Lightning vs Blackhawks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Jan 23)
Updated: 2026-01-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Lightning (31-13-4) travel to the Chicago Blackhawks (20-22-7) at the United Center on January 23, 2026, as Tampa Bay brings one of the NHL’s hottest stretches into a matchup with a Chicago team gaining recent momentum. The Lightning are heavily favored on the road, and how Chicago responds at home — especially in its recent form — will determine if this becomes a competitive tilt or a Tampa Bay showcase.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 23, 2026
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: United Center
Blackhawks Record: (21-22)
Lightning Record: (31-13)
OPENING ODDS
TBL Moneyline: -266
CHI Moneyline: +214
TBL Spread: -1.5
CHI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
TBL
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay’s recent against-the-spread performance shows the Lightning roughly even on the season at 24-24 ATS, with mixed results as favorites and road entries, though they’ve earned points in nearly every recent contest and shown strong consistency in play.
CHI
Betting Trends
- Chicago has a stronger overall ATS mark this season at 33-16, suggesting the Blackhawks keep games closer than expected more often than not, even when they aren’t favorites; at home specifically, their ATS trend has been relatively solid.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Recent betting trends reveal the under has hit frequently in Lightning games against teams with losing records and when Tampa Bay plays on two days’ rest, while Chicago has also seen several under results as a home favorite — pointing toward the potential for a lower-scoring game than many expect.
TBL vs. CHI
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Kucherov over 0.5 Assists.
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Tampa Bay vs Chicago Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 1/23/26
Friday’s NHL matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Chicago Blackhawks on January 23, 2026 pits one of the league’s most consistent, high-performing teams against a gritty Blackhawks squad striving to climb the standings. Tampa Bay enters the United Center with a dominant 31-13-4 mark overall and an extraordinary point streak that has stretched to 14 games, one of the longest in franchise history — a testament to offensive balance, disciplined defense, and elite goaltending. The Lightning have scored at an impressive clip while also limiting opponents effectively, thanks in large part to the steady presence of Andrei Vasilevskiy in net and the dual-threat offensive talents of players like Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, and Jake Guentzel, who consistently generate scoring chances in all zones. Tampa Bay’s league-leading differential and structured system under Jon Cooper make them a formidable force, capable of imposing their style on a variety of opponents. The Blackhawks, on the other hand, sit below .500 but have shown flashes of competitiveness, especially in spurts where their elite young core — led by standout Connor Bedard — can create offense and drive traction.
Chicago’s recent results, including a 4-3 shootout win over the Carolina Hurricanes and a respectable showing in recent ATS trends, suggest they’re capable of clawing into games and imposing their will at critical moments. The Blackhawks’ goaltending tandem has kept them in many contests, and when their special teams click, they’ve shown the ability to push deeper threats off the puck and generate momentum. Historically, Tampa Bay has held the edge in this rivalry, though Chicago picked up a win earlier in the season, underscoring that this matchup rarely lacks intrigue. Betting markets reflect Tampa Bay as heavy favorites, but Chicago’s ATS performance and tendency to keep games tight, combined with under trends for both teams in similar contexts, could temper expectations for a high-scoring blowout. Expect Tampa Bay to drive play with pace and possession, while Chicago will rely on opportunistic offense and stout situational defense. The result may hinge on special teams execution and timely saves.
Get live NHL odds and precise AI NHL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Curious what Jack's listening to?
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) January 22, 2026
Listen here: https://t.co/5P5d5yNyi6 pic.twitter.com/TviA2cNVnR
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into Friday’s road clash against the Chicago Blackhawks as one of the NHL’s most dominant and consistent clubs in the 2025-26 season. With a 31-13-4 record and a remarkable 14-game point streak, Tampa Bay has positioned itself as a true Stanley Cup contender, blending elite offensive talent with structured defensive play. The Lightning feature a deep scoring corps led by top performers like Nikita Kucherov, whose playmaking ability fuels Tampa Bay’s top line, and complementary scorers like Brandon Hagel and Jake Guentzel. This offensive balance allows the Lightning to attack from multiple angles, sustain pressure in the offensive zone, and generate high-danger scoring opportunities against even the most disciplined defenses. On the defensive end, Tampa Bay consistently limits high-quality chances against and benefits from steady goaltending presence in net. A significant part of Tampa Bay’s success has come from its ability to respond under pressure and grind out wins even when opponents rise to the occasion. Their goal differential, one of the best in the league, reflects this consistent execution on both sides of the ice. The team’s special teams units — particularly its power play — have been effective in key moments, though Tampa Bay’s disciplined 5-on-5 structure and penalty kill are equally important in controlling pace and limiting chances against.
Andrei Vasilevskiy, a cornerstone of the Lightning’s back end, continues to deliver at an elite level with a strong save percentage that instills confidence in tight contests. As road favorites against Chicago, Tampa Bay is expected to lean on its structured system and depth scoring to assert control early, using puck possession and quick transitions to keep the Blackhawks on their heels. The Lightning’s recent ATS results show some variability, but their ability to win consistently and perform in close games remains a hallmark of their success. If Tampa Bay clicks through all four lines and maintains focus defensively, they project as the team that dictates pace and drives scoring chances throughout the contest. Their depth and experience give them an edge in navigating adversity, and in this matchup, Tampa Bay’s combination of elite goaltending, balanced offense, and structured systems makes them a formidable opponent poised to deliver a strong performance on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Chicago Blackhawks NHL Preview
The Chicago Blackhawks enter this January 23 matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 20-22-7 record and a clear mission: harness recent competitive momentum to challenge a perennial contender. Chicago has seen its share of ups and downs this season, but in its last stretch of games, the team has shown resiliency and an ability to grind out results even against more talented opponents. A recent 4-3 shootout victory over the Carolina Hurricanes, for example, showcased the Blackhawks’ competitive spirit and the offensive contributions they’re capable of generating when their top players are firing. Connor Bedard has been a central figure for Chicago’s scoring attack, regularly producing elite offensive results and creating opportunities for teammates. Tyler Bertuzzi’s scoring presence adds another dynamic layer, giving Chicago the scoring balance needed to keep games tight. On the defensive side, Chicago has benefitted from strong goaltending rotation performances, with Spencer Knight posting solid save percentages and keeping his team in games through timely stops. While Chicago’s goal differential sits in the negative this season, their ability to compete in close games speaks to a team structure that, when locked in, can frustrate opponents and tilt outcomes toward more competitive scorelines.
The Blackhawks’ strong ATS record at home underscores this point: even when they’re not favorites, Chicago tends to keep games closer than sportsbooks project, giving value to those wagering on their ability to cover. Against a high-powered Tampa Bay offense, Chicago will need a disciplined defensive performance, limiting odd-man rushes and staying tight on coverage through all three periods. Special teams will be crucial; the Blackhawks must capitalize on their chances with the man advantage and minimize mistakes on the penalty kill to disrupt the Lightning’s rhythm. If Chicago can sustain early pressure and avoid quick momentum swings, they have the capability to make this matchup competitive through the middle frames and into the late stages. On home ice at the United Center, the crowd energy could amplify Chicago’s competitive edge and help keep Tampa Bay from pulling away early. This Blackhawks team is still searching for consistency, but on any given night, especially at home, they’ve shown the potential to exceed expectations and stay within striking distance.
goodnight Blackhawks fans🩶 pic.twitter.com/NMqWR0iNeT
— Chicago Blackhawks (@NHLBlackhawks) January 23, 2026
Tampa Bay vs Chicago Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Lightning and Blackhawks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at United Center in Jan can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs Chicago Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Lightning and Blackhawks and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly healthy Blackhawks team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Chicago picks, computer picks Lightning vs Blackhawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Tampa Bay Betting Trends
Tampa Bay’s recent against-the-spread performance shows the Lightning roughly even on the season at 24-24 ATS, with mixed results as favorites and road entries, though they’ve earned points in nearly every recent contest and shown strong consistency in play.
Chicago Betting Trends
Chicago has a stronger overall ATS mark this season at 33-16, suggesting the Blackhawks keep games closer than expected more often than not, even when they aren’t favorites; at home specifically, their ATS trend has been relatively solid.
Lightning vs. Blackhawks Matchup Trends
Recent betting trends reveal the under has hit frequently in Lightning games against teams with losing records and when Tampa Bay plays on two days’ rest, while Chicago has also seen several under results as a home favorite — pointing toward the potential for a lower-scoring game than many expect.
Tampa Bay vs. Chicago Game Info
Tampa Bay vs Chicago starts on January 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: United Center.
Spread: Chicago +1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -266, Chicago +214
Over/Under: 6
Tampa Bay: (31-13) | Chicago: (21-22)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Kucherov over 0.5 Assists.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Recent betting trends reveal the under has hit frequently in Lightning games against teams with losing records and when Tampa Bay plays on two days’ rest, while Chicago has also seen several under results as a home favorite — pointing toward the potential for a lower-scoring game than many expect.
TBL trend: Tampa Bay’s recent against-the-spread performance shows the Lightning roughly even on the season at 24-24 ATS, with mixed results as favorites and road entries, though they’ve earned points in nearly every recent contest and shown strong consistency in play.
CHI trend: Chicago has a stronger overall ATS mark this season at 33-16, suggesting the Blackhawks keep games closer than expected more often than not, even when they aren’t favorites; at home specifically, their ATS trend has been relatively solid.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Chicago Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Chicago trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| TBL Moneyline | -266 |
|---|---|
| CHI Moneyline | +214 |
| TBL Spread | -1.5 |
| CHI Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6 |
Tampa Bay vs Chicago Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
Chicago Blackhawks
Winnipeg Jets
In Progress
Blackhawks
Jets
|
2
1
|
-350
+250
|
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-205)
|
O 5 (+135)
U 5 (-175)
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|
|
In Progress
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
In Progress
Senators
Oilers
|
2
2
|
-105
-125
|
+1.5 (-300)
-1.5 (+220)
|
O 8.5 (-135)
U 8.5 (+105)
|
|
|
In Progress
Dallas Stars
Calgary Flames
In Progress
Stars
Flames
|
2
1
|
-285
+210
|
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-135)
|
O 7 (+100)
U 7 (-130)
|
|
|
In Progress
Tampa Bay Lightning
Minnesota Wild
In Progress
Lightning
Wild
|
0
1
|
+135
-175
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+145)
|
O 6 (-125)
U 6 (-105)
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|
|
In Progress
Montreal Canadiens
San Jose Sharks
In Progress
Canadiens
Sharks
|
–
–
|
+115
|
+1.5 (-220)
|
O 6.5 (-125)
U 6.5 (+105)
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|
|
In Progress
Colorado Avalanche
Anaheim Ducks
In Progress
Avalanche
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-145
+125
|
-1.5 (+163)
+1.5 (-190)
|
O 6.5 (-135)
U 6.5 (+115)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 7:00PM EST
Toronto Maple Leafs
New Jersey Devils
3/4/26 7PM
Maple Leafs
Devils
|
–
–
|
-105
-115
|
+1.5 (-260)
-1.5 (+215)
|
O 5.5 (-128)
U 5.5 (+107)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 7:00PM EST
Las Vegas Golden Knights
Detroit Red Wings
3/4/26 7PM
Golden Knights
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-135
|
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 5.5 (-135)
U 5.5 (+115)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
St Louis Blues
Seattle Kraken
3/4/26 10PM
Blues
Kraken
|
–
–
|
+120
-140
|
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (+100)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Vancouver Canucks
3/4/26 10PM
Hurricanes
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-260
+215
|
-1.5 (-103)
+1.5 (-117)
|
O 6 (-117)
U 6 (-103)
|
|
|
Mar 4, 2026 10:00PM EST
New York Islanders
Anaheim Ducks
3/4/26 10PM
Islanders
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-110
-110
|
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-260)
|
O 6.5 (-110)
U 6.5 (-110)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Chicago Blackhawks on January 23, 2026 at United Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
NHL |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA@NYI | NYI +127 | 48.9% | 1 | WIN |
| WPG@NJ | WPG +110 | 49.3% | 1 | WIN |
| NJ@SEA | NJ -120 | 54.9% | 2 | WIN |
| FLA@CHI | OVER 5.5 | 57.1% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@EDM | NJ +151 | 44.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CLB@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@BUF | BUF -120 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| ANA@LA | ANA +128 | 47.6% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@COL | UNDER 6.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CGY@CHI | CHI -118 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@NSH | NSH +115 | 51.0% | 1 | WIN |
| DAL@ANA | DAL -116 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@BUF | BUF -115 | 55.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NJ@WPG | WPG -122 | 55.5% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CGY | SEA +137 | 46.5% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@CGY | CGY -118 | 57.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLB | BUF -108 | 59.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.8% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SJ | SJ +150 | 47.4% | 1 | WIN |
| WAS@FLA | FLA -118 | 56.6% | 3 | WIN |
| MIN@WPG | MIN -113 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | PHI -125 | 56.1% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@DET | DAL -125 | 58.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| ANA@CLB | ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NSH@STL | NSH -105 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@WPG | OVER 5.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@NYI | TB -130 | 60.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| LV@NYI | NYI +120 | 46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BUF@CGY | OVER 5.5 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@CGY | MIN -115 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@TB | UNDER 6.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | PUSH |
| MON@LV | OVER 6 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@FLA | SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@WAS | OVER 6.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
