Aggies vs. Commodores
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 27 | CFB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Utah State Aggies travel to Nashville on September 27, 2025, to battle the Vanderbilt Commodores in a non-conference clash that will test Utah State’s speed and spread offense against Vanderbilt’s SEC-caliber size and physicality. Both teams view this matchup as a valuable opportunity to build momentum, with the Aggies seeking a signature road win and the Commodores aiming to defend their home field against a dangerous Group of Five opponent.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 27, 2025

Start Time: 12:45 PM EST​

Venue: FirstBank Stadium​

Commodores Record: (4-0)

Aggies Record: (3-1)

OPENING ODDS

UTAHST Moneyline: +1050

VANDY Moneyline: -2174

UTAHST Spread: +22.5

VANDY Spread: -22.5

Over/Under: 59.5

UTAHST
Betting Trends

  • Utah State has been inconsistent ATS on the road, covering just twice in its last five away contests, often undone by defensive breakdowns against bigger, more physical opponents.

VANDY
Betting Trends

  • Vanderbilt has been solid ATS at home, covering three of its last four in Nashville as its defense has kept games close and the offense has leaned on timely scoring drives.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Utah State has hit the over in four of its last five due to its uptempo offense and leaky defense, while Vanderbilt has trended under in three of its last four home games thanks to its slower pace and emphasis on defense. The clash of tempo and style makes this matchup intriguing for bettors, with totals likely hinging on whether Utah State can speed up the game or Vanderbilt can grind it down.

UTAHST vs. VANDY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Pavia over 60.5 Rushing Yards.

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Utah State vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/27/25

The September 27, 2025 non-conference clash between the Utah State Aggies and the Vanderbilt Commodores in Nashville sets up as an intriguing test of tempo, toughness, and execution, with both teams entering from very different football cultures but each seeing this as a winnable matchup that could shape their season trajectory. Utah State comes in with its trademark spread offense and uptempo style, a system designed to put stress on defenses by distributing the ball quickly and relying on speed at the skill positions to create mismatches, and they know their best chance of victory lies in turning this contest into a higher-possession, higher-scoring game where their playmakers can get into open space. Their quarterback will need to make fast decisions under pressure, because Vanderbilt’s defensive front is bigger and more physical than what the Aggies are used to in Mountain West play, and their offensive line must at least hold its ground long enough to keep the rhythm of the passing attack alive. On defense, the Aggies have been inconsistent, often giving up big plays and struggling against power rushing attacks, and that weakness is particularly concerning against a Vanderbilt team that thrives on ball control, leaning on a large offensive line and a stable of backs who can churn out yardage and wear down defenses over time. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, has built its identity around SEC-tested toughness, emphasizing physical defense and mistake-free offense that keeps games close and forces opponents into uncomfortable situations, and at home they have shown an ability to frustrate visiting teams by dragging them into low-possession contests where every mistake is magnified.

The Commodores’ quarterback is not asked to win games on his own, but rather to manage them efficiently, making smart reads in short passing situations and capitalizing on play-action opportunities that arise once the run game has softened the defense, and that balance could be especially effective against a Utah State defense that has not shown great consistency in staying disciplined across four quarters. Special teams could also loom large, with Vanderbilt historically using field position to its advantage while Utah State must avoid giving away easy yards or momentum swings that could negate their offensive tempo. From a betting standpoint, the trends lean toward Vanderbilt at home, given their solid ATS performance in Nashville and Utah State’s struggles covering on the road, especially against more physical teams, but the Aggies’ ability to generate explosive plays ensures that they remain a dangerous opponent capable of flipping momentum quickly. Ultimately, this matchup will come down to who imposes their style: if Utah State can start fast, hit a few big plays, and turn the contest into the type of uptempo shootout they favor, they’ll have a real chance to upset the Commodores, but if Vanderbilt controls the line of scrimmage, dominates time of possession, and keeps the Aggies’ offense off the field, then their grind-it-out SEC brand of football will likely carry the day.

Utah State Aggies CFB Preview

The Utah State Aggies travel to Nashville on September 27, 2025 with a clear understanding of what they need to do in order to pull off a statement win against Vanderbilt: start fast, dictate tempo, and rely on their spread offense to stretch an SEC defense that thrives on physicality. The Aggies’ offense is built to push pace and create mismatches, with their quarterback operating best in rhythm, making quick decisions and distributing the ball to a deep group of receivers who can attack vertically or turn short passes into chunk plays with speed after the catch. Their running game, while not the centerpiece, adds just enough balance through quick-hitting runs designed to keep defenses honest, and against a Commodores defense that will look to dominate up front, those bursts could be crucial in preventing Vanderbilt from simply pinning its ears back and attacking the quarterback. The offensive line will be tested physically in ways they don’t often see in Mountain West play, and their ability to hold up against Vanderbilt’s size and pressure schemes could make or break Utah State’s chances. Defensively, the Aggies know they are vulnerable against power football, and Vanderbilt’s ground-and-pound approach represents a major challenge, so their front seven must play with discipline, filling gaps and tackling consistently to avoid being worn down over four quarters.

The linebackers will be under pressure to read plays quickly and prevent big gains on the ground, while the secondary must remain disciplined against play-action passes designed to exploit their aggression. Special teams execution is also vital, as Utah State cannot afford miscues that hand Vanderbilt short fields in a game where limiting possessions is likely to favor the home side. From a betting perspective, the Aggies’ struggles ATS on the road highlight the difficulties they face in matchups like this, but their offensive explosiveness gives them a fighting chance to cover or even win outright if they can force Vanderbilt into a faster-paced contest than they prefer. The formula for Utah State is straightforward but difficult: avoid turnovers, hit explosive plays early to build momentum, and make Vanderbilt chase points instead of grinding out possessions. If they succeed in doing that, the Aggies could flip the script and prove they have the firepower to hang with an SEC team, but if they fall behind early or allow Vanderbilt to drag them into a slow, physical battle, the odds of a road victory diminish quickly.

The Utah State Aggies travel to Nashville on September 27, 2025, to battle the Vanderbilt Commodores in a non-conference clash that will test Utah State’s speed and spread offense against Vanderbilt’s SEC-caliber size and physicality. Both teams view this matchup as a valuable opportunity to build momentum, with the Aggies seeking a signature road win and the Commodores aiming to defend their home field against a dangerous Group of Five opponent. Utah State vs Vanderbilt AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Vanderbilt Commodores CFB Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores return to Nashville on September 27, 2025 eager to show that their SEC-tested toughness and home-field advantage can carry them past a fast but inconsistent Utah State squad, and they will look to impose their style of football from the opening whistle. Vanderbilt’s identity remains rooted in physicality, beginning with a large, disciplined offensive line that specializes in wearing down opponents over four quarters and opening lanes for a deep stable of running backs who can consistently move the chains. Their quarterback is not asked to carry the team with flashy numbers but instead to operate as a steady game manager, protecting the football, making efficient short throws, and capitalizing on play-action opportunities that open up once the run game has softened the defense. Against Utah State, that balance plays directly into Vanderbilt’s favor, as the Aggies have historically struggled to contain physical rushing attacks and are vulnerable to long, clock-draining drives that keep their own uptempo offense on the sideline.

Defensively, the Commodores have made strides in forcing turnovers and limiting explosive plays, and their front seven will look to disrupt Utah State’s rhythm by collapsing the pocket and taking away the quick passing lanes that their spread system thrives on. The secondary, while less battle-tested, has improved in coverage discipline, and with Vanderbilt’s pass rush applying pressure, they should be positioned to keep Utah State’s receivers in check. Special teams are another steadying factor for the Commodores, with reliable kicking and disciplined coverage that allows them to play the field-position game, which is often pivotal in close, grind-it-out contests. From a betting perspective, Vanderbilt’s strong ATS record at home reflects their ability to dictate terms in Nashville, and this matchup sets up well if they can slow down the pace and lean into their identity. For Vanderbilt, the keys to victory are straightforward: dominate in the trenches, control time of possession, and keep Utah State from hitting the explosive plays that fuel their offense. If the Commodores execute that plan, they not only have the chance to secure a win but also to do so in a way that reinforces their standing as a program capable of punishing visiting teams unprepared for the grind of SEC football.

Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Commodores play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at FirstBank Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Pavia over 60.5 Rushing Yards.

Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Aggies and Commodores and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly deflated Commodores team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Utah State vs Vanderbilt picks, computer picks Aggies vs Commodores, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Aggies Betting Trends

Utah State has been inconsistent ATS on the road, covering just twice in its last five away contests, often undone by defensive breakdowns against bigger, more physical opponents.

Commodores Betting Trends

Vanderbilt has been solid ATS at home, covering three of its last four in Nashville as its defense has kept games close and the offense has leaned on timely scoring drives.

Aggies vs. Commodores Matchup Trends

Utah State has hit the over in four of its last five due to its uptempo offense and leaky defense, while Vanderbilt has trended under in three of its last four home games thanks to its slower pace and emphasis on defense. The clash of tempo and style makes this matchup intriguing for bettors, with totals likely hinging on whether Utah State can speed up the game or Vanderbilt can grind it down.

Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Game Info

Utah State vs Vanderbilt starts on September 27, 2025 at 12:45 PM EST.

Spread: Vanderbilt -22.5
Moneyline: Utah State +1050, Vanderbilt -2174
Over/Under: 59.5

Utah State: (3-1)  |  Vanderbilt: (4-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Pavia over 60.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Utah State has hit the over in four of its last five due to its uptempo offense and leaky defense, while Vanderbilt has trended under in three of its last four home games thanks to its slower pace and emphasis on defense. The clash of tempo and style makes this matchup intriguing for bettors, with totals likely hinging on whether Utah State can speed up the game or Vanderbilt can grind it down.

UTAHST trend: Utah State has been inconsistent ATS on the road, covering just twice in its last five away contests, often undone by defensive breakdowns against bigger, more physical opponents.

VANDY trend: Vanderbilt has been solid ATS at home, covering three of its last four in Nashville as its defense has kept games close and the offense has leaned on timely scoring drives.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Utah State vs Vanderbilt trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Opening Odds

UTAHST Moneyline: +1050
VANDY Moneyline: -2174
UTAHST Spread: +22.5
VANDY Spread: -22.5
Over/Under: 59.5

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Live Odds

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Oct 2, 2025 9:00PM EDT
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New Mexico State Aggies
10/2/25 9PM
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10/3/25 7PM
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Oct 3, 2025 10:30PM EDT
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San Diego State Aztecs
10/3/25 10:30PM
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SDGST
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BYU Cougars
10/3/25 10:30PM
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10/4/25 12PM
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10/4/25 12PM
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10/4/25 12PM
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10/4/25 12PM
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Michigan Wolverines
10/4/25 12PM
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Iowa State Cyclones
Cincinnati Bearcats
10/4/25 12PM
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Oct 4, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Campbell Fighting Camels
NC State Wolfpack
10/4/25 1PM
CAMP
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+42.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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Virginia Tech Hokies
10/4/25 1PM
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Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
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Umass Minutemen
10/4/25 2:30PM
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Oct 4, 2025 3:00PM EDT
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Arizona Wildcats
10/4/25 3PM
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Vanderbilt Commodores
Alabama Crimson Tide
10/4/25 3:30PM
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Eastern Michigan Eagles
Buffalo Bulls
10/4/25 3:30PM
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Washington Huskies
Maryland Terrapins
10/4/25 3:30PM
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Miami Ohio Redhawks
Northern Illinois Huskies
10/4/25 3:30PM
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Virginia Cavaliers
Louisville Cardinals
10/4/25 3:30PM
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10/4/25 3:30PM
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
James Madison Dukes
Georgia State Panthers
10/4/25 3:30PM
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Syracuse Orange
SMU Mustangs
10/4/25 3:30PM
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SMU
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-800
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Boise State Broncos
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
10/4/25 3:30PM
BOISE
ND
+800
-1350
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U 62.5 (-105)
Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oregon State Beavers
App State Mountaineers
10/4/25 3:30PM
OREGST
APPST
-102
 
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
FIU Panthers
UConn Huskies
10/4/25 3:30PM
FIU
UCONN
 
-290
 
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Penn State Nittany Lions
UCLA Bruins
10/4/25 3:30PM
PSU
UCLA
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Texas Longhorns
Florida Gators
10/4/25 3:30PM
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FLA
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Kent State Golden Flashes
Oklahoma Sooners
10/4/25 4PM
KENT
OKLA
 
 
+45.5 (-110)
-45.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Michigan State Spartans
Nebraska Cornhuskers
10/4/25 4PM
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NEB
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Texas State Bobcats
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/4/25 4PM
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ARKST
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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Old Dominion Monarchs
10/4/25 6PM
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UNLV Rebels
Wyoming Cowboys
10/4/25 7PM
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Houston Cougars
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South Alabama Jaguars
Troy Trojans
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Florida Atlantic Owls
Rice Owls
10/4/25 7PM
FAU
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
Ohio State Buckeyes
10/4/25 7:30PM
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Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
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Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
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TCU
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Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
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U 55.5 (-112)
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
-198
+164
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O 53.5 (-112)
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Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
+850
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U 56.5 (-115)
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
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CAL
-148
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U 55.5 (-110)
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
+400
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-14 (-105)
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U 45.5 (-115)
Oct 9, 2025 7:30PM EDT
East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
 
 
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
 
 
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
 
 
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
-205
+168
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
-780
+530
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
-172
+142
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
+300
-385
+10 (-110)
-10 (-110)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
 
 
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
+350
-465
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Utah State Aggies vs. Vanderbilt Commodores on September 27, 2025 at FirstBank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UNC@UCF UCF -6.5 54.4% 4 WIN
ARKST@KENSAW KENSAW +4.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ILL@IND IND -6 53.2% 3 WIN
SELOU@LSU LSU -47.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
TNMART@MIZZST MIZZST -14.5 56.2% 6 WIN
FRESNO@HAWAII HAWAII +3 56.6% 6 WIN
MRSHL@MTSU MTSU +2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
MICH@NEB NEB +1.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
WASH@WASHST DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS 56.2% 6 LOSS
IOWA@RUT ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS 54.4% 4 WIN
GEORGIA@TENN UNDER 50.5 55.5% 6 LOSS
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -225 72.0% 9 WIN
DUKE@TULANE TULANE -120 56.5% 4 WIN
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -6.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
AKRON@UAB UAB -11 54.7% 4 LOSS
UCONN@DEL DEL +9.5 55.0% 5 WIN
APLST@USM USM +4 55.3% 6 WIN
MERIMK@KENSAW KENSAW -13.5 56.2% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA IOWA -34.5 56.4% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS 54.8% 4 WIN
NMEX@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT 53.4% 3 LOSS
KSTATE@ARIZ ARIZ +1.5 56.1% 6 WIN
BC@MICHST NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS 53.6% 3 WIN
ARIZST@MISSST MISSST +7 54.2% 4 WIN
TULSA@NMEXST NMEXST +3.5 56.9% 6 WIN
UCLA@UNLV OVER 54.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
FRESNO@OREGST FRESNO +1.5 54.7% 4 WIN
VANDY@VATECH VANDY +2.5 55.8% 5 WIN
JMAD@LVILLE LVILLE -14.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TCU@UNC JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS 53.8% 3 LOSS
ND@MIAMI MIAMI +3 55.2% 6 WIN
MISSST@USM USM +14.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
UTAH@UCLA UCLA +5.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CAL@OREGST OREGST +1.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
FAU@MD MD -13.5 55.2% 5 WIN
GAS@FRESNO FRESNO +2 55.2% 5 WIN
TOLEDO@UK UK -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
AUSTPEAY@MTSU PEAY +12.5 56.2% 6 WIN