Lightning vs Golden Knights Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 23)
Updated: 2025-03-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On March 23, 2025, the Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The game is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM PDT.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Mar 23, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights Record: (41-20)
Lightning Record: (40-24)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: -104
LV Moneyline: -117
TB Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
TB
Betting Trends
- Specific against-the-spread (ATS) statistics for the Lightning’s recent games are not available in the provided sources.
LV
Betting Trends
- Specific ATS statistics for the Golden Knights’ recent games are not available in the provided sources.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Detailed ATS betting statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
TB vs. LV
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored
LIVE NHL ODDS
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Tampa Bay vs Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/23/25
The Lightning’s power play unit, quarterbacked by Hedman, has been particularly effective, utilizing quick puck movement and lethal shooting to capitalize on opponents’ penalties. Conversely, the Golden Knights boast a robust penalty kill, often disrupting opposing power plays with aggressive forechecking and shot-blocking. This clash between Tampa Bay’s power play efficiency and Vegas’s penalty-killing resilience could significantly influence the game’s outcome. From a betting perspective, both teams have shown strong performances this season, making the point spread a challenging aspect to predict. The Lightning’s ability to perform on the road and the Golden Knights’ dominance at home create an intriguing dynamic for bettors. Additionally, considering both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over/under line might attract attention, with the potential for a high-scoring affair. Injuries and player availability will also play a crucial role in this game. Both teams have experienced injuries to key players throughout the season, affecting their lineup consistency. Monitoring the status of these players leading up to the game will be essential for a comprehensive analysis. In conclusion, this matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Vegas Golden Knights promises to be an exhilarating display of high-caliber hockey. Both teams possess the talent, experience, and strategic acumen to secure a victory. Fans can anticipate a closely contested game, with the outcome potentially hinging on special teams performance, goaltending excellence, and the ability to capitalize on critical moments.
Final. #TBLvsUTA pic.twitter.com/Q2mOwKCmNv
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) March 22, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to T-Mobile Arena for a March 23, 2025 clash with the Vegas Golden Knights, bringing with them a roster brimming with championship pedigree, elite talent, and a deep understanding of how to win in high-pressure environments, all hallmarks of a franchise that has redefined excellence in the salary cap era under the direction of head coach Jon Cooper, whose ability to adapt game plans and motivate a veteran-heavy locker room remains unmatched across the NHL. Led by the consistently dominant Nikita Kucherov, who remains one of the league’s top point producers thanks to his vision, deceptive shot release, and lethal presence on the power play, the Lightning’s offense remains a dynamic force capable of scoring in bunches, especially when paired with Brayden Point’s explosive speed and finishing touch, as well as Steven Stamkos’ timeless scoring ability and leadership, which continue to anchor the Lightning’s top six. The team’s forward depth, bolstered by Anthony Cirelli’s elite two-way game, Nick Paul’s versatility, and Brandon Hagel’s relentless motor, allows Tampa Bay to match up favorably against virtually any opponent, giving Cooper the flexibility to roll lines effectively and counteract whatever combinations Bruce Cassidy deploys for Vegas. Defensively, the Lightning continue to benefit from the two-way brilliance of Victor Hedman, whose presence on the ice elevates every shift with his poised puck handling, smooth skating, and shutdown capability, while Mikhail Sergachev, Erik Cernak, and Darren Raddysh provide a solid supporting cast that ensures the blue line remains reliable in all situations. In goal, the backbone of Tampa Bay’s identity is still the world-class Andrei Vasilevskiy, who remains arguably the best goaltender in the game today—his lateral movement, rebound control, and ability to steal games single-handedly make him the ultimate equalizer, particularly in hostile road environments like Vegas, where early saves can shift the tone and quiet a raucous crowd.
The Lightning’s special teams continue to be among the league’s best, with a power play that thrives on quick puck movement, traffic in front of the net, and Kucherov’s ability to draw defenders out of position, while their penalty kill is bolstered by smart positioning and aggressive sticks from Cirelli and Paul, often transitioning into short-handed chances. Tampa Bay’s ability to manage momentum and dictate pace is a critical asset, particularly against a deep, physical Golden Knights team that excels at playing with the lead—expect Tampa to focus on early puck possession, minimizing turnovers in the neutral zone, and forcing Vegas to defend through multi-shot shifts. While injuries have tested Tampa’s depth at times this season, call-ups like Conor Sheary and Mitchell Chaffee have contributed effectively when slotted into key minutes, reflecting the organizational depth built by GM Julien BriseBois. Against Vegas, Tampa Bay will look to rely on its veteran core’s ability to execute a structured, detail-oriented road game, capitalize on power play opportunities, and apply pressure on Vegas’s defense through swift zone entries and crisp passing. With both teams postseason-bound and capable of grinding out tight, tactical contests, this matchup will serve as a litmus test for the Lightning’s playoff readiness, and if Vasilevskiy can hold the fort while the stars deliver up front, Tampa Bay could very well leave Vegas with a statement win and two critical points as the postseason race tightens.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vegas Golden Knights NHL Preview
The Vegas Golden Knights, set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning on March 23, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena, have solidified their status as one of the NHL’s elite teams, combining a relentless playing style with strategic depth that has propelled them to the upper echelons of the league standings. Under the astute leadership of head coach Bruce Cassidy, the Golden Knights have developed a system that emphasizes aggressive forechecking, defensive responsibility, and swift transitional play, making them a formidable opponent on any given night. Central to their success is the offensive firepower provided by forward Jack Eichel, whose exceptional skating, vision, and scoring touch have made him a linchpin in Vegas’s attack, consistently drawing the attention of opposing defenses and creating opportunities for his teammates. Complementing Eichel is captain Mark Stone, renowned for his two-way play, leadership qualities, and ability to influence the game’s outcome through both offensive contributions and defensive diligence. Stone’s knack for timely interceptions and his proficiency in the neutral zone disrupt opponents’ plays and often lead to counterattacking chances for Vegas. The forward corps is further bolstered by the likes of Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith, whose chemistry and relentless work ethic exemplify the team’s commitment to a 200-foot game. On the defensive side, Alex Pietrangelo anchors the blue line with his blend of experience, poise, and offensive instincts, providing stability and contributing to the team’s transition game. Shea Theodore’s mobility and puck-moving abilities add an extra dimension to the defense, allowing for quick breakouts and sustained offensive pressure. Goaltending has been a strong suit for the Golden Knights, with Logan Thompson emerging as a reliable netminder, showcasing remarkable agility, composure under pressure, and the ability to make critical saves in high-stakes situations. Thompson’s performances have instilled confidence in the team, often serving as the backbone during tightly contested games. Special teams play has been a focal point for Vegas, with their penalty kill operating at an impressive efficiency, characterized by aggressive puck pursuit and strategic positioning that effectively limits opponents’ passing lanes and high-danger shot opportunities. Their power play, while not always dominant, has shown timely productivity, especially when orchestrated through the point by Pietrangelo or Theodore, who excel at shifting defensive formations with quick puck movement and opening up seams for one-timers from Eichel or Marchessault.
The Golden Knights also pride themselves on their depth, with their third and fourth lines often playing pivotal roles in maintaining offensive zone pressure and wearing down opposing defenses. Players like Nicolas Roy, William Carrier, and Brett Howden have brought physicality, grit, and timely scoring, allowing Cassidy to roll four lines with confidence and minimize fatigue across the roster, which becomes increasingly valuable during tight, playoff-style games like the one anticipated against Tampa Bay. Vegas’s success at home has been driven not just by skill but by discipline and tempo control; they are one of the league’s best at dictating the pace in their own building, feeding off the crowd’s energy and starting games with aggressive shifts that often tilt the ice early. This proactive approach has led to early leads and forced visiting teams into catch-up mode, a dangerous proposition against a team as structurally sound and opportunistic as the Golden Knights. Against the Lightning, a team known for their transition speed and elite top-end talent, Vegas will need to focus on limiting turnovers at the blue lines and controlling the neutral zone with tight gaps and quick stick work—preventing Tampa’s forwards like Kucherov and Point from building speed through the middle will be essential. The coaching staff will also emphasize disciplined positioning on the backcheck to mitigate the danger posed by Tampa’s trailing defensemen like Hedman jumping into the rush. Defensively, expect Pietrangelo and Theodore to log heavy minutes against the Lightning’s top lines, with help from shutdown forwards like Stone and Roy, whose defensive instincts are elite. Special attention will also be paid to faceoffs, where Stone and Eichel will be tasked with winning crucial draws to either set up immediate offensive pressure or deflate Tampa’s breakout rhythm. The Golden Knights’ ability to play a heavy, physical game while maintaining discipline will be key in a matchup where the margin for error is thin, especially when matched up against one of the league’s most lethal power plays. In goal, Logan Thompson will likely need to be sharp early, as Tampa Bay’s top scorers typically start fast and can seize momentum with quick-strike goals if left unchecked. Overall, this game presents a strong test of Vegas’s postseason readiness, offering a chance to assert their defensive structure and depth scoring against a top-tier Eastern Conference opponent. With the crowd at T-Mobile Arena behind them, the Golden Knights will aim to continue their dominant home form, neutralize Tampa’s stars, and secure two crucial points as they look to tighten their grip on Western Conference playoff positioning and send a clear message that they remain a serious contender for a second Stanley Cup.
Really hope the fans who Mark Stone photobombed see this and show us the pic 📸 pic.twitter.com/wwmyw5txKk
— Vegas Golden Knights (@GoldenKnights) March 23, 2025
Tampa Bay vs. Vegas Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Vegas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Lightning and Golden Knights and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Lightning team going up against a possibly deflated Golden Knights team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Vegas picks, computer picks Lightning vs Golden Knights, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Lightning Betting Trends
Specific against-the-spread (ATS) statistics for the Lightning’s recent games are not available in the provided sources.
Golden Knights Betting Trends
Specific ATS statistics for the Golden Knights’ recent games are not available in the provided sources.
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Matchup Trends
Detailed ATS betting statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
Tampa Bay vs. Vegas Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Vegas start on March 23, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs Vegas starts on March 23, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Vegas being played?
Venue: T-Mobile Arena.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Vegas?
Spread: Vegas -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -104, Vegas -117
Over/Under: 6.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Vegas?
Tampa Bay: (40-24) | Vegas: (41-20)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Vegas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Hutton over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Vegas trending bets?
Detailed ATS betting statistics for this specific matchup are not available in the provided sources.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: Specific against-the-spread (ATS) statistics for the Lightning’s recent games are not available in the provided sources.
What are Vegas trending bets?
LV trend: Specific ATS statistics for the Golden Knights’ recent games are not available in the provided sources.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Vegas?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Vegas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Tampa Bay vs Vegas Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
-104 LV Moneyline: -117
TB Spread: +1.5
LV Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6.5
Tampa Bay vs Vegas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Nov 9, 2025 1:10PM EST
Chicago Blackhawks
Detroit Red Wings
11/9/25 1:10PM
Blackhawks
Red Wings
|
–
–
|
+158
-180
|
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+145)
|
O 6 (-110)
U 6 (-106)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 2:10PM EST
Los Angeles Kings
Pittsburgh Penguins
11/9/25 2:10PM
Kings
Penguins
|
–
–
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-153
+135
|
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-190)
|
O 6 (-108)
U 6 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
Seattle Kraken
Dallas Stars
11/9/25 7:10PM
Kraken
Stars
|
–
–
|
+187
-215
|
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+115)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 7:10PM EST
Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto Maple Leafs
11/9/25 7:10PM
Hurricanes
Maple Leafs
|
–
–
|
-127
+112
|
-1.5 (+195)
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 6.5 (-108)
U 6.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 8:10PM EST
Calgary Flames
Minnesota Wild
11/9/25 8:10PM
Flames
Wild
|
–
–
|
+136
-155
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
|
O 6 (-115)
U 6 (-101)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 10:10PM EST
Colorado Avalanche
Vancouver Canucks
11/9/25 10:10PM
Avalanche
Canucks
|
–
–
|
-170
+149
|
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-165)
|
O 6.5 (+109)
U 6.5 (-125)
|
|
|
Nov 9, 2025 10:10PM EST
Winnipeg Jets
Anaheim Ducks
11/9/25 10:10PM
Jets
Ducks
|
–
–
|
-137
+121
|
-1.5 (+174)
+1.5 (-200)
|
O 6 (-112)
U 6 (-104)
|
NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights on March 23, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@TOR | OVER 6.5 | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| VAN@NSH | OVER 5.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| NJ@ANA | ANA +110 | 44.8% | 1 | WIN |
| DET@ANA | DET -100 | 51.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| NYI@CAR | UNDER 6.5 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| WPG@MIN | WPG -115 | 56.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYI@BOS | UNDER 6.5 | 55.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NYR | OVER 5.5 | 54.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| ANA@CHI | ANA -125 | 56.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
| FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
| TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
| CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
| WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
| CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
| TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
| NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
| EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
| NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
| COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
| LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
| WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
| MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
| NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
| OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
| CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
| WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
| TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
| NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |