Bears vs Raiders Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 28)

Updated: 2025-09-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Chicago Bears travel to Allegiant Stadium on September 28, 2025 to take on the Las Vegas Raiders in a matchup that pits an ascending rookie quarterback against a Raiders team eager to stabilize its season at home. Oddsmakers opened with Las Vegas as a slight favorite at –1.5, with the total hovering in the mid-40s, projecting a competitive contest.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 28, 2025

Start Time: 4:25 PM EST​

Venue: Allegiant Stadium​

Raiders Record: (1-2)

Bears Record: (1-2)

OPENING ODDS

CHI Moneyline: -108

LV Moneyline: -111

CHI Spread: +1

LV Spread: -1.0

Over/Under: 48

CHI
Betting Trends

  • The Bears are 2–1 ATS so far in 2025, covering in back-to-back games behind improved quarterback play and a defense that has forced timely turnovers.

LV
Betting Trends

  • Las Vegas is 1–2 ATS this season, with inconsistent offensive execution contributing to their struggles in cashing for bettors.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The all-time head-to-head series between Chicago and Las Vegas (formerly Oakland/LA) is split nearly even, with both teams alternating wins and covers in recent years. The Bears have covered in four of their last five games against AFC opponents, while the Raiders have gone just 2–6 ATS in their last eight home games.

CHI vs. LV
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Williams under 236.5 Passing Yards.

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Chicago vs Las Vegas Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/28/25

The September 28, 2025 matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium presents a compelling clash of two franchises navigating very different storylines, with Chicago embracing the excitement of a rookie quarterback in Caleb Williams who is beginning to justify his top draft billing and the Raiders searching for consistency under veteran Geno Smith. The Bears enter this game with momentum, having not only secured a strong Week 3 win but also covered the spread in back-to-back weeks, thanks to Williams’ growth, a more aggressive offensive scheme, and a defense that has stepped up with timely turnovers and improved situational football. Chicago’s offense has leaned on play-action, quarterback mobility, and quicker reads to help Williams acclimate, while their ground game has provided enough balance to keep defenses from keying exclusively on the pass; the real test this week will be their offensive line, which faces the daunting challenge of keeping Maxx Crosby in check, as the Raiders’ defensive star is riding one of the league’s longest active sack streaks and remains capable of blowing up entire drives single-handedly. On the other side, Las Vegas has the benefit of home field at Allegiant Stadium but has struggled to put together a complete performance, alternating flashes of offensive competence with prolonged lulls that stall drives and leave their defense on the field too long.

Geno Smith has been steady but unspectacular, and with Davante Adams commanding constant defensive attention, the emergence of Tre Tucker as a viable secondary option is crucial to preventing Chicago from rolling coverage and neutralizing their star. The Raiders will look to establish the run to set up play-action and protect Smith from relentless pressure, while their defense must remain disciplined in containing Williams, who has shown the ability to extend plays and punish secondaries when coverage breaks down. With both teams hovering near even ATS marks—Chicago at 2–1 ATS and Las Vegas at 1–2 ATS—this game has the makings of a back-and-forth battle where turnovers, red-zone execution, and special teams play could tip the balance. The total in the mid-40s reflects expectations for modest scoring, but if Williams continues to push the ball downfield and Smith can capitalize on favorable matchups, the game could open up offensively. Ultimately, the matchup boils down to whether the Bears can maintain their upward trajectory, protecting their young quarterback and keeping momentum alive, or if the Raiders can harness the energy of their home crowd, unleash Crosby and their pass rush, and put together the balanced, efficient performance that has eluded them so far this season. Whichever team executes best in high-leverage moments—whether that means Chicago finding another explosive rookie-led spark or Las Vegas finally stringing together four quarters of complementary football—will likely walk away with a crucial victory that shapes the trajectory of their 2025 campaigns.

Chicago Bears NFL Preview

The Chicago Bears travel to Allegiant Stadium on September 28, 2025 with momentum and confidence, eager to prove that their rookie quarterback Caleb Williams can handle the bright lights of a hostile road environment while continuing his steady progression as a leader of the franchise. Williams has shown growth each week, with improved accuracy on intermediate throws, a willingness to push the ball vertically, and the poise to escape pressure and make off-script plays when needed, but facing Maxx Crosby and the Raiders’ pass rush presents his toughest challenge yet. Protecting Williams will be the Bears’ top priority, and their offensive line must hold up long enough to allow him to find his rhythm while the run game provides balance to keep the defense honest. Chicago’s playbook has been expanding, incorporating more play-action and designed movement to highlight Williams’ mobility, and the receivers have responded with improved separation and big plays downfield.

Defensively, the Bears have been opportunistic, forcing timely turnovers and thriving in red-zone situations, and this week they’ll need to lock down Davante Adams while also accounting for the emerging Tre Tucker, whose big-play potential adds a new dimension to Las Vegas’ passing game. Linebackers and safeties must stay disciplined against screens, crossers, and checkdowns, while the defensive front must win on early downs to put Geno Smith in long passing situations where mistakes are more likely. Special teams could also provide a hidden edge, as Chicago has been reliable in coverage and kicking, which could matter in a game where possessions are expected to be tight. From a betting perspective, the Bears have been one of the early-season surprises at 2–1 ATS, showing they can exceed expectations and compete against quality opponents, while their track record against AFC foes in recent years has been strong. To pull out a win in Vegas, the formula is straightforward: protect Williams from Crosby and company, sustain balance on offense, and continue forcing turnovers on defense. If they can execute that plan, the Bears have every chance to not only cover but secure a road victory that would further validate Williams’ rise and accelerate Chicago’s transformation into a legitimate playoff contender in 2025.

The Chicago Bears travel to Allegiant Stadium on September 28, 2025 to take on the Las Vegas Raiders in a matchup that pits an ascending rookie quarterback against a Raiders team eager to stabilize its season at home. Oddsmakers opened with Las Vegas as a slight favorite at –1.5, with the total hovering in the mid-40s, projecting a competitive contest. Chicago vs Las Vegas AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders return to Allegiant Stadium on September 28, 2025 needing to steady their season after an uneven start and facing the challenge of containing Chicago’s rookie phenom Caleb Williams, who has sparked momentum for the Bears. Geno Smith remains the leader of the Raiders’ offense, and while his play has been steady, it has lacked the explosiveness needed to sustain long drives and flip momentum, which makes the emergence of Tre Tucker alongside Davante Adams critical for giving the passing game balance and forcing defenses to respect multiple threats. Establishing the run will be a top priority, as it not only keeps Smith in manageable downs but also controls tempo and keeps Las Vegas’ defense fresh, something they’ll need against an expanding Bears playbook. On defense, Maxx Crosby is once again the centerpiece—his relentless pressure and sack streak have made him one of the league’s most disruptive defenders, and this week he’ll be tasked with collapsing the pocket and rattling Williams before he can find rhythm.

The Raiders’ secondary must stay disciplined against Chicago’s vertical threats, while linebackers need to be sharp in containing scrambles, screens, and RPO looks that highlight Williams’ dual-threat ability. Special teams could also be decisive, as the Raiders have been inconsistent at flipping field position, and a clean performance in the kicking and return game could be the difference in a tight contest. From a betting perspective, Las Vegas sits at 1–2 ATS and has struggled in recent home games, but playing in front of their home crowd provides a boost and often energizes the defense early. For the Raiders to secure a win, they must play complementary football: Crosby and the defense must disrupt Chicago’s timing, Smith must avoid turnovers while capitalizing on favorable matchups downfield, and the offense must finish drives with touchdowns rather than field goals. If Las Vegas can piece together a balanced effort and harness the Allegiant Stadium crowd, they not only have a chance to cover as slight favorites but also to reset their season with a win that restores confidence and keeps them in the thick of the AFC race.

Chicago vs. Las Vegas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bears and Raiders play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Allegiant Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Williams under 236.5 Passing Yards.

Chicago vs. Las Vegas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Bears and Raiders and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Bears team going up against a possibly deflated Raiders team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Chicago vs Las Vegas picks, computer picks Bears vs Raiders, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Bears Betting Trends

The Bears are 2–1 ATS so far in 2025, covering in back-to-back games behind improved quarterback play and a defense that has forced timely turnovers.

Raiders Betting Trends

Las Vegas is 1–2 ATS this season, with inconsistent offensive execution contributing to their struggles in cashing for bettors.

Bears vs. Raiders Matchup Trends

The all-time head-to-head series between Chicago and Las Vegas (formerly Oakland/LA) is split nearly even, with both teams alternating wins and covers in recent years. The Bears have covered in four of their last five games against AFC opponents, while the Raiders have gone just 2–6 ATS in their last eight home games.

Chicago vs. Las Vegas Game Info

Chicago vs Las Vegas starts on September 28, 2025 at 4:25 PM EST.

Spread: Las Vegas -1.0
Moneyline: Chicago -108, Las Vegas -111
Over/Under: 48

Chicago: (1-2)  |  Las Vegas: (1-2)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Williams under 236.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The all-time head-to-head series between Chicago and Las Vegas (formerly Oakland/LA) is split nearly even, with both teams alternating wins and covers in recent years. The Bears have covered in four of their last five games against AFC opponents, while the Raiders have gone just 2–6 ATS in their last eight home games.

CHI trend: The Bears are 2–1 ATS so far in 2025, covering in back-to-back games behind improved quarterback play and a defense that has forced timely turnovers.

LV trend: Las Vegas is 1–2 ATS this season, with inconsistent offensive execution contributing to their struggles in cashing for bettors.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago vs. Las Vegas Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Chicago vs Las Vegas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Chicago vs Las Vegas Opening Odds

CHI Moneyline: -108
LV Moneyline: -111
CHI Spread: +1
LV Spread: -1.0
Over/Under: 48

Chicago vs Las Vegas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 23, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
10/23/25 8:15PM
Vikings
Chargers
+152
-180
+3 (-102)
-3 (-120)
O 44.5 (-112)
U 44.5 (-108)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
10/26/25 1PM
Browns
Patriots
+290
-360
+7 (-114)
-7 (-106)
O 40.5 (-105)
U 40.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Buffalo Bills
Carolina Panthers
10/26/25 1PM
Bills
Panthers
-390
+310
-7.5 (-102)
+7.5 (-120)
O 46.5 (-105)
U 46.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
10/26/25 1PM
Jets
Bengals
+245
-300
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-115)
U 43.5 (-105)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Chicago Bears
Baltimore Ravens
10/26/25 1PM
Bears
Ravens
+265
-330
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
10/26/25 1PM
Giants
Eagles
+285
-355
+7 (-108)
-7 (-112)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
San Francisco 49ers
Houston Texans
10/26/25 1PM
49ers
Texans
-102
-118
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 1:00PM EDT
Miami Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons
10/26/25 1PM
Dolphins
Falcons
+300
-375
+7.5 (-122)
-7.5 (+100)
O 44.5 (-114)
U 44.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
10/26/25 4:05PM
Buccaneers
Saints
-225
+188
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Dallas Cowboys
Denver Broncos
10/26/25 4:25PM
Cowboys
Broncos
+146
-174
+3.5 (-118)
-3.5 (-104)
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
Oct 26, 2025 4:25PM EDT
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts
10/26/25 4:25PM
Titans
Colts
+750
-1200
+14.5 (-118)
-14.5 (-104)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Oct 26, 2025 8:20PM EDT
Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
10/26/25 8:20PM
Packers
Steelers
-176
+148
-3.5 (-104)
+3.5 (-118)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Oct 27, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Washington Commanders
Kansas City Chiefs
10/27/25 8:15PM
Commanders
Chiefs
+430
-590
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 30, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
10/30/25 8:15PM
Ravens
Dolphins
-430
+340
-8.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
11/2/25 1PM
Bears
Bengals
-120
+102
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/2/25 1PM
Colts
Steelers
-136
+116
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders on September 28, 2025 at Allegiant Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS
TEN@HOU TEN +7.5 57.9% 7 LOSS
LAC@NYG LAC -6 57.3% 7 LOSS
NO@BUF UNDER 48.5 55.1% 3 LOSS
GB@DAL JAVONTE WILLIAMS UNDER 72.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 LOSS
CAR@NE DRAKE MAYE TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 LOSS
SEA@ARI SEA -125 57.7% 6 WIN
SEA@ARI KYLER MURRAY TO THROW AN INT 56.6% 6 WIN
DET@BAL JAHMYR GIBBS OVER 0.5 RUSH TDS 55.8% 5 WIN
DAL@CHI DAL -120 58.7% 6 LOSS
PIT@NE PIT -116 60.1% 6 WIN
ATL@CAR ATL -4.5 55.4% 5 LOSS