Avalanche vs Stars Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 28)

Updated: 2025-04-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars face off in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on Monday, April 28, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center. The series is tied 2–2, making this game pivotal in determining which team gains the upper hand.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 28, 2025

Start Time: 9:30 PM EST​

Venue: American Airlines Center​

Stars Record: (50-26)

Avalanche Record: (49-2(0

OPENING ODDS

COL Moneyline: -140

DAL Moneyline: +118

COL Spread: -1.5

DAL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 6

COL
Betting Trends

  • The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.

DAL
Betting Trends

  • The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.

COL vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Blackwell under 2.5 Hits.

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Colorado vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/28/25

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars prepare to clash in a pivotal Game 5 on Monday night at American Airlines Center with the series deadlocked at 2–2, and the stakes could not be higher for two of the Western Conference’s elite teams. Both sides have traded blows throughout the series, with the Avalanche flexing their offensive firepower behind the dynamic play of Nathan MacKinnon and the smooth, all-around excellence of defenseman Cale Makar, while the Stars have relied on disciplined team defense, timely scoring, and the clutch goaltending of Jake Oettinger to stay firmly in the fight. Colorado’s ability to generate high-danger scoring chances off the rush has been evident, yet Dallas has done an admirable job of clogging shooting lanes, clearing rebounds, and counter-punching effectively when opportunities arise. Injuries have been a major storyline for the Stars, with Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson both dealing with setbacks, but contributions from depth players like Wyatt Johnston and Joe Pavelski have helped Dallas remain dangerous offensively. Special teams have swung momentum throughout the series, with each game often tilting on power-play efficiency and penalty-killing prowess, areas where both teams have had stretches of dominance and vulnerability.

Goaltending remains a central factor, as Alexandar Georgiev has been tested heavily by Dallas’ willingness to create traffic in front of the net, while Oettinger’s calm, positionally sound performances have provided the Stars with confidence during extended Colorado pressure. Statistically, Dallas has been strong at home all season, while Colorado has proven capable of stealing road wins with their explosive offense and ability to strike quickly off turnovers. For the Avalanche, continuing to push pace, force Dallas defensemen into hurried decisions, and stay disciplined to avoid putting the Stars on the power play will be critical to grabbing a series lead. For the Stars, success will likely come down to matching Colorado’s speed without getting pulled out of their structured defensive scheme, generating quality looks through smart puck possession, and relying on Oettinger to neutralize Colorado’s top scorers when breakdowns inevitably occur. As is often the case in playoff hockey, Game 5 feels like a tipping point: the winner will take control of the series and gain the first real psychological edge in what has been an evenly matched, intensely competitive battle. With two teams that know how to win in the postseason, expect a physical, fast-paced, and emotionally charged contest where every shift could tip the balance of power.

Colorado Avalanche NHL Preview

The Colorado Avalanche head into Game 5 with confidence in their ability to win tough games on the road, a mindset forged by past playoff runs and fueled by the elite talent that gives them a chance to overwhelm opponents even in hostile environments. Nathan MacKinnon continues to be the driving force for Colorado, using his blazing speed, physicality, and offensive creativity to generate scoring chances seemingly at will, while Cale Makar’s two-way brilliance allows the Avalanche to transition quickly from defense to attack, often catching opposing teams off-balance. Mikko Rantanen has also been a consistent offensive threat, providing crucial secondary scoring and using his size and skill to create mismatches against Dallas’s defensive pairings. Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev has been steady, if unspectacular, needing to be sharp early in games to keep Colorado close before the Avalanche’s explosive offense can find its rhythm. Defensively, Colorado must be cleaner with puck management, as turnovers in the neutral zone have occasionally fueled Dallas counterattacks that the Stars have been efficient in finishing.

Head coach Jared Bednar will stress the importance of maintaining a high tempo, using quick outlet passes to beat Dallas’s forecheck, and drawing penalties with aggressive zone entries and puck possession, thereby giving the Avalanche’s lethal power play opportunities to tilt the game. Special teams have been a weapon for Colorado at various points in the series, but disciplined five-on-five play and winning puck battles in the corners will likely decide Game 5’s outcome. The Avalanche know that applying sustained pressure, forcing the Stars’ defenders into extended shifts, and making the most of their scoring chances against Jake Oettinger will be crucial to leaving Dallas with a victory. If Colorado can execute their fast, aggressive style while maintaining defensive responsibility, they are more than capable of taking a critical 3–2 lead back to Ball Arena, where they would have a chance to close out the series in front of their home fans.

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars face off in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series on Monday, April 28, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center. The series is tied 2–2, making this game pivotal in determining which team gains the upper hand. Colorado vs Dallas AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Dallas Stars NHL Preview

The Dallas Stars return to American Airlines Center for Game 5 determined to seize the momentum in a series that has showcased just how resilient and deep this roster can be even when faced with adversity. Despite dealing with injuries to key players like Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson, the Stars have relied on a full-team approach to stay even with a powerful Avalanche squad, getting timely contributions from veterans like Joe Pavelski and emerging stars such as Wyatt Johnston, who have each played pivotal roles in maintaining the Stars’ offensive pressure. Jake Oettinger remains the backbone of this team’s playoff hopes, delivering consistently strong performances in goal by controlling rebounds, making critical saves during penalty kills, and providing the kind of quiet confidence that allows the team to play aggressively in front of him. Defensively, Dallas has been disciplined and structured, showing an ability to frustrate Colorado’s potent offense by blocking shots, winning board battles, and keeping the slot area relatively clean, forcing the Avalanche to settle for more perimeter chances than they would prefer.

Head coach Peter DeBoer’s game plan has emphasized minimizing mistakes, capitalizing on turnovers, and slowing down Colorado’s transition game, strategies that the Stars have executed well during their wins in the series. Special teams continue to be a key factor, with Dallas’s power play capable of striking quickly thanks to skilled puck movers like Roope Hintz and slick finishers like Jamie Benn, while the penalty kill has shown resilience even against Colorado’s dangerous man-advantage units. The home crowd will be a major asset for the Stars, providing energy and an emotional lift that Dallas has fed off during tight, playoff-intensity games all season long. If the Stars can replicate their defensive intensity, continue to force turnovers in the neutral zone, and lean on Oettinger to withstand Colorado’s inevitable surges, they will give themselves an excellent chance to not only win Game 5 but also take control of the series and put Colorado on the defensive heading into a critical Game 6.

Colorado vs. Dallas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Avalanche and Stars play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at American Airlines Center in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Blackwell under 2.5 Hits.

Colorado vs. Dallas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Avalanche and Stars and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the growing emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Avalanche team going up against a possibly improved Stars team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Colorado vs Dallas picks, computer picks Avalanche vs Stars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Avalanche Betting Trends

The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.

Stars Betting Trends

The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.

Avalanche vs. Stars Matchup Trends

Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.

Colorado vs. Dallas Game Info

Colorado vs Dallas starts on April 28, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.

Venue: American Airlines Center.

Spread: Dallas +1.5
Moneyline: Colorado -140, Dallas +118
Over/Under: 6

Colorado: (49-2(0  |  Dallas: (50-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Blackwell under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the series being tied, the Stars have shown resilience at home, while the Avalanche have been strong on the road, suggesting a closely contested Game 5.

COL trend: The Colorado Avalanche have a 45–26–3 record this season, placing them 3rd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference.

DAL trend: The Dallas Stars have a 50–26–6 record this season, placing them 2nd in the Central Division.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Colorado vs. Dallas Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Colorado vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Colorado vs Dallas Opening Odds

COL Moneyline: -140
DAL Moneyline: +118
COL Spread: -1.5
DAL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 6

Colorado vs Dallas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+136
-164
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+146)
O 5.5 (-130)
U 5.5 (+106)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-140
+116
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-215)
O 6.5 (+112)
U 6.5 (-138)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-130
+108
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-225)
O 6.5 (+106)
U 6.5 (-130)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars on April 28, 2025 at American Airlines Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS