Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (May 16)

Updated: 2025-05-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 16, 2025, the Toronto Maple Leafs face the Florida Panthers in Game 6 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. The Panthers lead the series 3-2 and aim to clinch a spot in the Conference Finals, while the Maple Leafs fight to force a decisive Game 7.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 16, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Amerant Bank Arena​

Panthers Record: (47-31)

Maple Leafs Record: (52-26)

OPENING ODDS

TOR Moneyline: +197

FLA Moneyline: -243

TOR Spread: +1.5

FLA Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 1-4 record in their last five games.

FLA
Betting Trends

  • The Florida Panthers have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the current playoff series, the Panthers have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

TOR vs. FLA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Gadjovich under 5.5 Hits.

LIVE NHL ODDS

NHL ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
320-239
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+373.2
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,319
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1593-1363
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+375.9
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,592

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Toronto vs Florida Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/16/25

The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs will meet on May 16, 2025, for a pivotal Game 6 in their Eastern Conference Semifinal series at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, with the Panthers holding a 3-2 series lead and looking to close out the Maple Leafs on home ice. Florida has surged back into control after dropping the first two games of the series in Toronto, winning three straight behind a combination of suffocating defense, opportunistic scoring, and stellar goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky. Game 5 was particularly lopsided, with the Panthers dominating 6-1, outshooting and outworking a Toronto team that looked flat, disjointed, and visibly affected by the absence of starting goaltender Anthony Stolarz, who remains sidelined with an injury. Joseph Woll has stepped in as the Leafs’ starter but has struggled to contain Florida’s multi-layered offensive attack, which has been spearheaded by Sam Reinhart—now the team’s leading scorer in the postseason—and fueled by the return of Aaron Ekblad on defense, who has brought balance and leadership to the blue line. The Panthers’ strength in 5-on-5 play, especially their ability to clog the neutral zone and prevent clean zone entries, has significantly neutralized Toronto’s transition-heavy offense and limited the impact of key players like Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, who have been unable to consistently break through Florida’s defensive structure. Toronto has shown they can win when they dictate the pace and get production from their top six, but their current three-game slide has exposed flaws in depth, defensive coverage, and overall cohesion—issues that must be corrected quickly to avoid elimination. Florida, meanwhile, returns to Sunrise with a golden opportunity to close out the series at home, where they’ve won four of their last five playoff games and fed off the energy of a raucous crowd that has helped them maintain composure and intensity in close games. Head coach Paul Maurice has effectively rolled four lines and leveraged Florida’s physicality to wear down Toronto’s top stars, while players like Carter Verhaeghe, Matthew Tkachuk, and Brandon Montour have provided critical secondary scoring and game-changing moments throughout the series.

Bobrovsky has been rock-solid in net, turning aside high-danger chances and playing with the kind of confidence that not only anchors the defense but allows Florida’s skaters to play aggressively without fear of being caught in transition. Special teams have also tilted in the Panthers’ favor, with timely power-play goals and near-flawless penalty killing that has frustrated a Toronto man-advantage unit that once looked unstoppable. The Panthers understand the importance of closing out the series in Game 6 and avoiding a return trip to Toronto for a dangerous Game 7, and if they bring the same discipline, physicality, and pace that has defined their last three wins, they’ll be well-positioned to advance to the Eastern Conference Final for the second time in three years. For Toronto, Game 6 is a must-win and a defining moment for this group, particularly for Matthews and Marner, who face growing scrutiny as the team’s offensive leaders and must now deliver under pressure to extend the season. The Leafs need to get back to their speed game—activating defensemen, creating traffic in front of Bobrovsky, and capitalizing on second-chance opportunities—while also getting more from their bottom six, which has been largely ineffective in this series. Coach Craig Berube will also need to manage matchups more carefully, especially on the road, where Florida will dictate last change and likely continue to shadow Matthews with their top defensive pairing. Toronto’s chances rest on their stars showing up, Woll rebounding in goal, and the defense tightening up to limit costly turnovers and odd-man rushes that Florida has repeatedly turned into goals. If the Leafs can get an early lead, establish a physical forecheck, and keep the game tight into the third period, they’ll give themselves a shot to force Game 7 back in Toronto. But if Florida continues to assert its forecheck, control the puck, and get timely saves from Bobrovsky, this game—and Toronto’s playoff run—could come to a sudden and bitter end.

Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into Game 6 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Florida Panthers on May 16, 2025, with their backs firmly against the wall, trailing 3-2 after dropping three straight games and facing elimination on the road in Sunrise. The Leafs began the series with confidence, winning the first two games at home with strong play in transition, solid goaltending, and timely goals from their top line—but since then, their offense has sputtered, and defensive breakdowns have plagued them, allowing Florida to seize momentum and take control. Injuries have compounded the pressure, with starting goaltender Anthony Stolarz sidelined and backup Joseph Woll thrust into the spotlight; while Woll has shown glimpses of poise, he’s struggled to match the pace and offensive pressure the Panthers have applied, particularly during Florida’s 6-1 dismantling of the Leafs in Game 5. Toronto’s blue line has also faltered, with poor gap control and unforced errors leading to high-danger chances, and without consistent help from the bottom six, the Leafs’ top stars are being asked to carry too heavy a burden in a series where Florida has effectively shut down their time and space. Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner remain the focal point of Toronto’s attack, but both have been quiet during Florida’s three-game winning streak, unable to break through a Panthers defense that clogs the middle and forces play to the outside, limiting the Leafs’ ability to create sustained zone pressure or generate rebound chances.

The power play, once a strength, has become stagnant, with poor puck movement and predictable setups that have failed to break down Florida’s aggressive penalty kill, while 5-on-5 play has seen the Leafs pinned in their own zone far too often. Head coach Craig Berube has called on his stars to rise to the occasion and has emphasized the need to limit costly turnovers, manage the puck better through the neutral zone, and capitalize on any early chances to put pressure back on Florida. Toronto’s best hope lies in establishing a fast start—scoring first, quieting the home crowd, and regaining confidence that has clearly waned as the series has shifted—and using their speed and skill to tilt the ice, rather than reacting to Florida’s physical forecheck and board play. The Maple Leafs will also need secondary scoring from players like William Nylander, Tyler Bertuzzi, and Matthew Knies to spread Florida’s defensive responsibilities and create space for Matthews and Marner to operate. While the odds are against them, the Leafs have the talent to force Game 7—but only if they rediscover their early-series form and play with the structure, urgency, and resilience that has been missing for the past three games. A loss would mark yet another disappointing playoff exit for a core that continues to face questions about its ability to win in the postseason. A win, on the other hand, would send the series back to Toronto and set the stage for a dramatic Game 7, keeping alive their hopes of reaching the Conference Final for the first time in over two decades. The pressure is immense—but so is the opportunity for redemption.

On May 16, 2025, the Toronto Maple Leafs face the Florida Panthers in Game 6 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida. The Panthers lead the series 3-2 and aim to clinch a spot in the Conference Finals, while the Maple Leafs fight to force a decisive Game 7. Toronto vs Florida AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 16. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Florida Panthers NHL Preview

The Florida Panthers return to Amerant Bank Arena on May 16, 2025, with a 3-2 series lead and a golden opportunity to close out the Toronto Maple Leafs in front of their home crowd and advance to the Eastern Conference Final for the second time in three seasons. After dropping the first two games in Toronto, the Panthers have roared back with three straight wins, including a dominant 6-1 thrashing in Game 5 that showcased their defensive structure, offensive firepower, and playoff-tested poise. Head coach Paul Maurice’s group has outworked, outskated, and out-coached the Maple Leafs since falling behind in the series, adjusting their forecheck, tightening defensive zone coverage, and getting outstanding goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky, who has been dialed in since Game 3, turning aside breakaways, controlling rebounds, and frustrating Toronto’s most dangerous shooters. Florida’s ability to win battles along the boards, clog the neutral zone, and transition quickly has completely neutralized Toronto’s top-line talent and turned the tide of the series in their favor. Sam Reinhart has been the Panthers’ offensive leader, producing key goals and driving play at both ends of the ice, while Matthew Tkachuk and Carter Verhaeghe have applied relentless pressure and chipped in crucial secondary scoring that’s given Florida one of the most balanced attacks in the playoffs. The return of Aaron Ekblad has also been instrumental, giving the Panthers’ blue line more stability, shot-blocking, and leadership in key moments, which has made life easier for Bobrovsky and further complicated Toronto’s ability to create from the point. Florida’s power play has delivered when needed, but it’s their 5-on-5 dominance that has been the true difference maker, consistently wearing down the Leafs with long offensive zone shifts and hard forechecking that forces turnovers and saps momentum. The Panthers have been disciplined and opportunistic, playing playoff hockey the right way by limiting mistakes and capitalizing on every Toronto miscue—whether it’s a missed coverage or a failed clear, Florida has made them pay. At home, where they’ve been excellent all postseason, the Panthers will look to feed off the crowd, dictate the pace early, and take away time and space from Toronto’s key playmakers to deny them any confidence. If Bobrovsky continues to perform as he has in the last three games and the Panthers maintain their defensive commitment and physicality, they will be in excellent position to close this series out in six. The key will be starting strong and avoiding the kind of early-game lulls that could allow Toronto to build momentum, especially given the desperation the Leafs will bring. With leadership up and down the lineup, playoff experience from their deep 2023 run, and a system that has proven effective against one of the NHL’s most talented offensive cores, the Panthers are set up perfectly to finish the job at home and punch their ticket to the Conference Final in front of a fanbase hungry for another deep postseason run. They’ve won the hard way already—now, they just need to take care of business.

Toronto vs. Florida Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Maple Leafs and Panthers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amerant Bank Arena in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Gadjovich under 5.5 Hits.

Toronto vs. Florida Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Maple Leafs and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors often put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Maple Leafs team going up against a possibly improved Panthers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Toronto vs Florida picks, computer picks Maple Leafs vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Maple Leafs Betting Trends

The Toronto Maple Leafs have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 1-4 record in their last five games.

Panthers Betting Trends

The Florida Panthers have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games.

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Matchup Trends

In the current playoff series, the Panthers have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

Toronto vs. Florida Game Info

Toronto vs Florida starts on May 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.

Venue: Amerant Bank Arena.

Spread: Florida -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto +197, Florida -243
Over/Under: 5.5

Toronto: (52-26)  |  Florida: (47-31)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Gadjovich under 5.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the current playoff series, the Panthers have covered the spread in three of the five games, indicating their strong performance relative to expectations.

TOR trend: The Toronto Maple Leafs have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 1-4 record in their last five games.

FLA trend: The Florida Panthers have been solid ATS, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Toronto vs. Florida Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Florida trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Toronto vs Florida Opening Odds

TOR Moneyline: +197
FLA Moneyline: -243
TOR Spread: +1.5
FLA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Toronto vs Florida Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+130
-160
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+145)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-143
+115
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-220)
O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-136
+110
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers on May 16, 2025 at Amerant Bank Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS