Boise State vs South Florida Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Aug 28)

Updated: 2025-08-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Boise State opens the 2025 college football season in Tampa on Thursday, August 28, traveling to face the South Florida Bulls. The Broncos are nearly 10-point road favorites, and oddsmakers have set the over/under around 63.5 points, signaling high-scoring expectations.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 28, 2025

Start Time: 5:30 PM EST​

Venue: Raymond James Stadium​

Bulls Record: (0-0)

Broncos Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

BOISE Moneyline: -310

SFLA Moneyline: +246

BOISE Spread: -8.5

SFLA Spread: +8.5

Over/Under: 63.5

BOISE
Betting Trends

  • Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.

SFLA
Betting Trends

  • South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.

BOISE vs. SFLA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brow under 222.5 Passing Yards.

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Boise State vs South Florida Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 8/28/25

The 2025 college football season gets an early jolt as the Boise State Broncos travel east to face the South Florida Bulls on Thursday, August 28, in a high-profile Group of Five showdown at Raymond James Stadium. Boise State, fresh off a 12–2 campaign and a Mountain West title, enters the game with momentum, consistency, and one of the country’s most explosive running backs in Ashton Jeanty, who led the nation in all-purpose yards last season. Under second-year head coach Spencer Danielson, the Broncos have maintained a balanced attack with quarterback Maddux Madsen at the helm and a defensive unit that allowed just 22.6 points per game in 2024, showing notable discipline and red zone toughness. Their offense averaged 37.3 points per contest, ranking top five nationally, and they return most of their starting skill players, including wideouts Latrell Caples and Eric McAlister, giving them firepower at every level. Meanwhile, South Florida enters with a dangerous dual-threat quarterback in Byrum Brown, who threw for over 3,000 yards and added 800+ on the ground in 2024, leading the Bulls to a 7–6 record and a bowl appearance under head coach Alex Golesh. The Bulls showed real growth last season, particularly on offense, averaging over 32 points per game and displaying tempo-based explosiveness and resilience in comeback situations. Their defense still allowed close to 30 points per game, but it was disruptive up front, creating turnovers and ranking among the national leaders in tackles for loss. In a matchup expected to push past 60 total points, both teams will look to strike early and often—Boise State with its methodical run-pass balance and South Florida with its high-tempo, spread-out approach.

The key matchup could be South Florida’s defensive front versus Boise State’s experienced offensive line, which returns four starters and has consistently controlled the line of scrimmage. Special teams also loom large, with both teams fielding reliable kickers and return threats capable of flipping field position. While Boise State holds a talent edge and more continuity across its depth chart, playing on the road in Florida heat with a Thursday kickoff adds a degree of volatility, especially against a team with a quarterback like Brown who can turn broken plays into touchdowns. For South Florida, the upset path involves hitting chunk plays through the air, taking advantage of turnovers, and keeping Jeanty from dictating the pace. Boise State, meanwhile, needs to limit Brown’s scrambling, establish an early lead, and control time of possession to neutralize the Bulls’ tempo. With two explosive offenses, a potential bowl preview atmosphere, and national eyes watching on opening weekend, this could be one of the most entertaining Week 1 games of the entire slate. Boise State enters as a near double-digit favorite, but South Florida’s blend of offensive creativity and early-season urgency means this game could be far tighter than the spread suggests. Expect scoring, pace, and big-play theatrics to dominate the night as both programs aim to make an immediate statement on the national stage.

Boise State Broncos CFB Preview

Boise State enters the 2025 season with considerable expectations after a strong 12–2 finish in 2024 and a Mountain West championship that reasserted their dominance among Group of Five programs. Head coach Spencer Danielson returns for his second full season after stabilizing the program and building a tough, balanced identity on both sides of the ball. The offense will once again revolve around dynamic running back Ashton Jeanty, who led the nation in all-purpose yards and was the only non-quarterback to be named a Heisman finalist last season. Jeanty’s combination of vision, burst, and receiving ability makes him a threat to score from anywhere on the field, and he’s expected to handle a heavy workload against South Florida’s aggressive but often undisciplined defense. Quarterback Maddux Madsen returns with growing confidence and experience, having thrown for over 2,700 yards with a 24-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2024, and he will have a full complement of weapons at his disposal, including wideouts Latrell Caples and Eric McAlister. Boise State’s offensive line is one of the most experienced in the nation, returning four starters who have been battle-tested in both conference and non-conference play. Defensively, the Broncos were excellent down the stretch last year, allowing fewer than 23 points per game and finishing in the top 25 in sacks and red zone efficiency, thanks to a disciplined front seven led by linebacker DJ Schramm and pass rusher Ahmed Hassanein.

Their secondary, headlined by cornerback Kaonohi Kaniho and safety JL Skinner II, is physical and opportunistic, capable of handling both man and zone assignments with poise. Boise State’s challenge in this opener will be less about talent and more about environmental factors—traveling cross-country for a Thursday kickoff in Florida’s humidity could test their stamina and execution in a fast-paced game. Additionally, South Florida’s spread system, led by mobile quarterback Byrum Brown, may stretch Boise’s linebackers horizontally in ways they haven’t experienced since last year’s loss to UCF. Special teams should be a strength for the Broncos, who return consistent kicker Jonah Dalmas and punter James Ferguson-Reynolds, both of whom can flip field position with ease. The coaching staff has emphasized discipline and ball security in preseason, knowing that early-season road games often hinge on turnovers and fourth-quarter conditioning. While Boise State is the deeper and more battle-hardened team, they cannot afford to overlook a South Florida squad that plays with tempo, confidence, and nothing to lose. If Boise sticks to its strengths—dominant line play, ball control through Jeanty, and timely pressure on defense—they should be able to wear down USF and control the tempo by the second half. However, they’ll need to survive the initial emotional surge and pace of play early on. With playoff aspirations not entirely out of the question if they run the table, this is a statement game for the Broncos and one they must treat with the urgency of a conference title bout.

Boise State opens the 2025 college football season in Tampa on Thursday, August 28, traveling to face the South Florida Bulls. The Broncos are nearly 10-point road favorites, and oddsmakers have set the over/under around 63.5 points, signaling high-scoring expectations. Boise State vs South Florida AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Aug 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

South Florida Bulls CFB Preview

South Florida kicks off its 2025 season at home in Tampa with high energy, renewed expectations, and a roster capable of pushing Boise State far deeper than most bettors anticipate. After a 7–6 campaign in 2024 that included multiple high-scoring thrillers and a bowl appearance, head coach Alex Golesh has built a competitive, up-tempo offensive system around dual-threat quarterback Byrum Brown. Brown’s return from injury late last year sparked immediate momentum, and now healthy and entering his junior season, he’s primed to take another leap after posting over 3,000 passing yards and 800 rushing yards last fall. His primary target, senior wideout Sean Atkins, remains a security blanket and vertical threat, while transfer portal additions and returning slot receiver Naiem Simmons offer speed and depth to a receiving corps that was one of the AAC’s most efficient in yards after catch. The offensive line, long a weak point for USF, is now more experienced and cohesive, and their ability to protect Brown and open running lanes for back Michel Dukes could be a quiet X-factor in keeping drives alive against Boise’s relentless front seven. Defensively, South Florida is a work in progress but no longer a liability. They return several key disruptors from a unit that ranked top 15 nationally in forced fumbles and tackles for loss, though they still gave up close to 30 points per game in 2024.

Linebacker Jhalyn Shuler and edge rusher Tramel Logan lead a front that thrives on attacking gaps and creating chaos, and if they can get into Boise’s backfield early, they’ll give the Bulls a chance to dictate momentum. The biggest question for South Florida remains its ability to stop the run consistently—last season they surrendered over 180 rushing yards per game, and going up against Ashton Jeanty and Boise State’s elite offensive line will demand the best tackling effort they’ve shown in over a year. Special teams is another area to watch, as kicker John Cannon returns with a strong leg and the coverage units were generally solid throughout 2024. Playing at home in the Florida heat gives USF an environmental edge, especially with a Thursday night crowd expected to be loud and energized in a nationally televised opener. This is also a rare opportunity for the Bulls to make a national statement—beating Boise State wouldn’t just boost morale, it would cement them as a true contender in the AAC and help with recruiting and program visibility. To pull off the upset, South Florida will need to play a nearly flawless offensive game: limit turnovers, convert in the red zone, and keep tempo high enough to wear down Boise’s defense. If Byrum Brown can extend plays, make smart decisions, and turn broken opportunities into chunk gains, USF will remain in striking distance into the fourth quarter. While they’re underdogs by more than a touchdown, the Bulls are entering this opener with optimism, offensive firepower, and an aggressive mindset, making them one of the most intriguing spoilers to watch in Week 1.

Boise State vs. South Florida Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Broncos and Bulls play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Raymond James Stadium in Aug can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brow under 222.5 Passing Yards.

Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Broncos and Bulls and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Broncos team going up against a possibly healthy Bulls team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Boise State vs South Florida picks, computer picks Broncos vs Bulls, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Broncos Betting Trends

Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.

Bulls Betting Trends

South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.

Broncos vs. Bulls Matchup Trends

Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.

Boise State vs. South Florida Game Info

Boise State vs South Florida starts on August 28, 2025 at 5:30 PM EST.

Spread: South Florida +8.5
Moneyline: Boise State -310, South Florida +246
Over/Under: 63.5

Boise State: (0-0)  |  South Florida: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brow under 222.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.

BOISE trend: Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.

SFLA trend: South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boise State vs. South Florida Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Boise State vs South Florida trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Boise State vs South Florida Opening Odds

BOISE Moneyline: -310
SFLA Moneyline: +246
BOISE Spread: -8.5
SFLA Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 63.5

Boise State vs South Florida Live Odds

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Nov 11, 2025 7:30PM EST
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11/14/25 7:30PM
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11/14/25 9PM
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11/15/25 12PM
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Nov 15, 2025 12:00PM EST
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11/15/25 12PM
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11/15/25 12PM
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Nov 15, 2025 12:00PM EST
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Navy Midshipmen
11/15/25 12PM
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11/15/25 12PM
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11/15/25 12PM
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Pittsburgh Panthers
11/15/25 12PM
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Texas A&M Aggies
11/15/25 12PM
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Indiana Hoosiers
11/15/25 12PM
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Nov 15, 2025 12:00PM EST
Kansas State Wildcats
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11/15/25 12PM
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LSU Tigers
11/15/25 12:45PM
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Nov 15, 2025 1:00PM EST
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Tulsa Golden Hurricane
11/15/25 1PM
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Nov 15, 2025 1:00PM EST
West Virginia Mountaineers
Arizona State Sun Devils
11/15/25 1PM
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Nov 15, 2025 1:30PM EST
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11/15/25 1:30PM
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Nov 15, 2025 2:00PM EST
Marshall Thundering Herd
Georgia State Panthers
11/15/25 2PM
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UAB Blazers
11/15/25 2PM
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Missouri State Bears
11/15/25 3PM
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11/15/25 3PM
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San Jose State Spartans
Nevada Wolf Pack
11/15/25 3:30PM
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UL Monroe Warhawks
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UCF Knights
Texas Tech Red Raiders
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Miami Hurricanes
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Illinois Fighting Illini
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Boston College Eagles
11/15/25 3:30PM
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Penn State Nittany Lions
Michigan State Spartans
11/15/25 3:30PM
PSU
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MTSU Blue Raiders
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
11/15/25 3:30PM
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WKY
 
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Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils
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USC Trojans
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App State Mountaineers
James Madison Dukes
11/15/25 3:30PM
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USM Golden Eagles
11/15/25 3:30PM
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Tennessee Volunteers
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FIU Panthers
11/15/25 5PM
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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Georgia Southern Eagles
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UNLV Rebels
11/15/25 7PM
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Delaware Blue Hens
Sam Houston State Bearkats
11/15/25 7PM
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Baylor Bears
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Nov 15, 2025 7:00PM EST
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Nov 15, 2025 7:30PM EST
Virginia Tech Hokies
Florida State Seminoles
11/15/25 7:30PM
VATECH
FSU
+450
-630
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
O 54.5 (-115)
U 54.5 (-105)
Nov 15, 2025 7:30PM EST
Texas Longhorns
Georgia Bulldogs
11/15/25 7:30PM
TEXAS
UGA
+176
-215
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 15, 2025 7:30PM EST
UCLA Bruins
Ohio State Buckeyes
11/15/25 7:30PM
UCLA
OHIOST
+3000
-10000
+31.5 (-110)
-31.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 15, 2025 7:45PM EST
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Missouri Tigers
11/15/25 7:45PM
MISSST
MIZZOU
+195
-235
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 51.5 (-115)
U 51.5 (-105)
Nov 15, 2025 8:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
11/15/25 8PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-152
+126
-3.5 (+100)
+3.5 (-122)
O 51.5 (-115)
U 51.5 (-105)
Nov 15, 2025 10:00PM EST
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Washington State Cougars
11/15/25 10PM
LATECH
WASHST
+240
-300
+7.5 (-114)
-7.5 (-106)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Nov 15, 2025 10:15PM EST
TCU Horned Frogs
BYU Cougars
11/15/25 10:15PM
TCU
BYU
+176
-215
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Nov 15, 2025 10:30PM EST
Boise State Broncos
San Diego State Aztecs
11/15/25 10:30PM
BOISE
SDGST
+112
-134
+2.5 (-106)
-2.5 (-114)
O 41.5 (-104)
U 41.5 (-118)
Nov 15, 2025 10:30PM EST
Wyoming Cowboys
Fresno State Bulldogs
11/15/25 10:30PM
WYO
FRESNO
+136
-164
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Ohio State Buckeyes
Indiana Hoosiers
12/6/25 8PM
OHIOST
IND
-225
+180
-5.5 (-122)
+5.5 (+100)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boise State Broncos vs. South Florida Bulls on August 28, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
AUBURN@VANDY AUBURN +6.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
DEL@LIB DEL +3.5 57.6% 7 LOSS
NMEXST@WKY NMEXST +8.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN
MICHST@MINN MAKHI FRAZIER UNDER 52.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
UNC@CUSE UNC +110 50.4% 2 WIN
MRSHL@COASTAL COASTAL +7 53.3% 3 WIN
FIU@MIZZST FIU +3.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
TEXAM@LSU MARCEL REED OVER 0.5 INT 55.5% 5 WIN
RUT@PURDUE RUT +103 54.0% 4 WIN
TOLEDO@WASHST TOLEDO -110 56.1% 6 LOSS
AUBURN@ARK ARK -128 60.5% 8 LOSS
NCST@PITT NCST +6.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
OHIO@EMICH EMICH +12 54.1% 4 WIN
TCU@WVU WVU +16.5 54.6% 4 WIN
COLO@UTAH COLO +14.5 57.7% 7 LOSS
HOU@ARIZST HOU +7.5 57.1% 7 WIN
UVA@UNC UNC +11.5 56.2% 6 WIN
MINN@IOWA MINN +9.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
UCONN@RICE RICE +10.5 57.1% 6 WIN
FAU@NAVY FAU +14.5 56.7% 6 WIN
LAMON@USM LAMON +13.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
BOISE@NEVADA NEVADA +21.5 56.8% 6 WIN
SALA@GAST GAST +6.5 54.3% 4 LOSS
MIZZST@NMEXST MIZZST -108 54.4% 4 WIN
KENSAW@FIU FIU +3 53.7% 3 LOSS
KENTST@TOLEDO KENTST +24.5 56.9% 6 LOSS
OLDDOM@JMAD JMAD -125 57.9% 7 WIN
TXTECH@ARIZST TXTECH -6.5 54.2% 4 LOSS