Sam Houston State vs UCF Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 07)
Updated: 2024-08-31T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Sam Houston Bearkats will face the UCF Knights on September 7, 2024, at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida. Both teams are entering this matchup with wins in their season openers, but UCF is heavily favored with a 21.5-point spread due to their dominant performance last week.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 07, 2024
Start Time: 6:30 PM EST
Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium
Knights Record: (1-0)
Bearkats Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
SAMST Moneyline: +898
UCF Moneyline: -1667
SAMST Spread: +21
UCF Spread: -21.0
Over/Under: 59
SAMST
Betting Trends
- Sam Houston is 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games as an underdog, showing resilience in covering spreads even when losing straight up. They have averaged 25 points per game while allowing 23 points over their last five road games.
UCF
Betting Trends
- UCF is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a betting favorite, despite having a 3-2 straight-up record in those games. At home, their ATS record is 3-7 in the last 10 matchups, indicating struggles to cover large spreads.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- While UCF is favored by 21.5 points, the Knights have only covered the spread once in their last five games as favorites. Meanwhile, Sam Houston has a strong ATS record as an underdog, suggesting they could potentially cover the spread even if they don’t win outright.
SAMST vs. UCF
Best Prop Bet
- Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Sam Houston vs UCF matchup. QB KJ Jefferson Under 187.5 Passing Yards
LIVE CFB ODDS
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Sam Houston State vs UCF Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/7/24
Defensively, both teams come into this game after strong performances. Sam Houston allowed just 274 yards against Rice and was particularly stout against the run, giving up only 47 rushing yards. Their defense also forced two interceptions, demonstrating their ability to create turnovers. UCF’s defense was even more dominant, limiting New Hampshire to 166 total yards and forcing two interceptions as well. This sets up a fascinating battle between two well-prepared defenses. The key to this game will be whether Sam Houston can contain UCF’s explosive ground game while also capitalizing on their own offensive opportunities. UCF’s home-field advantage and depth might give them the upper hand, but if Sam Houston can force turnovers and control the tempo, they could keep it closer than expected.
Hear from @CoachKCKeeler as he previewed this weekend's game at UCF at his weekly media availability this morning #EatEmUpKats
— Sam Houston Football (@BearkatsFB) September 3, 2024
Full Presser: https://t.co/gQxeHPk5rJ pic.twitter.com/gq0XcDi8mn
Sam Houston State Bearkats CFB Preview
The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game as significant underdogs but with optimism following their 34-14 win over Rice. Transitioning from FCS to FBS, the Bearkats are looking to prove they can compete at a higher level. Quarterback Hunter Watson was efficient, passing for 229 yards and two touchdowns. His dual-threat ability was also on display, adding 57 rushing yards. Wide receiver Qua’Vez Humphreys emerged as a key target, totaling 93 receiving yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Sam Houston impressed by holding Rice to just 274 total yards, including only 47 on the ground. Their ability to stop the run will be crucial against UCF’s powerful rushing attack. The Bearkats also showed a knack for creating turnovers with two interceptions, something they will need to replicate against a UCF team that has occasionally been turnover-prone. The Bearkats will need a near-flawless performance to pull off an upset against UCF. They will likely focus on a balanced offensive approach while emphasizing ball security and controlling the clock to limit UCF’s offensive possessions.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
UCF Knights CFB Preview
The UCF Knights head into their game against Sam Houston full of confidence after a 57-3 demolition of New Hampshire in their opener. Under head coach Gus Malzahn, now in his fourth year, the Knights have established themselves as a high-powered offense. In their first game, the Knights put up 639 total yards, including an eye-popping 454 rushing yards. RJ Harvey was the star of the show, rushing for 142 yards on just 11 carries, averaging nearly 13 yards per carry. His explosive ability to break off big runs will be crucial against a Sam Houston defense that was solid against the run last week. Quarterback KJ Jefferson, who transferred in for this season, managed 164 passing yards and two touchdowns but also threw an interception and completed only half of his passes. He will need to be more efficient in the passing game to complement UCF’s potent rushing attack. Defensively, the Knights were nearly perfect in their opener, allowing only 166 yards and forcing two turnovers. They’ll look to maintain that level of play to limit a balanced Sam Houston offense.
Game 2 Helmets
— UCF Football (@UCF_Football) September 3, 2024
Thanks to our friends at @APHospital 💛 pic.twitter.com/onsi1exdLn
Sam Houston State vs. UCF Prop Picks (AI)
Sam Houston State vs. UCF Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Bearkats and Knights and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Bearkats team going up against a possibly unhealthy Knights team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Sam Houston State vs UCF picks, computer picks Bearkats vs Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Bearkats Betting Trends
Sam Houston is 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games as an underdog, showing resilience in covering spreads even when losing straight up. They have averaged 25 points per game while allowing 23 points over their last five road games.
Knights Betting Trends
UCF is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a betting favorite, despite having a 3-2 straight-up record in those games. At home, their ATS record is 3-7 in the last 10 matchups, indicating struggles to cover large spreads.
Bearkats vs. Knights Matchup Trends
While UCF is favored by 21.5 points, the Knights have only covered the spread once in their last five games as favorites. Meanwhile, Sam Houston has a strong ATS record as an underdog, suggesting they could potentially cover the spread even if they don’t win outright.
Sam Houston State vs. UCF Game Info
What time does Sam Houston State vs UCF start on September 07, 2024?
Sam Houston State vs UCF starts on September 07, 2024 at 6:30 PM EST.
Where is Sam Houston State vs UCF being played?
Venue: FBC Mortgage Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Sam Houston State vs UCF?
Spread: UCF -21.0
Moneyline: Sam Houston State +898, UCF -1667
Over/Under: 59
What are the records for Sam Houston State vs UCF?
Sam Houston State: (1-0) | UCF: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Sam Houston State vs UCF?
Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Sam Houston vs UCF matchup. QB KJ Jefferson Under 187.5 Passing Yards. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Sam Houston State vs UCF trending bets?
While UCF is favored by 21.5 points, the Knights have only covered the spread once in their last five games as favorites. Meanwhile, Sam Houston has a strong ATS record as an underdog, suggesting they could potentially cover the spread even if they don’t win outright.
What are Sam Houston State trending bets?
SAMST trend: Sam Houston is 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games as an underdog, showing resilience in covering spreads even when losing straight up. They have averaged 25 points per game while allowing 23 points over their last five road games.
What are UCF trending bets?
UCF trend: UCF is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a betting favorite, despite having a 3-2 straight-up record in those games. At home, their ATS record is 3-7 in the last 10 matchups, indicating struggles to cover large spreads.
Where can I find AI Picks for Sam Houston State vs UCF?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Sam Houston State vs. UCF Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Sam Houston State vs UCF trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Sam Houston State vs UCF Opening Odds
SAMST Moneyline:
+898 UCF Moneyline: -1667
SAMST Spread: +21
UCF Spread: -21.0
Over/Under: 59
Sam Houston State vs UCF Live Odds
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U 58.5 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
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O 59 (-108)
U 59 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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O 55 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kansas State Wildcats
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O 57 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Auburn Tigers
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Oct 25, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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O 48 (-105)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
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O 62.5 (-108)
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Illinois Fighting Illini
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+165
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O 55 (-108)
U 55 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Umass Minutemen
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-750
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O 46.5 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
San Diego State Aztecs
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O 48 (-105)
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Missouri Tigers
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+123
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U 52.5 (-114)
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NC State Wolfpack
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+200
-240
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O 56 (-108)
U 56 (-108)
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Western Michigan Broncos
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MIAOH
|
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+115
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O 41 (-114)
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+370
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O 50 (-108)
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–
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+3500
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O 56.5 (-103)
U 56.5 (-114)
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Baylor Bears
Cincinnati Bearcats
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–
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+174
-200
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+5 (-106)
-5 (-106)
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O 67.5 (-108)
U 67.5 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
Mississippi State Bulldogs
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MISSST
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–
–
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-260
+215
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-7 (-103)
+7 (-109)
|
O 44.5 (-119)
U 44.5 (+102)
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TCU Horned Frogs
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–
–
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-625
+461
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-15 (-106)
+15 (-106)
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O 56.5 (-108)
U 56.5 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Wisconsin Badgers
Oregon Ducks
10/25/25 7PM
WISC
OREG
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–
–
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+33.5 (-106)
-33.5 (-106)
|
O 44 (-124)
U 44 (+106)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Troy Trojans
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UL
TROY
|
–
–
|
+270
-335
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+9.5 (-106)
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O 47.5 (-108)
U 47.5 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
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STNFRD
MIAMI
|
–
–
|
+3500
-10000
|
+30 (-101)
-30 (-111)
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O 45 (-113)
U 45 (-104)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/25/25 7PM
GASO
ARKST
|
–
–
|
+115
-135
|
+2 (-101)
-2 (-111)
|
O 63 (+104)
U 63 (-121)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
MICH
MICHST
|
–
–
|
-600
+446
|
-14 (-101)
+14 (-111)
|
O 48 (-108)
U 48 (-108)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
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–
–
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-145
+125
|
-2.5 (-116)
+2.5 (+104)
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O 47.5 (-108)
U 47.5 (-108)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
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–
–
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+1300
-2500
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+25.5 (-108)
-25.5 (-104)
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O 55 (-108)
U 55 (-108)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
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–
–
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+200
-240
|
+6 (+100)
-6 (-112)
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O 46 (-116)
U 46 (-101)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-350
+280
|
-9.5 (-104)
+9.5 (-108)
|
O 55 (-108)
U 55 (-108)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+245
-300
|
+7.5 (-106)
-7.5 (-106)
|
O 47 (-108)
U 47 (-108)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+420
-575
|
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Sam Houston State Bearkats vs. UCF Knights on September 07, 2024 at FBC Mortgage Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |