Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 09)

Updated: 2024-11-02T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On November 9, 2024, the Fresno State Bulldogs will face the Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. This Mountain West Conference matchup is pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings late in the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 09, 2024

Start Time: 10:45 PM EST​

Venue: Falcon Stadium​

Falcons Record: (1-7)

Bulldogs Record: (5-4)

OPENING ODDS

FRESNO Moneyline: -418

AF Moneyline: +321

FRESNO Spread: -10.5

AF Spread: +10.5

Over/Under: 41

FRESNO
Betting Trends

  • The Fresno State Bulldogs have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% success rate against the spread (ATS).

AF
Betting Trends

  • The Air Force Falcons have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 2 of their last 6 home games, reflecting a 33.3% success rate.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, highlighting the competitive nature of this series.

FRESNO vs. AF
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/9/24

The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Air Force Falcons are set to clash in a crucial Mountain West Conference game on November 9, 2024, at Falcon Stadium. Both teams are aiming to bolster their conference standings as the season approaches its climax. Fresno State’s offense has been dynamic, averaging 34.4 points per game. Quarterback Mikey Keene has been instrumental, amassing 2,500 passing yards and 20 touchdowns, complemented by his 300 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns. Running back Malik Sherrod has been a key contributor, leading the ground game with 800 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Wide receiver Jalen Moss has been a reliable target, accumulating 700 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, the Bulldogs have shown resilience, allowing an average of 24.5 points per game.

Linebacker Levelle Bailey leads the team with 70 tackles and 5.0 sacks, providing stability in a unit that has been effective against both the run and the pass. The secondary has been solid, allowing 210.5 passing yards per game, which will be tested against Air Force’s unique offensive scheme. On the other hand, Air Force’s offense has been prolific, averaging 31.5 points per game. Quarterback Zac Larrier has thrown for 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, with wide receiver David Cormier contributing 500 receiving yards and five touchdowns. The rushing attack, led by running back Brad Roberts with 1,000 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, has been the cornerstone of their offense. Defensively, the Falcons have faced challenges, allowing an average of 28.0 points per game. Linebacker Alec Mock leads the team with 65 tackles and 4.0 sacks, anchoring a unit that has been vulnerable against high-powered offenses. The secondary has been susceptible, allowing 250.0 passing yards per game, which could be a concern against Fresno State’s balanced offensive attack. Key matchups to watch include Fresno State’s passing attack against Air Force’s pass defense. The Bulldogs’ ability to exploit the Falcons’ secondary could be a determining factor. Conversely, Air Force will aim to establish their rushing game against a Fresno State defense that allows 120.0 rushing yards per game. Historically, this series has been competitive, with both teams securing victories in recent years. The Falcons will look to leverage their home-field advantage, while the Bulldogs aim to secure a crucial road win to bolster their postseason aspirations. Given the offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, this game could be a high-scoring affair. The outcome may hinge on which team can capitalize on the other’s weaknesses and execute their game plan effectively. Fans can anticipate a competitive encounter as both teams vie for a crucial conference victory.

Fresno State Bulldogs CFB Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have enjoyed a solid season, currently holding a 6-3 record. Offensively, they have been prolific, averaging 34.4 points per game. Quarterback Mikey Keene has been the linchpin of the offense, amassing 2,500 passing yards and 20 touchdowns. His connection with wide receiver Jalen Moss, who has 700 receiving yards and six touchdowns, has been particularly fruitful, making them a formidable duo in the passing game. The ground game, led by running back Malik Sherrod, has been crucial for Fresno State’s balanced offensive approach, with Sherrod contributing 800 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. This combination of effective passing and a strong rushing attack allows Fresno State to keep defenses off-balance and control the tempo of games. Keene’s poise and Sherrod’s consistency on the ground will be essential if the Bulldogs hope to exploit Air Force’s defensive vulnerabilities. Defensively, Fresno State has shown resilience, allowing an average of 24.5 points per game. Linebacker Levelle Bailey has been a standout, leading the team with 70 tackles and 5.0 sacks. Bailey’s impact on both the run defense and as a pass rusher has been invaluable to the Bulldogs’ defense, especially as they face high-powered offenses in the Mountain West Conference. However, the secondary has been solid but will need to tighten up against the disciplined Air Force offense that relies on a heavy rushing attack and strategic passing plays. For Fresno State to succeed against Air Force, they will need to leverage their balanced offense, with Keene’s passing ability and Sherrod’s productivity on the ground working in tandem. Maintaining long, productive drives and capitalizing on scoring opportunities will be crucial in keeping Air Force’s offense off the field. Defensively, Fresno State must focus on containing Air Force’s ground game, especially Brad Roberts, who has been highly productive, and limiting the impact of Larrier and Cormier in the passing game. Heading into this game, Fresno State is highly motivated to secure a key conference victory on the road and solidify their positioning within the Mountain West. A win in Colorado Springs would provide a significant boost to their confidence and postseason aspirations. By emphasizing disciplined execution, maximizing offensive opportunities, and maintaining a strong defensive front, the Bulldogs have the potential to make this a competitive game and potentially come away with a crucial win.

On November 9, 2024, the Fresno State Bulldogs will face the Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs, Colorado. This Mountain West Conference matchup is pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings late in the season. Fresno State vs Air Force AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Air Force Falcons CFB Preview

The Air Force Falcons have faced a challenging season, currently holding a 5-4 record. Offensively, they have averaged 31.5 points per game. Quarterback Zac Larrier has been the linchpin of the offense, amassing 1,200 passing yards and 10 touchdowns. His connection with wide receiver David Cormier, who has 500 receiving yards and five touchdowns, has been particularly fruitful, making them a formidable duo in the passing game. The rushing attack, led by Brad Roberts, has been equally impressive, contributing 1,000 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns, indicating a balanced offensive strategy. Defensively, the Falcons have been formidable, allowing 28.0 points per game. The secondary has been effective, conceding 250.0 passing yards per game, which has limited big plays from opponents. Linebacker Alec Mock has been a standout, leading the team with 65 tackles and 4.0 sacks, providing stability and leadership on the defensive front. For Air Force to succeed against Fresno State, they will need to maintain their offensive momentum, particularly in the rushing game, as they face a team eager to exploit their secondary. Offensively, maintaining their ground game will be crucial, as establishing the run can control the clock and keep Fresno State’s offense off the field. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, and kicker Matthew Dapore, who has contributed 69 points this season, may be called upon in critical moments. Playing at home provides the Falcons with a familiar environment and the support of their fans, which could serve as a morale booster. However, they will need to execute flawlessly and address their defensive vulnerabilities to stand a chance against the Bulldogs. The coaching staff will likely emphasize discipline and minimizing mistakes, as any turnovers or lapses in concentration could be costly against a team like Fresno State.

Fresno State vs. Air Force Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Falcon Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Fresno State vs. Air Force Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Bulldogs and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly unhealthy Falcons team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Fresno State vs Air Force picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Bulldogs Betting Trends

The Fresno State Bulldogs have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% success rate against the spread (ATS).

Falcons Betting Trends

The Air Force Falcons have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 2 of their last 6 home games, reflecting a 33.3% success rate.

Bulldogs vs. Falcons Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, highlighting the competitive nature of this series.

Fresno State vs. Air Force Game Info

Fresno State vs Air Force starts on November 09, 2024 at 10:45 PM EST.

Spread: Air Force +10.5
Moneyline: Fresno State -418, Air Force +321
Over/Under: 41

Fresno State: (5-4)  |  Air Force: (1-7)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the underdog has covered the spread four times, highlighting the competitive nature of this series.

FRESNO trend: The Fresno State Bulldogs have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 games, indicating a 66.7% success rate against the spread (ATS).

AF trend: The Air Force Falcons have struggled ATS at home, covering in only 2 of their last 6 home games, reflecting a 33.3% success rate.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Fresno State vs. Air Force Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Fresno State vs Air Force trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Fresno State vs Air Force Opening Odds

FRESNO Moneyline: -418
AF Moneyline: +321
FRESNO Spread: -10.5
AF Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 41

Fresno State vs Air Force Live Odds

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O 50 (-110)
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MTSU Blue Raiders
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Oct 22, 2025 9:00PM EDT
Missouri State Bears
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O 52 (-110)
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South Alabama Jaguars
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O 56 (-110)
U 56 (-110)
Oct 24, 2025 7:00PM EDT
North Texas Mean Green
Charlotte 49ers
10/24/25 7PM
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CHARLO
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+1800
-27 (-110)
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O 61.5 (-110)
U 61.5 (-110)
Oct 24, 2025 7:30PM EDT
California Golden Bears
Virginia Tech Hokies
10/24/25 7:30PM
CAL
VATECH
+165
-200
+4.5 (-110)
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
Oct 24, 2025 10:00PM EDT
Boise State Broncos
Nevada Wolf Pack
10/24/25 10PM
BOISE
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-1800
+1000
-21.5 (-110)
+21.5 (-110)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Virginia Cavaliers
North Carolina Tar Heels
10/25/25 12PM
UVA
UNC
-400
+305
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Bowling Green Falcons
Kent State Golden Flashes
10/25/25 12PM
BGREEN
KENT
-330
+260
-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Purdue Boilermakers
10/25/25 12PM
RUT
PURDUE
-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
Memphis Tigers
10/25/25 12PM
SFLA
MEMP
-205
+170
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
O 63.5 (-110)
U 63.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
Indiana Hoosiers
10/25/25 12PM
UCLA
IND
+1400
-2800
+25 (-110)
-25 (-110)
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Northwestern Wildcats
Nebraska Cornhuskers
10/25/25 12PM
NWEST
NEB
+230
-285
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
Eastern Michigan Eagles
10/25/25 12PM
OHIO
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-475
+355
-12.5 (-110)
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O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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10/25/25 12PM
SMU
WAKE
-175
+145
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Syracuse Orange
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+600
-900
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O 54 (-110)
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App State Mountaineers
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O 63 (-110)
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Ole Miss Rebels
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OLEMISS
OKLA
+170
-205
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Kansas State Wildcats
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KSTATE
KANSAS
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Auburn Tigers
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10/25/25 12:45PM
AUBURN
ARK
-105
-115
+1.5 (-115)
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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Akron Zips
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AKRON
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+275
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O 47.5 (-110)
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UConn Huskies
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-375
+290
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O 48.5 (-110)
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O 61.5 (-110)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
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IOWA
+265
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O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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+120
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O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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O 54 (-105)
U 54 (-115)
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+175
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O 41 (-115)
U 41 (-105)
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U 62.5 (-110)
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O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
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Umass Minutemen
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U 47 (-110)
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Missouri Tigers
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+115
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O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
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NC State Wolfpack
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O 57 (-110)
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U 50.5 (-110)
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-260
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O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
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O 56.5 (-110)
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OREG
 
 
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Stanford Cardinal
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+2000
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O 45.5 (-110)
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Georgia Southern Eagles
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U 62.5 (-110)
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Michigan Wolverines
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10/25/25 7:30PM
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-600
+430
-14 (-110)
+14 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
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-140
+115
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
+1300
-2500
+25.5 (-115)
-25.5 (-105)
O 55.5 (-105)
U 55.5 (-115)
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Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
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WYO
+190
-235
+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
-350
+275
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
+245
-310
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
+420
-575
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Air Force Falcons on November 09, 2024 at Falcon Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
FSU@STNFRD STNFRD +18 56.6% 6 WIN
WASHST@UVA WASHST +17.5 58.8% 8 WIN
NEVADA@NMEX NEVADA +13.5 57.8% 7 WIN
TEXAS@UK ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD 56.1% 6 WIN
ARMY@TULANE ARMY +10 55.3% 5 WIN
SJST@UTAHST SJST +4 54.4% 4 LOSS
LVILLE@MIAMI LVILLE +12.5 56.5% 6 WIN
LVILLE@MIAMI CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 54.4 4 LOSS
DEL@JAXST DEL -2.5 57.6% 6 LOSS
UTEP@SAMST UTEP -2.5 53.9% 3 WIN
FIU@WKY FIU +10.5 54.6% 4 WIN
ARKST@SALA ARKST +7.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ARKST@SALA JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP 53.3% 3 WIN
SJST@WYO SJST -120 59.8% 7 LOSS
UMASS@KENTST KENTST -135 60.2% 6 WIN
NOILL@EMICH EMICH +2.5 53.9% 3 WIN
BYU@ARIZ ARIZ +2.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
OKLA@TEXAS OKLA +2.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NMEX@BOISE NMEX +16.5 56.4% 6 WIN
WAKE@OREGST WAKE -2.5 56.7% 6 WIN
ULMON@COASTAL ULMON -2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
IOWA@WISC WISC +4 54.8% 4 LOSS
TOLEDO@BGREEN TOLEDO -10 56.3% 6 LOSS
SFLA@NOTEX SFLA +2.5 54.3% 4 WIN
FRESNO@COLOST RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
JAXST@SAMST SAMST +7.5 55.3% 5 WIN
USM@GAS GAS +3.5 57.4% 7 WIN
LIB@UTEP UTEP +2 54.5% 4 LOSS
SALA@TROY SALA -118 55.2% 4 LOSS
TULSA@MEMP MEMP -20.5 53.8% 3 WIN
JMAD@GAST GAST +20.5 54.6% 4 WIN
WAKE@VATECH VATECH -5.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
UNLV@WYO WYO +4.5 55.5% 5 LOSS
PSU@UCLA PSU -24.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TXSTSM@ARKST TXSTSM -13 56.7% 6 LOSS
UVA@LVILLE ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
WVU@BYU WVU +20.5 54.7% 4 WIN
SAMST@NMEXST SAMST -1.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN