Bulldogs vs. Longhorns
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 28 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2024-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) face a daunting task as they take on the Texas Longhorns (4-0) on September 28, 2024, at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is heavily favored by 38.5 points in what could be a lopsided SEC matchup, with Mississippi State reeling after three consecutive losses.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 4:15 PM EST
Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Longhorns Record: (4-0)
Bulldogs Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
MISSST Moneyline: +1325
TEXAS Moneyline: -10000
MISSST Spread: +38.5
TEXAS Spread: -38.5
Over/Under: 61.5
MISSST
Betting Trends
- Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games in September. Their struggles on both sides of the ball have been evident, particularly in their recent 45-28 loss to Florida.
TEXAS
Betting Trends
- Texas has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including blowout victories over weaker opponents. The Longhorns have consistently outperformed their lofty point spreads, winning by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game this season.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Texas has consistently hit the over in most of their recent games, especially when facing non-ranked opponents. Given their offensive firepower and Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, this matchup could see the total points easily surpass 62.5.
MISSST vs. TEXAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
Texas, meanwhile, has been dominant on both sides of the ball. Even with quarterback Quinn Ewers dealing with injuries, backup Arch Manning has stepped in seamlessly, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns. The Longhorns’ balanced offense features running back Jerrick Gibson, who has rushed for 210 yards and three touchdowns, and a talented receiving corps led by Isaiah Bond, who has 290 yards and three touchdowns. The key to this game will be Texas’ defense, which has allowed just 11.5 points per game and recorded seven interceptions. Mississippi State’s offense will struggle to keep pace if Texas can generate early turnovers and maintain pressure. With Texas favored by 38.5 points, this game could turn into another blowout if the Longhorns’ offense continues its high-scoring ways.
Ring that Ball Out Bell, 2️⃣#SHOWTIME | #HailState pic.twitter.com/XqcCJe0Nzd
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) September 24, 2024
Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview
Mississippi State heads into this game with a 1-3 record and plenty of questions surrounding its defense, which has allowed 32.3 points per game this season. The Bulldogs are coming off a 45-28 loss to Florida, where quarterback Blake Shapen threw for 243 yards and two touchdowns, but the defense gave up 482 total yards. Mississippi State’s inability to stop the run and cover receivers in space has been a recurring issue, something they’ll need to correct quickly against a Texas team that excels in both areas. Offensively, Mississippi State has relied on Shapen, who has 974 passing yards and eight touchdowns. However, their ground game has been inconsistent, with Johnnie Daniels leading the team with just 158 rushing yards. Mississippi State will need to establish the run early and protect the football if they want to stay competitive against the heavily favored Longhorns. Given Mississippi State’s struggles on defense, this game could get out of hand quickly if they are unable to slow down Texas’ high-powered offense. The Bulldogs will need a near-perfect performance to keep this game close.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Texas Longhorns CFB Preview
The Texas Longhorns are firing on all cylinders as they enter their Week 5 matchup against Mississippi State. After a commanding 4-0 start to the season, Texas looks like one of the most complete teams in the country. The Longhorns have averaged over 44 points per game while holding opponents to just 11.5 points, creating massive point differentials in each contest. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has been effective when healthy, but backup Arch Manning has been a reliable option, throwing for 576 yards and seven touchdowns in relief. On the ground, Jerrick Gibson leads the rushing attack with 210 yards and three scores. The Longhorns’ offensive line has been dominant, allowing their playmakers time to thrive both in the run game and through the air. Defensively, Texas has been stout, with linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. leading the team with 25 tackles, two sacks, and an interception. If Texas can continue its trend of forcing turnovers and keeping opponents out of the end zone, they should have no trouble extending their winning streak.
SEC play is here 🤘
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) September 23, 2024
🏈 Texas vs. Mississippi State
📅 Saturday, Sept. 28 | 3:15 PM CT
📍 DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
📺 SEC Network
Presented by American Airlines pic.twitter.com/3HB4Ngnhws
Mississippi State vs. Texas Prop Picks (AI)
Mississippi State vs. Texas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Bulldogs and Longhorns and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor emotional bettors tend to put on Texas’s strength factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly strong Longhorns team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Mississippi State vs Texas picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Longhorns, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CFB | 9/26 | TCU@ARIZST | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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|
CFB | 9/26 | FSU@UVA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Bulldogs Betting Trends
Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games in September. Their struggles on both sides of the ball have been evident, particularly in their recent 45-28 loss to Florida.
Longhorns Betting Trends
Texas has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including blowout victories over weaker opponents. The Longhorns have consistently outperformed their lofty point spreads, winning by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game this season.
Bulldogs vs. Longhorns Matchup Trends
Texas has consistently hit the over in most of their recent games, especially when facing non-ranked opponents. Given their offensive firepower and Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, this matchup could see the total points easily surpass 62.5.
Mississippi State vs. Texas Game Info
What time does Mississippi State vs Texas start on September 28, 2024?
Mississippi State vs Texas starts on September 28, 2024 at 4:15 PM EST.
Where is Mississippi State vs Texas being played?
Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Mississippi State vs Texas?
Spread: Texas -38.5
Moneyline: Mississippi State +1325, Texas -10000
Over/Under: 61.5
What are the records for Mississippi State vs Texas?
Mississippi State: (1-3) | Texas: (4-0)
What is the AI best bet for Mississippi State vs Texas?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Mississippi State vs Texas trending bets?
Texas has consistently hit the over in most of their recent games, especially when facing non-ranked opponents. Given their offensive firepower and Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, this matchup could see the total points easily surpass 62.5.
What are Mississippi State trending bets?
MISSST trend: Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season and has failed to cover the spread in seven straight games in September. Their struggles on both sides of the ball have been evident, particularly in their recent 45-28 loss to Florida.
What are Texas trending bets?
TEXAS trend: Texas has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including blowout victories over weaker opponents. The Longhorns have consistently outperformed their lofty point spreads, winning by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game this season.
Where can I find AI Picks for Mississippi State vs Texas?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Mississippi State vs. Texas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Mississippi State vs Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Mississippi State vs Texas Opening Odds
MISSST Moneyline:
+1325 TEXAS Moneyline: -10000
MISSST Spread: +38.5
TEXAS Spread: -38.5
Over/Under: 61.5
Mississippi State vs Texas Live Odds
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+230
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-180
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+167
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–
–
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+146
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+3.5 (-110)
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O 56 (-110)
U 56 (-110)
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Oregon Ducks
Penn State Nittany Lions
9/27/25 7:30PM
OREG
PSU
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–
–
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+146
-170
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+3.5 (-105)
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O 53 (-110)
U 53 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:30PM EDT
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9/27/25 7:30PM
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BOISE
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–
–
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-750
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-16.5 (-110)
|
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
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Alabama Crimson Tide
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9/27/25 7:30PM
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–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+2.5 (-110)
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|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:30PM EDT
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9/27/25 7:30PM
UMASS
MIZZOU
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–
–
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-44.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:30PM EDT
San Jose State Spartans
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9/27/25 7:30PM
SJST
STNFRD
|
–
–
|
+129
-150
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Washington State Cougars
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9/27/25 7:30PM
WASHST
COLOST
|
–
–
|
+175
-205
|
+5.5 (-110)
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|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Kentucky Wildcats
South Carolina Gamecocks
9/27/25 7:45PM
UK
SC
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–
–
|
+180
-210
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Marshall Thundering Herd
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
9/27/25 8PM
MARSH
UL
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–
–
|
-125
+105
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:00PM EDT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
UTEP Miners
9/27/25 9PM
LATECH
UTEP
|
–
–
|
-175
+150
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:15PM EDT
BYU Cougars
Colorado Buffaloes
9/27/25 10:15PM
BYU
COLO
|
–
–
|
-235
+200
|
-6.5 (-110)
+6.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Ohio State Buckeyes
10/4/25 12PM
MINN
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
|
+21 (-110)
-21 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kentucky Wildcats
Georgia Bulldogs
10/4/25 12PM
UK
UGA
|
–
–
|
|
+20.5 (-110)
-20.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Clemson Tigers
North Carolina Tar Heels
10/4/25 12PM
CLEM
UNC
|
–
–
|
-550
+400
|
-12.5 (-115)
+12.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Michigan Wolverines
10/4/25 12PM
WISC
MICH
|
–
–
|
+580
-880
|
+15.5 (-105)
-15.5 (-115)
|
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 1:00PM EDT
UTSA Roadrunners
Temple Owls
10/4/25 1PM
UTSA
TEMPLE
|
–
–
|
-210
+172
|
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Vanderbilt Commodores
Alabama Crimson Tide
10/4/25 3:30PM
VANDY
BAMA
|
–
–
|
+360
-480
|
+11.5 (-102)
-11.5 (-120)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Washington Huskies
Maryland Terrapins
10/4/25 3:30PM
WASH
MD
|
–
–
|
|
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Boise State Broncos
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
10/4/25 3:30PM
BOISE
ND
|
–
–
|
+365
-490
|
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
|
O 61.5 (-110)
U 61.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
Florida Gators
10/4/25 3:30PM
TEXAS
FLA
|
–
–
|
-300
+240
|
-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Kent State Golden Flashes
Oklahoma Sooners
10/4/25 4PM
KENT
OKLA
|
–
–
|
|
+45.5 (-110)
-45.5 (-110)
|
O 52.5 (-115)
U 52.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Michigan State Spartans
Nebraska Cornhuskers
10/4/25 4PM
MICHST
NEB
|
–
–
|
+360
-480
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns on September 28, 2024 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LSU@CLEM | GARRETT NUSSMEIER OVER 23.5 PASS COMP | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
WMICH@MICHST | WMICH +21.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
ND@OHIOST | WILL HOWARD INTERCEPTIONS OVER 0.5 | 54.80% | 4 | LOSS |
OHIOST@TEXAS | WILL HOWARD PASS + RUSH YDS UNDER 262.5 | 54.70% | 4 | LOSS |
GEORGIA@TEXAS | TEXAS -144 | 54.40% | 4 | LOSS |
AUBURN@BAMA | PAYTON THORNE PASS TDS - UNDER 1.5 | 53.20% | 3 | WIN |
PURDUE@IND | IND -28.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
FRESNO@UCLA | T.J. HARDEN LONGEST RUSH OVER 17.5 YDS | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
TENN@VANDY | VANDY +10.5 | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
WVU@TXTECH | TXTECH -2.5 | 54.60% | 4 | WIN |
SC@CLEM | CLEM -130 | 58.70% | 4 | LOSS |
TCU@CINCY | TCU -3 | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |