Red Wings vs. Lightning
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | NHL AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Detroit Red Wings are set to face the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. This matchup features two Atlantic Division teams with contrasting seasons; the Lightning are vying for playoff positioning, while the Red Wings aim to finish their season on a high note.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​
Venue: Amalie Arena​
Lightning Record: (45-26)
Red Wings Record: (36-35)
OPENING ODDS
DET Moneyline: +225
TB Moneyline: -278
DET Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
DET
Betting Trends
- The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.
DET vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Kane over 2.5 Shots on Goal.
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Detroit vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 4/11/25
Larkin, Lucas Raymond, and Alex DeBrincat have done the bulk of the heavy lifting, but depth and special teams woes have limited the team’s overall ceiling. On the defensive side, Detroit has allowed over three goals per game, and while Alex Lyon has played admirably in net, he’s been forced to make up for frequent breakdowns in front of him. The penalty kill has struggled against elite units, and that spells trouble going up against Tampa’s 24.8% power-play efficiency. What makes this game intriguing is how Detroit will approach the challenge. With no playoff pressure, they could play loose and aggressive, trying to prove a point against a team heading into the postseason. Conversely, Tampa Bay will treat this game as an opportunity to sharpen their systems, test playoff line combinations, and fine-tune their power play and penalty kill units. Expect the Lightning to come out with urgency, particularly at home, where they’ve been dominant throughout the season. The Red Wings, if they want to pull off an upset, will need to control the pace early, stay out of the penalty box, and rely heavily on Lyon to steal high-danger chances. Ultimately, the matchup pits an experienced, polished contender against a rebuilding group still learning how to win consistently, and that contrast may very well define the tone and outcome of the game. For fans and bettors alike, Tampa’s home-ice advantage, superior form, and playoff motivation make them the clear favorites, but the Red Wings’ unpredictable nature could still produce some fireworks.
Final.
— Detroit Red Wings (@DetroitRedWings) April 11, 2025
Road trip wraps up tomorrow in Tampa. pic.twitter.com/Vz8Rxe3wLF
Detroit Red Wings NHL Preview
The Detroit Red Wings enter their April 11 matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning seeking to end a difficult season with a competitive showing against one of the NHL’s most consistent playoff-bound teams. The Red Wings, despite flashes of brilliance throughout the year, have struggled to establish momentum, particularly in recent weeks, going just 4-6 in their last 10 games and covering the spread in only 40% of those contests. Their most recent 2-1 loss to the St. Louis Blues reflected a recurring theme—an inability to finish offensive chances despite adequate effort and solid puck possession. Leading the charge offensively is captain Dylan Larkin, who has once again proven himself as Detroit’s emotional anchor and most dynamic forward, combining speed, vision, and defensive responsibility. He is complemented by young standouts Lucas Raymond and Alex DeBrincat, both of whom have contributed consistently in the top six. However, the lack of consistent scoring from the bottom half of the roster has left the team overly reliant on its stars, a vulnerability that elite opponents like Tampa Bay are quick to exploit. Defensively, the Red Wings have been a mixed bag, often alternating between structured, competitive play and breakdowns that lead to high-danger scoring chances against. Goaltender Alex Lyon has carried much of the workload down the stretch and has shown himself to be a steady presence between the pipes, posting a respectable goals-against average near 2.70 and a save percentage around .901.
Yet Lyon’s efforts have frequently been overshadowed by a defensive corps that has struggled with both puck management and net-front coverage, allowing over three goals per game. The Red Wings’ penalty kill has been another area of concern, operating below league average and particularly vulnerable against top-tier power-play units like Tampa’s. Detroit’s blue line, though infused with some promising young talent, still lacks the elite shutdown pairing necessary to handle the wave-style attack of playoff-caliber teams, and it shows when they’re hemmed in for extended stretches. As the road team in a hostile playoff-ready environment, Detroit’s challenge will be as much mental as it is tactical. Playing spoiler can be a motivating factor for a team with nothing to lose, and if the Red Wings approach this game with urgency, it could result in a high-energy performance that tests Tampa Bay’s discipline. For head coach Derek Lalonde, the focus will likely be on maintaining competitive structure, limiting penalties, and encouraging his young core to play freely and with confidence. The Red Wings are not devoid of skill or heart—they’ve simply lacked the experience and depth to string together consistent success. While they are clearly the underdogs, this game represents an opportunity to lay a foundation for next season, evaluate player readiness, and prove they can compete with the best. In doing so, Detroit may not only challenge Tampa Bay but also give its loyal fan base a glimpse of a brighter future.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning welcome the Detroit Red Wings to Amalie Arena on April 11 as they continue their final tune-up ahead of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, where they are expected to once again make a serious push. Tampa Bay enters the game with a 44-26-6 record and has been surging at the right time, winning four of their last six contests and solidifying their place among the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Their most recent victory, a dominant 5-1 performance over the New York, served as a reminder of the Lightning’s ability to elevate their game against top-tier competition. Nikita Kucherov continues to drive Tampa Bay’s elite offense, leading the team with 33 goals and an astonishing 79 assists. His vision and puck control are unmatched, and he remains the centerpiece of both even-strength and power-play setups. Brandon Hagel has emerged as a perfect complement, tallying 34 goals and 48 assists of his own, providing the Lightning with dangerous depth on their top lines. This offensive core is supported by a team system that encourages speed, puck possession, and relentless pressure in the offensive zone. Defensively, the Lightning have once again leaned on the stability of Victor Hedman and the elite goaltending of Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is having another outstanding season with a 2.16 goals-against average and a .922 save percentage. Vasilevskiy’s calm presence and ability to make high-difficulty saves in critical moments provide a psychological advantage few teams can match. Tampa Bay allows just 2.61 goals per game—one of the better marks league-wide—thanks to their cohesive back-end play and disciplined team structure.
The penalty kill has been sharp, operating at 81.9%, and their ability to clear pucks quickly and efficiently under pressure has kept them out of prolonged defensive trouble. This defensive consistency is particularly valuable when paired with a potent offense, allowing the Lightning to control game tempo and wear down opponents with sustained zone time and forechecking pressure. Special teams remain a cornerstone of Tampa’s identity, with their power play clicking at 24.8%—a lethal weapon that can swing momentum in an instant. Whether it’s Kucherov quarterbacking from the wall or Steven Stamkos unleashing one-timers from his signature circle spot, the Lightning’s man-advantage units demand discipline from opponents. At home, Tampa Bay has been dominant, both statistically and psychologically, often feeding off the energy of their crowd and quickly turning routine shifts into momentum surges. Facing a struggling Detroit team, the Lightning will look to impose their will early, execute their systems with precision, and avoid any letdown that could jeopardize seeding or chemistry heading into the postseason. With playoff implications still on the table and a roster brimming with veterans who understand the stakes, Tampa Bay is expected to approach this game with sharp focus, controlled aggression, and the championship mentality that has defined their identity in recent years. This is a prime opportunity for the Lightning to reinforce their postseason readiness while extending their dominance over a divisional opponent.
Good luck to our prospects hitting the ice for the @NCAAIceHockey #MFrozenFour this weekend! pic.twitter.com/f2yiigkWlQ
— x - Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) April 10, 2025
Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Red Wings and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Red Wings team going up against a possibly unhealthy Lightning team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Detroit vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Red Wings vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.Â
Red Wings Betting Trends
The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.
Lightning Betting Trends
The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.
Red Wings vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.
Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Detroit vs Tampa Bay start on April 11, 2025?
Detroit vs Tampa Bay starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM EST.
Where is Detroit vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Amalie Arena.
What are the opening odds for Detroit vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Detroit +225, Tampa Bay -278
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Detroit vs Tampa Bay?
Detroit: (36-35) Â |Â Tampa Bay: (45-26)
What is the AI best bet for Detroit vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Kane over 2.5 Shots on Goal.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Detroit vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
In their last five head-to-head matchups, the home team has covered the spread 80% of the time, indicating a significant home-ice advantage in this series.
What are Detroit trending bets?
DET trend: The Red Wings have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, covering in only 40% of their last 10 games, reflecting their inconsistent performance.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Lightning have been more reliable for bettors, covering the spread in 60% of their last 10 games, showcasing their strong form as they push for the playoffs.
Where can I find AI Picks for Detroit vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Detroit vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Detroit vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Detroit vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
DET Moneyline:
+225 TB Moneyline: -278
DET Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Detroit vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on April 11, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LA | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
LV@NJ | LV -115 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
DET@SEA | LUCAS RAYMOND OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.20% | 4 | WIN |
STL@UTA | UTA -125 | 58.30% | 4 | LOSS |
NSH@BUF | NSH -120 | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@MON | MATT BOLDY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
DAL@LV | LV -120 | 55.00% | 3 | LOSS |
VAN@STL | STL -130 | 57.40% | 4 | LOSS |
COL@NYR | NYR -115 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
UTA@OTT | OTT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@LV | LV -123 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
WAS@VAN | WAS -114 | 53.50% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@SJ | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@SEA | SEA -114 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | BO HORVAT OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYI | OVER 5.5 | 54.60% | 4 | LOSS |
OTT@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 53.90% | 3 | LOSS |
MON@DET | DET -122 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
BUF@CGY | CGY -135 | 58.40% | 4 | WIN |