Warhawks vs. Crimson Tide
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | CFB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The UL Monroe Warhawks kick off their 2025 season on September 6 in Tuscaloosa, facing an elite Alabama Crimson Tide squad looking to rebound from a shocking season-opening loss to Florida State. Alabama comes into the matchup with pressure to reassert dominance, while UL Monroe arrives with momentum after a strong 29–0 shutout win over St. Francis in their opener—displaying defensive tenacity and efficient execution.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 06, 2025

Start Time: 7:45 PM EST​

Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium​

Crimson Tide Record: (0-1)

Warhawks Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

MONROE Moneyline: LOADING

BAMA Moneyline: LOADING

MONROE Spread: +36.5

BAMA Spread: -36.5

Over/Under: 50.5

MONROE
Betting Trends

  • UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.

BAMA
Betting Trends

  • Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.

MONROE vs. BAMA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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UL Monroe vs Alabama Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/6/25

The September 6, 2025 clash between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium presents one of the most extreme contrasts in talent and circumstance that college football has to offer, yet it carries a surprising layer of intrigue given the way each team opened its season. UL Monroe enters this contest on a high after pitching a 29–0 shutout against St. Francis, a game in which the Warhawks’ defense dominated the line of scrimmage, swarmed to the ball, and created turnovers that set the tone for a decisive and disciplined performance under head coach Bryant Vincent. That victory not only gave the Warhawks a confidence boost but also highlighted the progress the program has made in building a tougher, more resilient identity as it tries to rise within the Sun Belt Conference. Alabama, by contrast, opened its season in shocking fashion with a 31–17 loss to Florida State, a result that snapped a decades-long streak of season-opening wins and immediately put pressure on head coach Kalen DeBoer to settle a locker room still adjusting to life after Nick Saban. The Crimson Tide’s offensive rhythm sputtered, the defense looked vulnerable at key moments, and the overall aura of invincibility that Alabama has long carried took a noticeable hit, sparking scrutiny from both fans and media about leadership, preparation, and identity.

This backdrop makes the meeting with UL Monroe as much about Alabama’s response as about the game itself, because while the Tide are overwhelming favorites on paper, their ability to impose their will, regain composure, and show progress will be measured in every series and possession. For UL Monroe, the formula to stay competitive is simple but daunting: avoid turnovers, play with relentless defensive discipline, and hope to capitalize on any lingering self-doubt within Alabama’s ranks. Offensively, the Warhawks must string together sustained drives to keep their defense fresh, while defensively they must find ways to limit explosive plays and force Alabama to earn its points through methodical drives. For Alabama, the key is reestablishing dominance at the line of scrimmage, letting their running backs and offensive line wear down the smaller Warhawk front, and giving quarterback Ty Simpson or whoever leads the offense cleaner looks to restore confidence and rhythm. Special teams could also play a hidden role, as field position battles and momentum swings have historically been catalysts for either blowouts or scares in these types of mismatches. From a betting perspective, UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS after their opener while Alabama is 0–1 ATS, and although few expect an upset, contrarian bettors are watching to see whether Alabama’s urgency translates into covering a massive spread or whether UL Monroe can hold the margin to something respectable. Ultimately, this matchup will not be judged by the scoreboard alone but by Alabama’s ability to look like a national power again after being humbled, while UL Monroe seeks to prove it can compete with discipline and toughness against one of the sport’s blue bloods. The Tide will be expected to dominate, but how they do it may reveal more about their trajectory in 2025 than the final score itself.

UL Monroe Warhawks CFB Preview

The UL Monroe Warhawks head into their September 6, 2025 matchup at Bryant-Denny Stadium against Alabama riding a wave of confidence after opening their season with a commanding 29–0 shutout victory over St. Francis, a performance that showcased the strides this program has made under second-year head coach Bryant Vincent. That opener was a display of defensive dominance, with the Warhawks swarming to the ball, controlling the line of scrimmage, and forcing multiple turnovers that not only protected the shutout but also gave the offense advantageous field position. Offensively, UL Monroe operated with efficiency, avoiding costly mistakes and leaning on a balanced approach that allowed them to wear down their opponent while giving their defense plenty of time to rest, a formula that will be tested far more rigorously in Tuscaloosa. The Warhawks know they are stepping into one of the toughest environments in college football, and realistically the focus is not on pulling off one of the biggest upsets in history but on playing disciplined, mistake-free football that can keep them competitive for as long as possible.

Quarterback play will be crucial, as avoiding turnovers against Alabama’s athletic and aggressive defense will be the difference between sustained drives and a lopsided scoreboard, while the offensive line must find a way to provide some level of protection against a Tide front eager to reassert itself after a disappointing performance against Florida State. Defensively, UL Monroe must stay committed to tackling fundamentals and assignment discipline, as Alabama’s size and speed advantages mean one missed assignment or one poor angle can quickly turn into a long touchdown. Special teams, too, will need to be sharp, as flipping field position or generating a spark through a return may be one of the few avenues for the Warhawks to create momentum in a hostile environment. From a betting perspective, UL Monroe sits at 1–0 ATS after easily covering in their opener, and while they enter this game as massive underdogs, there is intrigue among contrarian bettors who see potential for a backdoor cover if Alabama rotates heavily in the second half. For Vincent and his players, though, this game is about far more than numbers—it is a chance to measure themselves against the sport’s elite, to show their resilience, and to take lessons from competing in one of the sport’s most storied venues. If the Warhawks can avoid early mistakes, sustain drives long enough to keep their defense fresh, and play with the same discipline that fueled their Week 1 victory, they can leave Tuscaloosa with more than just a paycheck—they can leave with confidence and building blocks to carry into Sun Belt play, even if the scoreboard tilts heavily against them.

The UL Monroe Warhawks kick off their 2025 season on September 6 in Tuscaloosa, facing an elite Alabama Crimson Tide squad looking to rebound from a shocking season-opening loss to Florida State. Alabama comes into the matchup with pressure to reassert dominance, while UL Monroe arrives with momentum after a strong 29–0 shutout win over St. Francis in their opener—displaying defensive tenacity and efficient execution. UL Monroe vs Alabama AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Alabama Crimson Tide CFB Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide return to Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 6, 2025 for their home opener against UL Monroe with urgency and determination after suffering a shocking 31–17 loss to Florida State in their season debut, a result that snapped more than two decades of season-opening victories and immediately put the spotlight on second-year head coach Kalen DeBoer and his staff. Alabama looked uncharacteristically disjointed in that loss, with the offense struggling to establish rhythm, the offensive line allowing too much pressure, and the defense yielding critical big plays that kept the Seminoles in control, leaving fans and analysts questioning leadership, discipline, and execution. The matchup with UL Monroe therefore provides not just an opportunity to get into the win column but also a chance to reestablish the program’s identity as a physical, efficient, and dominant team that can dictate terms in all three phases. Quarterback Ty Simpson will be counted on to bounce back after an inconsistent performance, and the offensive staff will look to simplify early reads and use the running game to generate balance behind what should still be one of the deepest backfields in college football.

Defensively, Alabama will be expected to play with far more focus and intensity than it showed in Orlando, particularly in the secondary where communication breakdowns proved costly, and the front seven will be tasked with reasserting themselves at the line of scrimmage by overwhelming UL Monroe’s offensive line and forcing quick, uncomfortable throws. Special teams, often overlooked in the Tide’s dynasty years, will also be a point of emphasis after some uneven execution in the opener, with DeBoer knowing that hidden yardage and momentum swings can define games even when the opponent is overmatched. From a betting perspective, Alabama enters this game 0–1 ATS after failing to cover against Florida State, and though they are enormous favorites at home, bettors will be watching closely to see whether the Tide can deliver a convincing cover that signals improvement rather than leaving the back door open for UL Monroe to sneak inside the number if backups play extended snaps in the second half. For Alabama, however, the scoreboard margin is less important than the performance itself—they need to show sharper execution, cleaner discipline, and the kind of dominance in the trenches that has long been their trademark. If Simpson distributes the ball efficiently, the offensive line imposes its will, and the defense closes down any daylight for the Warhawks’ offense, Alabama should have little trouble rolling to victory. More importantly, a commanding performance would quiet doubts, reenergize the fan base, and provide a springboard heading into tougher matchups later in the season, while anything less than a sharp, professional showing would only intensify scrutiny on a program that demands excellence every Saturday.

UL Monroe vs. Alabama Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Warhawks and Crimson Tide play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

UL Monroe vs. Alabama Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Warhawks and Crimson Tide and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Alabama’s strength factors between a Warhawks team going up against a possibly improved Crimson Tide team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI UL Monroe vs Alabama picks, computer picks Warhawks vs Crimson Tide, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Warhawks Betting Trends

UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.

Crimson Tide Betting Trends

Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.

Warhawks vs. Crimson Tide Matchup Trends

Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.

UL Monroe vs. Alabama Game Info

UL Monroe vs Alabama starts on September 06, 2025 at 7:45 PM EST.

Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Spread: Alabama -36.5
Moneyline: UL Monroe LOADING, Alabama LOADING
Over/Under: 50.5

UL Monroe: (1-0)  |  Alabama: (0-1)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.

MONROE trend: UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.

BAMA trend: Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

UL Monroe vs. Alabama Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the UL Monroe vs Alabama trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

UL Monroe vs Alabama Opening Odds

MONROE Moneyline: LOADING
BAMA Moneyline: LOADING
MONROE Spread: +36.5
BAMA Spread: -36.5
Over/Under: 50.5

UL Monroe vs Alabama Live Odds

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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
 
 
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
 
 
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
-205
+168
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
-780
+530
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
-172
+142
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
+300
-385
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
 
 
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
+350
-465
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide on September 06, 2025 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UNC@UCF UCF -6.5 54.4% 4 WIN
ARKST@KENSAW KENSAW +4.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ILL@IND IND -6 53.2% 3 WIN
SELOU@LSU LSU -47.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
TNMART@MIZZST MIZZST -14.5 56.2% 6 WIN
FRESNO@HAWAII HAWAII +3 56.6% 6 WIN
MRSHL@MTSU MTSU +2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
MICH@NEB NEB +1.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
WASH@WASHST DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS 56.2% 6 LOSS
IOWA@RUT ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS 54.4% 4 WIN
GEORGIA@TENN UNDER 50.5 55.5% 6 LOSS
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -225 72.0% 9 WIN
DUKE@TULANE TULANE -120 56.5% 4 WIN
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -6.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
AKRON@UAB UAB -11 54.7% 4 LOSS
UCONN@DEL DEL +9.5 55.0% 5 WIN
APLST@USM USM +4 55.3% 6 WIN
MERIMK@KENSAW KENSAW -13.5 56.2% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA IOWA -34.5 56.4% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS 54.8% 4 WIN
NMEX@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT 53.4% 3 LOSS
KSTATE@ARIZ ARIZ +1.5 56.1% 6 WIN
BC@MICHST NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS 53.6% 3 WIN
ARIZST@MISSST MISSST +7 54.2% 4 WIN
TULSA@NMEXST NMEXST +3.5 56.9% 6 WIN
UCLA@UNLV OVER 54.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
FRESNO@OREGST FRESNO +1.5 54.7% 4 WIN
VANDY@VATECH VANDY +2.5 55.8% 5 WIN
JMAD@LVILLE LVILLE -14.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TCU@UNC JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS 53.8% 3 LOSS
ND@MIAMI MIAMI +3 55.2% 6 WIN
MISSST@USM USM +14.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
UTAH@UCLA UCLA +5.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CAL@OREGST OREGST +1.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
FAU@MD MD -13.5 55.2% 5 WIN
GAS@FRESNO FRESNO +2 55.2% 5 WIN
TOLEDO@UK UK -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
AUSTPEAY@MTSU PEAY +12.5 56.2% 6 WIN