Illinois vs Penn State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 28)
Updated: 2024-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Illinois Fighting Illini (4-0) will face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) on September 28, 2024, at Beaver Stadium. Penn State is a 17.5-point favorite, and both teams are undefeated in what should be a pivotal Big Ten matchup. Illinois comes in with a balanced attack, while Penn State’s defense has been stifling.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Beaver Stadium
Nittany Lions Record: (3-0)
Fighting Illini Record: (4-0)
OPENING ODDS
ILL Moneyline: +636
PSU Moneyline: -1000
ILL Spread: +17.5
PSU Spread: -17.5
Over/Under: 47.5
ILL
Betting Trends
- Illinois has covered the spread in four of their last six games. However, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Penn State.
PSU
Betting Trends
- Penn State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games. The Nittany Lions have also covered in 10 of their last 11 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Penn State has won 17 of their last 20 games straight up, and the total has gone under in five of the last seven matchups between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs.
ILL vs. PSU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Illinois vs Penn State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
Penn State, on the other hand, has been dominant on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 729 yards and eight touchdowns, showcasing the Lions’ balanced offensive attack. Their defense, anchored by linebacker Abdul Carter and defensive back Jaylen Reed, has been stellar, allowing just 13 points per game while smothering both the run and pass.
Penn State is favored by 17.5 points, but Illinois’ ability to compete in tough games could make this contest more competitive than the spread suggests. Both teams come in with plenty of momentum, but Penn State’s superior depth and talent, particularly on defense, could be the deciding factor. Illinois will need to play a near-perfect game, limiting turnovers and controlling the clock, to keep it close. If Penn State’s offense continues to click, they could cover the spread, but Illinois has shown resilience in covering against tough opponents this season.
The games keep getting bigger and better.#Illini // #HTTO // #famILLy pic.twitter.com/pDxeYMcdfV
— Illinois Football (@IlliniFootball) September 23, 2024
Illinois Fighting Illini CFB Preview
Illinois comes into this game with an impressive 4-0 record, led by quarterback Luke Altmyer, who has thrown for 862 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Altmyer has been mistake-free, which will be critical against a Penn State defense that thrives on turnovers and pressuring quarterbacks. Illinois has been effective on the ground as well, with running back Kaden Feagin averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Wide receiver Pat Bryant has emerged as Altmyer’s favorite target, racking up 309 receiving yards and six touchdowns so far this season. Defensively, Illinois has been stout, allowing just 12.5 points per game. Their ability to stop the run, allowing just over 100 rushing yards per game, will be crucial in slowing down Penn State’s dynamic rushing duo of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. Illinois will need to focus on containing Penn State’s explosive offense and force them into long third-down situations. Illinois will need to play their best game of the season to upset Penn State on the road. If they can control the clock with their run game and force a few key turnovers, they could keep this game within reach. However, Penn State’s depth and experience at home could ultimately prove too much for Illinois to overcome.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Penn State Nittany Lions CFB Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions have started their 2024 campaign in dominating fashion, going 3-0 behind an explosive offense and a top-tier defense. Drew Allar has been the engine behind Penn State’s offense, completing 69% of his passes for 729 yards and eight touchdowns through three games. Allar has been efficient in spreading the ball around, with key contributions from running back Nicholas Singleton, who averages 8.5 yards per carry, and tight end Tyler Warren, who has 226 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Penn State’s defense has been equally impressive, allowing just 13 points per game. The Lions have been excellent in stopping the run, giving up only 84.7 rushing yards per game, and have been solid in pass defense, allowing just 150.7 passing yards per game. Penn State’s home-field advantage at Beaver Stadium is another factor that plays into their favor, where they’ve won 10 of their last 11 games. The key for Penn State will be maintaining balance on offense and applying constant pressure on Illinois quarterback Luke Altmyer. If they can force Illinois into passing situations and limit their rushing attack, Penn State should be able to control the game and potentially cover the 17.5-point spread.
Bring. The. Noise. 🔊 pic.twitter.com/1UklAoQUJq
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) September 25, 2024
Illinois vs. Penn State Prop Picks (AI)
Illinois vs. Penn State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Fighting Illini and Nittany Lions and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing weight emotional bettors tend to put on Penn State’s strength factors between a Fighting Illini team going up against a possibly healthy Nittany Lions team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Illinois vs Penn State picks, computer picks Fighting Illini vs Nittany Lions, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Fighting Illini Betting Trends
Illinois has covered the spread in four of their last six games. However, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Penn State.
Nittany Lions Betting Trends
Penn State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games. The Nittany Lions have also covered in 10 of their last 11 home games.
Fighting Illini vs. Nittany Lions Matchup Trends
Penn State has won 17 of their last 20 games straight up, and the total has gone under in five of the last seven matchups between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs.
Illinois vs. Penn State Game Info
What time does Illinois vs Penn State start on September 28, 2024?
Illinois vs Penn State starts on September 28, 2024 at 7:30 PM EST.
Where is Illinois vs Penn State being played?
Venue: Beaver Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Illinois vs Penn State?
Spread: Penn State -17.5
Moneyline: Illinois +636, Penn State -1000
Over/Under: 47.5
What are the records for Illinois vs Penn State?
Illinois: (4-0) | Penn State: (3-0)
What is the AI best bet for Illinois vs Penn State?
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Illinois vs Penn State trending bets?
Penn State has won 17 of their last 20 games straight up, and the total has gone under in five of the last seven matchups between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs.
What are Illinois trending bets?
ILL trend: Illinois has covered the spread in four of their last six games. However, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Penn State.
What are Penn State trending bets?
PSU trend: Penn State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games. The Nittany Lions have also covered in 10 of their last 11 home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Illinois vs Penn State?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Illinois vs. Penn State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Illinois vs Penn State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Illinois vs Penn State Opening Odds
ILL Moneyline:
+636 PSU Moneyline: -1000
ILL Spread: +17.5
PSU Spread: -17.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Illinois vs Penn State Live Odds
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U 51.5 (-108)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 24, 2025 10:00PM EDT
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BOISE
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-3000
+1200
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-21.5 (-114)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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UNC
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-375
+290
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-10.5 (-105)
+10.5 (-115)
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O 52.5 (-105)
U 52.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Bowling Green Falcons
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10/25/25 12PM
BGREEN
KENT
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–
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-315
+250
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-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Purdue Boilermakers
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-140
+115
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-2.5 (-115)
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O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
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SFLA
MEMP
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-200
+164
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-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
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O 64.5 (-106)
U 64.5 (-114)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
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+1400
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Northwestern Wildcats
Nebraska Cornhuskers
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–
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+225
-280
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+6.5 (+104)
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O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
Eastern Michigan Eagles
10/25/25 12PM
OHIO
EMICH
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–
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-450
+340
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-12.5 (-110)
+12.5 (-110)
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O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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SMU
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-166
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Syracuse Orange
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
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+610
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O 54.5 (-115)
U 54.5 (-105)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
App State Mountaineers
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-490
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O 63.5 (-110)
U 63.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ole Miss Rebels
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OLEMISS
OKLA
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+168
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kansas State Wildcats
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+122
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Auburn Tigers
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10/25/25 12:45PM
AUBURN
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-106
-113
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+1.5 (-115)
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O 57.5 (-105)
U 57.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Akron Zips
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10/25/25 1PM
AKRON
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+260
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+9.5 (-115)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
UConn Huskies
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U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
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+115
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
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+265
-335
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+8.5 (-110)
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O 39.5 (-105)
U 39.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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BAMA
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-465
+350
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O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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U 49.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Ball State Cardinals
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–
–
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+176
-215
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+5.5 (-110)
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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Washington State Cougars
10/25/25 3:30PM
TOLEDO
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-105
-115
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+1.5 (-115)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Florida Atlantic Owls
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10/25/25 3:30PM
FAU
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–
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+470
-670
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+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
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O 62.5 (-115)
U 62.5 (-105)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Illinois Fighting Illini
Washington Huskies
10/25/25 3:30PM
ILL
WASH
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–
–
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+146
-178
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+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
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O 55.5 (-105)
U 55.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Umass Minutemen
Central Michigan Chippewas
10/25/25 3:30PM
UMASS
CMICH
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–
–
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-800
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-16.5 (-115)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
San Diego State Aztecs
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/25/25 3:30PM
SDGST
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–
–
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-150
+125
|
-3.5 (+102)
+3.5 (-124)
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O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Missouri Tigers
Vanderbilt Commodores
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MIZZOU
VANDY
|
–
–
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+122
-146
|
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-118)
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O 51.5 (-114)
U 51.5 (-106)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
NC State Wolfpack
Pittsburgh Panthers
10/25/25 3:30PM
NCST
PITT
|
–
–
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+190
-235
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+6.5 (-110)
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O 57.5 (-105)
U 57.5 (-115)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Western Michigan Broncos
Miami Ohio Redhawks
10/25/25 3:30PM
WMICH
MIAOH
|
–
–
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+114
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+2.5 (-110)
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O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
UL Monroe Warhawks
USM Golden Eagles
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MONROE
USM
|
–
–
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+340
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+11.5 (-105)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Texas Tech Red Raiders
10/25/25 4PM
OKLAST
TXTECH
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–
–
|
+3500
-10000
|
+38.5 (-110)
-38.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-115)
U 56.5 (-105)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Cincinnati Bearcats
10/25/25 4PM
BAYLOR
CINCY
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–
–
|
+152
-184
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
Mississippi State Bulldogs
10/25/25 4:15PM
TEXAS
MISSST
|
–
–
|
-295
+235
|
-7.5 (-105)
+7.5 (-115)
|
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-105)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 6:00PM EDT
TCU Horned Frogs
West Virginia Mountaineers
10/25/25 6PM
TCU
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–
–
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-600
+430
|
-14.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-110)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Oregon Ducks
10/25/25 7PM
WISC
OREG
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–
–
|
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+34.5 (-115)
-34.5 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Troy Trojans
10/25/25 7PM
UL
TROY
|
–
–
|
+290
-375
|
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-115)
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O 48.5 (-108)
U 48.5 (-112)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
10/25/25 7PM
STNFRD
MIAMI
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–
–
|
+3500
-20000
|
+30.5 (-115)
-30.5 (-105)
|
O 45.5 (-104)
U 45.5 (-118)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/25/25 7PM
GASO
ARKST
|
–
–
|
+105
-126
|
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
|
O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
MICH
MICHST
|
–
–
|
-690
+480
|
-13.5 (-120)
+13.5 (-102)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
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–
–
|
-140
+116
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-104)
U 48.5 (-118)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
+1400
-4000
|
+25.5 (-110)
-25.5 (-110)
|
O 55.5 (-104)
U 55.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
|
–
–
|
+180
-220
|
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-345
+265
|
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
|
O 53.5 (-118)
U 53.5 (-104)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+255
-320
|
+8.5 (-118)
-8.5 (-104)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+385
-520
|
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
|
O 49.5 (-115)
U 49.5 (-105)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Penn State Nittany Lions on September 28, 2024 at Beaver Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |