Guardians vs. Orioles
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 16 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Guardians (9–7) and Baltimore Orioles (6–10) continue their three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with both teams aiming to gain momentum early in the season. The Guardians, having secured a 6–3 victory in the series opener, look to build on their recent success, while the Orioles strive to rebound and defend their home turf.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 16, 2025
Start Time: 6:35 PM EST
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles Record: (6-10)
Guardians Record: (9-7)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: +112
BAL Moneyline: -132
CLE Spread: +1.5
BAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
CLE
Betting Trends
- The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.
BAL
Betting Trends
- The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.
CLE vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Santana over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Cleveland vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/16/25
The Orioles counter with the production of Cedric Mullins, who’s driven in 16 RBIs and hit 3 home runs, and catcher Adley Rutschman, who adds another 3 home runs and remains a key part of their lineup. Yet, the Orioles’ offensive efficiency has not matched expectations, and poor situational hitting has stalled several potentially game-changing rallies. Betting trends further favor the Guardians, who are 6–4 ATS in their last ten, while Baltimore has stumbled to a 2–8 ATS mark in the same span and just 1–4 as a favorite. These numbers reflect not just poor outcomes but a consistent failure to meet expectations—something bettors and fans alike have noticed. With momentum leaning Cleveland’s way and the Orioles battling inconsistency, the outcome of this game could swing heavily on which starting pitcher finds their footing early. If Williams can keep Baltimore’s big bats quiet and get into the sixth inning with a lead, the Guardians have the bullpen and late-inning execution to close things out. For Baltimore, Kremer needs to limit damage early and hope his offense can break through in the middle innings. It’s a crossroads game for both: a chance for the Guardians to string together road wins and push over .500, and a must-win for the Orioles to avoid falling further into an early-season hole that could test their postseason ambitions. With both teams hungry and weather conditions ideal for offense, fans can expect a competitive, high-leverage matchup with meaningful implications even in April.
Edgar Allen Lo.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/2iJIGfXRIZ
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) April 16, 2025
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Baltimore Orioles come into this midweek clash with a sense of urgency, sitting at 6–10 and looking for answers after dropping the first game of the series to the Cleveland Guardians. While April games may not always define a season, the pressure is already mounting in Baltimore, where fans expected this young and talented team to build on last year’s promise. Unfortunately, that promise has yet to materialize through the first few weeks of the season. The Orioles’ primary struggle has been on the mound, where starting pitching has failed to provide consistent quality starts, and today’s starter Dean Kremer epitomizes that trend. Kremer enters with a 1–2 record and an alarming 8.16 ERA, allowing too many baserunners and failing to work deep into games. His control has been off, leaving pitches up in the zone and vulnerable to hard contact—a dangerous habit against a Guardians team gaining momentum at the plate. The Orioles bullpen, while having potential with arms like Yennier Cano and Cionel Pérez, has been overworked and inconsistent, frequently tasked with holding games together after short outings from starters. Offensively, Baltimore has the firepower to compete, led by Cedric Mullins, who’s been their most productive bat with 3 home runs and 16 RBIs. Adley Rutschman continues to play a key leadership role behind the plate and with the bat, adding 3 home runs and working counts effectively.
However, despite these contributions, the lineup has not been firing on all cylinders. Runners have too often been stranded, and timely hits have eluded the Orioles in close games. Their batting average with runners in scoring position has dipped, and they’ve struggled to string together rallies, often succumbing to double plays or inning-ending strikeouts. From a betting standpoint, the Orioles have also underperformed, going just 2–8 ATS in their last ten games and a dismal 1–4 as favorites in that span. The inability to cover spreads reflects not only losses but also failure to live up to expectations, whether from oddsmakers or their own fanbase. Despite their slow start, this team is not lacking talent, and a turnaround could begin with just one strong outing or a big offensive inning. For that to happen today, Kremer must keep the game within reach and the bats must come alive against a pitcher in Gavin Williams who is effective but not untouchable. Camden Yards has historically been friendly to hitters, and with the weather expected to be clear, the conditions are ideal for the Orioles to put up runs—if they can execute. The key will be aggressive baserunning, better pitch selection, and finding a way to manufacture offense early to avoid chasing late. A win today could steady the ship and spark a stretch of better baseball, but a loss would deepen the hole and raise more questions about the team’s readiness to contend in a competitive AL East.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians enter today’s matchup with a 9–7 record and growing confidence after taking the first game of the series 6–3 against the Baltimore Orioles. Their season has been defined so far by steady improvement, efficient pitching, and opportunistic offense. Under the leadership of manager Stephen Vogt, the Guardians have blended young talent and veteran presence into a team that finds ways to win, even without flashy statistics. On the mound, Gavin Williams has been a rising star in the rotation, carrying a 1–0 record, 3.46 ERA, and 14 strikeouts into this game. Williams has been especially adept at limiting hard contact and working through traffic, keeping his team in games and giving the bullpen a chance to seal victories. The Guardians’ pitching staff overall has been quietly effective, with their relievers stepping up to protect narrow leads, including key contributors like Emmanuel Clase and Sam Hentges who have provided dependable late-inning work. Offensively, the Guardians’ spark plug has been Steven Kwan, whose .322 average and consistent plate discipline have set the table at the top of the order. He’s been complemented by Kyle Manzardo, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs and is emerging as a reliable power threat in the middle of the lineup.
Their offensive approach prioritizes contact hitting, working counts, and putting pressure on opposing defenses, often forcing mistakes and capitalizing on them. This patient, execution-based offense has allowed Cleveland to stay competitive even in games where big hits are scarce. The Guardians also have a knack for playing well as underdogs, having won three of their last five games when not favored. From a betting standpoint, they’ve covered the spread in six of their last ten, including as recent road underdogs, which speaks to their gritty, efficient style of play. They may not blow teams out, but they routinely stay close and capitalize late. Against the Orioles, a team that has been vulnerable early in games and inconsistent on the mound, Cleveland’s ability to jump on mistakes early and hold a lead will be critical. They’ll look to extend pitch counts, chase Kremer from the game early, and then apply pressure on a tired Baltimore bullpen. With momentum on their side and a favorable matchup on the mound, the Guardians are well-positioned to secure a series win if they stay disciplined and play to their strengths. Another strong outing from Williams paired with productive at-bats from the top half of the lineup could be all it takes to put this one away, reinforcing Cleveland’s status as a quietly dangerous team with the potential to contend deep into the summer.
Ced sent this one. pic.twitter.com/p9WlLiazIf
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) April 16, 2025
Cleveland vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)
Cleveland vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Guardians and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Guardians team going up against a possibly rested Orioles team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Guardians vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Guardians Betting Trends
The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.
Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
Guardians vs. Orioles Matchup Trends
The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.
Cleveland vs. Baltimore Game Info
What time does Cleveland vs Baltimore start on April 16, 2025?
Cleveland vs Baltimore starts on April 16, 2025 at 6:35 PM EST.
Where is Cleveland vs Baltimore being played?
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
What are the opening odds for Cleveland vs Baltimore?
Spread: Baltimore -1.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +112, Baltimore -132
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Cleveland vs Baltimore?
Cleveland: (9-7) | Baltimore: (6-10)
What is the AI best bet for Cleveland vs Baltimore?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Santana over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cleveland vs Baltimore trending bets?
The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.
What are Baltimore trending bets?
BAL trend: The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cleveland vs Baltimore?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. Baltimore Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Cleveland vs Baltimore Opening Odds
CLE Moneyline:
+112 BAL Moneyline: -132
CLE Spread: +1.5
BAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Cleveland vs Baltimore Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 30, 2025 1:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
9/30/25 1:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
-165
+140
|
-1.5 (+118)
+1.5 (-140)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 3:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 3:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 6:09PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
9/30/25 6:09PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
|
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
9/30/25 9:08PM
Reds
Dodgers
|
–
–
|
+170
-210
|
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+110)
|
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles on April 16, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |