Fresno State vs Kansas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Aug 23)

Updated: 2025-08-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Kansas Jayhawks open their 2025 season at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, August 23, hosting the Fresno State Bulldogs. Kansas is a robust 13.5‑ to 14‑point favorite, with the over/under set at about 51.5 points.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 23, 2025

Start Time: 6:30 PM EST​

Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium​

Jayhawks Record: (0-0)

Bulldogs Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

FRESNO Moneyline: +396

KANSAS Moneyline: -535

FRESNO Spread: +14

KANSAS Spread: -14.0

Over/Under: 51.5

FRESNO
Betting Trends

  • Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.

KANSAS
Betting Trends

  • Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.

FRESNO vs. KANSAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Daniels over 250.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.

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Fresno State vs Kansas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 8/23/25

The 2025 college football season kicks off with a Week 0 non-conference matchup between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Kansas Jayhawks on August 23 in Lawrence, Kansas. While Kansas enters as a solid 13.5 to 14-point home favorite, this game marks a significant early test for both programs as they look to rebound from underwhelming 2024 campaigns and establish positive momentum out of the gate. Kansas is under the continued guidance of head coach Lance Leipold, whose steady leadership and improved recruiting have raised expectations in Lawrence, even after last year’s 5–7 record. The Jayhawks are looking to capitalize on a new offensive system under coordinator Jeff Grimes and get back to a bowl game for the second time in three years, with quarterback play being the x-factor—whether it’s the return of the often-injured Jalon Daniels or a younger passer stepping up. On the other side, Fresno State begins a new era with head coach Matt Entz, formerly of North Dakota State, known for building tough, defensively sound teams with disciplined execution. The Bulldogs finished 6–7 last year but had strengths in turnover margin and third-down conversion that hint at underlying competitiveness not reflected in their win total. Playing on the road in a Power 5 environment is no small task, but Entz’s approach is likely to emphasize mistake-free football, ball control, and exploiting special teams or short fields.

Kansas, meanwhile, has a history of playing well in early-season matchups and will be eager to showcase its offensive upgrades and retooled defense in front of a home crowd energized by recent stadium renovations. For bettors, the spread suggests a belief in Kansas’ overall roster advantage and home-field edge, but sharp money has shown interest in Fresno State covering, especially with a veteran offensive line and a coach known for crafting game plans that neutralize more talented opponents. If Kansas can control tempo, convert red-zone chances, and avoid the special teams miscues that hurt them in 2024, they’re well-positioned to not only win but potentially cover. But if Fresno State is able to sustain drives, win time of possession, and pressure the quarterback into mistakes, this game could tighten in the second half. The over/under hovering around 51.5 indicates moderate expectations for scoring, with potential for explosive plays balanced by early-season rust. Ultimately, this opener serves as a compelling tone-setter: Kansas has the tools to make a statement and take a first confident step toward bowl eligibility, while Fresno State can send an early shockwave through the Group of Five conversation by pulling off an upset or keeping things uncomfortably close. Regardless of the final score, it will provide an early glimpse into how ready each team is for the grind of the 2025 season.

Fresno State Bulldogs CFB Preview

Fresno State enters the 2025 season with a clean slate and a new head coach in Matt Entz, who takes over following a turbulent 6–7 campaign in 2024 that saw the Bulldogs lose consistency on both sides of the ball. Entz brings a winning pedigree from North Dakota State, where he led the Bison to multiple FCS titles through a physical, disciplined brand of football rooted in defensive fundamentals and time-of-possession dominance. That approach should immediately influence a Fresno State team that showed promise in turnover differential last season (+9) but lacked efficiency in the red zone and struggled to finish games against stronger opponents. Quarterback Mikey Keene, a UCF transfer who started most of last season, is expected to return and guide an offense that will emphasize ball control and intermediate passing routes. He’ll be joined by running back Malik Sherrod, one of the few bright spots from 2024, whose agility and yards-after-contact ability could play a critical role against a Kansas front that gave up chunk plays late last year. Fresno’s offensive line returns most of its core and will be tasked with keeping Keene upright and generating lanes for Sherrod in an effort to extend drives and wear down the Jayhawks’ defense. The receiving corps may not have a dominant number one, but depth and speed across multiple formations will allow Entz to get creative in spacing and tempo.

Defensively, the Bulldogs are looking to reestablish a firm identity after allowing nearly 30 points per game in 2024. Entz is expected to implement a 4–3 base that prioritizes gap discipline and strong tackling fundamentals, and he’ll lean on veteran linebacker Levelle Bailey and defensive end Johnny Hudson III to lead the charge. The secondary, which struggled against vertical threats last year, has reportedly made strides in camp, and much will depend on their ability to keep Kansas’ receivers in front and limit explosive gains. Special teams have also seen attention under the new staff, particularly kick coverage and punt execution, which could prove pivotal in a game where field position is expected to play a major role. Fresno State may not be built to win a shootout, but their path to covering the spread—and potentially pulling off an early-season upset—will come through efficient clock management, avoiding turnovers, and limiting Kansas’ possessions. Entz’s calm leadership and detail-oriented preparation are ideal for opening-week road environments, and his roster has enough experience to execute a conservative but effective game plan. If Keene can avoid pressure, the defense can force Kansas into long third downs, and Fresno maintains its edge in special teams discipline, this game could become far more competitive than the double-digit spread implies. The Bulldogs don’t need fireworks to win—they just need structure, patience, and the ability to capitalize on Kansas mistakes. If those factors align, Fresno State could leave Lawrence with far more than moral victories.

The Kansas Jayhawks open their 2025 season at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium on Saturday, August 23, hosting the Fresno State Bulldogs. Kansas is a robust 13.5‑ to 14‑point favorite, with the over/under set at about 51.5 points. Fresno State vs Kansas AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Aug 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas Jayhawks CFB Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks enter the 2025 season with optimism and a clear sense of urgency, seeking to bounce back from a disappointing 5–7 record in 2024 and reclaim the upward trajectory that head coach Lance Leipold established in his early tenure. Though the Jayhawks fell short of bowl eligibility last season, they pulled off multiple wins over ranked opponents, showcasing their potential and resilience in big moments—particularly in Lawrence, where their home-field advantage continues to grow in significance. Quarterback Jalon Daniels remains the centerpiece of Kansas’ offense, provided he’s fully healthy, bringing dual-threat capabilities and veteran poise that can elevate the unit’s efficiency in both the passing and run games. If Daniels is unable to go, sophomore backup Cole Ballard or another emerging talent from Leipold’s quarterback room will need to step up quickly, especially with new offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes implementing a simplified yet aggressive scheme tailored for tempo and play-action effectiveness. The Jayhawks return a dynamic backfield led by Devin Neal, whose blend of vision and burst makes him one of the Big 12’s most underrated weapons, and Daniel Hishaw Jr., a punishing runner who thrives in short-yardage and goal-line situations. The offensive line, anchored by Mike Novitsky and Ar’maj Reed-Adams, is one of the most experienced in the conference and will be key in establishing early rhythm against a Fresno State defense that struggled with run fits in 2024.

At receiver, Lawrence Arnold and Quentin Skinner provide size and reliable hands on the outside, while Luke Grimm offers route precision and versatility in the slot. Defensively, Kansas must shore up a unit that was inconsistent last year, particularly in tackling and red-zone stands, but there are reasons for optimism. Returning starters like safety O.J. Burroughs and linebacker Rich Miller bring leadership, while defensive linemen Jereme Robinson and Tommy Dunn Jr. offer disruptive potential up front. Special teams are expected to be a strength, with kicker Seth Keller and punter Damon Greaves both back after solid 2024 campaigns, and the return game should benefit from improved blocking schemes and a deeper pool of athletic returners. With the newly renovated David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium set to host its first game of the season, the energy in Lawrence should be electric, and the team will look to use that momentum to dictate the game’s pace from the opening drive. Kansas’ path to covering the spread lies in starting fast, avoiding turnovers, and winning early-down efficiency to put Fresno State on its heels. If the Jayhawks can force the Bulldogs into a more aggressive game script and prevent them from shortening the game with time-consuming drives, the offensive firepower and defensive athleticism should be enough to put the game away in the second half. This opener is more than a tune-up—it’s an opportunity for Kansas to show that last year’s struggles were an anomaly and that this team is ready to compete for a top-half finish in the new-look Big 12.

Fresno State vs. Kansas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Jayhawks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Aug rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Daniels over 250.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.

Fresno State vs. Kansas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Bulldogs and Jayhawks and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors often put on Kansas’s strength factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly deflated Jayhawks team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Fresno State vs Kansas picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Jayhawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Bulldogs Betting Trends

Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.

Jayhawks Betting Trends

Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.

Bulldogs vs. Jayhawks Matchup Trends

Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.

Fresno State vs. Kansas Game Info

Fresno State vs Kansas starts on August 23, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST.

Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.

Spread: Kansas -14.0
Moneyline: Fresno State +396, Kansas -535
Over/Under: 51.5

Fresno State: (0-0)  |  Kansas: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Daniels over 250.5 Passing + Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite Kansas being heavy double-digit favorites, early action suggests some sharp bettors back Fresno State to cover at +13.5 or +14, indicating belief the Bulldogs are better than their record and can hang late in Lawrence or catch Kansas flat to start the year.

FRESNO trend: Fresno State struggled in 2024, finishing 6–7, and posted a negative turnover margin and average scoring, making them a tough underdog scenario—ATS records aren’t official but market sentiment heavily favored their opponents.

KANSAS trend: Kansas ended last season at 5–7, yet managed surprise wins over ranked teams; they often outperformed spreads in openers and home games, especially under former coach Leipold.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Fresno State vs. Kansas Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Fresno State vs Kansas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Fresno State vs Kansas Opening Odds

FRESNO Moneyline: +396
KANSAS Moneyline: -535
FRESNO Spread: +14
KANSAS Spread: -14.0
Over/Under: 51.5

Fresno State vs Kansas Live Odds

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10/23/25 7:30PM
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Virginia Tech Hokies
10/24/25 7:30PM
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10/24/25 10PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
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10/25/25 12PM
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IND
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Northwestern Wildcats
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
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10/25/25 12PM
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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SMU
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Syracuse Orange
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U 54.5 (-105)
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App State Mountaineers
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U 63.5 (-110)
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Ole Miss Rebels
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OLEMISS
OKLA
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Kansas State Wildcats
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KSTATE
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Auburn Tigers
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10/25/25 12:45PM
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ARK
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Akron Zips
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UConn Huskies
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U 51.5 (-106)
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U 57.5 (-115)
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Texas Longhorns
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MISSST
-285
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O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
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Wisconsin Badgers
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WISC
OREG
 
 
+34.5 (-115)
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UL
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+290
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U 48.5 (-112)
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Stanford Cardinal
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STNFRD
MIAMI
+3500
-20000
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-30.5 (-105)
O 45.5 (-104)
U 45.5 (-118)
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+105
-126
+2.5 (-115)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
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-690
+480
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+13.5 (-102)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
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Texas A&M Aggies
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-140
+116
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O 48.5 (-104)
U 48.5 (-118)
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Boston College Eagles
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BC
LVILLE
+1400
-4000
+25.5 (-110)
-25.5 (-110)
O 55.5 (-104)
U 55.5 (-118)
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+180
-220
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
-345
+265
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
O 53.5 (-118)
U 53.5 (-104)
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
+245
-310
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
+385
-520
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks on August 23, 2025 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
FSU@STNFRD STNFRD +18 56.6% 6 WIN
WASHST@UVA WASHST +17.5 58.8% 8 WIN
NEVADA@NMEX NEVADA +13.5 57.8% 7 WIN
TEXAS@UK ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD 56.1% 6 WIN
ARMY@TULANE ARMY +10 55.3% 5 WIN
SJST@UTAHST SJST +4 54.4% 4 LOSS
LVILLE@MIAMI LVILLE +12.5 56.5% 6 WIN
LVILLE@MIAMI CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 54.4 4 LOSS
DEL@JAXST DEL -2.5 57.6% 6 LOSS
UTEP@SAMST UTEP -2.5 53.9% 3 WIN
FIU@WKY FIU +10.5 54.6% 4 WIN
ARKST@SALA ARKST +7.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ARKST@SALA JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP 53.3% 3 WIN
SJST@WYO SJST -120 59.8% 7 LOSS
UMASS@KENTST KENTST -135 60.2% 6 WIN
NOILL@EMICH EMICH +2.5 53.9% 3 WIN
BYU@ARIZ ARIZ +2.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
OKLA@TEXAS OKLA +2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NMEX@BOISE NMEX +16.5 56.4% 6 WIN
WAKE@OREGST WAKE -2.5 56.7% 6 WIN
ULMON@COASTAL ULMON -2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
IOWA@WISC WISC +4 54.8% 4 LOSS
TOLEDO@BGREEN TOLEDO -10 56.3% 6 LOSS
SFLA@NOTEX SFLA +2.5 54.3% 4 WIN
FRESNO@COLOST RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
JAXST@SAMST SAMST +7.5 55.3% 5 WIN
USM@GAS GAS +3.5 57.4% 7 WIN
LIB@UTEP UTEP +2 54.5% 4 LOSS
SALA@TROY SALA -118 55.2% 4 LOSS
TULSA@MEMP MEMP -20.5 53.8% 3 WIN
JMAD@GAST GAST +20.5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAKE@VATECH VATECH -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
UNLV@WYO WYO +4.5 55.5% 5 LOSS
PSU@UCLA PSU -24.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TXSTSM@ARKST TXSTSM -13 56.7% 6 LOSS
UVA@LVILLE ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
WVU@BYU WVU +20.5 54.7% 4 WIN
SAMST@NMEXST SAMST -1.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN