Miami Dolphins
The Jets open as 5.5-point home favorites over winless Miami, but New York has struggled to finish drives. With the Dolphins coming off a bye and missing De'Von Achane, rushing volume and red-zone execution shape the betting debate.
New York Jets
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +198 NYJ -240 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
| DraftKings | MIA +4.5 NYJ -4.5 | MIA +195 NYJ -238 | O 38.5 U 38.5 |
| BetMGM | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +195 NYJ -235 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
| BetRivers | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +210 NYJ -265 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
| Bovada | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +205 NYJ -245 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +195 NYJ -235 | O 40 U 40 |
| LowVig.ag | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +195 NYJ -235 | O 40 U 40 |
| MyBookie.ag | MIA +5 NYJ -5 | MIA +191 NYJ -250 | O 39 U 39 |
| BetUS | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | — | O 40 U 40 |
| Caesars | MIA +5.5 NYJ -5.5 | MIA +192 NYJ -235 | O 39.5 U 39.5 |
Injury Report
Miami lost running back De'Von Achane to a season-ending ACL injury, creating a larger role for Ollie Gordon II and Jaylen Wright. Guard Jonah Savaiinaea exited the Cincinnati game with an ankle injury, although an early report indicated he was expected back. For New York, Breece Hall and Adonai Mitchell missed the Patriots game, while Omar Cooper Jr. returned from a high-ankle sprain and produced a breakout performance. Monitor final practice designations before betting.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
New York has a clear opportunity to force Miami into long passing downs against quarterback Malik Willis, whose three turnovers against Cincinnati exposed ball-security concerns. Miami can counter through Gordon and a patient rushing approach. The decisive edge is whether the Jets convert favorable field position into touchdowns rather than field goals.
3 Things to Watch
- Miami rushing volume without Achane
- Jets red-zone touchdown conversion rate
- Willis turnovers against New York pressure
Betting Breakdown
The Dolphins visit MetLife Stadium on October 25 for a 1 p.m. ET AFC East matchup, with the Jets installed as 5.5-point favorites and a 40.5-point total in an early market listing. Miami is 0-5 and 1-4 ATS, with its lone cover coming in a five-point defeat at Minnesota. New York is 2-4 but 4-2 ATS, an important distinction for bettors evaluating whether the home team can win comfortably. The Jets fell 26-19 in New England after repeatedly moving into scoring territory without finishing drives. Rookie receiver Omar Cooper Jr. supplied a 103-yard, one-touchdown receiving performance, while Braelon Allen provided another productive ground-game outing. Miami enters off a bye following a 31-24 loss to Cincinnati. Malik Willis turned it over three times, although Ollie Gordon II rushed for 88 yards and a touchdown. Without injured De'Von Achane, Miami's backfield distribution becomes central to tempo and total-points expectations. The Jets have the stronger ATS profile, but their red-zone inefficiency makes a sizable spread less straightforward than either team's record suggests.
Miami Betting Outlook
Miami needs to turn its bye week into cleaner offensive execution. The Dolphins have dropped five consecutive games and scored no more than 13 points in four of them, before posting 24 against Cincinnati. Quarterback Malik Willis showed rushing ability in that defeat but also committed three turnovers, a major risk against a Jets defense capable of generating pressure. Ollie Gordon II is the clearest positive development, with 100 rushing yards at Minnesota and 88 against Cincinnati. Those performances give Miami a way to protect the ball and limit possessions. At 1-4 ATS, the Dolphins still require sustained offensive drives to justify an underdog position.
New York Betting Outlook
The Jets are 2-4 after a 26-19 road defeat to New England, but their 4-2 ATS mark reveals a team that has been more competitive relative to betting lines. New York won its previous home game against Cleveland, 17-12, and is 1-1 at MetLife Stadium this season. Braelon Allen has supplied recent rushing production, while Omar Cooper Jr. returned from injury with six catches for 103 yards and a touchdown against the Patriots. However, eight trips into New England territory yielded just one touchdown, underscoring the danger of backing New York at a substantial spread. Better situational finishing is essential.
Latest Team Buzz
Your league leader in tackles through Week 5 😎 https://t.co/YCILnozgfO
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 13, 2026
the chasedown punch out 🥊 📺: #NYJvsNE on @nfloncbs | @paramountplus https://t.co/GkJZdTUaG6
— New York Jets (@nyjets) October 18, 2026
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets FAQ
What is the current spread for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The current home spread is NYJ -4.5, while the away spread is MIA +4.5.
How far has the spread moved for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The spread opened at NYJ -2.5 and is now NYJ -4.5.
What is the current moneyline for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The current moneyline is MIA +195 / NYJ -238.
How far has the moneyline moved for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The moneyline opened at MIA +120 / NYJ -142 and is now MIA +195 / NYJ -238.
What is the current total for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The current total is 38.5.
How far has the total moved for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
The total opened at 41.5 and is now 38.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
You can watch this game on CBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
You can stream this game on Paramount+.
What is the best free prop bet for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
Remi's Still Searching
What is the biggest matchup edge for Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets?
New York has a clear opportunity to force Miami into long passing downs against quarterback Malik Willis, whose three turnovers against Cincinnati exposed ball-security concerns. Miami can counter through Gordon and a patient rushing approach. The decisive edge is whether the Jets convert favorable field position into touchdowns rather than field goals.
NFL Past Picks
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