Golden Knights vs. Oilers
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 12 | NHL AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers continue their Western Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The Oilers lead the series 2-1, but the Golden Knights are looking to even the series after a dramatic 4-3 victory in Game 3.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 12, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: Rogers Place​

Oilers Record: (48-29)

Golden Knights Record: (50-22)

OPENING ODDS

LV Moneyline: +110

EDM Moneyline: -130

LV Spread: +1.5

EDM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 6.5

LV
Betting Trends

  • The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.

EDM
Betting Trends

  • The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.

LV vs. EDM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Korczak under 1.5 Shots on Goal.

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Vegas vs Edmonton Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 5/12/25

The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers will face off in Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Rogers Place in Edmonton in what promises to be a critical showdown between two teams with championship aspirations and contrasting hockey philosophies. The Oilers currently lead the series 2-1, but the Golden Knights have regained momentum following a dramatic 4-3 victory in Game 3 that was capped by a buzzer-beating goal from Reilly Smith, shifting the narrative and injecting life into Vegas’s title defense. This series has showcased the battle between Edmonton’s explosive offense, powered by the league’s most dangerous duo in Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, and the depth, structure, and playoff experience of a Golden Knights squad that has thrived by rolling four lines, tightening up defensively, and getting timely goaltending. While the Oilers’ power play remains a lethal weapon—operating at a league-best 28.29%—Vegas has countered with disciplined penalty killing and strategic zone clears that have neutralized Edmonton’s ability to set up its lethal one-timer formations. Stuart Skinner’s return in goal for the Oilers has been a welcome development, though he remains under pressure after shaky performances earlier in the playoffs and the continued absence of Calvin Pickard due to injury; Skinner’s ability to control rebounds and stay composed will be tested by Vegas’s net-front traffic and quick puck movement from the likes of Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault, and Chandler Stephenson.

Meanwhile, the Golden Knights will look to continue leaning on Adin Hill, who has provided stability in goal with sharp positioning and poised saves that have frustrated Edmonton’s usually fluid attack, and whose ability to stop breakaways and odd-man rushes has kept Vegas in close games. Defensively, Vegas relies on the physical and composed presence of Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, who have effectively limited McDavid’s time and space, forcing him to the outside and reducing high-danger scoring chances. Offensively, Vegas doesn’t have the top-end firepower of Edmonton but thrives on scoring by committee, with players like William Karlsson and Ivan Barbashev contributing in clutch moments and the bottom six chipping in with gritty forechecking and defensive responsibility. With Game 4 being played in front of a raucous Rogers Place crowd, Edmonton will aim to reassert control early by establishing the pace, drawing penalties, and capitalizing on the man advantage while keeping Vegas from grinding the game down with smart puck possession and low-risk entries. Statistically, the OVER has not been as frequent in this building as expected given the firepower, with four of the last five meetings in Edmonton staying UNDER the total—an indication that these teams tend to lock things down when stakes are high. With Vegas needing to win to avoid falling into a 3-1 series hole and Edmonton seeking to take a commanding lead before heading back to T-Mobile Arena, Game 4 has all the makings of a heavyweight chess match, where special teams, goaltending poise, and late-game execution may prove decisive in determining who seizes momentum in this razor-tight series.

Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights head into Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Edmonton Oilers with renewed energy and a golden opportunity to even the series after a thrilling 4-3 comeback victory in Game 3 that ended with a buzzer-beating goal from veteran forward Reilly Smith, a dramatic finish that not only reignited the defending champions but also showcased the depth and resilience that has become the Golden Knights’ trademark during their postseason runs. Down 2-1 in the series, Vegas understands the urgency of Game 4 and will look to build on the balanced team effort that earned them the win, which included scoring contributions from multiple lines, strong physical play, and timely goaltending from Adin Hill, who continues to be one of the most quietly reliable netminders in the playoffs. Hill’s calm demeanor and precise rebound control have allowed Vegas to weather Edmonton’s explosive top-line pressure, particularly when Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are buzzing in the offensive zone, and Hill’s performance will once again be pivotal in slowing down a power play that has converted at a 28.29% clip during the postseason. Vegas’s penalty kill, operating at a respectable 75.82%, has improved in execution with smart stick work, aggressive clears, and key shot blocks, and they will need to sustain that level of discipline, particularly on the road in a hostile Rogers Place environment.

Offensively, the Golden Knights continue to rely on a balanced attack that doesn’t center around a singular superstar but rather utilizes a deep and experienced lineup that can generate offense from every line, with Jack Eichel leading the way in transition, Jonathan Marchessault and Chandler Stephenson creating opportunities off the rush, and the fourth line providing energy and forechecking that has tilted the ice at key moments. The blue line, led by Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore, has done a solid job neutralizing Edmonton’s rush chances and forcing the Oilers to the outside, while also jumping into the play offensively when opportunities arise, a hallmark of Vegas’s ability to stretch opposing defensive structures. While Vegas has struggled against the spread recently—going 0-5 ATS in their last five—they have shown a consistent ability to respond in critical moments during the postseason, and Game 4 will test their ability to control the pace, frustrate Edmonton’s stars, and seize momentum before heading back to Las Vegas. Special teams, particularly the ability to stay out of the penalty box and cash in on limited power-play chances, will likely be a deciding factor in whether Vegas can knot the series at 2-2 or fall into a daunting 3-1 hole. Expect coach Bruce Cassidy to continue emphasizing puck possession, zone time, and limiting odd-man rushes while deploying matchups to suppress Edmonton’s dynamic offense. If Hill remains solid in net, Vegas continues to roll all four lines with confidence, and their defense tightens up just enough to contain the Oilers’ elite playmakers, the Golden Knights have every reason to believe they can leave Edmonton with the series tied and momentum swinging in their favor.

The Vegas Golden Knights and Edmonton Oilers continue their Western Conference Semifinal series on Monday, May 12, 2025, at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The Oilers lead the series 2-1, but the Golden Knights are looking to even the series after a dramatic 4-3 victory in Game 3. Vegas vs Edmonton AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for May 12. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Edmonton Oilers NHL Preview

The Edmonton Oilers return to Rogers Place for Game 4 of their Western Conference Semifinal series against the Vegas Golden Knights with a 2-1 series lead but a sense of urgency after letting a late lead slip away in a heartbreaking 4-3 loss in Game 3, a game that could have put them in complete control of the series but instead gave life to the defending champions and underscored the razor-thin margin between these two elite teams. The Oilers had taken the first two games with high-octane offense and timely special teams execution, and they seemed poised to extend their series lead before defensive lapses in the final minutes allowed Vegas to equalize and ultimately steal the game with a last-second goal, highlighting the need for more consistent execution across all three zones. Despite the loss, Edmonton remains confident on home ice where they have been dominant in the playoffs, and Game 4 presents a critical opportunity to regain control of the series before it shifts back to T-Mobile Arena for Game 5. The Oilers’ postseason success continues to hinge on the production of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who have both delivered elite-level offense with speed, creativity, and unmatched puck control, making them nearly impossible to stop when they find rhythm through the neutral zone or work down low on the power play, which is clicking at a league-best 28.29%. Coach Kris Knoblauch’s top-six forwards have created havoc for most opponents, but secondary scoring and tighter defensive play will be crucial in preventing Vegas from leaning on its depth and grinding down Edmonton’s stars over the course of sixty minutes.

Stuart Skinner, back in net following the injury to Calvin Pickard, has looked solid but not spectacular and will need to rebound after allowing four goals in Game 3, including two in the final minutes, with his ability to control rebounds and track deflections being key against a Vegas team that thrives on chaos near the crease and point shots that create traffic. Edmonton’s blue line, led by Darnell Nurse, Mattias Ekholm, and Evan Bouchard, must do a better job boxing out and limiting high-danger looks in front of Skinner, especially when protecting leads, and improved breakouts under pressure will be essential in preventing costly turnovers that Vegas has been quick to convert. Discipline will also be a priority, as the Golden Knights have been drawing penalties at a high rate and forcing extended defensive shifts from Edmonton’s top defensemen. Despite their offensive strength, the Oilers are well aware that playoff success comes from balance and composure, and Game 4 is a prime opportunity to reset defensively, play with physical edge without overcommitting, and reassert their dominance on special teams and even-strength play. A win would give them a commanding 3-1 series lead and place them one win away from advancing to the Western Conference Final, but another late-game collapse could not only tie the series but hand momentum squarely to the defending champions, making Game 4 one of the most pivotal contests of Edmonton’s postseason thus far.

Vegas vs. Edmonton Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Golden Knights and Oilers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rogers Place in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Korczak under 1.5 Shots on Goal.

Vegas vs. Edmonton Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Golden Knights and Oilers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors often put on Edmonton’s strength factors between a Golden Knights team going up against a possibly deflated Oilers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Vegas vs Edmonton picks, computer picks Golden Knights vs Oilers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Golden Knights Betting Trends

The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.

Oilers Betting Trends

The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.

Golden Knights vs. Oilers Matchup Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.

Vegas vs. Edmonton Game Info

Vegas vs Edmonton starts on May 12, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Spread: Edmonton -1.5
Moneyline: Vegas +110, Edmonton -130
Over/Under: 6.5

Vegas: (50-22)  |  Edmonton: (48-29)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Korczak under 1.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games between these two teams when playing in Edmonton, indicating a trend towards low-scoring contests at Rogers Place.

LV trend: The Golden Knights have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, going 0-5 in their last five games.

EDM trend: The Oilers have been strong ATS at home, with a 4-1 record in their last five home games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Vegas vs. Edmonton Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Vegas vs Edmonton trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Vegas vs Edmonton Opening Odds

LV Moneyline: +110
EDM Moneyline: -130
LV Spread: +1.5
EDM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5

Vegas vs Edmonton Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 7, 2025 5:00PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Florida Panthers
10/7/25 5PM
Blackhawks
Panthers
+240
-315
+1.5 (+102)
-1.5 (-130)
O 6 (-103)
U 6 (-127)
Oct 7, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers
10/7/25 8:10PM
Penguins
Rangers
+160
-200
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+128)
O 6 (-114)
U 6 (-114)
Oct 7, 2025 10:40PM EDT
Colorado Avalanche
Los Angeles Kings
10/7/25 10:40PM
Avalanche
Kings
-117
-107
-1 (+145)
+1 (-190)
O 5.5 (-124)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 8, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Toronto Maple Leafs
10/8/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Maple Leafs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+145)
O 6 (-107)
U 6 (-121)
Oct 8, 2025 7:40PM EDT
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
10/8/25 7:40PM
Bruins
Capitals
+143
-180
+1.5 (-186)
-1.5 (+140)
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
10/8/25 10:10PM
Flames
Oilers
+170
-215
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+120)
O 6 (-113)
U 6 (-114)
Oct 8, 2025 10:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Kings
Las Vegas Golden Knights
10/8/25 10:10PM
Kings
Golden Knights
+155
 
+1.5 (-175)
 
O 5.5 (-120)
U 5.5 (-109)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
10/9/25 7:10PM
Senators
Lightning
+136
-162
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+154)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
10/9/25 7:10PM
Canadiens
Red Wings
 
-130
 
-1.5 (+180)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Chicago Blackhawks
Boston Bruins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Blackhawks
Bruins
+124
-148
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Rangers
Buffalo Sabres
10/9/25 7:10PM
Rangers
Sabres
-120
+100
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
O 6.5 (+110)
U 6.5 (-130)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New York Islanders
Pittsburgh Penguins
10/9/25 7:10PM
Islanders
Penguins
-120
+100
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia Flyers
Florida Panthers
10/9/25 7:10PM
Flyers
Panthers
+164
-198
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
O 5.5 (-110)
U 5.5 (-110)
Oct 9, 2025 7:10PM EDT
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
10/9/25 7:10PM
Devils
Hurricanes
+136
-162
+1.5 (-198)
-1.5 (+164)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)
Oct 9, 2025 8:10PM EDT
Minnesota Wild
St Louis Blues
10/9/25 8:10PM
Wild
Blues
-110
-110
+1.5 (-265)
-1.5 (+215)
O 5.5 (-115)
U 5.5 (-105)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers on May 12, 2025 at Rogers Place.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS
DAL@LA UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 LOSS
LV@NJ LV -115 53.80% 3 WIN
DET@SEA LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.20% 4 WIN
STL@UTA UTA -125 58.30% 4 LOSS
NSH@BUF NSH -120 54.50% 4 LOSS
MIN@MON MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS 55.60% 5 LOSS
ANA@SEA SEA -125 56.10% 3 LOSS
DAL@LV LV -120 55.00% 3 LOSS
VAN@STL STL -130 57.40% 4 LOSS
COL@NYR NYR -115 53.90% 3 LOSS
UTA@OTT OTT -120 54.90% 3 WIN
FLA@LV LV -123 56.00% 4 WIN
WAS@VAN WAS -114 53.50% 3 LOSS
FLA@SJ MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.80% 4 WIN
PIT@SEA SEA -114 54.80% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.70% 4 WIN
PHI@NYI OVER 5.5 54.60% 4 LOSS
OTT@BOS OVER 5.5 53.90% 3 LOSS
MON@DET DET -122 56.40% 4 WIN
BUF@CGY CGY -135 58.40% 4 WIN