Avalanche vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 28)
Updated: 2025-04-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars face off in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on Monday, April 28, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center. The series is tied 2–2, making this game pivotal in determining which team gains the upper hand.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 28, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center
Stars Record: (50-26)
Avalanche Record: (49-2(0
OPENING ODDS
COL Moneyline: -140
DAL Moneyline: +118
COL Spread: -1.5
DAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
COL
Betting Trends
- The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.
DAL
Betting Trends
- The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.
COL vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Blackwell under 2.5 Hits.
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Colorado vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/28/25
Goaltending remains a central factor, as Alexandar Georgiev has been tested heavily by Dallas’ willingness to create traffic in front of the net, while Oettinger’s calm, positionally sound performances have provided the Stars with confidence during extended Colorado pressure. Statistically, Dallas has been strong at home all season, while Colorado has proven capable of stealing road wins with their explosive offense and ability to strike quickly off turnovers. For the Avalanche, continuing to push pace, force Dallas defensemen into hurried decisions, and stay disciplined to avoid putting the Stars on the power play will be critical to grabbing a series lead. For the Stars, success will likely come down to matching Colorado’s speed without getting pulled out of their structured defensive scheme, generating quality looks through smart puck possession, and relying on Oettinger to neutralize Colorado’s top scorers when breakdowns inevitably occur. As is often the case in playoff hockey, Game 5 feels like a tipping point: the winner will take control of the series and gain the first real psychological edge in what has been an evenly matched, intensely competitive battle. With two teams that know how to win in the postseason, expect a physical, fast-paced, and emotionally charged contest where every shift could tip the balance of power.
We’ve got not one, but TWO watch parties for Game Five.
— x - Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) April 27, 2025
See you there, Avs Faithful!#GoAvsGo | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/Tspr97a08m
Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview
The Colorado Avalanche head into Game 5 with confidence in their ability to win tough games on the road, a mindset forged by past playoff runs and fueled by the elite talent that gives them a chance to overwhelm opponents even in hostile environments. Nathan MacKinnon continues to be the driving force for Colorado, using his blazing speed, physicality, and offensive creativity to generate scoring chances seemingly at will, while Cale Makar’s two-way brilliance allows the Avalanche to transition quickly from defense to attack, often catching opposing teams off-balance. Mikko Rantanen has also been a consistent offensive threat, providing crucial secondary scoring and using his size and skill to create mismatches against Dallas’s defensive pairings. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has been steady, if unspectacular, needing to be sharp early in games to keep Colorado close before the Avalanche’s explosive offense can find its rhythm. Defensively, Colorado must be cleaner with puck management, as turnovers in the neutral zone have occasionally fueled Dallas counterattacks that the Stars have been efficient in finishing.
Head coach Jared Bednar will stress the importance of maintaining a high tempo, using quick outlet passes to beat Dallas’s forecheck, and drawing penalties with aggressive zone entries and puck possession, thereby giving the Avalanche’s lethal power play opportunities to tilt the game. Special teams have been a weapon for Colorado at various points in the series, but disciplined five-on-five play and winning puck battles in the corners will likely decide Game 5’s outcome. The Avalanche know that applying sustained pressure, forcing the Stars’ defenders into extended shifts, and making the most of their scoring chances against Jake Oettinger will be crucial to leaving Dallas with a victory. If Colorado can execute their fast, aggressive style while maintaining defensive responsibility, they are more than capable of taking a critical 3–2 lead back to Ball Arena, where they would have a chance to close out the series in front of their home fans.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Stars NHL Preview
The Dallas Stars return to American Airlines Center for Game 5 determined to seize the momentum in a series that has showcased just how resilient and deep this roster can be even when faced with adversity. Despite dealing with injuries to key players like Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson, the Stars have relied on a full-team approach to stay even with a powerful Avalanche squad, getting timely contributions from veterans like Joe Pavelski and emerging stars such as Wyatt Johnston, who have each played pivotal roles in maintaining the Stars’ offensive pressure. Jake Oettinger remains the backbone of this team’s playoff hopes, delivering consistently strong performances in goal by controlling rebounds, making critical saves during penalty kills, and providing the kind of quiet confidence that allows the team to play aggressively in front of him. Defensively, Dallas has been disciplined and structured, showing an ability to frustrate Colorado’s potent offense by blocking shots, winning board battles, and keeping the slot area relatively clean, forcing the Avalanche to settle for more perimeter chances than they would prefer.
Head coach Peter DeBoer’s game plan has emphasized minimizing mistakes, capitalizing on turnovers, and slowing down Colorado’s transition game, strategies that the Stars have executed well during their wins in the series. Special teams continue to be a key factor, with Dallas’s power play capable of striking quickly thanks to skilled puck movers like Roope Hintz and slick finishers like Jamie Benn, while the penalty kill has shown resilience even against Colorado’s dangerous man-advantage units. The home crowd will be a major asset for the Stars, providing energy and an emotional lift that Dallas has fed off during tight, playoff-intensity games all season long. If the Stars can replicate their defensive intensity, continue to force turnovers in the neutral zone, and lean on Oettinger to withstand Colorado’s inevitable surges, they will give themselves an excellent chance to not only win Game 5 but also take control of the series and put Colorado on the defensive heading into a critical Game 6.
The Avs evened the series in game 4 to force a best-of-three with Dallas having home ice advantage.
— X - Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) April 27, 2025
Heika's Take ⤵@PNCBank | #TexasHockey
Colorado vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Colorado vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Avalanche and Stars and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the growing emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly improved Stars team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Colorado vs Dallas picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Avalanche Betting Trends
The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.
Stars Betting Trends
The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.
Avalanche vs. Stars Matchup Trends
Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.
Colorado vs. Dallas Game Info
What time does Colorado vs Dallas start on April 28, 2025?
Colorado vs Dallas starts on April 28, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Where is Colorado vs Dallas being played?
Venue: American Airlines Center.
What are the opening odds for Colorado vs Dallas?
Spread: Dallas +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -140, Dallas +118
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Colorado vs Dallas?
Colorado: (49-2(0 | Dallas: (50-26)
What is the AI best bet for Colorado vs Dallas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Blackwell under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Colorado vs Dallas trending bets?
Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.
What are Colorado trending bets?
COL trend: The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.
What are Dallas trending bets?
DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.
Where can I find AI Picks for Colorado vs Dallas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Colorado vs. Dallas Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Colorado vs Dallas Opening Odds
COL Moneyline:
-140 DAL Moneyline: +118
COL Spread: -1.5
DAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6
Colorado vs Dallas Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
|
–
–
|
+136
-164
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+146)
|
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+106)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
-140
+116
|
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-215)
|
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
|
|
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
|
–
–
|
-130
+108
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-225)
|
O 6.5 (+106)
U 6.5 (-130)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars on April 28, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |