Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 19)
Updated: 2025-10-12T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Washington Commanders visit Dallas on October 19, 2025, in a high-stakes NFC East clash pitting Jayden Daniels’ rising star power against a Cowboys roster in transition. Betting markets show the Commanders as slight underdogs, though Washington’s recent ATS trends suggest they’re no strangers to covering.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 19, 2025
Start Time: 4:25 PM EST
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Cowboys Record: (2-3)
Commanders Record: (3-2)
OPENING ODDS
WAS Moneyline: -146
DAL Moneyline: +123
WAS Spread: -53.5
DAL Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 53.5
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Commanders have a 3-2 ATS record this season, covering 60 % of their games so far.
DAL
Betting Trends
- Dallas also holds a 3-2 ATS record in 2025, showing moderate consistency in covering lines both home and away.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- When two teams with matching ATS trends face off, line movement and in-game adjustments often decide which side covers. In Cowboys vs. Commanders matchups, momentum swings and turnover differential usually swing the spread, especially in letter-of-the-law divisional games.
WAS vs. DAL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott under 273.5 Passing Yards.
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Washington vs Dallas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/19/25
The Week 7 NFC East clash between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys on October 19, 2025, promises to be one of the most intriguing divisional battles of the season, pitting a rising Washington squad led by dynamic rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels against a Dallas team trying to regain consistency and control in an ever-tight division. Washington enters this matchup with momentum and a newfound offensive identity under Daniels, whose dual-threat ability has reinvigorated a unit that was stagnant a year ago. His combination of speed, poise, and improvisation has made the Commanders’ offense unpredictable and dangerous, particularly with the addition of Deebo Samuel — whose versatility in pre-snap motion and yards-after-catch ability creates matchup nightmares for opposing defenses. Terry McLaurin continues to be the reliable target chain-mover, and when paired with Samuel and tight end Zach Ertz, Washington suddenly boasts a layered offense capable of attacking multiple areas of the field. Dallas, on the other hand, is still trying to find offensive rhythm amid roster changes and inconsistency at the skill positions. Quarterback Dak Prescott, or potentially his young successor depending on injury or rotation, has been efficient in flashes but has struggled against pressure-heavy defenses, something Washington will look to exploit through a revamped front seven featuring Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, and rookie edge rusher Jer’Zhan Newton.
The Cowboys’ success hinges on whether their offensive line — once among the league’s elite — can neutralize Washington’s relentless pressure while creating enough room for the running game to function. Defensively, the Cowboys are still formidable when healthy, led by Micah Parsons’ game-wrecking presence off the edge and a secondary anchored by Trevon Diggs, who thrives on forcing turnovers. Parsons will be tasked with containing Daniels’ mobility, a tall order considering the quarterback’s ability to extend plays and improvise outside structure. Washington will likely counter by leaning on quick-developing passes and misdirection to slow Dallas’s pass rush, testing the Cowboys’ discipline and pursuit angles. The chess match between these two coaching staffs — Dallas defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer’s aggressive schemes versus Washington’s creativity under offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy — will be a fascinating subplot. Expect Washington to attack early with tempo and Dallas to respond with heavy defensive rotations and blitz disguises. On the flip side, the Commanders’ secondary must hold up against Dallas’s vertical passing game and avoid giving up explosive plays to CeeDee Lamb or Brandin Cooks. Ultimately, this game could come down to execution in high-leverage moments — third downs, red-zone efficiency, and turnovers. If the Commanders can keep Parsons and company off-balance and Daniels protects the football, Washington’s offensive ceiling gives them a real shot to pull off the road win. But if Dallas’s defensive front dictates the pace and Prescott avoids costly mistakes, the Cowboys’ experience and home-field advantage might just be enough to hold off their surging division rival.
Get live NFL odds and precise AI NFL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
All systems go pic.twitter.com/IqjE2tZA4F
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) October 13, 2025
Washington Commanders NFL Preview
The Washington Commanders head into their Week 7 divisional matchup against the Dallas Cowboys on October 19, 2025, riding a wave of confidence fueled by the emergence of rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels and a rejuvenated offensive system under Eric Bieniemy. Daniels has quickly become one of the most electrifying young quarterbacks in football, combining elite mobility with impressive poise and touch in the passing game. His ability to extend plays and turn broken situations into big gains has redefined Washington’s offensive ceiling, while his connection with Deebo Samuel and Terry McLaurin has created one of the NFC’s most dynamic receiving duos. Samuel’s versatility as both a receiver and motion threat has opened up the playbook, allowing Washington to exploit defensive mismatches and spread the field horizontally. Meanwhile, McLaurin remains the heartbeat of the passing game, excelling in contested catches and chain-moving routes that keep the offense on schedule. Tight end Zach Ertz provides a reliable safety valve, and the running game, powered by Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson, offers balance that keeps defenses guessing. The offensive line’s consistency has been tested but improving, especially in pass protection, where keeping Micah Parsons out of Daniels’ lap will be priority number one. Washington’s defense enters this game with renewed purpose after a series of strong performances, anchored by one of the league’s most disruptive defensive lines featuring Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, and rookie standout Jer’Zhan Newton.
Their ability to collapse pockets and stop the run will be crucial against a Cowboys team that relies heavily on establishing early down rhythm. Linebacker Jamin Davis’ range and tackling will also be tested as Dallas tries to get its backs and tight ends involved in space. In the secondary, the Commanders will lean on Emmanuel Forbes and Benjamin St-Juste to limit explosive plays from CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks while counting on safety Kamren Curl to provide steady leadership on the back end. Strategically, Washington’s path to victory lies in controlling tempo — keeping drives alive, minimizing penalties, and forcing Dallas to play from behind. The Commanders have thrived when Daniels dictates pace through quick throws and designed rollouts, which neutralize elite pass rushers like Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence. On defense, they’ll need to stay disciplined, avoiding over-pursuit and maintaining gap integrity to prevent Dak Prescott or his backup from capitalizing on breakdowns. Special teams could also be a difference-maker in what projects as a tight, physical contest. If Washington’s kicking game remains sharp and their defense forces turnovers, they could steal valuable field position. More importantly, this game serves as a measuring stick for a franchise clearly on the rise. A win in Dallas would solidify Washington’s legitimacy as a playoff contender, proving that their young core isn’t just building for the future — they’re ready to compete now.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Dallas Cowboys NFL Preview
The Dallas Cowboys return home to AT&T Stadium on October 19, 2025, for a crucial NFC East matchup against the Washington Commanders — a game that carries added weight as Dallas looks to reassert dominance within the division and silence growing concerns about their consistency on both sides of the ball. The Cowboys have endured an uneven start to the season, flashing their trademark defensive ferocity under Micah Parsons while struggling to find rhythm offensively. Quarterback Dak Prescott remains under scrutiny, as his connection with CeeDee Lamb has been sharp in spurts but too often hampered by erratic protection and a lack of complementary production from the supporting cast. Against a Washington defense that has one of the league’s most active front sevens, led by Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, and rookie edge rusher Jer’Zhan Newton, Dallas will need its offensive line to perform at a high level to establish balance. Tony Pollard’s ability to find lanes in both the run and screen game will be pivotal in keeping Washington’s pass rush honest, while tight end Jake Ferguson could serve as a crucial outlet when the Commanders collapse the pocket. The Cowboys’ offensive strategy will likely emphasize quick-developing plays and tempo variations to keep the Commanders guessing and to limit the impact of their aggressive front.
Defensively, Dallas still boasts the personnel to take over games, even after roster turnover in recent seasons. Parsons remains the ultimate equalizer — capable of singlehandedly disrupting a game plan — and he’ll be the focal point against rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, whose improvisation and mobility have sparked Washington’s offensive resurgence. Expect defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer to scheme heavy containment packages, deploying Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence to seal the edges and force Daniels into tight throws from the pocket. The Cowboys’ secondary, featuring Trevon Diggs and DaRon Bland, will need to stay disciplined against Washington’s deceptive pre-snap motions and route layering with Deebo Samuel and Terry McLaurin. If Dallas can win early downs and keep the Commanders in long-yardage situations, their defense could tilt the game with turnovers. On special teams, kicker Brandon Aubrey and punter Bryan Anger have been steady, giving the Cowboys a slight field position edge that could prove critical in a low-possession battle. Emotionally, this game represents a test of pride and patience for Dallas — a chance to prove they can execute cleanly, handle adversity, and close out divisional games at home. The key lies in composure and control: limit mistakes, sustain drives, and let the defense dictate tempo. If Prescott can protect the football, the offensive line can withstand Washington’s pressure, and Parsons leads another disruptive effort, the Cowboys have every reason to believe they can emerge with a hard-fought victory that steadies their season and reinforces their standing as a playoff-caliber team.
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) October 12, 2025
Washington vs Dallas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Commanders and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at AT&T Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Washington vs Dallas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Commanders and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Dallas’s strength factors between a Commanders team going up against a possibly healthy Cowboys team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Washington vs Dallas picks, computer picks Commanders vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.
Washington Betting Trends
The Commanders have a 3-2 ATS record this season, covering 60 % of their games so far.
Dallas Betting Trends
Dallas also holds a 3-2 ATS record in 2025, showing moderate consistency in covering lines both home and away.
Commanders vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends
When two teams with matching ATS trends face off, line movement and in-game adjustments often decide which side covers. In Cowboys vs. Commanders matchups, momentum swings and turnover differential usually swing the spread, especially in letter-of-the-law divisional games.
Washington vs. Dallas Game Info
Washington vs Dallas starts on October 19, 2025 at 4:25 PM EST.
Venue: AT&T Stadium.
Spread: Dallas +2.5
Moneyline: Washington -146, Dallas +123
Over/Under: 53.5
Washington: (3-2) | Dallas: (2-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Prescott under 273.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
When two teams with matching ATS trends face off, line movement and in-game adjustments often decide which side covers. In Cowboys vs. Commanders matchups, momentum swings and turnover differential usually swing the spread, especially in letter-of-the-law divisional games.
WAS trend: The Commanders have a 3-2 ATS record this season, covering 60 % of their games so far.
DAL trend: Dallas also holds a 3-2 ATS record in 2025, showing moderate consistency in covering lines both home and away.
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Washington vs. Dallas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Dallas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| WAS Moneyline | -146 |
|---|---|
| DAL Moneyline | +123 |
| WAS Spread | -53.5 |
| DAL Spread | +2.5 |
| Over / Under | 53.5 |
Washington vs Dallas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/7/25 1PM
Saints
Buccaneers
|
–
–
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+340
-461
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+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/7/25 1PM
Colts
Jaguars
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–
–
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-128
+105
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-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
12/7/25 1PM
Steelers
Ravens
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–
–
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+210
-268
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings
12/7/25 1PM
Commanders
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+100
-122
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
12/7/25 1PM
Bengals
Bills
|
–
–
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+222
-285
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
12/7/25 1PM
Dolphins
Jets
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–
–
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-165
+134
|
-3 (+100)
+3 (-120)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
12/7/25 1PM
Seahawks
Falcons
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–
–
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-351
+267
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-7 (-105)
+7 (-115)
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O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
12/7/25 1PM
Titans
Browns
|
–
–
|
+178
-222
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 34 (-110)
U 34 (-110)
|
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Dec 7, 2025 4:05PM EST
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
12/7/25 4:05PM
Broncos
Raiders
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–
–
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-420
+313
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-7.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-110)
|
O 40 (-110)
U 40 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
12/7/25 4:25PM
Rams
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-459
+345
|
-9 (+100)
+9 (-120)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
12/7/25 4:25PM
Bears
Packers
|
–
–
|
+246
-325
|
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
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Dec 7, 2025 8:20PM EST
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
12/7/25 8:20PM
Texans
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+159
-197
|
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (+100)
|
O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-110)
|
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Dec 8, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers
12/8/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Chargers
|
–
–
|
-146
+114
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 41 (-110)
U 41 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 11, 2025 8:15PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 8:15PM
Falcons
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+204
-275
|
+6 (-110)
-6 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/14/25 1PM
Jets
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
+330
-526
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
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|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
12/14/25 1PM
Ravens
Bengals
|
–
–
|
-159
+119
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
12/14/25 1PM
Commanders
Giants
|
–
–
|
-122
-109
|
-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-120)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
12/14/25 1PM
Raiders
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+560
-1099
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-104)
U 39.5 (-118)
|
|
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
12/14/25 1PM
Browns
Bears
|
–
–
|
+295
-441
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-115)
U 39.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
12/14/25 1PM
Cardinals
Texans
|
–
–
|
+246
-360
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys on October 19, 2025 at AT&T Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@NYJ | NYJ +3 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | SEA -11.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@PIT | PIT +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@IND | IND -3 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAR@CAR | OVER 44.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@PHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 18.5 PASS COMP | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DAL | DAL +3.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@DET | JORDAN LOVE OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| CIN@BAL | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 24.5 RUSH YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | UNDER 49.5 | 53.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | SF -7 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | BRYCE YOUNG OVER 61.7 PASS COMP PCT | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | DERRICK HENRY OVER 17.5 CARRIES | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| JAC@ARI | ARI +2.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@DAL | DAL +3 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@TEN | SEA -12 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIN@GB | GB -6 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| IND@KC | IND +3.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@LAR | UNDER 49.5 | 52.4% | 1 | WIN |
| IND@KC | UNDER 50.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | BREECE HALL OVER 18.5 RECV YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@DAL | JAKE ELLIOT OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JAMES COOK UNDER 17.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JOSH ALLEN UNDER 63.3 PASS COMP PCT | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@LV | UNDER 49.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@LV | BROCK BOWERS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| CAR@ATL | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@DEN | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 266.5 PASS YDS | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@ARI | SF -3 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@NYG | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | PUSH |
| LAC@JAC | LAC -3 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@LAR | SEA +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | WIN |
| CHI@MIN | MIN -2.5 | 53.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| DET@PHI | DET +3 | 55.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DEN | DEN +4.5 | 53.0% | 2 | WIN |
| DET@PHI | UNDER 47 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@LAR | OVER 48.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYJ@NE | UNDER 43.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@NE | JAMIEN SHERWOOD OVER 4.5 TACKLES | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHI@GB | PHI +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | UNDER 45.5 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@CAR | CAR -5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIN | BAL -3.5 | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| CLE@NYJ | CLE -130 | 65.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| NYG@CHI | CHI -4.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| NE@TB | TB -2 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@SF | LAR -5.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| JAC@HOU | UNDER 38 | 54.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| ARI@SEA | TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |