in a pivotal NL East showdown. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET, featuring a marquee pitching matchup between Sandy Alcantara (2–0, 4.70 ERA) and Zack Wheeler (1–1, 4.07 ERA). Miami vs Philadelphia AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies return to Citizens Bank Park on April 18 riding the momentum of a 7–3 start to their 2025 campaign, confident in their identity as a balanced, playoff-caliber team that’s performing well in all facets of the game. Friday night’s opener against the Miami Marlins offers a prime opportunity for the Phillies to assert dominance within the NL East, especially as they send veteran right-hander Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler, who holds a 1–1 record and a 4.07 ERA entering the contest, has delivered competitive outings in his early starts and is known for his ability to handle pressure, particularly at home. He’ll be tasked with containing a Marlins lineup that’s had inconsistent production but still features a few dangerous bats capable of punishing mistakes. Wheeler’s combination of high-velocity fastballs and a sharp slider should match up well against Miami’s aggressive hitters, especially if he can get ahead in counts and force weak contact early in at-bats. The Phillies’ bullpen has also looked sharp through the first few weeks, with strong contributions from relievers like Seranthony Domínguez and Gregory Soto, giving manager Rob Thomson confidence in preserving late leads—a stark contrast to some of the team’s early-season challenges from previous years. Offensively, Philadelphia is clicking, with Kyle Schwarber leading the power surge as he’s already launched six home runs and driven in 14 RBIs through ten games. Schwarber’s hot start at the plate has been critical in setting the tone for the rest of the lineup, particularly in key moments with runners on base.

Complementing him is Nick Castellanos, who has provided a consistent bat with a .304 average and continues to be a difficult out in the middle of the order. The Phillies’ approach at the plate has been disciplined and opportunistic, capitalizing on fastballs early in counts and showing patience when needed to extend innings. Their ability to strike quickly and put pressure on opposing pitchers early in games has been a key element in their 4–2 home record so far, and they’ll look to apply that pressure against Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara, who, while talented, has been touchable this year with a 4.70 ERA. The Phillies also boast one of the best defensive infields in the league, with Trea Turner’s athleticism at shortstop and Bryson Stott’s glove work at second base making routine plays look effortless and helping convert high-leverage double plays when needed. In what’s expected to be a closely contested game featuring top-tier starting pitching, Philadelphia’s recent offensive form, home-field advantage, and bullpen dependability give them a clear edge. The Phillies understand the importance of every divisional game, and with a chance to extend their early-season success and keep pressure on the Atlanta Braves atop the division, they’ll be looking to execute cleanly, capitalize on any Marlins mistakes, and continue proving they’re one of the most complete teams in the National League.

Miami vs. Philadelphia Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Marlins and Phillies play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citizens Bank Park in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.

Miami vs. Philadelphia Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Marlins and Phillies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly healthy Phillies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miami vs Philadelphia picks, computer picks Marlins vs Phillies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/30 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/30 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/30 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/30 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/30 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/30 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/30 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 0
MLB 9/30 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/30 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.

Marlins vs. Phillies Matchup Trends

In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.

Miami vs. Philadelphia Game Info

Miami vs Philadelphia starts on April 18, 2025 at 6:45 PM EST.

Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +179, Philadelphia -217
Over/Under: 7.5

Miami: (8-10)  |  Philadelphia: (11-8)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Schwarber over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Phillies have a 6–4 record against the Marlins, with the over hitting in 7 of those games.

MIA trend: The Marlins are 1–2 against the spread (ATS) in their last three road games.

PHI trend: The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last six home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miami vs. Philadelphia Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Philadelphia trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miami vs Philadelphia Opening Odds

MIA Moneyline: +179
PHI Moneyline: -217
MIA Spread: +1.5
PHI Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Miami vs Philadelphia Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
In Progress
Tigers
Guardians
1
0
-340
+250
-1.5 (-152)
+1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-122)
U 5.5 (-108)
Sep 30, 2025 3:08PM EDT
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9/30/25 3:08PM
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O 6.5 (-124)
U 6.5 (+102)
Sep 30, 2025 6:09PM EDT
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9/30/25 6:09PM
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+116
-136
+1.5 (-205)
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O 7 (-102)
U 7 (-120)
Sep 30, 2025 9:08PM EDT
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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+172
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on April 18, 2025 at Citizens Bank Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS