Steelers vs Jets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 07)

Updated: 2025-08-31T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Steelers open the 2025 NFL season with a road game at MetLife Stadium against the New York Jets on Sunday, September 7. The Steelers are installed as 3‑point favorites, with the total set at 39.5 points, marking this as the lowest over/under of the opening week.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 07, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: MetLife Stadium​

Jets Record: (0-0)

Steelers Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: -156

NYJ Moneyline: +132

PIT Spread: -3

NYJ Spread: +3.0

Over/Under: 38.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh went 11–7 ATS in 2024, covering in 61.1% of their games—among the better ATS records in the league last season.

NYJ
Betting Trends

  • The New York Jets finished 6–11 ATS in 2024, covering only 35.3% of their games, one of the worst ATS marks in the NFL.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Although the Jets get home-field billing, the matchup features major storylines: veteran Aaron Rodgers is expected to make his debut with the Steelers against former team quarterback Justin Fields, creating a revenge narrative. Steelers have historically performed well ATS as road favorites, while Jets tend to underperform even at home.

PIT vs. NYJ
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Metcalf under 60.5 Receiving Yards.

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Pittsburgh vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/7/25

The 2025 NFL season kicks off with an intriguing AFC showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets on Sunday, September 7 at MetLife Stadium, with Pittsburgh entering as 3-point road favorites and a low projected total of 39.5 points. This game has all the ingredients of a defensive battle filled with emotion and storyline-driven subplots, most notably the debut of Aaron Rodgers as the Steelers’ new starting quarterback and the beginning of the Justin Fields era in New York. Rodgers, who departed Green Bay two years ago and was briefly a Jet before suffering a season-ending Achilles injury in 2023, now finds himself returning to New York in a black-and-gold uniform with redemption on his mind and expectations high. Pittsburgh is coming off a 10–7 season and finished with an impressive 11–7 record against the spread in 2024, one of the most profitable teams for bettors thanks to their combination of defensive dominance and consistent play in close games. Their revamped offense, now featuring D.K. Metcalf as a big-play target alongside George Pickens, gives Rodgers a formidable group of weapons, while the offensive line remains a work in progress. On defense, the Steelers remain stout with T.J. Watt anchoring the pass rush and Jalen Ramsey bolstering the secondary, creating a top-tier unit capable of disrupting any rhythm Fields and the Jets hope to establish.

New York, on the other hand, is ushering in a new era under head coach Aaron Glenn, who brings a defensive mindset and fresh leadership to a franchise that finished 5–12 last season and posted a weak 6–11 ATS record. Fields, who signed a high-profile deal in the offseason, will be tasked with managing a conservative game plan behind a retooled offensive line, targeting Garrett Wilson as his primary receiver while leaning heavily on Breece Hall to keep the Steelers’ front seven honest. The Jets’ defense, featuring Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner, has the firepower to contain explosive plays and create turnovers, but they’ll need to play mistake-free football, dominate time of possession, and execute situationally to keep this game competitive. With both teams facing early season pressure to prove legitimacy—Rodgers to show he still belongs among the elite and Fields to justify his big payday—expect a hard-hitting affair where field position, special teams, and third-down conversions dictate the tempo. Historically, the Steelers have performed well as road favorites and bring a veteran edge to this matchup, while the Jets look to shed the weight of underperformance with a statement win in front of their home crowd. If Pittsburgh’s defense sets the tone early and Rodgers plays a clean game, they’re well-positioned to start the season with a win and a cover. But if Fields keeps his composure and the Jets’ defensive front overwhelms Pittsburgh’s line, this could be a close game decided in the final minutes. Either way, the matchup promises an intense, emotionally charged battle between two franchises aiming to redefine themselves in 2025.

Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers open the 2025 NFL season with renewed optimism and a dramatically reshaped identity led by one of the most unexpected acquisitions of the offseason: four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers. After his brief and ill-fated stint with the New York Jets in 2023, Rodgers now makes his official return to MetLife Stadium—but in black and gold—as the new leader of a Steelers team that finished 10–7 last year and quietly became one of the most reliable teams against the spread, going 11–7 ATS. Head coach Mike Tomlin, ever the stabilizing force in Pittsburgh, has once again reinvented the team’s offensive identity, building around Rodgers with a mix of veteran playmakers and young, physical linemen eager to protect their legendary signal-caller. D.K. Metcalf, acquired via trade in the offseason, adds a vertical dimension the Steelers have lacked for years, complementing George Pickens and tight end Pat Freiermuth to create a dangerous pass-catching trio. Running back Najee Harris remains the workhorse, providing balance and physicality on early downs, while rookie Jaylen Wright adds a speed element to the backfield. The offensive line is the biggest question mark, featuring multiple first- and second-year players expected to start, which could be tested early against the Jets’ aggressive front seven led by Quinnen Williams.

Defensively, the Steelers continue to embody their historical DNA with elite pressure from T.J. Watt and strong coverage in the secondary, now bolstered by the arrival of cornerback Jalen Ramsey. Minkah Fitzpatrick remains the cerebral heart of the unit, capable of disguising coverages and generating turnovers, which will be critical against Justin Fields, a quarterback known for both big-play potential and game-altering mistakes. Pittsburgh’s defensive strategy will likely emphasize containment of Fields outside the pocket while forcing him to beat them with timing routes from the pocket—something he has yet to master consistently. The Steelers’ special teams also project as a strength, with veteran kicker Chris Boswell providing reliability from distance and a return unit that consistently wins the field position battle. Tomlin has historically been excellent in Week 1, and his teams often start fast due to their preparation and conditioning advantages. With the Steelers installed as 3-point road favorites and the total sitting at just 39.5, oddsmakers are signaling trust in Pittsburgh’s defense and in Rodgers’ ability to manage a tight, low-scoring contest. For Pittsburgh to cover and win, Rodgers must avoid turnovers, convert third downs, and trust his weapons in the red zone, while the defense must set the tone with early sacks and disguised pressures. If those elements come together as expected, the Steelers could not only leave New York with a statement win but also remind the AFC that they are still a playoff-caliber team, now with a quarterback capable of delivering when the game is on the line.

The Pittsburgh Steelers open the 2025 NFL season with a road game at MetLife Stadium against the New York Jets on Sunday, September 7. The Steelers are installed as 3‑point favorites, with the total set at 39.5 points, marking this as the lowest over/under of the opening week. Pittsburgh vs New York AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Jets NFL Preview

The New York Jets begin the 2025 NFL season at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers in what will be a highly scrutinized matchup for a franchise attempting to rewrite its narrative after years of underperformance and instability. Coming off a disappointing 5–12 season and just a 6–11 mark against the spread, the Jets underwent a dramatic overhaul in the offseason, starting with the hiring of head coach Aaron Glenn and the signing of former Bears quarterback Justin Fields to a two-year, $40 million contract. Glenn, a former NFL defensive back and recent Detroit Lions defensive coordinator, brings leadership, energy, and a defensive pedigree to a team long plagued by inconsistency and missed expectations. Fields, meanwhile, enters this season with immense pressure to finally cement himself as a starting-caliber quarterback, and his dual-threat ability could immediately create headaches for the Steelers if used correctly. Fields’ top weapon will again be Garrett Wilson, the third-year wideout with elite separation skills and a knack for big plays, but he’ll need more consistency from tight ends and a developing receiver group if this offense is going to find rhythm early in the season.

Running back Breece Hall remains the most dynamic offensive piece when healthy, and his ability to control tempo and create after contact will be key to easing Fields into the offense, particularly behind a restructured offensive line that must prove it can hold its ground against Pittsburgh’s elite pass rush. Defensively, New York still possesses elite talent at all three levels, led by Pro Bowlers Quinnen Williams up front and Sauce Gardner in the secondary, and they’ll be expected to keep this a low-scoring game by putting pressure on Aaron Rodgers and contesting every downfield throw. The Jets’ ability to contain newly acquired wideout D.K. Metcalf and disrupt Rodgers’ timing with disguised coverages will go a long way toward controlling the flow of this game. The defensive line, often the strength of the team, must win early downs and force Pittsburgh into third-and-longs to unleash creative pressure packages. Glenn is expected to be aggressive, particularly with blitz concepts, to test Pittsburgh’s youthful offensive line and keep Rodgers from settling into rhythm. Special teams must also be sharp, as low totals like this (39.5) often mean a game is decided by field position, punting efficiency, and key kicks, and New York will need to rely on punter Thomas Morstead and kicker Greg Zuerlein to execute under pressure. The emotional boost of a home crowd, a fresh quarterback start, and a new head coach could give the Jets the intangible edge they need to surprise in Week 1, but to do so, they’ll need to play disciplined football, win the turnover margin, and execute situationally—particularly on third down and in the red zone. If Fields manages the game effectively and avoids the costly mistakes that have haunted him in the past, and the defense lives up to its billing, the Jets have a real chance to defy the spread and open the season with a much-needed win that could set a new tone for 2025.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Steelers and Jets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at MetLife Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Metcalf under 60.5 Receiving Yards.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Steelers and Jets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight human bettors tend to put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Steelers team going up against a possibly healthy Jets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs New York picks, computer picks Steelers vs Jets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Steelers Betting Trends

Pittsburgh went 11–7 ATS in 2024, covering in 61.1% of their games—among the better ATS records in the league last season.

Jets Betting Trends

The New York Jets finished 6–11 ATS in 2024, covering only 35.3% of their games, one of the worst ATS marks in the NFL.

Steelers vs. Jets Matchup Trends

Although the Jets get home-field billing, the matchup features major storylines: veteran Aaron Rodgers is expected to make his debut with the Steelers against former team quarterback Justin Fields, creating a revenge narrative. Steelers have historically performed well ATS as road favorites, while Jets tend to underperform even at home.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Game Info

Pittsburgh vs New York starts on September 07, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New York +3.0
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -156, New York +132
Over/Under: 38.5

Pittsburgh: (0-0)  |  New York: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Metcalf under 60.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Although the Jets get home-field billing, the matchup features major storylines: veteran Aaron Rodgers is expected to make his debut with the Steelers against former team quarterback Justin Fields, creating a revenge narrative. Steelers have historically performed well ATS as road favorites, while Jets tend to underperform even at home.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh went 11–7 ATS in 2024, covering in 61.1% of their games—among the better ATS records in the league last season.

NYJ trend: The New York Jets finished 6–11 ATS in 2024, covering only 35.3% of their games, one of the worst ATS marks in the NFL.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs New York Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: -156
NYJ Moneyline: +132
PIT Spread: -3
NYJ Spread: +3.0
Over/Under: 38.5

Pittsburgh vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 30, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
10/30/25 8:15PM
Ravens
Dolphins
-420
+330
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
O 51.5 (-105)
U 51.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
11/2/25 1PM
Bears
Bengals
-154
+130
-3 (-102)
+3 (-120)
O 50.5 (-118)
U 50.5 (-104)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/2/25 1PM
Colts
Steelers
-158
+134
-3 (-115)
+3 (-105)
O 50.5 (-104)
U 50.5 (-118)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
11/2/25 1PM
Panthers
Packers
+700
-1100
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
New England Patriots
11/2/25 1PM
Falcons
Patriots
+194
-235
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
11/2/25 1PM
Broncos
Texans
+102
-120
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
11/2/25 1PM
49ers
Giants
-148
+126
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans
11/2/25 1PM
Chargers
Titans
-480
+370
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
11/2/25 1PM
Vikings
Lions
+370
-480
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 4:05PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
11/2/25 4:05PM
Saints
Rams
+730
-1150
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 4:05PM EST
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
11/2/25 4:05PM
Jaguars
Raiders
-158
+134
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 2, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
11/2/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Bills
-134
+114
-1.5 (-114)
+1.5 (-106)
O 52.5 (-105)
U 52.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 8:20PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Commanders
11/2/25 8:20PM
Seahawks
Commanders
-166
+140
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Nov 3, 2025 8:15PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
11/3/25 8:15PM
Cardinals
Cowboys
+128
-152
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-118)
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
Nov 6, 2025 8:15PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
11/6/25 8:15PM
Raiders
Broncos
+370
-480
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-120)
U 42.5 (-102)
Nov 9, 2025 9:30AM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts
11/9/25 9:30AM
Falcons
Colts
+290
-360
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 48.5 (-108)
U 48.5 (-112)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets on September 07, 2025 at MetLife Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS