Sharks vs Golden Knights Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Dec 23)
Updated: 2025-12-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The San Jose Sharks (17‑16‑3) travel to T‑Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (16‑8‑10) on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, in what features a Pacific Division battle with playoff positioning and division pride on the line. Vegas enters as a heavy favorite with home ice and historical dominance in the rivalry, while San Jose hopes to find offensive traction behind rookie Macklin Celebrini.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 23, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights Record: (16-8)
Sharks Record: (17-16)
OPENING ODDS
SJS Moneyline: +201
VGK Moneyline: -248
SJS Spread: +1.5
VGK Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
SJS
Betting Trends
- San Jose has been a middling ATS performer this season but has historically covered at a much higher rate on the road against Vegas, going 7‑4 ATS in their last away games versus the Golden Knights, despite struggling overall in the series. The Sharks’ road underdog performances have produced mixed results, with under bets more often hitting under the total in recent contests away from home.
VGK
Betting Trends
- The Golden Knights have had trouble covering as favorites, with a poor ATS record at home this season that reflects too many games where they’ve won but failed to cover large spreads. Despite being odds‑on favorites against San Jose, Vegas’s ATS totals have lagged behind their straight‑up success, especially in games where expectations run high.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Head‑to‑head ATS history favors the Sharks in a niche way: San Jose owns a surprisingly solid road ATS record in this matchup despite being heavy underdogs, while Vegas has often not covered the spread at home — setting up a contrarian angle for bettors who factor historical ATS trends over pure form. Over/under trends also push under more often, with Vegas games as favorites and under trends in Sharks road underdog games.
SJS vs. VGK
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bowman under 0.5 Goals.
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San Jose vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 12/23/25
The Pacific Division matchup between the San Jose Sharks and the Vegas Golden Knights on December 23, 2025, shapes up as a compelling contrast of circumstances, recent form, and strategic needs for both organizations. Vegas enters this game aiming to halt a rough patch — the Golden Knights have dropped their previous three contests and are desperate to regain traction in the standings as they chase divisional rivals and stabilize their rhythm after an inconsistent stretch. San Jose, meanwhile, arrives with mixed results of its own, alternating competitive outings with frustrating losses, but has shown offensive sparks at key moments that could make this game tighter than many expect. The rivalry between these two clubs has tilted toward Vegas historically, as the Golden Knights have won the majority of recent head‑to‑head matchups, including victories earlier this season by identical 4‑3 scores, one of which was settled in overtime — demonstrating just how closely contested these meetings can be despite the overall series dominance. Throughout the season, Vegas has maintained the ability to score when it matters most, particularly once they find the back of the net three times, when their record has been notably stronger. San Jose enters with a slightly sub‑.500 record overall and a negative goal differential, but they’ve shown resilience in close games and the capacity to test playoff‑level clubs with the right combination of effort and execution. For Vegas, controlling the tempo and establishing puck possession early will be key. The Golden Knights have elite talent and depth throughout their forward group capable of generating scoring opportunities at five‑on‑five and on special teams. Stars like Tomas Hertl — who led Vegas in goals in the previous meeting — and other forwards with high event rates are central to the Knights’ offensive identity, providing the kind of balanced depth scoring that can wear down an opponent over 60 minutes. Their defense works in concert with that attack, tasked with limiting high‑danger chances and corralling transition plays before the opposition can build momentum.
When Vegas has controlled the neutral zone and limited turnovers, they’ve typically dictated play and kept opposing forechecks at bay. However, their recent slide and inability to stick with starts — including slow first periods that left them chasing deficits — demonstrate a need for sharper focus right from puck drop. While injuries have not been a pronounced factor for Vegas according to the most recent available reports, the team’s structure has still shown vulnerability when execution slips in its own zone or on the penalty kill. The Sharks’ approach to this game must revolve around leveraging their offensive strengths while tightening up structurally on defense. San Jose’s wound‑up energy and willingness to attack can generate scoring chances, but allowing Vegas to dictate possession for extended stretches risks wearing down their defensive corps. Sharks forwards with offensive upside must capitalize on transition breaks and sustain pressure through sustained zone time. Goaltending performance — particularly in terms of rebound control and limiting second‑chance opportunities — presents a crucial factor in keeping San Jose competitive into the later stages of the contest. Recognizing Vegas’s tendency to climb back into games when they score early, the Sharks must prioritize clean puck management, especially in their own end, to avoid giving the Golden Knights easy exits through the neutral zone. Special teams execution is another pillar for San Jose; any power‑play success could swing momentum and place added pressure on Vegas’s penalty kill, which has shown flashes of inconsistency during recent stretches. In this Pacific Division battle, the blend of Vegas’s structured depth and San Jose’s tenacious underdog mentality sets the stage for a tight contest. While Vegas remains a favorite given their historical success and roster advantage, San Jose’s ability to stay within striking distance — particularly in close, transitional play — means this game could hinge on timely goaltending, special teams execution, and which club manages momentum more effectively in the critical middle periods.
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Might be a holiday week but we're still working. 👊
— San Jose Sharks (@SanJoseSharks) December 22, 2025
🎟️: https://t.co/n5yWzZztn5 pic.twitter.com/h1GC2zX8nH
San Jose Sharks NHL Preview
As the San Jose Sharks prepare to hit the ice at T‑Mobile Arena on December 23, 2025, they bring a blend of youthful energy, developmental promise, and continued inconsistency that has defined much of their 2025‑26 campaign. San Jose currently sits around .500 in the Pacific Division with an up‑and‑down record, demonstrating flashes of competitiveness but also lingering struggles tied to their rebuild process. A key storyline for the Sharks has been the ascendance of Macklin Celebrini, the young star who continues to produce points at an elite pace and is among the league’s most dynamic offensive talents. Celebrini’s ability to generate scoring chances, create space for linemates, and impact the Sharks’ transition game has been central to San Jose’s efforts to stay relevant in games against tougher opponents. Even in recent losses, including a 4‑2 defeat to the Seattle Kraken where the Sharks surrendered a late lead, Celebrini’s point streak remained intact, showcasing his relentless offensive value despite defensive lapses around him. Beyond Celebrini, San Jose’s roster reflects a blend of young contributors and veteran additions brought in to accelerate competitiveness. Rookies such as Michael Misa and Will Smith have provided secondary scoring options and added depth punch, helping to balance Celebrini’s offensive gravity. Meanwhile, veterans like Adam Gaudette and Tyler Toffoli offer experience and the occasional scoring spark that can uplift the team in swings of momentum. A recent 6‑3 win over the Calgary Flames highlighted what San Jose’s offense can look like when firing on all cylinders: Celebrini tallied four points, Goodrow chipped in offensively, and role players contributed timely goals — proof that the Sharks are capable of high‑octane output when their lines click and goaltending holds up. However, the Sharks’ offensive potential remains tempered by persistent defensive challenges and goaltending inconsistency. San Jose has allowed more goals than they’ve scored this season, and their defensive structure has sometimes struggled to contain high‑end opponents, especially in late‑game situations.
A recent loss to the Dallas Stars illustrated this vulnerability, as the Sharks were outmuscled and eventually dropped a 5‑3 contest despite two goals from Collin Graf and two assists from Celebrini. Goaltending has been a mixed bag as well. While players like Alex Nedeljkovic have offered sturdy performances at times, save percentages and goals‑against figures indicate that San Jose’s netminders are capable but not elite — meaning the team often needs to outscore opponents rather than reliably shut them down. The Sharks’ penalty kill and defensive zone coverage will need to be especially sharp against a Vegas offense that thrives on quick transitions and capitalizing on miscues. The Sharks’ identity on the road this season has shown both resilience and volatility. Playing away from the SAP Center, they’ve at times embraced their underdog role and matched momentum against stronger clubs. But this identity also means games can quickly slip away if early scoring opportunities are not converted or if energy wanes in critical zones. San Jose’s ability to maintain pressure in the offensive zone — forcing turnovers and sustaining cycles — will be crucial against a disciplined Vegas squad that excels at neutralizing extended threat sequences. Keeping the game within reach after two periods could provide San Jose with opportunities to exploit fatigue or breakaways late. From a developmental perspective, this stretch of games on the road serves as a litmus test of the Sharks’ evolving competitiveness. Every shift offers growth for younger players and valuable experience playing in loud, hostile environments. While Vegas is favored in this matchup, San Jose’s offensive talent, especially centered on Celebrini’s elite production, means they remain capable of creating scoring opportunities and challenging the Golden Knights’ defensive schemes. If the Sharks can tighten up defensively, improve puck management, and get timely saves from their goaltenders, they can make this contest far more competitive than the odds suggest — even if they ultimately fall short on the scoreboard.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
As the Vegas Golden Knights prepare to host the San Jose Sharks at T‑Mobile Arena on December 23, 2025, they find themselves in a nuanced position within the Pacific Division. Vegas has built a reputation as one of the league’s deeper and more talented rosters, but recent results have underscored some rough patches and emerging questions that could factor into how this home matchup unfolds. The Knights come in with a 16‑8‑10 record — solid in points but showing a club that has battled inconsistency, particularly over the last few games where they’ve dropped their last three outings and seen their seven‑game point streak snapped in a shootout loss to the New Jersey Devils. In their latest game before facing San Jose, Vegas suffered a narrow 4‑3 loss to the Edmonton Oilers, falling behind early and then attempting a comeback that ultimately fell short. This stretch emphasizes that while Vegas has the talent to win, they’re not invulnerable even at home. Vegas’s roster construction represents a blend of elite offensive talent, physical depth, and some structural wrinkles that opponents can exploit. Stars like Jack Eichel and Mitch Marner anchor the attack, each capable of primary scoring and setting up teammates through intelligent puck movement. According to recent statistics, Eichel has been one of Vegas’s most productive scorers this season, and Marner has contributed assist totals that underline his playmaking prowess. Pavel Dorofeyev has emerged as a key secondary goal scorer, giving the Knights another weapon in close contests.
On the defensive front, players such as Noah Hanifin provide physicality and transition ability, though the team has at times struggled to maintain consistent defensive structure, particularly against high‑tempo opponents. Goaltending has been respectable for Vegas, with Akira Schmid leading the group in wins and maintaining a goals‑against average near the mid‑2.00s — a solid baseline that gives the Knights a chance in most games if they control rebounds and manage traffic in front of the net. One of the storylines for Vegas this season has been the contrast between its potent power play and its underperforming penalty kill. A historically strong man‑advantage unit has generated timely goals and given the Knights an edge in special teams battles, but the penalty kill has lagged, making games tighter than necessary when Vegas is shorthanded. Addressing this discrepancy has been part of coaching discussions, as limiting high‑danger chances on the kill could swing close games — like this one against San Jose — that hinge on discipline and defensive execution. Home ice generally gives the Golden Knights an advantage, as T‑Mobile Arena’s crowd and atmosphere are known to energize the team in the first and third periods. Vegas’s ability to control play in the neutral zone, generate high‑quality scoring chances off the rush, and capitalize on odd‑man looks are all amplified in their own building. However, the recent skid — including lopsided early deficits and occasional lapses at even strength — suggests that the Knights will need to tighten up their forecheck and defensive zone coverage to maintain control against a Sharks team that thrives on quick transitions and opportunistic scoring. Looking ahead to this game, Vegas’s success will likely depend on balancing its offensive creativity with tightened defensive accountability. If the Knights find their early stride, establish possession quickly, and leverage special teams effectively, they can regain momentum and reassert themselves atop the Pacific Division standings — a crucial objective as the calendar turns toward the midseason mark. Otherwise, lingering inconsistency could make even a home matchup against a rebuilding Sharks club more competitive than casual observers might expect.
Lots of expressive Mark Stone lately 😃🗿#VegasBorn | @BetMGM pic.twitter.com/Vvjj7odzu5
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) December 22, 2025
San Jose vs Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Sharks and Golden Knights play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Arena in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
San Jose vs Vegas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Sharks and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending factor human bettors regularly put on Vegas’s strength factors between a Sharks team going up against a possibly tired Golden Knights team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI San Jose vs Vegas picks, computer picks Sharks vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
San Jose Betting Trends
San Jose has been a middling ATS performer this season but has historically covered at a much higher rate on the road against Vegas, going 7‑4 ATS in their last away games versus the Golden Knights, despite struggling overall in the series. The Sharks’ road underdog performances have produced mixed results, with under bets more often hitting under the total in recent contests away from home.
Vegas Betting Trends
The Golden Knights have had trouble covering as favorites, with a poor ATS record at home this season that reflects too many games where they’ve won but failed to cover large spreads. Despite being odds‑on favorites against San Jose, Vegas’s ATS totals have lagged behind their straight‑up success, especially in games where expectations run high.
Sharks vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
Head‑to‑head ATS history favors the Sharks in a niche way: San Jose owns a surprisingly solid road ATS record in this matchup despite being heavy underdogs, while Vegas has often not covered the spread at home — setting up a contrarian angle for bettors who factor historical ATS trends over pure form. Over/under trends also push under more often, with Vegas games as favorites and under trends in Sharks road underdog games.
San Jose vs. Vegas Game Info
San Jose vs Vegas starts on December 23, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: San Jose +201, Vegas -248
Over/Under: 6
San Jose: (17-16) | Vegas: (16-8)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Bowman under 0.5 Goals.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Head‑to‑head ATS history favors the Sharks in a niche way: San Jose owns a surprisingly solid road ATS record in this matchup despite being heavy underdogs, while Vegas has often not covered the spread at home — setting up a contrarian angle for bettors who factor historical ATS trends over pure form. Over/under trends also push under more often, with Vegas games as favorites and under trends in Sharks road underdog games.
SJS trend: San Jose has been a middling ATS performer this season but has historically covered at a much higher rate on the road against Vegas, going 7‑4 ATS in their last away games versus the Golden Knights, despite struggling overall in the series. The Sharks’ road underdog performances have produced mixed results, with under bets more often hitting under the total in recent contests away from home.
VGK trend: The Golden Knights have had trouble covering as favorites, with a poor ATS record at home this season that reflects too many games where they’ve won but failed to cover large spreads. Despite being odds‑on favorites against San Jose, Vegas’s ATS totals have lagged behind their straight‑up success, especially in games where expectations run high.
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
San Jose vs. Vegas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the San Jose vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| SJS Moneyline | +201 |
|---|---|
| VGK Moneyline | -248 |
| SJS Spread | +1.5 |
| VGK Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 6 |
San Jose vs Vegas Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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–
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+102
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O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
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U 5.5 (-110)
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–
–
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+158
-192
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+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+128)
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O 6.5 (+102)
U 6.5 (-124)
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Mar 7, 2026 5:30PM EST
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
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Flyers
Penguins
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–
–
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+118
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+1.5 (-210)
-1.5 (+168)
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O 5.5 (-140)
U 5.5 (+114)
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Mar 7, 2026 7:00PM EST
Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg Jets
3/7/26 7PM
Canucks
Jets
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–
–
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+220
-275
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+1.5 (-114)
-1.5 (-106)
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O 5.5 (-124)
U 5.5 (+102)
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Mar 7, 2026 7:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
3/7/26 7PM
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Maple Leafs
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–
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-176
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-1.5 (+142)
+1.5 (-176)
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O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-112)
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Mar 7, 2026 7:00PM EST
Montreal Canadiens
Los Angeles Kings
3/7/26 7PM
Canadiens
Kings
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–
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-138
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-1.5 (+176)
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O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-134)
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Mar 7, 2026 10:00PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Calgary Flames
3/7/26 10PM
Hurricanes
Flames
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–
–
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-172
+142
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-1.5 (+146)
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O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
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Mar 7, 2026 10:00PM EST
New York Islanders
San Jose Sharks
3/7/26 10PM
Islanders
Sharks
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–
–
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-138
+115
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-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-200)
|
O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-122)
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Mar 7, 2026 10:00PM EST
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Seattle Kraken
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Senators
Kraken
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–
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-142
+118
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-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-215)
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O 5.5 (-132)
U 5.5 (+108)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers San Jose Sharks vs. Vegas Golden Knights on December 23, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA@NYI | NYI +127 | 48.9% | 1 | WIN |
| WPG@NJ | WPG +110 | 49.3% | 1 | WIN |
| NJ@SEA | NJ -120 | 54.9% | 2 | WIN |
| FLA@CHI | OVER 5.5 | 57.1% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@EDM | NJ +151 | 44.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CLB@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@BUF | BUF -120 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| ANA@LA | ANA +128 | 47.6% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@COL | UNDER 6.5 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CGY@CHI | CHI -118 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@NSH | NSH +115 | 51.0% | 1 | WIN |
| DAL@ANA | DAL -116 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@BUF | BUF -115 | 55.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NJ@WPG | WPG -122 | 55.5% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CGY | SEA +137 | 46.5% | 1 | WIN |
| NSH@CGY | CGY -118 | 57.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@CLB | BUF -108 | 59.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.8% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SJ | SJ +150 | 47.4% | 1 | WIN |
| WAS@FLA | FLA -118 | 56.6% | 3 | WIN |
| MIN@WPG | MIN -113 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@CHI | PHI -125 | 56.1% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@DET | DAL -125 | 58.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| ANA@CLB | ZACH WERENSKI OVER 1.5 BLOCKS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NSH@STL | NSH -105 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@WPG | OVER 5.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@NYI | TB -130 | 60.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| LV@NYI | NYI +120 | 46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| BUF@CGY | OVER 5.5 | 52.2% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@CGY | MIN -115 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| PIT@TB | UNDER 6.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | PUSH |
| MON@LV | OVER 6 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@FLA | SAM BENNETT UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@WAS | OVER 6.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| CLB@DET | DET -135 | 67.0% | 6 | WIN |
| STL@PHI | UNDER 5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CAR@MIN | OVER 6 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@STL | JORDAN BINNINGTON UNDER 22.5 SAVES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| CLB@SEA | CLB +110 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIN@NYI | MATHEW BARZAL OVER 0.5 PTS | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@NSH | NSH -122 | 55.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@SEA | JORDAN EBERLE OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |