Steelers vs Bengals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 16)
Updated: 2025-10-09T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
This Thursday night’s AFC North clash on October 16, 2025, features the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals — a high-stakes divisional matchup with major implications for momentum and playoff positioning. The Steelers are slight favorites on the spread, with the betting public heavily backing them, as Cincinnati continues to navigate life without star quarterback Joe Burrow.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 16, 2025
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Paycor Stadium
Bengals Record: (2-4)
Steelers Record: (4-1)
OPENING ODDS
PIT Moneyline: -272
CIN Moneyline: +221
PIT Spread: -42.5
CIN Spread: +5.5
Over/Under: 42.5
PIT
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh enters with a 2–2 record against the spread this season, covering half of their games so far.
CIN
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati has struggled at the betting line; their 2025 ATS record is currently 1–4, one of the lowest cover rates in the league.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In this matchup, public money has heavily skewed toward Pittsburgh (78 % of spread bets), putting extra attention on whether the Steelers can live up to expectations.
PIT vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Brown over 41.5 Rushing Yards.
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Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/16/25
The Thursday night matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals on October 16, 2025, brings a classic AFC North rivalry under the bright lights with both teams entering the game in vastly different circumstances. The Steelers have built momentum early in the 2025 campaign behind the leadership of veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, whose presence has transformed an offense that previously leaned heavily on defense and grit. Pittsburgh’s offense now boasts explosive potential with the arrival of DK Metcalf, who has quickly developed chemistry with Rodgers and provides a vertical threat opposite George Pickens, while Jaylen Warren’s consistency in the backfield adds balance. On the other side, the Bengals are struggling to find stability after the devastating loss of Joe Burrow, whose season-ending injury left the team scrambling to adjust. Cincinnati recently brought in veteran Joe Flacco to manage the offense, but the transition period has been rough as timing issues and lack of rhythm have plagued an attack that was once among the league’s most feared. Without Trey Hendrickson anchoring the pass rush and with defensive lapses in key moments, the Bengals’ unit has struggled to generate consistent stops, especially on third downs. This game could serve as a litmus test for both teams’ resilience — Pittsburgh looking to cement its place atop the division and Cincinnati desperate to prove it can compete without its star quarterback.
The Steelers’ defense, led by T.J. Watt and Nick Herbig, continues to wreak havoc on opposing backfields, ranking among the NFL’s best in sacks and pressures, which poses a nightmare scenario for Flacco and the Bengals’ offensive line that has been inconsistent in protection. Expect the Steelers to rely heavily on their defensive front to set the tone early, forcing turnovers and short fields for Rodgers to exploit. Rodgers’ ability to read defenses pre-snap, identify mismatches, and make quick, accurate throws will be key against a Bengals secondary that has allowed big plays over the top. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s running game may look to control tempo, using Warren and Najee Harris to wear down the defense and open up play-action opportunities. Cincinnati’s offense will likely emphasize quick throws and screen plays to offset the relentless pass rush while hoping Ja’Marr Chase or Tee Higgins can make a game-changing play after the catch. However, with the Bengals’ defense missing its usual punch up front, the burden will fall on the secondary to contain Pittsburgh’s vertical threats and prevent explosive gains. In what should be a physical, emotionally charged divisional clash, the Steelers hold the upper hand due to their experience, balance, and health. Cincinnati’s home crowd may provide energy early, but sustaining drives and keeping pace with a rejuvenated Steelers offense led by Rodgers could prove difficult over four quarters. Ultimately, this game may underscore the gap between a veteran-led contender and a Bengals team still searching for its identity amid adversity, with Pittsburgh’s defensive dominance and Rodgers’ poise likely to dictate the outcome.
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How we're feeling after today 😤 @_TJWatt pic.twitter.com/QHfeCJAT87
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) October 13, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers head into Cincinnati for this Thursday night divisional showdown looking every bit like a team built for the grind of AFC North football — physical, methodical, and balanced. Aaron Rodgers has brought stability and swagger to an offense that, for years, struggled to find rhythm and confidence under center. His chemistry with George Pickens and new acquisition DK Metcalf has elevated Pittsburgh’s passing game into one of the most unpredictable in the conference, with Rodgers’ quick release and precision allowing offensive coordinator Matt Canada to open up the playbook. Expect the Steelers to attack Cincinnati’s secondary vertically and through layered crossing routes, exploiting mismatches and forcing the Bengals’ linebackers into coverage they’re not comfortable with. Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris provide a reliable one-two punch in the backfield, with Warren handling the explosive edge runs and Harris wearing down defenses between the tackles. Rodgers’ command at the line of scrimmage also ensures that Pittsburgh can adapt mid-series, adjusting protections or audibling into high-percentage plays against blitz looks.
Defensively, the Steelers remain among the league’s elite. T.J. Watt anchors a front seven that thrives on chaos, with Nick Herbig emerging as one of the league’s more surprising young pass-rushing talents. Their combination of speed and physicality creates problems for even well-protected quarterbacks, and that could spell disaster for Joe Flacco, who lacks the mobility to escape collapsing pockets. Minkah Fitzpatrick’s presence on the back end ensures Pittsburgh can rotate coverages effectively, disguising blitzes and baiting turnovers. Against a Bengals offense that’s been forced to simplify its playbook without Joe Burrow, the Steelers will aim to force third-and-long situations and capitalize on Cincinnati’s protection breakdowns. The short week also plays into Pittsburgh’s strengths; their veteran leadership and defensive continuity allow them to prepare efficiently and play with controlled aggression. The key will be staying disciplined — avoiding unnecessary penalties and maintaining gap control against Joe Mixon, who remains Cincinnati’s most consistent offensive weapon. Special teams could also give the Steelers an edge, as their coverage units and field-position strategy have quietly been among the best in the league. With momentum on their side and their defense firing on all cylinders, Pittsburgh’s focus will be execution — converting red-zone trips into touchdowns and dictating tempo. Rodgers’ ability to manage the game, combined with the defense’s relentless pressure, positions the Steelers to extend their dominance over a struggling Bengals team. If they can avoid turnovers and sustain their balance offensively, the Steelers have every reason to believe they can walk out of Cincinnati with a decisive divisional win and a firm grip on the AFC North standings.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals return to Paycor Stadium for a crucial divisional matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, facing both adversity and urgency as they try to keep their season afloat. Losing Joe Burrow to injury has left a gaping hole in the Bengals’ offense, forcing head coach Zac Taylor to pivot toward a more conservative, rhythm-based attack led by veteran Joe Flacco. While Flacco brings experience and a steady hand, his lack of mobility and familiarity with the system have made offensive efficiency a struggle. The Bengals will need to lean heavily on Joe Mixon to control the pace and help set up manageable third downs, allowing Flacco to use play-action and quick passes to Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, who remain the focal points of the offense. Chase’s big-play ability is always a threat, but without Burrow’s timing and precision, Cincinnati must find new ways to get him the ball in space, possibly through shorter routes and designed motions. The offensive line’s protection has been shaky, particularly against aggressive fronts, and that poses a serious challenge against a Steelers defense that leads the league in sacks and pressure rate, spearheaded by T.J. Watt and Nick Herbig. Defensively, Cincinnati has also been forced to adjust, with the absence of Trey Hendrickson putting pressure on the rest of the front to generate pass rush.
Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo will need to get creative, dialing up disguised blitzes and zone looks to slow down Aaron Rodgers and force him into checkdowns. The Bengals’ secondary, led by Cam Taylor-Britt and Dax Hill, will be tested repeatedly against Rodgers’ vertical passing game featuring DK Metcalf and George Pickens, and they cannot afford blown coverages or missed tackles. Expect Cincinnati to emphasize bend-but-don’t-break defense, trying to limit red-zone efficiency and force Pittsburgh to settle for field goals. The home crowd at Paycor has historically given this team energy, especially in primetime, and the Bengals will need that emotional edge to stay competitive. If the defense can create turnovers — something they’ve lacked this season — and the offense can sustain drives long enough to keep Watt and company off the field, the Bengals have a chance to hang around late. But for that to happen, discipline and execution must be near perfect. Flacco’s experience in high-pressure games could help steady the group, but without explosive plays or defensive takeaways, Cincinnati’s margin for error remains slim. Ultimately, the Bengals’ path to victory lies in controlling tempo, winning the turnover battle, and feeding off the home crowd to neutralize a superior opponent. In a game that could easily tilt in Pittsburgh’s favor early, Cincinnati’s resilience and ability to adapt will determine whether they can pull off an upset or continue to slide in a season defined by tough breaks and unmet expectations.
Milestone moment for 1️⃣.
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) October 12, 2025
Milestones | @miamiuniversity pic.twitter.com/NeKfphDBT0
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Steelers and Bengals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Paycor Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Steelers and Bengals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Steelers team going up against a possibly healthy Bengals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Steelers vs Bengals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NFL | 12/4 | DAL@DET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.
Pittsburgh Betting Trends
Pittsburgh enters with a 2–2 record against the spread this season, covering half of their games so far.
Cincinnati Betting Trends
Cincinnati has struggled at the betting line; their 2025 ATS record is currently 1–4, one of the lowest cover rates in the league.
Steelers vs. Bengals Matchup Trends
In this matchup, public money has heavily skewed toward Pittsburgh (78 % of spread bets), putting extra attention on whether the Steelers can live up to expectations.
Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati Game Info
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati starts on October 16, 2025 at 8:15 PM EST.
Venue: Paycor Stadium.
Spread: Cincinnati +5.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -272, Cincinnati +221
Over/Under: 42.5
Pittsburgh: (4-1) | Cincinnati: (2-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Brown over 41.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In this matchup, public money has heavily skewed toward Pittsburgh (78 % of spread bets), putting extra attention on whether the Steelers can live up to expectations.
PIT trend: Pittsburgh enters with a 2–2 record against the spread this season, covering half of their games so far.
CIN trend: Cincinnati has struggled at the betting line; their 2025 ATS record is currently 1–4, one of the lowest cover rates in the league.
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| PIT Moneyline | -272 |
|---|---|
| CIN Moneyline | +221 |
| PIT Spread | -42.5 |
| CIN Spread | +5.5 |
| Over / Under | 42.5 |
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/7/25 1PM
Saints
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+350
-450
|
+9 (-110)
-9 (+100)
|
O 41.5 (-109)
U 41.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/7/25 1PM
Colts
Jaguars
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–
–
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-130
+110
|
-1.5 (-109)
+1.5 (-101)
|
O 46.5 (-107)
U 46.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
12/7/25 1PM
Steelers
Ravens
|
–
–
|
+215
-260
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (+100)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-104)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings
12/7/25 1PM
Commanders
Vikings
|
–
–
|
+103
-123
|
+2 (-110)
-2 (+100)
|
O 42.5 (-112)
U 42.5 (-103)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
12/7/25 1PM
Bengals
Bills
|
–
–
|
+219
-265
|
+5.5 (-103)
-5.5 (-107)
|
O 53.5 (-113)
U 53.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
12/7/25 1PM
Dolphins
Jets
|
–
–
|
-148
+128
|
-3 (+105)
+3 (-116)
|
O 41.5 (-104)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
12/7/25 1PM
Seahawks
Falcons
|
–
–
|
-345
+278
|
-7 (+101)
+7 (-112)
|
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
12/7/25 1PM
Titans
Browns
|
–
–
|
+177
-205
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (+100)
|
O 34 (-107)
U 34 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 4:05PM EST
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders
12/7/25 4:05PM
Broncos
Raiders
|
–
–
|
-400
+316
|
-7.5 (+102)
+7.5 (-113)
|
O 40.5 (-104)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
12/7/25 4:25PM
Rams
Cardinals
|
–
–
|
-410
+324
|
-8 (-108)
+8 (-102)
|
O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 4:25PM EST
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
12/7/25 4:25PM
Bears
Packers
|
–
–
|
+245
-300
|
+6.5 (+101)
-6.5 (-112)
|
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 7, 2025 8:20PM EST
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
12/7/25 8:20PM
Texans
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+157
-180
|
+3 (+105)
-3 (-116)
|
O 41.5 (-107)
U 41.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 8, 2025 8:15PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Chargers
12/8/25 8:15PM
Eagles
Chargers
|
–
–
|
-146
+126
|
-2.5 (-108)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 40.5 (-113)
U 40.5 (-102)
|
|
|
Dec 11, 2025 8:15PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 8:15PM
Falcons
Buccaneers
|
–
–
|
+235
-290
|
+6 (-105)
-6 (-105)
|
O 44.5 (-107)
U 44.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/14/25 1PM
Jets
Jaguars
|
–
–
|
+420
-560
|
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-105)
|
O 43 (-107)
U 43 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
12/14/25 1PM
Ravens
Bengals
|
–
–
|
-148
+126
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 51.5 (-107)
U 51.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
12/14/25 1PM
Commanders
Giants
|
–
–
|
-126
+108
|
-1.5 (-105)
+1.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-107)
U 47.5 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
12/14/25 1PM
Raiders
Eagles
|
–
–
|
+730
-1150
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-105)
|
O 40 (-107)
U 40 (-107)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
12/14/25 1PM
Browns
Bears
|
–
–
|
+370
-480
|
+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
|
O 39.5 (-115)
U 39.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
12/14/25 1PM
Cardinals
Texans
|
–
–
|
+260
-320
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (+100)
|
O 42.5 (-107)
U 42.5 (-107)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals on October 16, 2025 at Paycor Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@NYJ | NYJ +3 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | SEA -11.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@PIT | PIT +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@IND | IND -3 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAR@CAR | OVER 44.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@PHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 18.5 PASS COMP | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DAL | DAL +3.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@DET | JORDAN LOVE OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| CIN@BAL | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 24.5 RUSH YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | UNDER 49.5 | 53.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | SF -7 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | BRYCE YOUNG OVER 61.7 PASS COMP PCT | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | DERRICK HENRY OVER 17.5 CARRIES | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| JAC@ARI | ARI +2.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@DAL | DAL +3 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@TEN | SEA -12 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIN@GB | GB -6 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| IND@KC | IND +3.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@LAR | UNDER 49.5 | 52.4% | 1 | WIN |
| IND@KC | UNDER 50.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | BREECE HALL OVER 18.5 RECV YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@DAL | JAKE ELLIOT OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JAMES COOK UNDER 17.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JOSH ALLEN UNDER 63.3 PASS COMP PCT | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@LV | UNDER 49.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@LV | BROCK BOWERS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| CAR@ATL | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@DEN | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 266.5 PASS YDS | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@ARI | SF -3 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@NYG | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | PUSH |
| LAC@JAC | LAC -3 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@LAR | SEA +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | WIN |
| CHI@MIN | MIN -2.5 | 53.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| DET@PHI | DET +3 | 55.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DEN | DEN +4.5 | 53.0% | 2 | WIN |
| DET@PHI | UNDER 47 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@LAR | OVER 48.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYJ@NE | UNDER 43.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| NYJ@NE | JAMIEN SHERWOOD OVER 4.5 TACKLES | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHI@GB | PHI +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | UNDER 45.5 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@GB | JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@CAR | CAR -5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| BAL@MIN | BAL -3.5 | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| CLE@NYJ | CLE -130 | 65.4% | 7 | LOSS |
| NYG@CHI | CHI -4.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| NE@TB | TB -2 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAR@SF | LAR -5.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| JAC@HOU | UNDER 38 | 54.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| ARI@SEA | TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |