Boise State vs South Florida Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Aug 28)
Updated: 2025-08-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Boise State opens the 2025 college football season in Tampa on Thursday, August 28, traveling to face the South Florida Bulls. The Broncos are nearly 10-point road favorites, and oddsmakers have set the over/under around 63.5 points, signaling high-scoring expectations.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Aug 28, 2025
Start Time: 5:30 PM EST
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Bulls Record: (0-0)
Broncos Record: (0-0)
OPENING ODDS
BOISE Moneyline: -310
SFLA Moneyline: +246
BOISE Spread: -8.5
SFLA Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 63.5
BOISE
Betting Trends
- Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.
SFLA
Betting Trends
- South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.
BOISE vs. SFLA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brow under 222.5 Passing Yards.
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Boise State vs South Florida Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 8/28/25
The key matchup could be South Florida’s defensive front versus Boise State’s experienced offensive line, which returns four starters and has consistently controlled the line of scrimmage. Special teams also loom large, with both teams fielding reliable kickers and return threats capable of flipping field position. While Boise State holds a talent edge and more continuity across its depth chart, playing on the road in Florida heat with a Thursday kickoff adds a degree of volatility, especially against a team with a quarterback like Brown who can turn broken plays into touchdowns. For South Florida, the upset path involves hitting chunk plays through the air, taking advantage of turnovers, and keeping Jeanty from dictating the pace. Boise State, meanwhile, needs to limit Brown’s scrambling, establish an early lead, and control time of possession to neutralize the Bulls’ tempo. With two explosive offenses, a potential bowl preview atmosphere, and national eyes watching on opening weekend, this could be one of the most entertaining Week 1 games of the entire slate. Boise State enters as a near double-digit favorite, but South Florida’s blend of offensive creativity and early-season urgency means this game could be far tighter than the spread suggests. Expect scoring, pace, and big-play theatrics to dominate the night as both programs aim to make an immediate statement on the national stage.
Starting off strong 🔨
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) August 27, 2025
Marco Notarainni is the week 1 hammer carrier. #BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/wltjsKNtYO
Boise State Broncos CFB Preview
Boise State enters the 2025 season with considerable expectations after a strong 12–2 finish in 2024 and a Mountain West championship that reasserted their dominance among Group of Five programs. Head coach Spencer Danielson returns for his second full season after stabilizing the program and building a tough, balanced identity on both sides of the ball. The offense will once again revolve around dynamic running back Ashton Jeanty, who led the nation in all-purpose yards and was the only non-quarterback to be named a Heisman finalist last season. Jeanty’s combination of vision, burst, and receiving ability makes him a threat to score from anywhere on the field, and he’s expected to handle a heavy workload against South Florida’s aggressive but often undisciplined defense. Quarterback Maddux Madsen returns with growing confidence and experience, having thrown for over 2,700 yards with a 24-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2024, and he will have a full complement of weapons at his disposal, including wideouts Latrell Caples and Eric McAlister. Boise State’s offensive line is one of the most experienced in the nation, returning four starters who have been battle-tested in both conference and non-conference play. Defensively, the Broncos were excellent down the stretch last year, allowing fewer than 23 points per game and finishing in the top 25 in sacks and red zone efficiency, thanks to a disciplined front seven led by linebacker DJ Schramm and pass rusher Ahmed Hassanein.
Their secondary, headlined by cornerback Kaonohi Kaniho and safety JL Skinner II, is physical and opportunistic, capable of handling both man and zone assignments with poise. Boise State’s challenge in this opener will be less about talent and more about environmental factors—traveling cross-country for a Thursday kickoff in Florida’s humidity could test their stamina and execution in a fast-paced game. Additionally, South Florida’s spread system, led by mobile quarterback Byrum Brown, may stretch Boise’s linebackers horizontally in ways they haven’t experienced since last year’s loss to UCF. Special teams should be a strength for the Broncos, who return consistent kicker Jonah Dalmas and punter James Ferguson-Reynolds, both of whom can flip field position with ease. The coaching staff has emphasized discipline and ball security in preseason, knowing that early-season road games often hinge on turnovers and fourth-quarter conditioning. While Boise State is the deeper and more battle-hardened team, they cannot afford to overlook a South Florida squad that plays with tempo, confidence, and nothing to lose. If Boise sticks to its strengths—dominant line play, ball control through Jeanty, and timely pressure on defense—they should be able to wear down USF and control the tempo by the second half. However, they’ll need to survive the initial emotional surge and pace of play early on. With playoff aspirations not entirely out of the question if they run the table, this is a statement game for the Broncos and one they must treat with the urgency of a conference title bout.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
South Florida Bulls CFB Preview
South Florida kicks off its 2025 season at home in Tampa with high energy, renewed expectations, and a roster capable of pushing Boise State far deeper than most bettors anticipate. After a 7–6 campaign in 2024 that included multiple high-scoring thrillers and a bowl appearance, head coach Alex Golesh has built a competitive, up-tempo offensive system around dual-threat quarterback Byrum Brown. Brown’s return from injury late last year sparked immediate momentum, and now healthy and entering his junior season, he’s primed to take another leap after posting over 3,000 passing yards and 800 rushing yards last fall. His primary target, senior wideout Sean Atkins, remains a security blanket and vertical threat, while transfer portal additions and returning slot receiver Naiem Simmons offer speed and depth to a receiving corps that was one of the AAC’s most efficient in yards after catch. The offensive line, long a weak point for USF, is now more experienced and cohesive, and their ability to protect Brown and open running lanes for back Michel Dukes could be a quiet X-factor in keeping drives alive against Boise’s relentless front seven. Defensively, South Florida is a work in progress but no longer a liability. They return several key disruptors from a unit that ranked top 15 nationally in forced fumbles and tackles for loss, though they still gave up close to 30 points per game in 2024.
Linebacker Jhalyn Shuler and edge rusher Tramel Logan lead a front that thrives on attacking gaps and creating chaos, and if they can get into Boise’s backfield early, they’ll give the Bulls a chance to dictate momentum. The biggest question for South Florida remains its ability to stop the run consistently—last season they surrendered over 180 rushing yards per game, and going up against Ashton Jeanty and Boise State’s elite offensive line will demand the best tackling effort they’ve shown in over a year. Special teams is another area to watch, as kicker John Cannon returns with a strong leg and the coverage units were generally solid throughout 2024. Playing at home in the Florida heat gives USF an environmental edge, especially with a Thursday night crowd expected to be loud and energized in a nationally televised opener. This is also a rare opportunity for the Bulls to make a national statement—beating Boise State wouldn’t just boost morale, it would cement them as a true contender in the AAC and help with recruiting and program visibility. To pull off the upset, South Florida will need to play a nearly flawless offensive game: limit turnovers, convert in the red zone, and keep tempo high enough to wear down Boise’s defense. If Byrum Brown can extend plays, make smart decisions, and turn broken opportunities into chunk gains, USF will remain in striking distance into the fourth quarter. While they’re underdogs by more than a touchdown, the Bulls are entering this opener with optimism, offensive firepower, and an aggressive mindset, making them one of the most intriguing spoilers to watch in Week 1.
Captains for week 1 🤝#ComeToTheBay | #StayInTheBay pic.twitter.com/N88zNrBVVC
— USF Football (@USFFootball) August 27, 2025
Boise State vs. South Florida Prop Picks (AI)
Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Broncos and Bulls and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Broncos team going up against a possibly deflated Bulls team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Boise State vs South Florida picks, computer picks Broncos vs Bulls, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Broncos Betting Trends
Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.
Bulls Betting Trends
South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.
Broncos vs. Bulls Matchup Trends
Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.
Boise State vs. South Florida Game Info
What time does Boise State vs South Florida start on August 28, 2025?
Boise State vs South Florida starts on August 28, 2025 at 5:30 PM EST.
Where is Boise State vs South Florida being played?
Venue: Raymond James Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Boise State vs South Florida?
Spread: South Florida +8.5
Moneyline: Boise State -310, South Florida +246
Over/Under: 63.5
What are the records for Boise State vs South Florida?
Boise State: (0-0) | South Florida: (0-0)
What is the AI best bet for Boise State vs South Florida?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brow under 222.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Boise State vs South Florida trending bets?
Despite Boise State being heavy favorites, early sharp action has backed South Florida and the over, implying confidence in USF’s offensive upside under returning quarterback Byrum Brown, even against a Pac-12-caliber spread.
What are Boise State trending bets?
BOISE trend: Boise State covered 50% of their games in 2024 ATS, finishing with a 7–7 spread record, though their dominance at home remained intact.
What are South Florida trending bets?
SFLA trend: South Florida also posted a 53.9% ATS record (7–6) last year—a modestly positive result that included several surprising covers, especially in high-scoring games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Boise State vs South Florida?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Boise State vs. South Florida Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Boise State vs South Florida trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Boise State vs South Florida Opening Odds
BOISE Moneyline:
-310 SFLA Moneyline: +246
BOISE Spread: -8.5
SFLA Spread: +8.5
Over/Under: 63.5
Boise State vs South Florida Live Odds
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U 52.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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U 48.5 (-110)
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U 58.5 (-110)
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U 43.5 (-115)
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O 44.5 (-115)
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TCU Horned Frogs
West Virginia Mountaineers
10/25/25 6PM
TCU
WVU
|
–
–
|
-580
+420
|
-14.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Oregon Ducks
10/25/25 7PM
WISC
OREG
|
–
–
|
|
+34.5 (-115)
-34.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-118)
U 44.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Troy Trojans
10/25/25 7PM
UL
TROY
|
–
–
|
+280
-360
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-108)
U 48.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
10/25/25 7PM
STNFRD
MIAMI
|
–
–
|
+3500
-10000
|
+30.5 (-115)
-30.5 (-105)
|
O 45.5 (-104)
U 45.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/25/25 7PM
GASO
ARKST
|
–
–
|
+112
-134
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
MICH
MICHST
|
–
–
|
-630
+450
|
-13.5 (-120)
+13.5 (-102)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
|
–
–
|
-140
+116
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-104)
U 48.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
+1600
-4500
|
+25.5 (-110)
-25.5 (-110)
|
O 55.5 (-104)
U 55.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-335
+265
|
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
|
O 53.5 (-118)
U 53.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+250
-315
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+375
-500
|
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
|
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Boise State Broncos vs. South Florida Bulls on August 28, 2025 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |