Bruins vs Lightning Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NHL Lines & Props (Mar 08)
Updated: 2025-03-06T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Boston Bruins will face the Tampa Bay Lightning on March 8, 2025, at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. The Lightning, with a 35-20-4 record, are performing strongly this season, while the Bruins, at 28-26-8, are striving to improve their position in the standings. This matchup between Atlantic Division rivals is anticipated to be a competitive and intense game.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 08, 2025
Start Time: 4:00 PM EST
Venue: Amalie Arena
Lightning Record: (37-21)
Bruins Record: (28-28)
OPENING ODDS
BOS Moneyline: +221
TB Moneyline: -274
BOS Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
BOS
Betting Trends
- The Bruins have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Lightning. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Boston is 1-4 ATS, indicating difficulties in covering the spread when facing Tampa Bay. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Bruins in this matchup.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Lightning have been more reliable ATS, particularly in their recent performances. They have covered the spread in four of their last five games, reflecting a strong trend for bettors. Additionally, Tampa Bay has been effective at home, maintaining a solid record that enhances their ATS reliability.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- A notable trend is the performance of the Lightning in recent games. They have won their last five games, covering the spread in each of those victories. This streak highlights Tampa Bay’s current form and could influence betting strategies for this matchup.
BOS vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Carlo over 0.5 Goals Scored
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Boston vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NHL Betting Insights for 3/8/25
Their penalty kill has also been efficient, limiting the scoring opportunities of opposing power plays. The Bruins’ special teams have been less consistent, with their power play struggling to convert opportunities and their penalty kill facing challenges against top-tier offenses. Goaltending will be a focal point in this game. Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy has been stellar, providing stability and making crucial saves in tight situations. His ability to perform under pressure has been a cornerstone of the Lightning’s success. Boston’s goaltending has been less predictable, with performances fluctuating throughout the season. Consistency in net will be crucial for the Bruins to withstand Tampa Bay’s offensive onslaught. In their previous encounters this season, the Lightning have had the upper hand, winning multiple matchups and showcasing their dominance. The Bruins will need to adjust their strategies, focusing on neutralizing Tampa Bay’s key players and capitalizing on any defensive lapses. Maintaining discipline to avoid unnecessary penalties will be essential for Boston to prevent giving the Lightning’s potent power play additional opportunities. For Tampa Bay, maintaining their current form and leveraging their home-ice advantage will be key. The Lightning’s ability to control the game’s tempo, execute their offensive strategies effectively, and sustain their defensive resilience will be critical factors in securing a victory. The support of the home crowd at Amalie Arena often provides an additional boost to the team’s performance. This matchup holds significant implications for both teams. The Lightning aim to solidify their position at the top of the division and continue their momentum as the playoffs approach. The Bruins, on the other hand, seek to regain their footing, improve their standings, and build confidence against a formidable opponent. The outcome of this game could influence playoff seedings and set the tone for potential future encounters between these teams.
63 forever a Bruin. pic.twitter.com/IHp1ZKRbtN
— Boston Bruins (@NHLBruins) March 8, 2025
Boston Bruins NHL Preview
The Boston Bruins enter their March 8, 2025, matchup against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 28-26-8 record, battling to stay in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Unlike their dominant campaigns in recent years, this season has been a rollercoaster for Boston, as they have struggled with roster transitions, inconsistent offensive production, and defensive lapses. While they remain a competitive team, they have not been able to replicate the level of dominance that saw them atop the NHL standings in previous years. Heading into Tampa Bay, the Bruins face a significant challenge against one of the league’s top teams, and they will need to play a near-perfect game to come away with a win. One of the Bruins’ primary concerns this season has been their offensive inconsistency. They average 2.69 goals per game, ranking them in the lower half of the league. David Pastrnak has been the lone consistent bright spot for Boston’s attack, leading the team with 34 goals and 72 points. Pastrnak remains an elite scorer capable of creating offense at any moment, but the lack of secondary scoring has been a glaring issue. Brad Marchand continues to be a reliable contributor, but his production has dipped slightly compared to previous seasons. Beyond their top forwards, the Bruins have struggled to get consistent offensive contributions from players like Charlie Coyle, Pavel Zacha, and Jake DeBrusk, which has made it difficult for them to compete against higher-scoring teams like Tampa Bay. Boston’s power play, which was once a strong point, has been underwhelming this season, ranking in the bottom half of the NHL at around 19%. While Pastrnak and Marchand have provided scoring opportunities, the Bruins’ inability to consistently generate sustained pressure on the man advantage has hindered their ability to capitalize on power-play chances.
Their penalty kill, however, remains a strength, operating at nearly 82%, ranking among the league’s top 10. This will be a crucial factor against Tampa Bay’s dangerous power play, which is one of the best in the NHL. Defensively, the Bruins have been average, allowing 2.92 goals per game. While their defensive unit still possesses talent, the loss of veteran leadership, particularly after the departures of key players like Patrice Bergeron and David Krejci in past seasons, has had a noticeable impact. Charlie McAvoy continues to anchor the blue line, providing solid two-way play, while Hampus Lindholm and Brandon Carlo add stability. However, defensive breakdowns have become more frequent, leading to increased scoring chances for opponents. Goaltending has been one of Boston’s saving graces this season, with Linus Ullmark and Jeremy Swayman providing reliable play in net. Ullmark, last year’s Vezina Trophy winner, has posted strong numbers with a save percentage around .915 and a 2.65 goals-against average. Swayman has also performed well, giving the Bruins a dependable tandem in goal. However, against a team like Tampa Bay, which generates high-quality scoring chances, the Bruins’ goaltenders will need to be at their absolute best to keep the game close. The Bruins have historically struggled in Tampa Bay, and their recent record against the Lightning reflects that difficulty. They have lost four of their last five meetings with Tampa, including two defeats earlier this season. If Boston hopes to reverse this trend, they will need to improve their offensive execution, play disciplined hockey, and limit defensive breakdowns. Special teams will be a deciding factor, and the Bruins must capitalize on any power-play opportunities while avoiding unnecessary penalties. With the Eastern Conference playoff race tightening, every game matters, and this contest against the Lightning presents a significant test for Boston’s postseason aspirations.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Preview
Alongside Kucherov, Brayden Point has been a significant contributor, utilizing his speed and finishing ability to consistently find the back of the net. Point has been one of the most reliable scorers for Tampa Bay, often stepping up in crucial moments. Steven Stamkos, the veteran captain, continues to be a force both at even strength and on the power play, providing leadership and a steady offensive presence. The Lightning’s depth scoring has also been a key asset, with contributions from players like Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel, and Nick Paul, who have all played essential roles in keeping the offense dynamic. Defensively, Tampa Bay has maintained a disciplined structure, allowing only 2.39 goals per game, one of the lowest marks in the NHL. The defensive corps, led by Victor Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev, has been highly effective at shutting down opponents while also contributing offensively. Hedman’s ability to transition the puck and quarterback the power play has made him an invaluable asset. Erik Cernak and Darren Raddysh have provided additional stability on the blue line, ensuring that Tampa Bay remains difficult to break down. Goaltending remains one of the Lightning’s greatest strengths, with Andrei Vasilevskiy continuing to be one of the league’s premier netminders. The Russian goaltender boasts a save percentage above .920, reinforcing his reputation as a clutch performer. His ability to make acrobatic saves and control rebounds gives Tampa Bay confidence in tight games, making it difficult for opponents to find offensive success.
Backup Jonas Johansson has also stepped up when needed, ensuring the Lightning maintain their consistency even when Vasilevskiy is given rest. Special teams have played a significant role in Tampa Bay’s dominance. Their power play operates at over 25%, ranking among the top five in the NHL, and has been one of their most dangerous weapons. With elite playmakers like Kucherov and Stamkos on the man advantage, the Lightning can capitalize on penalties with precision. Their penalty kill has also been highly effective, neutralizing opposing power plays with an aggressive forecheck and disciplined positioning. At home, Tampa Bay has been nearly unstoppable, boasting one of the best home records in the league. The atmosphere at Amalie Arena provides the team with an extra boost, and their ability to control the pace of play in their own building has made them incredibly difficult to beat. The Lightning have won seven of their last eight home games, further reinforcing their dominance on home ice. Heading into the matchup against Boston, the Lightning will look to continue their winning streak and further solidify their standing in the Atlantic Division. They have had the upper hand in recent meetings with the Bruins, winning four of their last five matchups. If they can maintain their structured defensive play, execute on special teams, and get another strong performance from Vasilevskiy, Tampa Bay should be well-positioned to come away with two points. With playoff seeding becoming increasingly important, every win matters, and the Lightning are determined to keep their momentum going as they push toward another deep postseason run.
At the rink 📍 pic.twitter.com/Ag2fanAjBr
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) March 7, 2025
Boston vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Boston vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Bruins and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Bruins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Lightning team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NHL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Boston vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Bruins vs Lightning, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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NHL | 10/19 | ANA@CHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NHL schedule.
Bruins Betting Trends
The Bruins have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Lightning. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Boston is 1-4 ATS, indicating difficulties in covering the spread when facing Tampa Bay. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Bruins in this matchup.
Lightning Betting Trends
The Lightning have been more reliable ATS, particularly in their recent performances. They have covered the spread in four of their last five games, reflecting a strong trend for bettors. Additionally, Tampa Bay has been effective at home, maintaining a solid record that enhances their ATS reliability.
Bruins vs. Lightning Matchup Trends
A notable trend is the performance of the Lightning in recent games. They have won their last five games, covering the spread in each of those victories. This streak highlights Tampa Bay’s current form and could influence betting strategies for this matchup.
Boston vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Boston vs Tampa Bay start on March 08, 2025?
Boston vs Tampa Bay starts on March 08, 2025 at 4:00 PM EST.
Where is Boston vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: Amalie Arena.
What are the opening odds for Boston vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Boston +221, Tampa Bay -274
Over/Under: 6
What are the records for Boston vs Tampa Bay?
Boston: (28-28) | Tampa Bay: (37-21)
What is the AI best bet for Boston vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Carlo over 0.5 Goals Scored. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Boston vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
A notable trend is the performance of the Lightning in recent games. They have won their last five games, covering the spread in each of those victories. This streak highlights Tampa Bay’s current form and could influence betting strategies for this matchup.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: The Bruins have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups against the Lightning. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Boston is 1-4 ATS, indicating difficulties in covering the spread when facing Tampa Bay. This trend suggests caution for bettors considering the Bruins in this matchup.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Lightning have been more reliable ATS, particularly in their recent performances. They have covered the spread in four of their last five games, reflecting a strong trend for bettors. Additionally, Tampa Bay has been effective at home, maintaining a solid record that enhances their ATS reliability.
Where can I find AI Picks for Boston vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest NHL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Boston vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Boston vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
BOS Moneyline:
+221 TB Moneyline: -274
BOS Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 6
Boston vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
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-150
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U 5.5 (+110)
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NHL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning on March 08, 2025 at Amalie Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NHL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIN@WAS | WAS -120 | 56.2% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@PHI | WPG -132 | 56.7% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@TOR | TOR -133 | 58.6% | 4 | WIN |
CGY@UTA | OVER 6 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
OTT@BUF | OTT -108 | 53.1% | 3 | LOSS |
FLA@DET | AARON EKBLAD OVER 0.5 POINTS | 54.0% | 4 | LOSS |
LA@MIN | LA -110 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
STL@VAN | VAN -121 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@BOS | BOS -114 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | SEA -125 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
ANA@SEA | TROY TERRY OVER 0.5 POINTS | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
BOS@WAS | ALEX OVECHKIN TO SCORE A GOAL | 41.4% | 2 | LOSS |
FLA@EDM | MATTHEW TKACHUK OVER 0.5 ASSTS | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
FLA@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 11.5 FACEOFFS WON | 53.00% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@FLA | ALEKSANDER BARKOV UNDER 20.5 MINUTES ON THE ICE | 54.00% | 4 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -110 | 53.80% | 3 | LOSS |
EDM@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@FLA | MAX PACIORETTY UNDER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 55.60% | 5 | LOSS |
TOR@FLA | WILLIAM NYLANDER UNDER 2.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 54.90% | 4 | LOSS |
CAR@WAS | WAS +140 | 47.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@STL | STL -110 | 54.80% | 4 | WIN |
WPG@STL | UNDER 5.5 | 55.70% | 4 | LOSS |
CGY@LA | MACKENZIE WEEGAR OVER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.10% | 3 | WIN |
TB@NYR | TB +110 | 49.80% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@VAN | ALEXANDER GEORGIEV UNDER 24.5 SAVES | 54.50% | 4 | LOSS |
BUF@TB | OVER 6.5 | 53.90% | 3 | WIN |
NYI@PHI | PHI -110 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
LV@EDM | RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS OVER 1.5 SHOTS ON GOAL | 53.00% | 3 | WIN |
EDM@ANA | OVER 6 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
CAR@BOS | OVER 5.5 | 54.00% | 3 | WIN |
NYR@NJ | NJ -125 | 57.30% | 4 | WIN |
COL@CLB | OVER 6.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
LA@UTA | LA -125 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
WPG@LV | LV -120 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@NJ | UNDER 5.5 | 53.80% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@PHI | PHI -120 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
OTT@BUF | OVER 6 | 54.00% | 3 | LOSS |
CHI@SJ | CHI +105 | 51.60% | 3 | LOSS |
WAS@LA | WAS +105 | 51.20% | 3 | LOSS |
TB@CAR | CAR -130 | 56.40% | 3 | WIN |
NSH@BOS | BOS -125 | 55.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@SEA | SEA -120 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
SJ@TOR | OVER 6 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
BUF@MON | MON -110 | 54.70% | 4 | WIN |
BOS@PIT | PIT -120 | 54.90% | 3 | LOSS |
LA@STL | STL -110 | 53.70% | 3 | WIN |
LA@DAL | DAL -125 | 56.40% | 4 | WIN |
PIT@PHI | PHI -116 | 54.20% | 3 | WIN |
DET@MIN | MIN -115 | 54.20% | 3 | LOSS |
MIN@DET | DET -130 | 58.00% | 3 | LOSS |