Capitals vs. Hurricanes
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 12 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Capitals and Carolina Hurricanes face off in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The Hurricanes lead the best-of-seven series 2-1, but the Capitals are looking to even the series on home ice after a strong performance in Game 3.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 12, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Lenovo Center
Hurricanes Record: (47-30)
Capitals Record: (51-22)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: +196
CAR Moneyline: -242
WAS Spread: +1.5
CAR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Hurricanes have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, going 0-5 in their last five road games.
CAR
Betting Trends
- The Capitals have been strong at home, with an 11-2 straight-up (SU) record in their last 13 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina’s last 8 road games, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests when the Hurricanes play away.
WAS vs. CAR
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Svechnikov under 4.5 Hits.
LIVE NHL ODDS
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Washington vs Carolina Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/12/25
For Carolina, Game 4 is about regaining the tempo and rhythm that defined their play in Games 1 and 2, where their volume shooting overwhelmed Washington’s defense and created chaos around the net. Coach Rod Brind’Amour’s system is built on forechecking pressure, cycling the puck low, and generating second-chance opportunities, but the Hurricanes have struggled to finish their chances in this series, often settling for perimeter shots and failing to establish a net-front presence that can disrupt Thompson’s vision. With Freddie Andersen sidelined, the pressure falls on Pyotr Kochetkov to hold down the crease, and while he’s been solid at times, his rebound control and ability to handle traffic have come into question against a Washington team that knows how to capitalize on goaltending miscues. The Hurricanes will need more offensive urgency from Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov, and Teuvo Teräväinen, who have been relatively quiet at even strength in the last two games, and must find ways to generate quality looks off the rush or through broken plays in the slot. Special teams will also play a key role, with Carolina’s power play needing to convert to relieve pressure and Washington’s penalty kill looking to extend its dominance. With the UNDER cashing in seven of Carolina’s last eight road games, defensive structure and goaltending are expected to dictate the flow once again, and whichever team can execute better in tight-checking conditions will walk away with a crucial win that could swing the direction of the series.
Back at it on Monday#CapsCanes | @vandapharma pic.twitter.com/Ad1D5geMCu
— Washington Capitals (@Capitals) May 11, 2025
Washington Capitals NHL Preview
The Carolina Hurricanes head into Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Washington Capitals holding a 2-1 lead but very aware that Monday’s matchup in D.C. could mark a critical turning point in a series that has shifted from high-tempo Hurricanes hockey to a more controlled, defensive battle dictated by the Capitals. After taking the first two games at home with speed, relentless forechecking, and overwhelming puck possession, the Hurricanes were stymied in Game 3, falling 3-1 as Washington effectively clogged the middle, blocked shots, and relied on outstanding goaltending to frustrate Carolina’s offensive rhythm. The loss highlighted a recurring issue for the Hurricanes—while their system is excellent at generating a high volume of shot attempts, many of them come from the perimeter, and they’ve had trouble establishing consistent net-front presence against a well-positioned Washington defense. With Freddie Andersen out, the goaltending duties have fallen to Pyotr Kochetkov, who has performed admirably under pressure but showed signs of vulnerability in Game 3 when the Capitals capitalized on rebounds and defensive zone lapses. Carolina’s success in Game 4 will hinge on whether it can reestablish the aggressive offensive zone cycling that has been its trademark under coach Rod Brind’Amour and turn possession time into high-danger chances, especially for key forwards like Sebastian Aho, who has yet to make a major offensive impact in this series. Andrei Svechnikov and Teuvo Teräväinen must also step up, as their limited offensive production has made it easier for the Capitals to focus on Aho and disrupt Carolina’s top-line chemistry.
The Hurricanes may consider making minor tweaks to their power-play entries and in-zone puck movement, especially after failing to convert on several man-advantage opportunities that could have swung the momentum in Game 3. Defensively, Carolina remains one of the league’s most sound units with Jaccob Slavin, Brett Pesce, and Brent Burns anchoring a blue line that excels at closing gaps and transitioning quickly, but they’ll need to be wary of Washington’s counterattack and clean zone exits to limit the Capitals’ ability to set up in the offensive zone. On the penalty kill, the Hurricanes have continued their strong form, but discipline will be key to avoiding Ovechkin’s lethal one-timer from the left circle, particularly in a game where a single power-play goal could decide the outcome. Carolina has struggled against the spread on the road lately, going 0-5 ATS in its last five road games, and the UNDER has hit in seven of their last eight away contests, reflecting the low-scoring, tightly contested style these playoff matchups often take. A Game 4 victory would give the Hurricanes a commanding 3-1 series lead heading back to Raleigh, putting them one step closer to a return to the Eastern Conference Finals, but if they can’t finish their chances and continue struggling to solve Logan Thompson, they risk allowing Washington to swing the series momentum entirely. With both teams emphasizing structure and physicality, Carolina must find a way to tilt the ice in their favor early and set the tone offensively if they want to avoid a prolonged series

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Carolina Hurricanes NHL Preview
The Washington Capitals enter Game 4 of their Eastern Conference Semifinal matchup against the Carolina Hurricanes riding the momentum of a well-executed 3-1 victory in Game 3 and looking to even the best-of-seven series at 2-2 on home ice, where they’ve been remarkably strong down the stretch with an 11-2 record over their last 13 games at Capital One Arena. In Saturday’s win, the Capitals delivered a clinical performance that perfectly embodied their playoff identity—smart, structured, and opportunistic—while stifling Carolina’s high-shot-volume system and capitalizing on key moments with contributions from both their veteran core and emerging young players. Goaltender Logan Thompson was again the backbone of Washington’s success, stopping 27 of 28 shots to improve his postseason save percentage to .926, and his poise under pressure has been a revelation for a team that entered the playoffs with some uncertainty in the crease but now finds confidence in a netminder who’s proving he can steal games in tight defensive series. Offensively, the Capitals are getting just enough from their veterans, as Alex Ovechkin continues to be a scoring threat and net-front presence, especially on the power play where he demands constant defensive attention, while the emergence of Aliaksei Protas and Connor McMichael has provided speed, energy, and secondary scoring that has made Washington more difficult to match up against across four lines.
Coach Spencer Carbery’s emphasis on defensive discipline and neutral zone control has paid off, as the Capitals have forced Carolina to settle for perimeter shots and limited high-danger scoring chances with excellent positional play and timely clears. Their penalty kill has been airtight, frustrating a Hurricanes power play that has struggled to generate clean zone entries and quality looks, and if Washington continues to win the special teams battle, it could tilt the series in their favor despite being the lower seed. One area where the Capitals have truly excelled is in their ability to transition quickly from defense to offense, catching Carolina off guard with stretch passes and exploiting open space when the Hurricanes’ aggressive forecheck overcommits, a tactical edge they’ll look to exploit again in Game 4. Defensively, Washington’s blue line, led by Rasmus Sandin and John Carlson, has kept things compact and physical, winning board battles and protecting the slot with discipline, and that structure has made it increasingly difficult for Carolina to crash the net or find rebound opportunities. With the crowd behind them and the psychological edge of having slowed down one of the NHL’s fastest teams, the Capitals now have an opportunity to turn this into a true back-and-forth series and put pressure back on Carolina heading into Game 5. If Thompson remains sharp, the defense keeps clearing bodies and pucks from the front of the net, and the offensive depth continues to chip in around Ovechkin, Washington is in prime position to even the series and continue what has become a gritty and compelling postseason run that few outside the District saw coming.
"That was textbook Hurricanes hockey."
— Carolina Hurricanes (@Canes) May 11, 2025
There was a lot to like about the #Canes total team effort in Game 3 - something they'll look to replicate again tomorrow.
Read » https://t.co/HLmthguEaF pic.twitter.com/1hgEj0Tqbj
Washington vs. Carolina Prop Picks (AI)
Washington vs. Carolina Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Capitals and Hurricanes and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Washington’s strength factors between a Capitals team going up against a possibly strong Hurricanes team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Carolina picks, computer picks Capitals vs Hurricanes, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Capitals Betting Trends
The Hurricanes have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, going 0-5 in their last five road games.
Hurricanes Betting Trends
The Capitals have been strong at home, with an 11-2 straight-up (SU) record in their last 13 home games.
Capitals vs. Hurricanes Matchup Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina’s last 8 road games, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests when the Hurricanes play away.
Washington vs. Carolina Game Info
What time does Washington vs Carolina start on May 12, 2025?
Washington vs Carolina starts on May 12, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Washington vs Carolina being played?
Venue: Lenovo Center.
What are the opening odds for Washington vs Carolina?
Spread: Carolina -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +196, Carolina -242
Over/Under: 5.5
What are the records for Washington vs Carolina?
Washington: (51-22) | Carolina: (47-30)
What is the AI best bet for Washington vs Carolina?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Svechnikov under 4.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Washington vs Carolina trending bets?
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina’s last 8 road games, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests when the Hurricanes play away.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Hurricanes have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, going 0-5 in their last five road games.
What are Carolina trending bets?
CAR trend: The Capitals have been strong at home, with an 11-2 straight-up (SU) record in their last 13 home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Washington vs Carolina?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Carolina Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Carolina trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Washington vs Carolina Opening Odds
WAS Moneyline:
+196 CAR Moneyline: -242
WAS Spread: +1.5
CAR Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5
Washington vs Carolina Live Odds
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+125
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes on May 12, 2025 at Lenovo Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |