Bills vs Steelers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Nov 30)
Updated: 2025-11-23T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Buffalo Bills travel to face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, November 30, 2025 — a high-stakes AFC showdown as Buffalo looks to preserve its playoff positioning while Pittsburgh aims to reassert itself at home and leverage a returning starter to keep pace in a tight division. The Steelers are expected to have Aaron Rodgers back under center, fresh off injury, which adds intrigue to what could be a feast-or-famine matchup pitting Buffalo’s potent offense against a rejuvenated Pittsburgh offense and a home crowd looking for redemption.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 30, 2025
Start Time: 5:25 PM EST
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Steelers Record: (6-5)
Bills Record: (7-4)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: -200
PIT Moneyline: +165
BUF Spread: -3.5
PIT Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 47.5
BUF
Betting Trends
- Buffalo enters with a modest ATS record, covering the spread in about 50-55% of their games this season — a mark that reflects good—but not dominant—performance, especially on the road where they’ve shown some inconsistency.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Steelers have delivered stronger value at home, with an estimated cover rate of roughly 60-65% when hosting games this season — boosted by a sturdy defense and, when healthy, a capable offense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The opening line sets Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite, with a total (over/under) around 47–47.5 points — suggesting bookmakers anticipate moderate scoring and a competitive tilt, but with potential for swings, especially if turnovers or a strong pass rush come into play.
BUF vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Metcalf over 45.5 Receiving Yards.
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Buffalo vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 11/30/25
The November 30 matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Pittsburgh Steelers carries layered significance for both teams, as Buffalo arrives with a 7–4 record and the pressure of maintaining its playoff trajectory, while Pittsburgh enters at 6–5 with renewed optimism thanks to the anticipated return of its veteran starting quarterback, setting the stage for a chess match defined by contrasting styles, emotional stakes, and situational intensity. For Buffalo, the path to victory begins with stabilizing an offense that has been explosive at times but inconsistent on the road, requiring a balanced approach that blends a committed run game with controlled passing to prevent Pittsburgh’s aggressive front from pinning its ears back and pressuring Josh Allen into hurried decisions. Allen’s ability to extend plays, protect the ball, and avoid forcing throws into tight coverage will be crucial, as the Steelers’ defense thrives on capitalizing on mistakes and creating disruptive moments that energize the home crowd. Buffalo’s offensive line must deliver clean pockets and disciplined protection to allow the offense to stay ahead of the chains, especially in a stadium known for noise and defensive energy. Defensively, the Bills must confront a Pittsburgh offense looking to regain rhythm, and their ability to contain the run while limiting short-to-intermediate passing lanes will be key to preventing the Steelers from controlling clock and dictating tempo. Buffalo cannot afford breakdowns in coverage or missed tackles, especially against a quarterback who excels at manipulating defenses and finding high-percentage completions when protected.
Pittsburgh, meanwhile, must lean into its strengths: a physical defense capable of generating pressure without sacrificing coverage integrity, and an offense that, with its starter returning, can balance timely throws, structured drives, and a run game designed to steady the rhythm and keep Buffalo’s high-powered offense off the field. The Steelers’ offensive line must handle Buffalo’s front by winning leverage battles, sustaining blocks, and avoiding penalties that stall drives or force third-and-long situations. Defensively, Pittsburgh must apply steady pressure on Allen, contain his scrambling ability, and prevent big plays downfield by maintaining disciplined coverage and tackling with precision. Special teams could become a decisive factor in a game expected to hinge on field position, possession control, and red-zone efficiency, with both teams needing clean execution on punts, returns, and kicks to avoid momentum swings. Emotionally, Buffalo carries the burden of expectations and must resist lapses in discipline that have cost them in road settings, while Pittsburgh must balance adrenaline surrounding the quarterback’s return with patience, structure, and focus. Ultimately, this matchup is likely to be determined by third-down performance, turnover margin, and which team maintains composure in high-leverage moments, with Pittsburgh seeking to ride home-field energy and Buffalo attempting to assert its playoff identity amid rising pressure.
Get live NFL odds and precise AI NFL picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
See yinz Sunday. 😁 pic.twitter.com/htG2MwtmoN
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) November 25, 2025
Buffalo Bills NFL Preview
The Buffalo Bills enter their November 30 road matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers carrying both the weight of playoff expectations and the urgency to correct offensive inconsistencies that have emerged during recent road performances, making this a pivotal test of their resilience, discipline, and ability to execute against a physical opponent in a difficult environment. Offensively, the Bills’ blueprint begins with establishing balance through a committed run game designed to keep the Steelers’ aggressive front seven from overwhelming the line of scrimmage and forcing Josh Allen into hurried, high-risk situations that can swing momentum. The offensive line must play with cohesion and precision, eliminating penalties, sustaining blocks, and providing clean pockets that allow Allen to survey the field, progress through reads, and capitalize on mismatches created by motion, alignment shifts, and play-action concepts. Allen’s dual-threat ability remains the engine of Buffalo’s attack, but success requires discipline — taking available yards, avoiding forced deep shots into tight coverage, and protecting the football against a defense built to generate disruptive plays. Buffalo’s receiving corps must emphasize consistent separation, strong hands, and yards after the catch, converting intermediate gains into sustained drives and minimizing stalled series that give Pittsburgh advantageous field position. Defensively, the Bills must confront an offense reinvigorated by the return of its veteran quarterback, requiring disciplined coverage, tight communication, and strong tackling to limit yards after contact and prevent the Steelers from extending drives through high-percentage throws and controlled rushing.
The front seven must win early downs by clogging rushing lanes, maintaining gap integrity, and applying measured pressure without overpursuing or allowing scrambling lanes, while the secondary must remain alert for play-action shots and quick-hitting timing routes designed to exploit coverage hesitation. Generating turnovers will be crucial, as short fields could simplify Buffalo’s offensive burden and reduce the need for long, sustained marches against a disciplined Steelers defense. Special teams must also deliver clean, composed execution — precise punting, consistent coverage, and dependable kicking — to prevent hidden yardage from tipping the balance in a matchup where field position could dictate tempo. Emotionally, the Bills must channel urgency into composure, avoiding the lapses in focus, costly penalties, and miscommunications that have occasionally plagued them in hostile environments. The coaching staff must emphasize situational mastery: third-down efficiency, red-zone execution, and smart clock management that preserves possessions and minimizes opportunities for Pittsburgh to control tempo. If Buffalo protects the football, sustains offensive balance, prevents explosive plays on defense, and manages field position with discipline, they possess a clear path to a critical road victory that reinforces their playoff standing and demonstrates their ability to perform under pressure. But if they allow Pittsburgh’s pass rush to dictate the game or commit situational errors, the challenge of winning in a hostile, energized environment will become significantly more difficult.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview
The Pittsburgh Steelers enter their November 30 home matchup against the Buffalo Bills with renewed energy, fueled by the return of their veteran quarterback and the urgency of staying competitive in a crowded AFC playoff race, making this a defining opportunity to reestablish their identity as a disciplined, physical, and opportunistic team capable of winning high-pressure games at home. Offensively, the Steelers’ success begins with creating balance through a strong commitment to the run, using early-down rushing to control tempo, reduce pressure on their quarterback, and open up the play-action sequences that allow the passing game to flourish with rhythm and efficiency. The offensive line must play with precision and toughness, sustaining blocks, eliminating penalties, and providing a clean pocket that enables the quarterback to operate confidently, distribute the ball on time, and take advantage of short-to-intermediate routes designed to exploit Buffalo’s defensive tendencies. Their receiving corps must run sharp routes, secure contested catches, and maximize yards after the catch, turning manageable plays into drive-extending gains. Defensively, Pittsburgh’s identity must shine — a relentless front seven capable of pressuring the quarterback, containing the run, and dictating the pace through physicality and discipline. The Steelers must collapse pockets, seal rushing lanes, and tackle with consistency to prevent Josh Allen from extending plays or breaking contain, while the secondary must maintain tight coverage, communicate cleanly, and avoid the breakdowns that allow Buffalo to generate sudden explosive gains.
Emotional control will be key, as Buffalo thrives in chaotic, off-structure situations, and Pittsburgh’s defense must stay fundamentally sound rather than overreacting to misdirection or improvisation. Special teams must also reinforce the team’s structure: sound punt coverage, disciplined kickoff execution, and reliable field-goal operation can tilt field position and provide crucial scoring opportunities in a matchup that may hinge on a handful of possessions. The coaching staff will emphasize situational sharpness, including third-down defense, clock control, and red-zone execution, recognizing that Buffalo’s offense becomes significantly more dangerous when allowed multiple extra possessions or second chances due to mistakes or penalties. Pittsburgh must also strike a balance between harnessing the emotional boost from their quarterback’s return and maintaining strategic patience — avoiding forced plays, minimizing turnovers, and staying focused on the long-game approach that suits their style. If the Steelers control the trenches, protect the football, maintain defensive discipline, and capitalize on opportunities created by their pass rush and home-field energy, they hold a strong path to a critical home victory that strengthens their playoff standing and signals that they have regained midseason form at the ideal moment. Such a performance would not only showcase their capacity for resilience but also reaffirm their identity as a tough, cohesive, and situationally sharp team capable of contending deep into the winter stretch.
New week. Same goal.@_TJWatt | #HereWeGo pic.twitter.com/e5vHjDF9NE
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) November 25, 2025
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Bills and Steelers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Acrisure Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Bills and Steelers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly rested Steelers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Buffalo vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Bills vs Steelers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL schedule.
Buffalo Betting Trends
Buffalo enters with a modest ATS record, covering the spread in about 50-55% of their games this season — a mark that reflects good—but not dominant—performance, especially on the road where they’ve shown some inconsistency.
Pittsburgh Betting Trends
The Steelers have delivered stronger value at home, with an estimated cover rate of roughly 60-65% when hosting games this season — boosted by a sturdy defense and, when healthy, a capable offense.
Bills vs. Steelers Matchup Trends
The opening line sets Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite, with a total (over/under) around 47–47.5 points — suggesting bookmakers anticipate moderate scoring and a competitive tilt, but with potential for swings, especially if turnovers or a strong pass rush come into play.
Buffalo vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh starts on November 30, 2025 at 5:25 PM EST.
Venue: Acrisure Stadium.
Spread: Pittsburgh +3.5
Moneyline: Buffalo -200, Pittsburgh +165
Over/Under: 47.5
Buffalo: (7-4) | Pittsburgh: (6-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Metcalf over 45.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The opening line sets Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite, with a total (over/under) around 47–47.5 points — suggesting bookmakers anticipate moderate scoring and a competitive tilt, but with potential for swings, especially if turnovers or a strong pass rush come into play.
BUF trend: Buffalo enters with a modest ATS record, covering the spread in about 50-55% of their games this season — a mark that reflects good—but not dominant—performance, especially on the road where they’ve shown some inconsistency.
PIT trend: The Steelers have delivered stronger value at home, with an estimated cover rate of roughly 60-65% when hosting games this season — boosted by a sturdy defense and, when healthy, a capable offense.
See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Buffalo vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Buffalo vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| BUF Moneyline | -200 |
|---|---|
| PIT Moneyline | +165 |
| BUF Spread | -3.5 |
| PIT Spread | +3.5 |
| Over / Under | 47.5 |
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 8:15PM
Falcons
Buccaneers
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–
–
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+185
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+4 (-115)
-4 (-105)
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O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
12/14/25 1PM
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–
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+530
-750
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+13 (-120)
-13 (+100)
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O 42 (-110)
U 42 (-110)
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
12/14/25 1PM
Ravens
Bengals
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–
–
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-140
+120
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-2 (-120)
+2 (+100)
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O 51.5 (-105)
U 51.5 (-115)
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Washington Commanders
New York Giants
12/14/25 1PM
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Giants
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
12/14/25 1PM
Raiders
Eagles
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–
–
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+500
-700
|
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cleveland Browns
Chicago Bears
12/14/25 1PM
Browns
Bears
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–
–
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+295
-370
|
+7.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
12/14/25 1PM
Cardinals
Texans
|
–
–
|
+390
-500
|
+10.5 (-125)
-10.5 (+105)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
12/14/25 1PM
Bills
Patriots
|
–
–
|
-120
-106
|
pk
pk
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
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|
Dec 14, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
12/14/25 1PM
Chargers
Chiefs
|
–
–
|
+190
-225
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 4:25PM EST
Green Bay Packers
Denver Broncos
12/14/25 4:25PM
Packers
Broncos
|
–
–
|
-140
+120
|
-2 (-120)
+2 (+100)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 4:25PM EST
Tennessee Titans
San Francisco 49ers
12/14/25 4:25PM
Titans
49ers
|
–
–
|
+570
-840
|
+13 (-110)
-13 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
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|
Dec 14, 2025 4:25PM EST
Detroit Lions
Los Angeles Rams
12/14/25 4:25PM
Lions
Rams
|
–
–
|
+223
-265
|
+6 (-107)
-6 (-113)
|
O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 4:25PM EST
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
12/14/25 4:25PM
Panthers
Saints
|
–
–
|
-150
+129
|
-2 (-120)
+2 (+100)
|
O 40.5 (-110)
U 40.5 (-110)
|
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|
Dec 14, 2025 4:25PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Seattle Seahawks
12/14/25 4:25PM
Colts
Seahawks
|
–
–
|
+600
-900
|
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
|
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 14, 2025 8:20PM EST
Minnesota Vikings
Dallas Cowboys
12/14/25 8:20PM
Vikings
Cowboys
|
–
–
|
+225
-270
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 15, 2025 8:15PM EST
Miami Dolphins
Pittsburgh Steelers
12/15/25 8:15PM
Dolphins
Steelers
|
–
–
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+163
-190
|
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
|
O 41 (-105)
U 41 (-115)
|
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Dec 18, 2025 8:15PM EST
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
12/18/25 8:15PM
Rams
Seahawks
|
–
–
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-110
-106
|
+1.5 (-113)
-1.5 (-107)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
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Dec 20, 2025 5:00PM EST
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
12/20/25 5PM
Eagles
Commanders
|
–
–
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-250
+205
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
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Dec 20, 2025 8:20PM EST
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
12/20/25 8:20PM
Packers
Bears
|
–
–
|
-188
+158
|
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 45.5 (-110)
U 45.5 (-110)
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Dec 21, 2025 1:00PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
12/21/25 1PM
Chiefs
Titans
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–
–
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-700
+500
|
-11.5 (-104)
+11.5 (-118)
|
O 41.5 (-105)
U 41.5 (-115)
|
NFL Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Buffalo Bills vs. Pittsburgh Steelers on November 30, 2025 at Acrisure Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN@LV | RJ HARVEY ANYTIME TD | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| HOU@KC | CJ STROUD UNDER 33.5 PASS ATT | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@MIN | JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 249.5 PASS + RUSH YDS | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@JAC | IND -1 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@ATL | ATL +7 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIA@NYJ | MIA -2 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DEN@LV | LV +8.5 | 57.1% | 6 | WIN |
| WAS@MIN | WAS -1 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| SEA@ATL | UNDER 44.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@DET | JARED GOFF OVER 21.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | KENNETH WALKER UNDER 80.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| ATL@NYJ | KIRK COUSINS UNDER 194.5 PASS YDS | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| BUF@PIT | JAYLEN WARREN OVER 60.5 RUSH YDS | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| DEN@WAS | DEN -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| ATL@NYJ | NYJ +3 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| MIN@SEA | SEA -11.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@PIT | PIT +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@IND | IND -3 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| LAR@CAR | OVER 44.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@PHI | CALEB WILLIAMS OVER 18.5 PASS COMP | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DAL | DAL +3.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@DET | JORDAN LOVE OVER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| CIN@BAL | LAMAR JACKSON OVER 24.5 RUSH YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | UNDER 49.5 | 53.0% | 1 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | SF -7 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CAR@SF | BRYCE YOUNG OVER 61.7 PASS COMP PCT | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | DERRICK HENRY OVER 17.5 CARRIES | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| JAC@ARI | ARI +2.5 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@DAL | DAL +3 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@TEN | SEA -12 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIN@GB | GB -6 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| IND@KC | IND +3.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| TB@LAR | UNDER 49.5 | 52.4% | 1 | WIN |
| IND@KC | UNDER 50.5 | 53.1% | 2 | WIN |
| NYJ@BAL | BREECE HALL OVER 18.5 RECV YDS | 56.7% | 6 | WIN |
| PHI@DAL | JAKE ELLIOT OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JAMES COOK UNDER 17.5 RUSH ATT | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| BUF@HOU | JOSH ALLEN UNDER 63.3 PASS COMP PCT | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| DAL@LV | UNDER 49.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| DAL@LV | BROCK BOWERS OVER 6.5 RECEPTIONS | 57.6% | 7 | WIN |
| CAR@ATL | BRYCE YOUNG UNDER 0.5 INT | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| KC@DEN | PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 266.5 PASS YDS | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| SF@ARI | SF -3 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| GB@NYG | GB -7 | 54.3% | 4 | PUSH |
| LAC@JAC | LAC -3 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| SEA@LAR | SEA +3.5 | 57.2% | 7 | WIN |
| CHI@MIN | MIN -2.5 | 53.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| DET@PHI | DET +3 | 55.8% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@DEN | DEN +4.5 | 53.0% | 2 | WIN |
| DET@PHI | UNDER 47 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| SEA@LAR | OVER 48.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |