Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 07)
Updated: 2024-08-31T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Liberty Flames will face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Liberty enters the game as a heavy favorite with a 22-point spread. Both teams are coming off season-opening wins, but the Flames are expected to have the upper hand in this Conference USA clash.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 07, 2024
Start Time: 10:15 PM EST
Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium
Aggies Record: (1-0)
Flames Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
LIB Moneyline: -2174
NMEXST Moneyline: +1043
LIB Spread: -22.5
NMEXST Spread: +22.5
Over/Under: 58.5
LIB
Betting Trends
- Liberty is 0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season after a 41-24 win over Campbell. Despite the win, the Flames failed to cover a large spread, indicating some defensive gaps that they will need to address against New Mexico State.
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- New Mexico State is also 0-1 ATS this season, following a close 23-16 win over Southeast Missouri State. The Aggies struggled to put away their opponent, covering the spread only late in the game, which suggests potential weaknesses on both sides of the ball.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in three of their last five home games as underdogs. This suggests that they perform well when underestimated at home, which could be an interesting factor against a heavily favored Liberty team.
LIB vs. NMEXST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points
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Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/7/24
New Mexico State, under head coach Tony Sanchez, is coming off a 10-5 season and aims to build on that success. The Aggies narrowly defeated Southeast Missouri State 23-16 in their season opener, relying heavily on their running game led by Seth McGowan, who rushed for 87 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Parker Awad struggled, throwing for just 37 yards and an interception, indicating potential issues in their passing attack. The Aggies’ defense held strong in the end but will need a more balanced effort against a high-powered Liberty offense. For New Mexico State to stay competitive, they will need to limit mistakes, control the clock, and create opportunities on defense
that's a whole lotta yards pic.twitter.com/p2FOOAq6eU
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) September 3, 2024
Liberty Flames CFB Preview
The Liberty Flames come into this game with confidence following their dominant performance last season and a solid start to the 2024 campaign. Head coach Jamey Chadwell’s squad defeated Campbell 41-24 in their opener, demonstrating a balanced offensive approach with quarterback Kaidon Salter and running back Quinton Cooley leading the charge. Salter’s efficient passing and Cooley’s powerful running provide Liberty with multiple ways to attack defenses, making them a difficult team to prepare for. Defensively, Liberty has room for improvement after allowing points in each quarter against Campbell. The Flames must focus on reducing penalties and tightening up coverage to avoid giving New Mexico State any momentum. The defensive line, led by standout defensive end Durrell Johnson, will be key in pressuring New Mexico State’s struggling passing game. If Liberty can control the tempo and minimize mistakes, they should be able to cover the spread and secure a comfortable win on the road.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New Mexico State Aggies CFB Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies look to upset the favored Liberty Flames in this early-season showdown. Coming off a 10-5 season that ended with a loss in the New Mexico Bowl, the Aggies have shown they can compete but need to be more consistent, particularly on offense. Head coach Tony Sanchez will likely emphasize a run-heavy approach, as quarterback Parker Awad struggled to find his rhythm in their opener. With only 37 passing yards and an interception, the Aggies need to find more balance offensively to challenge a well-rounded Liberty defense. Defensively, New Mexico State held Southeast Missouri State to just 16 points, but the challenge will be much greater against Liberty’s versatile attack. Key players like linebacker Trevor Brohard will need to step up to limit Liberty’s rushing and passing threats. If the Aggies can force turnovers and keep the game close, they have a chance to cover the spread, especially given their recent history of performing well as home underdogs.
𝑾𝑬𝑬𝑲 𝑻𝑾𝑶 𝑼𝑵𝑫𝑬𝑹 𝑻𝑯𝑬 𝑳𝑰𝑮𝑯𝑻𝑺 🏟️
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) September 2, 2024
🆚 Liberty
📆 Sept. 7
⏰ 8:15 pm
📺 ESPN2
🎟️ https://t.co/hi4YBQiZ6P#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/ACmnUag2bt
Liberty vs. New Mexico State Prop Picks (AI)
Liberty vs. New Mexico State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Flames and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly deflated Aggies team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Liberty vs New Mexico State picks, computer picks Flames vs Aggies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Flames Betting Trends
Liberty is 0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season after a 41-24 win over Campbell. Despite the win, the Flames failed to cover a large spread, indicating some defensive gaps that they will need to address against New Mexico State.
Aggies Betting Trends
New Mexico State is also 0-1 ATS this season, following a close 23-16 win over Southeast Missouri State. The Aggies struggled to put away their opponent, covering the spread only late in the game, which suggests potential weaknesses on both sides of the ball.
Flames vs. Aggies Matchup Trends
New Mexico State has covered the spread in three of their last five home games as underdogs. This suggests that they perform well when underestimated at home, which could be an interesting factor against a heavily favored Liberty team.
Liberty vs. New Mexico State Game Info
What time does Liberty vs New Mexico State start on September 07, 2024?
Liberty vs New Mexico State starts on September 07, 2024 at 10:15 PM EST.
Where is Liberty vs New Mexico State being played?
Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Liberty vs New Mexico State?
Spread: New Mexico State +22.5
Moneyline: Liberty -2174, New Mexico State +1043
Over/Under: 58.5
What are the records for Liberty vs New Mexico State?
Liberty: (1-0) | New Mexico State: (1-0)
What is the AI best bet for Liberty vs New Mexico State?
Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Liberty vs New Mexico State trending bets?
New Mexico State has covered the spread in three of their last five home games as underdogs. This suggests that they perform well when underestimated at home, which could be an interesting factor against a heavily favored Liberty team.
What are Liberty trending bets?
LIB trend: Liberty is 0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season after a 41-24 win over Campbell. Despite the win, the Flames failed to cover a large spread, indicating some defensive gaps that they will need to address against New Mexico State.
What are New Mexico State trending bets?
NMEXST trend: New Mexico State is also 0-1 ATS this season, following a close 23-16 win over Southeast Missouri State. The Aggies struggled to put away their opponent, covering the spread only late in the game, which suggests potential weaknesses on both sides of the ball.
Where can I find AI Picks for Liberty vs New Mexico State?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.
Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Liberty vs New Mexico State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Liberty vs New Mexico State Opening Odds
LIB Moneyline:
-2174 NMEXST Moneyline: +1043
LIB Spread: -22.5
NMEXST Spread: +22.5
Over/Under: 58.5
Liberty vs New Mexico State Live Odds
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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Oct 24, 2025 10:00PM EDT
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-1800
+1000
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-21.5 (-110)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Virginia Cavaliers
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10/25/25 12PM
UVA
UNC
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-400
+305
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-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
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O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Bowling Green Falcons
Kent State Golden Flashes
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KENT
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–
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-330
+260
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-8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Purdue Boilermakers
10/25/25 12PM
RUT
PURDUE
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–
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-140
+115
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O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
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+170
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-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
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O 63.5 (-110)
U 63.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
UCLA Bruins
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Northwestern Wildcats
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+230
-285
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+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
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O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio Bobcats
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OHIO
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–
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-475
+355
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+12.5 (-110)
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O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
SMU Mustangs
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-175
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Syracuse Orange
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+600
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
App State Mountaineers
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O 63 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ole Miss Rebels
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+170
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kansas State Wildcats
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KSTATE
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+125
-150
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-3 (-105)
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Auburn Tigers
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-105
-115
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
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U 48.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:00PM EDT
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U 61.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
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O 54 (-105)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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+4.5 (-110)
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O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
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-170
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O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Missouri Tigers
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O 52 (-110)
U 52 (-110)
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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+110
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O 41 (-110)
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+355
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+3500
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Baylor Bears
Cincinnati Bearcats
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–
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+170
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-5 (-110)
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O 68 (-110)
U 68 (-110)
|
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Texas Longhorns
Mississippi State Bulldogs
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–
–
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-260
+210
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-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
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–
–
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-650
+460
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-14.5 (-110)
+14.5 (-110)
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
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Oregon Ducks
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OREG
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–
–
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+33.5 (-110)
-33.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
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10/25/25 7PM
UL
TROY
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–
–
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+265
-340
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+8.5 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Stanford Cardinal
Miami Hurricanes
10/25/25 7PM
STNFRD
MIAMI
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–
–
|
+2000
-10000
|
+30 (-110)
-30 (-110)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Arkansas State Red Wolves
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ARKST
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–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State Spartans
10/25/25 7:30PM
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MICHST
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–
–
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-600
+430
|
-14 (-110)
+14 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Texas A&M Aggies
LSU Tigers
10/25/25 7:30PM
TEXAM
LSU
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–
–
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-140
+115
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Boston College Eagles
Louisville Cardinals
10/25/25 7:30PM
BC
LVILLE
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–
–
|
+1300
-2500
|
+25.5 (-115)
-25.5 (-105)
|
O 55.5 (-105)
U 55.5 (-115)
|
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Oct 25, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado State Rams
Wyoming Cowboys
10/25/25 7:30PM
COLOST
WYO
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+6.5 (-115)
-6.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 7:45PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
Kentucky Wildcats
10/25/25 7:45PM
TENN
UK
|
–
–
|
-350
+275
|
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Houston Cougars
Arizona State Sun Devils
10/25/25 8PM
HOU
ARIZST
|
–
–
|
+245
-310
|
+8 (-110)
-8 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
Oct 25, 2025 10:15PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
Utah Utes
10/25/25 10:15PM
COLO
UTAH
|
–
–
|
+420
-575
|
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-115)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies on September 07, 2024 at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
FSU@STNFRD | STNFRD +18 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
WASHST@UVA | WASHST +17.5 | 58.8% | 8 | WIN |
NEVADA@NMEX | NEVADA +13.5 | 57.8% | 7 | WIN |
TEXAS@UK | ARCH MANNING UNDER 1.5 PASS TD | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
ARMY@TULANE | ARMY +10 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
SJST@UTAHST | SJST +4 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +12.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
LVILLE@MIAMI | CJ DANIELS UNDER 4.5 RECEPTIONS | 54.4 | 4 | LOSS |
DEL@JAXST | DEL -2.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UTEP@SAMST | UTEP -2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
FIU@WKY | FIU +10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | ARKST +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@SALA | JAYLEN RAYNOR UNDER 40.5 LONGEST PASS COMP | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
SJST@WYO | SJST -120 | 59.8% | 7 | LOSS |
UMASS@KENTST | KENTST -135 | 60.2% | 6 | WIN |
NOILL@EMICH | EMICH +2.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZ | ARIZ +2.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
OKLA@TEXAS | OKLA +2.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NMEX@BOISE | NMEX +16.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
WAKE@OREGST | WAKE -2.5 | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
ULMON@COASTAL | ULMON -2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@WISC | WISC +4 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
TOLEDO@BGREEN | TOLEDO -10 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
SFLA@NOTEX | SFLA +2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
FRESNO@COLOST | RICHIE ANDERSON III LONGEST RECEPTION UNDER 16.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
JAXST@SAMST | SAMST +7.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
USM@GAS | GAS +3.5 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
LIB@UTEP | UTEP +2 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SALA@TROY | SALA -118 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
TULSA@MEMP | MEMP -20.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
JMAD@GAST | GAST +20.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
WAKE@VATECH | VATECH -5.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
UNLV@WYO | WYO +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
PSU@UCLA | PSU -24.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
TXSTSM@ARKST | TXSTSM -13 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
UVA@LVILLE | ISAAC BROWN OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
WVU@BYU | WVU +20.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
SAMST@NMEXST | SAMST -1.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |