Panthers vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Apr 24)

Updated: 2025-04-22T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning continue their first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series on April 24, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. The Panthers lead the series 1-0 after a commanding 6-2 victory in Game 1, aiming to extend their advantage on the road.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 24, 2025

Start Time: 6:30 PM EST​

Venue: Amalie Arena​

Lightning Record: (47-27)

Panthers Record: (47-31)

OPENING ODDS

FLA Moneyline: +105

TB Moneyline: -125

FLA Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 5.5

FLA
Betting Trends

  • The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 4–14 record in their last 18 games and a 2–9 ATS record in their last 11 road games.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have performed well ATS at home, holding a 6–2 record in their last eight home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their recent matchups, the Lightning have covered the spread in 15 of their last 21 games against the Panthers, indicating a strong historical ATS performance in this rivalry.

FLA vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.

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Florida vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/24/25

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning will clash in Game 2 of their high-stakes first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series on April 24, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, a battle that’s quickly heating up as one of the most intense rivalries in the NHL continues to deliver drama. The Panthers hold a 1-0 series lead after a commanding 6-2 win in Game 1, where Florida’s offense overwhelmed Tampa Bay early and often, led by the return of Matthew Tkachuk, who marked his comeback from injury with two goals and a physical, disruptive presence that perfectly encapsulated Florida’s identity. While the Panthers looked polished, opportunistic, and relentless in transition, the Lightning now face pressure to bounce back on home ice where they’ve been exceptional all season, sporting a 29-8-4 regular season record at Amalie Arena and a reputation for playoff resilience built over the last several years. Tampa Bay’s top scorer, Nikita Kucherov, who led the league with 121 points during the regular season, will need to be more impactful in Game 2 after being held in check during the opener, as will key contributors like Brayden Point and Victor Hedman, who struggled to control the pace and defensive zone chaos. The Lightning have historically bounced back well in playoff series, and their power play, ranked among the best in the league, remains a significant threat—especially if they can draw early penalties and tilt the momentum.

However, they will have to contend with a Florida penalty kill that was disciplined and aggressive in Game 1, and with Sergei Bobrovsky in net showing sharp form, the Panthers appear poised to make life difficult for a Lightning team already chasing the series. On the other end, Florida executed with ruthless efficiency, turning defensive stops into rush chances, dominating along the boards, and getting scoring from all four lines, something head coach Paul Maurice has emphasized as critical to playoff success. Aleksander Barkov and Sam Reinhart were active in all three zones, and the Panthers’ ability to roll four lines without a major drop-off in intensity or possession has been one of their defining advantages. Florida’s recent struggles ATS on the road (2–9) may be statistically relevant, but their Game 1 performance flipped that trend on its head and reasserted their ability to win in hostile environments. Both teams are likely to make adjustments—Tampa Bay may deploy tighter forechecking and defensive pairings to neutralize Tkachuk’s line, while Florida will likely continue to pressure Tampa’s breakout and look to force turnovers in the neutral zone. With playoff intensity peaking and emotions running high in this rivalry series, Game 2 could set the tone for the rest of the matchup, especially if Florida pulls off another win on the road and seizes full control. Expect a tighter, more physical contest as Tampa Bay leans on its experience and Florida aims to stay aggressive and capitalize on the momentum they’ve already seized in this high-octane postseason battle.

Florida Panthers NHL Preview

The Florida Panthers enter Game 2 of their first-round playoff series against the Tampa Bay Lightning with confidence and momentum firmly on their side following a resounding 6-2 win in Game 1 that showcased their offensive firepower and structural discipline. Despite entering the postseason with concerns about road consistency—holding a 2–9 ATS record in their last 11 road games—the Panthers quickly put those doubts to rest, dictating tempo early and imposing their aggressive, high-pressure style from the opening faceoff. Matthew Tkachuk’s return from injury couldn’t have been more impactful, as the forward not only netted two goals but also brought physicality, puck possession dominance, and emotional intensity that visibly lifted the rest of the roster. Captain Aleksander Barkov and Sam Reinhart continued their strong seasons with intelligent play in all three zones, and the Panthers’ ability to roll four effective lines created constant mismatches and wore down Tampa Bay’s blue line over the course of the game. Florida’s success in Game 1 was rooted not just in offensive flair but in structured, disciplined play, forcing the Lightning into rushed decisions and generating turnovers that turned into high-danger scoring chances.

Special teams were a point of strength as well, with a successful penalty kill neutralizing Tampa Bay’s potent power play, and a fluid puck movement on their own man advantage setting up Grade-A looks. Sergei Bobrovsky looked locked in between the pipes, turning aside key chances and displaying the poise needed to withstand the inevitable pushback expected from the Lightning in Game 2. The Panthers will aim to replicate their Game 1 formula by maintaining a fast pace, capitalizing on neutral zone turnovers, and continuing their heavy forechecking strategy to keep Tampa’s top stars from building rhythm. While the atmosphere at Amalie Arena will be far from welcoming, Florida’s Game 1 statement suggested they’re not just here to compete—they’re here to control the narrative of this series. If Bobrovsky can match his Game 1 performance and Florida’s top two lines continue winning their matchups, the Panthers have a strong chance to head back to Sunrise with a commanding 2-0 lead and a firm grip on this Atlantic Division showdown. Staying disciplined, avoiding retaliation penalties, and exploiting any early defensive lapses from a shaken Lightning team will be essential as the Panthers look to maintain their edge and continue their quest for a deep playoff run.

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning continue their first-round Stanley Cup Playoff series on April 24, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. The Panthers lead the series 1-0 after a commanding 6-2 victory in Game 1, aiming to extend their advantage on the road. Florida vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NHL Betting Insights for Apr 24. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning return to Amalie Arena for Game 2 of their opening-round playoff series against the Florida Panthers with a clear mission: reset the tone after a humbling 6-2 loss in Game 1 and remind everyone why they’re one of the most battle-tested teams in the NHL postseason landscape. Despite a dominant 29-8-4 home record during the regular season and a strong 6-2 ATS run over their last eight home games, the Lightning were outpaced and out-executed in nearly every phase in the series opener. Star winger Nikita Kucherov, the NHL’s leading scorer with 121 points in the regular season, was largely neutralized, and the rest of Tampa’s offensive core—Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos, and Anthony Cirelli—struggled to generate sustained pressure against Florida’s well-structured defense. Head coach Jon Cooper will almost certainly make adjustments, both in line matchups and in transition strategy, in hopes of jumpstarting an offense that looked disconnected and too easily bottled up by Florida’s forecheck. The Lightning will lean heavily on their power play, which finished top-five in the league and remains their deadliest weapon when operating with space, especially at home where crowd energy can swing momentum quickly. Tampa Bay will also be hoping for a bounce-back performance from goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy, who allowed six goals on 28 shots in Game 1 and didn’t look like the playoff force he’s been in past runs.

Known for elevating his game under pressure, Vasilevskiy will be crucial to any potential rebound, needing to control rebounds and stay sharp through screens against a Panthers team that crashes the net relentlessly. Defensively, Tampa Bay will need stronger zone exits and better support for their blue liners, especially in managing Matthew Tkachuk, who dominated Game 1 with physical play and two timely goals. Victor Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev will be asked to tighten their gaps and prevent the Panthers from gaining the offensive zone with speed—a challenge, given Florida’s depth and relentless pace. The Lightning know from experience that a playoff series is rarely decided in Game 1, and their history of deep runs and comeback efforts speaks to their resilience in moments like this. Expect Tampa Bay to play with urgency and physicality from the opening puck drop, using the energy of the home crowd and their trademark aggressive forecheck to flip the script. If they can stay out of the penalty box, get Vasilevskiy settled early, and generate clean entries to unlock their transition game, the Lightning have the tools and the pedigree to knot the series at one game apiece and reclaim momentum before heading to Sunrise for Game 3.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Panthers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amalie Arena in Apr almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Panthers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Panthers team going up against a possibly tired Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Florida vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Panthers vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule

Panthers Betting Trends

The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 4–14 record in their last 18 games and a 2–9 ATS record in their last 11 road games.

Lightning Betting Trends

The Lightning have performed well ATS at home, holding a 6–2 record in their last eight home games.

Panthers vs. Lightning Matchup Trends

In their recent matchups, the Lightning have covered the spread in 15 of their last 21 games against the Panthers, indicating a strong historical ATS performance in this rivalry.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Florida vs Tampa Bay starts on April 24, 2025 at 6:30 PM EST.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Florida +105, Tampa Bay -125
Over/Under: 5.5

Florida: (47-31)  |  Tampa Bay: (47-27)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Tkachuk under 2.5 Hits.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their recent matchups, the Lightning have covered the spread in 15 of their last 21 games against the Panthers, indicating a strong historical ATS performance in this rivalry.

FLA trend: The Panthers have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 4–14 record in their last 18 games and a 2–9 ATS record in their last 11 road games.

TB trend: The Lightning have performed well ATS at home, holding a 6–2 record in their last eight home games.

See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Florida vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Florida vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

FLA Moneyline: +105
TB Moneyline: -125
FLA Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 5.5

Florida vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 12:40PM EDT
Vancouver Canucks
Washington Capitals
10/19/25 12:40PM
Canucks
Capitals
+130
-160
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+145)
O 5.5 (-125)
U 5.5 (+105)
Oct 19, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Edmonton Oilers
Detroit Red Wings
10/19/25 3:10PM
Oilers
Red Wings
-143
+115
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-220)
O 6 (-121)
U 6 (-104)
Oct 19, 2025 7:10PM EDT
Anaheim Ducks
Chicago Blackhawks
10/19/25 7:10PM
Ducks
Blackhawks
-136
+110
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-112)

NHL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on April 24, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
MIN@WAS WAS -120 56.2% 3 WIN
WPG@PHI WPG -132 56.7% 3 WIN
NYR@TOR TOR -133 58.6% 4 WIN
CGY@UTA OVER 6 53.8% 3 LOSS
OTT@BUF OTT -108 53.1% 3 LOSS
FLA@DET AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS 54.0% 4 LOSS
LA@MIN LA -110 56.0% 5 LOSS
STL@VAN VAN -121 54.6% 4 LOSS
BUF@BOS BOS -114 54.9% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA SEA -125 54.2% 3 WIN
ANA@SEA TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS 53.3% 3 LOSS
BOS@WAS ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL 41.4% 2 LOSS
FLA@EDM MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS 53.70% 3 WIN
FLA@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.50% 4 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON 53.00% 3 LOSS
EDM@FLA ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE 54.00% 4 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -110 53.80% 3 LOSS
EDM@DAL DAL -125 56.70% 3 WIN
TOR@FLA MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 55.60% 5 LOSS
TOR@FLA WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 54.90% 4 LOSS
CAR@WAS WAS +140 47.70% 3 WIN
WPG@STL STL -110 54.80% 4 WIN
WPG@STL UNDER 5.5 55.70% 4 LOSS
CGY@LA MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS 53.10% 3 WIN
TB@NYR TB +110 49.80% 3 LOSS
SJ@VAN ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES 54.50% 4 LOSS
BUF@TB OVER 6.5 53.90% 3 WIN
NYI@PHI PHI -110 54.00% 3 WIN
LV@EDM RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL 53.00% 3 WIN
EDM@ANA OVER 6 54.20% 3 LOSS
CAR@BOS OVER 5.5 54.00% 3 WIN
NYR@NJ NJ -125 57.30% 4 WIN
COL@CLB OVER 6.5 53.80% 3 WIN
LA@UTA LA -125 54.70% 3 WIN
WPG@LV LV -120 54.80% 3 LOSS
MIN@NJ UNDER 5.5 53.80% 3 WIN
NSH@PHI PHI -120 55.00% 3 WIN
OTT@BUF OVER 6 54.00% 3 LOSS
CHI@SJ CHI +105 51.60% 3 LOSS
WAS@LA WAS +105 51.20% 3 LOSS
TB@CAR CAR -130 56.40% 3 WIN
NSH@BOS BOS -125 55.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@SEA SEA -120 54.60% 3 LOSS
SJ@TOR OVER 6 54.80% 3 LOSS
BUF@MON MON -110 54.70% 4 WIN
BOS@PIT PIT -120 54.90% 3 LOSS
LA@STL STL -110 53.70% 3 WIN
LA@DAL DAL -125 56.40% 4 WIN
PIT@PHI PHI -116 54.20% 3 WIN
DET@MIN MIN -115 54.20% 3 LOSS
MIN@DET DET -130 58.00% 3 LOSS