Kent State vs Toledo Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 18)
Updated: 2025-10-11T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Kent State (2-4) travels to face Toledo (3-3) on October 18, 2025, as a heavy underdog — oddsmakers open the Rockets as 24.5-point favorites, with the total set near 51.5. Kent State’s offense has struggled to score (14.6 points per game), while Toledo has leveraged balance and consistency under longtime coach Jason Candle to maintain relevance in the MAC.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Oct 18, 2025
Start Time: 2:00 PM EST
Venue: Glass Bowl
Rockets Record: (3-3)
Golden Flashes Record: (2-4)
OPENING ODDS
KENT Moneyline: +1377
TOLEDO Moneyline: -3571
KENT Spread: +24.5
TOLEDO Spread: -24.5
Over/Under: 52.5
KENT
Betting Trends
- As underdogs on the road, Kent State has rarely offered value — their offensive inefficiency and tendency to fall behind make them vulnerable against spread teams.
TOLEDO
Betting Trends
- Toledo has typically held up well at home, covering in MAC matchups where they can control tempo and force discipline.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The 24.5 spread is among the largest in MAC games this season, suggesting the market sees this as a mismatch. If Kent State can stay competitive through the first half, the live total movement—and possible cover value—could shift significantly.
KENT vs. TOLEDO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Kent State vs Toledo Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/18/25
Defensively, the Golden Flashes have been unable to consistently force turnovers or limit explosive plays, often finding themselves gassed late in games. Against Toledo’s up-tempo system, they’ll need to play nearly perfect assignment football to stay within striking distance. The Rockets’ defense, meanwhile, remains one of the MAC’s most disciplined units, led by linebacker Dallas Gant and a secondary that thrives on limiting big gains. Toledo’s pass rush, powered by edge rusher Desjuan Johnson, should have a field day against Kent State’s offensive line, which has allowed one of the highest sack rates in the league. The key to this game will likely lie in early execution — if Kent State falls behind by two possessions in the first quarter, it could spiral into another lopsided contest. Toledo will likely lean on its running game to control tempo, use play action to open up deep shots, and apply steady defensive pressure to smother Kent State’s limited offense. The Golden Flashes’ best hope is to capitalize on turnovers, use tempo changes to throw Toledo off balance, and find a few explosive plays downfield to stay competitive. Ultimately, the gap in depth, talent, and experience between these two programs points toward another decisive Toledo victory, but Kent State’s effort level and willingness to fight through adversity could dictate whether this one stays respectable or turns into a rout by halftime.
First road conference game of the season pic.twitter.com/T41s4Mevj9
— Kent State Football (@KentStFootball) October 13, 2025
Kent State Golden Flashes CFB Preview
The Kent State Golden Flashes enter their October 18, 2025, road matchup against the Toledo Rockets as massive underdogs, but they’ll look to use this game as a measuring stick to see how far they’ve come in their rebuilding process under interim head coach Mark Carney. It has been a difficult year for Kent State on both sides of the ball, as their offense ranks among the lowest in the nation in both total yards and points per game, while the defense has struggled to contain even average MAC opponents. Quarterback Tommy Ulatowski continues to gain experience, and while his numbers are modest, he has shown flashes of composure and accuracy when given time to throw. The problem for Kent State lies in its offensive line play — the unit has allowed heavy pressure in nearly every game, forcing Ulatowski to operate on the move and limiting the development of longer route concepts. The running game, led by Gavin Garcia, has found little traction behind an inconsistent blocking front, averaging under 2.5 yards per carry through much of the season. To have any success against Toledo’s stout defense, Kent State will need to focus on tempo and creativity — utilizing quick passes, misdirection, and screens to neutralize the Rockets’ aggressive front seven. Defensively, Kent State’s group has been overmatched for most of the year, surrendering over 40 points per game while ranking near the bottom of the MAC in yards allowed per play.
The secondary has been particularly vulnerable to explosive passing plays, something Toledo is well-equipped to exploit with their balanced offensive system. Linebackers Marvin Pierre and Bryan McNair will need to step up in run support, as Toledo’s ground game can easily dictate the pace of play if left unchecked. The key for Kent State’s defense will be getting off the field on third downs — something they’ve struggled with all season due to missed tackles and poor pursuit angles. Special teams could also be an area of focus; with limited offensive production, Kent State may need a spark from a return or turnover to stay in contention. Coach Carney’s challenge is less about pulling off an upset and more about building confidence and execution habits against one of the MAC’s most complete teams. Expect Kent State to play aggressively early, taking shots downfield or using trick plays to generate momentum, but their lack of depth could become apparent as the game wears on. If the Golden Flashes can avoid self-inflicted mistakes, sustain a few scoring drives, and tighten their tackling, they could make this game more competitive than expected. However, the odds remain steep — Toledo’s overall talent, discipline, and efficiency create a daunting challenge for a Kent State team still searching for its identity in the midst of a difficult transition year.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Toledo Rockets CFB Preview
The Toledo Rockets return to the Glass Bowl on October 18, 2025, looking every bit like a team determined to reclaim their position atop the MAC standings and reaffirm their identity as one of the league’s most consistent and well-coached programs. Under head coach Jason Candle, Toledo has built a culture centered around physical dominance, disciplined execution, and balance on both sides of the ball, and that formula continues to pay dividends this season. The Rockets’ offense remains the heart of their success, driven by quarterback Tucker Gleason, who has emerged as a steady and efficient field general. Gleason’s poise and timing in the pocket, paired with his underrated mobility, make him a dangerous dual-threat option who can extend plays and capitalize on defensive breakdowns. He’s complemented by running back Chip Trayanum, whose blend of power and acceleration allows Toledo to grind down defenses and control the pace of games. The offensive line deserves much of the credit, consistently winning battles in the trenches and ranking among the top units in the conference in both sack prevention and rushing efficiency. Against a Kent State defense that has struggled mightily against the run and lacks depth up front, Toledo’s line will look to open wide running lanes early to set up play-action passes that can exploit mismatched safeties. Wide receivers Jerjuan Newton and Devin Maddox add dynamism to the passing game, both capable of stretching the field and creating explosive plays off broken coverage. On the defensive side, Toledo’s front seven continues to anchor one of the MAC’s stingiest defenses.
Edge rusher Desjuan Johnson has been a force in disrupting pockets and setting edges, while linebacker Dallas Gant remains the emotional leader of the unit, excelling in both run fits and open-field tackling. The secondary, led by safety Maxen Hook, thrives in preventing big plays and has improved in coverage discipline, allowing the Rockets to deploy more aggressive fronts without fear of being burned deep. Facing Kent State’s sputtering offense, the defensive goal will be straightforward: contain quarterback Tommy Ulatowski, eliminate quick-passing options, and force the Flashes into predictable third-and-long situations where Toledo’s pass rush can tee off. Expect Toledo to control time of possession, establish dominance in the first half, and test its depth in the later stages of the game. Special teams could also play a role — kicker Luke Pawlak has been steady in converting field goals, while the Rockets’ return units are among the most dangerous in the MAC. If Toledo executes its game plan with precision and discipline, this game could serve as a showcase of how far ahead they are of rebuilding programs like Kent State. The Rockets’ combination of offensive rhythm, defensive consistency, and home-field advantage at the Glass Bowl makes them the clear favorite to not only win comfortably but also continue building the confidence necessary for a deep run through conference play.
Final. pic.twitter.com/pGUFYExkIa
— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) October 11, 2025
Kent State vs. Toledo Prop Picks (AI)
Kent State vs. Toledo Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Golden Flashes and Rockets and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing factor emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Golden Flashes team going up against a possibly strong Rockets team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kent State vs Toledo picks, computer picks Golden Flashes vs Rockets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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CFB | 10/21 | KENSAW@FIU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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CFB | 10/21 | WKY@LATECH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Golden Flashes Betting Trends
As underdogs on the road, Kent State has rarely offered value — their offensive inefficiency and tendency to fall behind make them vulnerable against spread teams.
Rockets Betting Trends
Toledo has typically held up well at home, covering in MAC matchups where they can control tempo and force discipline.
Golden Flashes vs. Rockets Matchup Trends
The 24.5 spread is among the largest in MAC games this season, suggesting the market sees this as a mismatch. If Kent State can stay competitive through the first half, the live total movement—and possible cover value—could shift significantly.
Kent State vs. Toledo Game Info
What time does Kent State vs Toledo start on October 18, 2025?
Kent State vs Toledo starts on October 18, 2025 at 2:00 PM EST.
Where is Kent State vs Toledo being played?
Venue: Glass Bowl.
What are the opening odds for Kent State vs Toledo?
Spread: Toledo -24.5
Moneyline: Kent State +1377, Toledo -3571
Over/Under: 52.5
What are the records for Kent State vs Toledo?
Kent State: (2-4) | Toledo: (3-3)
What is the AI best bet for Kent State vs Toledo?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Kent State vs Toledo trending bets?
The 24.5 spread is among the largest in MAC games this season, suggesting the market sees this as a mismatch. If Kent State can stay competitive through the first half, the live total movement—and possible cover value—could shift significantly.
What are Kent State trending bets?
KENT trend: As underdogs on the road, Kent State has rarely offered value — their offensive inefficiency and tendency to fall behind make them vulnerable against spread teams.
What are Toledo trending bets?
TOLEDO trend: Toledo has typically held up well at home, covering in MAC matchups where they can control tempo and force discipline.
Where can I find AI Picks for Kent State vs Toledo?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kent State vs. Toledo Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Kent State vs Toledo trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Kent State vs Toledo Opening Odds
KENT Moneyline:
+1377 TOLEDO Moneyline: -3571
KENT Spread: +24.5
TOLEDO Spread: -24.5
Over/Under: 52.5
Kent State vs Toledo Live Odds
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U 49.5 (-110)
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O 51.5 (-113)
U 51.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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-300
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U 47.5 (+100)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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+5 (-112)
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O 63.5 (-110)
U 63.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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+226
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O 43 (-116)
U 43 (-104)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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O 54 (-112)
U 54 (-114)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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+510
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O 53 (-112)
U 53 (-112)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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Oct 25, 2025 12:45PM EDT
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AUBURN
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Illinois Fighting Illini
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+165
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
San Diego State Aztecs
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O 48 (-107)
U 48 (-113)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Missouri Tigers
Vanderbilt Commodores
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+113
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O 52.5 (-105)
U 52.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
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–
–
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+195
-250
|
+6.5 (-109)
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O 56.5 (-114)
U 56.5 (-112)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 41 (-115)
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UL Monroe Warhawks
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+334
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+11 (-110)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Texas Tech Red Raiders
10/25/25 4PM
OKLAST
TXTECH
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–
–
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+3000
-10000
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+38.5 (-115)
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O 56.5 (-105)
U 56.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Cincinnati Bearcats
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BAYLOR
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+170
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O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
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-260
+215
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-7 (-107)
+7 (-113)
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O 44.5 (-120)
U 44.5 (+100)
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Oct 25, 2025 6:00PM EDT
TCU Horned Frogs
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–
–
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-715
+430
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+15.5 (-113)
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O 55.5 (-113)
U 55.5 (-113)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
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OREG
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–
–
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+33 (-110)
-33 (-110)
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O 44.5 (-108)
U 44.5 (-112)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Troy Trojans
10/25/25 7PM
UL
TROY
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–
–
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+250
-335
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+8.5 (-112)
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O 48 (-113)
U 48 (-113)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
10/25/25 7PM
STNFRD
MIAMI
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–
–
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+2000
-10000
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+30 (-107)
-30 (-113)
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O 45 (-115)
U 45 (-105)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/25/25 7PM
GASO
ARKST
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-107)
|
O 63 (-110)
U 63 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
MICH
MICHST
|
–
–
|
-615
+455
|
-14.5 (-105)
+14.5 (-115)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
|
–
–
|
-145
+125
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
+1200
-5000
|
+25.5 (-110)
-25.5 (-113)
|
O 55.5 (-114)
U 55.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
|
–
–
|
+189
-225
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 46 (-117)
U 46 (-103)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-360
+270
|
-10 (-109)
+10 (-114)
|
O 53.5 (-112)
U 53.5 (-114)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+205
-278
|
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-109)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+360
-500
|
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-115)
|
O 50 (-112)
U 50 (-114)
|
|
Oct 28, 2025 8:00PM EDT
James Madison Dukes
Texas State Bobcats
10/28/25 8PM
JMAD
TEXST
|
–
–
|
-275
+220
|
-7.5 (-104)
+7.5 (-118)
|
O 60.5 (-112)
U 60.5 (-108)
|
|
Oct 30, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Tulane Green Wave
UTSA Roadrunners
10/30/25 7:30PM
TULANE
UTSA
|
–
–
|
-200
+164
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-112)
U 52.5 (-108)
|
|
Nov 1, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Penn State Nittany Lions
Ohio State Buckeyes
11/1/25 12PM
PSU
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+660
-1050
|
+17.5 (-115)
-17.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Nov 1, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
SMU Mustangs
11/1/25 12PM
MIAMI
SMU
|
–
–
|
-430
+330
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
Nov 1, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Tennessee Volunteers
11/1/25 12PM
OKLA
TENN
|
–
–
|
-105
-114
|
+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-106)
|
O 53.5 (-112)
U 53.5 (-108)
|
|
Nov 1, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Vanderbilt Commodores
Texas Longhorns
11/1/25 12PM
VANDY
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
+150
-182
|
+3.5 (-106)
-3.5 (-114)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
|
Nov 1, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Florida Gators
11/1/25 3:30PM
UGA
FLA
|
–
–
|
-300
+240
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-112)
U 50.5 (-108)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Toledo Rockets on October 18, 2025 at Glass Bowl.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |