Warhawks vs. Crimson Tide
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The UL Monroe Warhawks kick off their 2025 season on September 6 in Tuscaloosa, facing an elite Alabama Crimson Tide squad looking to rebound from a shocking season-opening loss to Florida State. Alabama comes into the matchup with pressure to reassert dominance, while UL Monroe arrives with momentum after a strong 29–0 shutout win over St. Francis in their opener—displaying defensive tenacity and efficient execution.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 06, 2025
Start Time: 7:45 PM EST
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium
Crimson Tide Record: (0-1)
Warhawks Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
MONROE Moneyline: LOADING
BAMA Moneyline: LOADING
MONROE Spread: +36.5
BAMA Spread: -36.5
Over/Under: 50.5
MONROE
Betting Trends
- UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.
BAMA
Betting Trends
- Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.
MONROE vs. BAMA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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UL Monroe vs Alabama Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/6/25
This backdrop makes the meeting with UL Monroe as much about Alabama’s response as about the game itself, because while the Tide are overwhelming favorites on paper, their ability to impose their will, regain composure, and show progress will be measured in every series and possession. For UL Monroe, the formula to stay competitive is simple but daunting: avoid turnovers, play with relentless defensive discipline, and hope to capitalize on any lingering self-doubt within Alabama’s ranks. Offensively, the Warhawks must string together sustained drives to keep their defense fresh, while defensively they must find ways to limit explosive plays and force Alabama to earn its points through methodical drives. For Alabama, the key is reestablishing dominance at the line of scrimmage, letting their running backs and offensive line wear down the smaller Warhawk front, and giving quarterback Ty Simpson or whoever leads the offense cleaner looks to restore confidence and rhythm. Special teams could also play a hidden role, as field position battles and momentum swings have historically been catalysts for either blowouts or scares in these types of mismatches. From a betting perspective, UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS after their opener while Alabama is 0–1 ATS, and although few expect an upset, contrarian bettors are watching to see whether Alabama’s urgency translates into covering a massive spread or whether UL Monroe can hold the margin to something respectable. Ultimately, this matchup will not be judged by the scoreboard alone but by Alabama’s ability to look like a national power again after being humbled, while UL Monroe seeks to prove it can compete with discipline and toughness against one of the sport’s blue bloods. The Tide will be expected to dominate, but how they do it may reveal more about their trajectory in 2025 than the final score itself.
First 2025 @SunBelt Defensive Player of the Week goes to @DarcoPerkins⭐️
— ULM Football (@ULM_FB) September 1, 2025
📰: https://t.co/nvyvWZgTAW pic.twitter.com/MxYAURrEQl
UL Monroe Warhawks CFB Preview
The UL Monroe Warhawks head into their September 6, 2025 matchup at Bryant-Denny Stadium against Alabama riding a wave of confidence after opening their season with a commanding 29–0 shutout victory over St. Francis, a performance that showcased the strides this program has made under second-year head coach Bryant Vincent. That opener was a display of defensive dominance, with the Warhawks swarming to the ball, controlling the line of scrimmage, and forcing multiple turnovers that not only protected the shutout but also gave the offense advantageous field position. Offensively, UL Monroe operated with efficiency, avoiding costly mistakes and leaning on a balanced approach that allowed them to wear down their opponent while giving their defense plenty of time to rest, a formula that will be tested far more rigorously in Tuscaloosa. The Warhawks know they are stepping into one of the toughest environments in college football, and realistically the focus is not on pulling off one of the biggest upsets in history but on playing disciplined, mistake-free football that can keep them competitive for as long as possible.
Quarterback play will be crucial, as avoiding turnovers against Alabama’s athletic and aggressive defense will be the difference between sustained drives and a lopsided scoreboard, while the offensive line must find a way to provide some level of protection against a Tide front eager to reassert itself after a disappointing performance against Florida State. Defensively, UL Monroe must stay committed to tackling fundamentals and assignment discipline, as Alabama’s size and speed advantages mean one missed assignment or one poor angle can quickly turn into a long touchdown. Special teams, too, will need to be sharp, as flipping field position or generating a spark through a return may be one of the few avenues for the Warhawks to create momentum in a hostile environment. From a betting perspective, UL Monroe sits at 1–0 ATS after easily covering in their opener, and while they enter this game as massive underdogs, there is intrigue among contrarian bettors who see potential for a backdoor cover if Alabama rotates heavily in the second half. For Vincent and his players, though, this game is about far more than numbers—it is a chance to measure themselves against the sport’s elite, to show their resilience, and to take lessons from competing in one of the sport’s most storied venues. If the Warhawks can avoid early mistakes, sustain drives long enough to keep their defense fresh, and play with the same discipline that fueled their Week 1 victory, they can leave Tuscaloosa with more than just a paycheck—they can leave with confidence and building blocks to carry into Sun Belt play, even if the scoreboard tilts heavily against them.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Alabama Crimson Tide CFB Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide return to Bryant-Denny Stadium on September 6, 2025 for their home opener against UL Monroe with urgency and determination after suffering a shocking 31–17 loss to Florida State in their season debut, a result that snapped more than two decades of season-opening victories and immediately put the spotlight on second-year head coach Kalen DeBoer and his staff. Alabama looked uncharacteristically disjointed in that loss, with the offense struggling to establish rhythm, the offensive line allowing too much pressure, and the defense yielding critical big plays that kept the Seminoles in control, leaving fans and analysts questioning leadership, discipline, and execution. The matchup with UL Monroe therefore provides not just an opportunity to get into the win column but also a chance to reestablish the program’s identity as a physical, efficient, and dominant team that can dictate terms in all three phases. Quarterback Ty Simpson will be counted on to bounce back after an inconsistent performance, and the offensive staff will look to simplify early reads and use the running game to generate balance behind what should still be one of the deepest backfields in college football.
Defensively, Alabama will be expected to play with far more focus and intensity than it showed in Orlando, particularly in the secondary where communication breakdowns proved costly, and the front seven will be tasked with reasserting themselves at the line of scrimmage by overwhelming UL Monroe’s offensive line and forcing quick, uncomfortable throws. Special teams, often overlooked in the Tide’s dynasty years, will also be a point of emphasis after some uneven execution in the opener, with DeBoer knowing that hidden yardage and momentum swings can define games even when the opponent is overmatched. From a betting perspective, Alabama enters this game 0–1 ATS after failing to cover against Florida State, and though they are enormous favorites at home, bettors will be watching closely to see whether the Tide can deliver a convincing cover that signals improvement rather than leaving the back door open for UL Monroe to sneak inside the number if backups play extended snaps in the second half. For Alabama, however, the scoreboard margin is less important than the performance itself—they need to show sharper execution, cleaner discipline, and the kind of dominance in the trenches that has long been their trademark. If Simpson distributes the ball efficiently, the offensive line imposes its will, and the defense closes down any daylight for the Warhawks’ offense, Alabama should have little trouble rolling to victory. More importantly, a commanding performance would quiet doubts, reenergize the fan base, and provide a springboard heading into tougher matchups later in the season, while anything less than a sharp, professional showing would only intensify scrutiny on a program that demands excellence every Saturday.
Game Week Central 🏈 ULM
— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) September 1, 2025
🔗: https://t.co/B7DyvwMbVQ pic.twitter.com/cpJhP2lgPD
UL Monroe vs. Alabama Prop Picks (AI)
UL Monroe vs. Alabama Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Warhawks and Crimson Tide and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Alabama’s strength factors between a Warhawks team going up against a possibly improved Crimson Tide team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI UL Monroe vs Alabama picks, computer picks Warhawks vs Crimson Tide, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Warhawks Betting Trends
UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.
Crimson Tide Betting Trends
Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.
Warhawks vs. Crimson Tide Matchup Trends
Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.
UL Monroe vs. Alabama Game Info
What time does UL Monroe vs Alabama start on September 06, 2025?
UL Monroe vs Alabama starts on September 06, 2025 at 7:45 PM EST.
Where is UL Monroe vs Alabama being played?
Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium.
What are the opening odds for UL Monroe vs Alabama?
Spread: Alabama -36.5
Moneyline: UL Monroe LOADING, Alabama LOADING
Over/Under: 50.5
What are the records for UL Monroe vs Alabama?
UL Monroe: (1-0) | Alabama: (0-1)
What is the AI best bet for UL Monroe vs Alabama?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are UL Monroe vs Alabama trending bets?
Despite Alabama’s pedigree and home-field advantage, bettors remain cautious; the Tide’s ATS stumble and UL Monroe’s defensive display have injected contrarian interest into this matchup as a potential live dog play.
What are UL Monroe trending bets?
MONROE trend: UL Monroe is 1–0 ATS, having covered comfortably in their opener with a balanced performance that leaned on stout defensive execution and a decisive shutout of St. Francis.
What are Alabama trending bets?
BAMA trend: Alabama is 0–1 ATS, failing to cover after their surprising 31–17 loss to Florida State, which also marked their first season-opening defeat since 2001 and led to a dramatic 13‑spot drop in the AP Poll.
Where can I find AI Picks for UL Monroe vs Alabama?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
UL Monroe vs. Alabama Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the UL Monroe vs Alabama trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
UL Monroe vs Alabama Opening Odds
MONROE Moneyline:
LOADING BAMA Moneyline: LOADING
MONROE Spread: +36.5
BAMA Spread: -36.5
Over/Under: 50.5
UL Monroe vs Alabama Live Odds
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Rice Owls
10/4/25 7PM
FAU
RICE
|
–
–
|
+161
-185
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 54 (-108)
U 54 (-112)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Ohio State Buckeyes
10/4/25 7:30PM
MINN
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+1156
-2500
|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
KANSAS
UCF
|
–
–
|
-200
+174
|
-5 (-106)
+5 (-114)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
COLO
TCU
|
–
–
|
+403
-530
|
+13.5 (-111)
-13.5 (-109)
|
O 58 (-108)
U 58 (-112)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
+476
-650
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 56 (-105)
U 56 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
|
–
–
|
-180
+157
|
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
|
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
|
–
–
|
+795
-1300
|
+20 (-110)
-20 (-110)
|
O 57 (-103)
U 57 (-117)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
DUKE
CAL
|
–
–
|
-147
+127
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
|
–
–
|
+406
-535
|
+13.5 (-107)
-13.5 (-113)
|
O 45 (-115)
U 45 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:30PM EDT
East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
|
–
–
|
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
|
–
–
|
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
|
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
|
–
–
|
-780
+530
|
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
-172
+142
|
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
|
–
–
|
+300
-385
|
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers UL Monroe Warhawks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide on September 06, 2025 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |