Guardians vs. Orioles
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 16 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cleveland Guardians (9–7) and Baltimore Orioles (6–10) continue their three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with both teams aiming to gain momentum early in the season. The Guardians, having secured a 6–3 victory in the series opener, look to build on their recent success, while the Orioles strive to rebound and defend their home turf.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 16, 2025

Start Time: 6:35 PM EST​

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards​

Orioles Record: (6-10)

Guardians Record: (9-7)

OPENING ODDS

CLE Moneyline: +112

BAL Moneyline: -132

CLE Spread: +1.5

BAL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.

CLE vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Santana over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Cleveland vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/16/25

The Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles meet on April 16, 2025, for the second game of a three-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in what shapes up to be a compelling early-season contest between two American League clubs with contrasting momentum. The Guardians, now 9–7 following a solid 6–3 victory in the series opener, have found a rhythm behind a mix of consistent starting pitching, disciplined at-bats, and timely power. They’ll look to build on that win behind the arm of right-hander Gavin Williams, who enters the game with a 1–0 record, a 3.46 ERA, and 14 strikeouts, providing Cleveland with much-needed reliability in their rotation. On the other side, the Orioles—off to a slower-than-expected start at 6–10—will send Dean Kremer to the mound in hopes of halting their skid. Kremer, however, has endured a rocky opening stretch, going 1–2 with an 8.16 ERA, and must work carefully against a Guardians lineup that’s starting to find its swing. The Orioles’ issues have largely stemmed from an inconsistent pitching staff and an inability to shut down rallies, factors that could prove costly against a Cleveland team gaining confidence at the plate. Offensively, the Guardians are powered by Steven Kwan, who leads the team with a .322 average, and Kyle Manzardo, who has emerged as a reliable run producer with 4 home runs and 11 RBIs. That combination of speed, contact, and power has allowed Cleveland to manufacture runs through both small-ball tactics and occasional long balls.

The Orioles counter with the production of Cedric Mullins, who’s driven in 16 RBIs and hit 3 home runs, and catcher Adley Rutschman, who adds another 3 home runs and remains a key part of their lineup. Yet, the Orioles’ offensive efficiency has not matched expectations, and poor situational hitting has stalled several potentially game-changing rallies. Betting trends further favor the Guardians, who are 6–4 ATS in their last ten, while Baltimore has stumbled to a 2–8 ATS mark in the same span and just 1–4 as a favorite. These numbers reflect not just poor outcomes but a consistent failure to meet expectations—something bettors and fans alike have noticed. With momentum leaning Cleveland’s way and the Orioles battling inconsistency, the outcome of this game could swing heavily on which starting pitcher finds their footing early. If Williams can keep Baltimore’s big bats quiet and get into the sixth inning with a lead, the Guardians have the bullpen and late-inning execution to close things out. For Baltimore, Kremer needs to limit damage early and hope his offense can break through in the middle innings. It’s a crossroads game for both: a chance for the Guardians to string together road wins and push over .500, and a must-win for the Orioles to avoid falling further into an early-season hole that could test their postseason ambitions. With both teams hungry and weather conditions ideal for offense, fans can expect a competitive, high-leverage matchup with meaningful implications even in April.

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles come into this midweek clash with a sense of urgency, sitting at 6–10 and looking for answers after dropping the first game of the series to the Cleveland Guardians. While April games may not always define a season, the pressure is already mounting in Baltimore, where fans expected this young and talented team to build on last year’s promise. Unfortunately, that promise has yet to materialize through the first few weeks of the season. The Orioles’ primary struggle has been on the mound, where starting pitching has failed to provide consistent quality starts, and today’s starter Dean Kremer epitomizes that trend. Kremer enters with a 1–2 record and an alarming 8.16 ERA, allowing too many baserunners and failing to work deep into games. His control has been off, leaving pitches up in the zone and vulnerable to hard contact—a dangerous habit against a Guardians team gaining momentum at the plate. The Orioles bullpen, while having potential with arms like Yennier Cano and Cionel Pérez, has been overworked and inconsistent, frequently tasked with holding games together after short outings from starters. Offensively, Baltimore has the firepower to compete, led by Cedric Mullins, who’s been their most productive bat with 3 home runs and 16 RBIs. Adley Rutschman continues to play a key leadership role behind the plate and with the bat, adding 3 home runs and working counts effectively.

However, despite these contributions, the lineup has not been firing on all cylinders. Runners have too often been stranded, and timely hits have eluded the Orioles in close games. Their batting average with runners in scoring position has dipped, and they’ve struggled to string together rallies, often succumbing to double plays or inning-ending strikeouts. From a betting standpoint, the Orioles have also underperformed, going just 2–8 ATS in their last ten games and a dismal 1–4 as favorites in that span. The inability to cover spreads reflects not only losses but also failure to live up to expectations, whether from oddsmakers or their own fanbase. Despite their slow start, this team is not lacking talent, and a turnaround could begin with just one strong outing or a big offensive inning. For that to happen today, Kremer must keep the game within reach and the bats must come alive against a pitcher in Gavin Williams who is effective but not untouchable. Camden Yards has historically been friendly to hitters, and with the weather expected to be clear, the conditions are ideal for the Orioles to put up runs—if they can execute. The key will be aggressive baserunning, better pitch selection, and finding a way to manufacture offense early to avoid chasing late. A win today could steady the ship and spark a stretch of better baseball, but a loss would deepen the hole and raise more questions about the team’s readiness to contend in a competitive AL East.

The Cleveland Guardians (9–7) and Baltimore Orioles (6–10) continue their three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with both teams aiming to gain momentum early in the season. The Guardians, having secured a 6–3 victory in the series opener, look to build on their recent success, while the Orioles strive to rebound and defend their home turf. Cleveland vs Baltimore AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 16. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians enter today’s matchup with a 9–7 record and growing confidence after taking the first game of the series 6–3 against the Baltimore Orioles. Their season has been defined so far by steady improvement, efficient pitching, and opportunistic offense. Under the leadership of manager Stephen Vogt, the Guardians have blended young talent and veteran presence into a team that finds ways to win, even without flashy statistics. On the mound, Gavin Williams has been a rising star in the rotation, carrying a 1–0 record, 3.46 ERA, and 14 strikeouts into this game. Williams has been especially adept at limiting hard contact and working through traffic, keeping his team in games and giving the bullpen a chance to seal victories. The Guardians’ pitching staff overall has been quietly effective, with their relievers stepping up to protect narrow leads, including key contributors like Emmanuel Clase and Sam Hentges who have provided dependable late-inning work. Offensively, the Guardians’ spark plug has been Steven Kwan, whose .322 average and consistent plate discipline have set the table at the top of the order. He’s been complemented by Kyle Manzardo, who leads the team in home runs and RBIs and is emerging as a reliable power threat in the middle of the lineup.

Their offensive approach prioritizes contact hitting, working counts, and putting pressure on opposing defenses, often forcing mistakes and capitalizing on them. This patient, execution-based offense has allowed Cleveland to stay competitive even in games where big hits are scarce. The Guardians also have a knack for playing well as underdogs, having won three of their last five games when not favored. From a betting standpoint, they’ve covered the spread in six of their last ten, including as recent road underdogs, which speaks to their gritty, efficient style of play. They may not blow teams out, but they routinely stay close and capitalize late. Against the Orioles, a team that has been vulnerable early in games and inconsistent on the mound, Cleveland’s ability to jump on mistakes early and hold a lead will be critical. They’ll look to extend pitch counts, chase Kremer from the game early, and then apply pressure on a tired Baltimore bullpen. With momentum on their side and a favorable matchup on the mound, the Guardians are well-positioned to secure a series win if they stay disciplined and play to their strengths. Another strong outing from Williams paired with productive at-bats from the top half of the lineup could be all it takes to put this one away, reinforcing Cleveland’s status as a quietly dangerous team with the potential to contend deep into the summer.

Cleveland vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Guardians and Orioles play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Santana over 0.5 Total Bases.

Cleveland vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Guardians and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Guardians team going up against a possibly rested Orioles team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Guardians vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

Guardians vs. Orioles Matchup Trends

The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.

Cleveland vs. Baltimore Game Info

Cleveland vs Baltimore starts on April 16, 2025 at 6:35 PM EST.

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Spread: Baltimore -1.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +112, Baltimore -132
Over/Under: 8.5

Cleveland: (9-7)  |  Baltimore: (6-10)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Santana over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Guardians have performed well as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 5 games in that role, while the Orioles have a 1–4 record as favorites in their last 5 games.

CLE trend: The Guardians have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, showcasing consistent performance against the spread (ATS) during this period.

BAL trend: The Orioles have struggled ATS recently, going 2–8 in their last 10 games, indicating challenges in meeting betting expectations.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cleveland vs. Baltimore Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Cleveland vs Baltimore Opening Odds

CLE Moneyline: +112
BAL Moneyline: -132
CLE Spread: +1.5
BAL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Cleveland vs Baltimore Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 30, 2025 1:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
9/30/25 1:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
-165
+140
-1.5 (+118)
+1.5 (-140)
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-105)
Sep 30, 2025 3:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 3:08PM
Padres
Cubs
-105
-115
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
Sep 30, 2025 6:09PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
9/30/25 6:09PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+115
-135
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
Sep 30, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
9/30/25 9:08PM
Reds
Dodgers
+170
-210
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+110)
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles on April 16, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS