Raiders vs Patriots Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Sep 07)

Updated: 2025-08-31T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Las Vegas Raiders travel to Gillette Stadium on Sunday, September 7, 2025, to kick off the season against the New England Patriots. The Patriots open as 2.5-point home favorites (ML ~ –150), while the Raiders are +140 underdogs; the betting total is set around 42.5–43.5 points, with trends favoring the under.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 07, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Gillette Stadium​

Patriots Record: (0-0)

Raiders Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

LV Moneyline: +136

NE Moneyline: -161

LV Spread: +3

NE Spread: -3.0

Over/Under: 42.5

LV
Betting Trends

  • The Raiders struggled in season openers over recent years, going 4–6 ATS, including last year’s 4–13 season where they finished at the bottom of the AFC West and failed to cover many spreads.

NE
Betting Trends

  • New England posted ATS records in the low .500s under previous regimes—last season as home favorites they showed moderate value, with improvement expected in 2025 under new head coach Mike Vrabel.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • This matchup features two franchises undergoing major rebuilds, and while the Patriots are favored, betting markets have shifted slightly in favor of the Raiders to cover—reflecting skepticism about New England’s new quarterback and offensive line cohesion.

LV vs. NE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Smith under 240.5 Passing Yards.

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Las Vegas vs New England Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/7/25

The Week 1 matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and the New England Patriots on September 7, 2025, at Gillette Stadium will showcase two historic franchises launching new eras under veteran leadership, as Pete Carroll takes the reins in Las Vegas and Mike Vrabel steps into the head coaching role for New England. Both teams are coming off disappointing 4–13 seasons, but with new quarterbacks and revamped rosters, there’s cautious optimism on both sides. The Patriots enter as 2.5-point favorites, largely due to home-field advantage and public confidence in Vrabel’s ability to instill a tougher identity in a young team featuring rookie quarterback Drake Maye. On the flip side, the Raiders have leaned into veteran stability, acquiring Geno Smith to bring composure and experience to an offense that has struggled with inconsistency and protection issues over the past two years. Las Vegas also added rookie running back Ashton Jeanty, whose explosiveness gives them a true three-down weapon to balance the offense and complement Davante Adams in the passing game. The betting total is hovering around 42.5, indicating expectations of a moderately low-scoring game where ball control, field position, and defensive stops could define the outcome. New England’s defensive front, led by Christian Barmore and Keion White, has the potential to disrupt Smith if the Raiders’ offensive line—still gelling after a significant youth movement—can’t hold up against inside pressure.

Conversely, the Patriots’ offensive line is also undergoing changes, with first-round rookie Will Campbell expected to start at tackle and protect Maye, who will make his highly anticipated NFL debut after being taken in the top five of the 2025 draft. His performance in a simplified, McDaniels-designed scheme will be critical, especially if the Raiders’ pass rush, anchored by Maxx Crosby and Tyree Wilson, can force early throws or capitalize on protection breakdowns. Special teams and situational football could tip the balance, especially with potential rust from both offenses in their season openers. If this becomes a close contest decided in the final two minutes, veteran experience could lean the edge toward Las Vegas, while a strong home crowd and Vrabel’s tactical game management may prove decisive in New England’s favor. ATS trends suggest both teams are unpredictable, with Las Vegas showing more underdog value and the Patriots leaning on historical home success, albeit with a new regime and system in place. The matchup sets up as a tone-setter for both teams—one aiming to prove a new quarterback era is beginning smoothly, and the other looking to show that structure, veteran savvy, and a Carroll-led locker room can deliver immediate returns. Whichever team best executes the fundamentals—third down conversions, red zone scoring, and limiting turnovers—will likely walk away with a win and early momentum in what could be pivotal seasons for both franchises.

Las Vegas Raiders NFL Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders head into their 2025 season opener with renewed purpose and veteran leadership as Pete Carroll officially begins his tenure as head coach, bringing a culture of discipline and defensive focus to a team that finished just 4–13 last season. After cycling through quarterbacks in recent years, the Raiders added stability under center by acquiring veteran Geno Smith, whose efficient play and poise in the pocket are expected to bring balance and leadership to a young offense still searching for cohesion. Alongside Smith is rookie running back Ashton Jeanty, a dynamic and versatile back drafted to ignite a stagnant rushing attack and provide a legitimate three-down option that can shoulder volume or contribute in the passing game. Carroll has emphasized a balanced offensive approach, leaning on Jeanty’s ability to break tackles and Davante Adams’ route-running excellence to keep defenses honest. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb has tailored a quick-read passing scheme to reduce Geno’s exposure behind a still-developing offensive line, which includes promising young linemen like Jackson Powers-Johnson and DJ Glaze. The Raiders’ offensive ceiling will depend largely on how quickly the line gels and how well Smith can exploit favorable matchups against a Patriots defense that has been reshaped but may still be vulnerable to veteran manipulation.

Defensively, the Raiders remain anchored by star edge rusher Maxx Crosby, who will be counted on to generate consistent pressure against New England’s rookie quarterback Drake Maye. Tyree Wilson also returns with elevated expectations, and the defensive interior, while less proven, has the potential to grow under Carroll’s tutelage. Las Vegas’ secondary is a point of concern, particularly if they fail to generate early pressure, but Carroll’s influence could foster stronger communication and discipline on the back end. Linebacker play, led by Robert Spillane and Divine Deablo, needs to improve in both coverage and run fits, especially against an opponent that will likely emphasize short passing and physicality at the point of attack. Special teams is another area where the Raiders are looking for steadiness, with Daniel Carlson providing one of the league’s most reliable legs but return units still under evaluation. Entering Gillette Stadium as 2.5-point underdogs, the Raiders will need to establish tempo early, protect the football, and limit Maye’s ability to find a rhythm through play-action or misdirection. Carroll’s squads historically emphasize fundamental execution, which should help reduce penalties and improve situational football—a weakness that plagued Las Vegas late in games last year. If Geno Smith can orchestrate long, sustained drives and the defense can rattle Maye into mistakes, the Raiders have a clear path to not only covering the spread but possibly stealing a season-opening win. The betting market has shown early support for the Raiders, a sign that oddsmakers and sharps alike view this as a competitive matchup with live underdog potential. A strong showing in Foxborough would send a clear message that the Raiders are ready to compete immediately under Carroll’s direction and are no longer content being an AFC West afterthought.

The Las Vegas Raiders travel to Gillette Stadium on Sunday, September 7, 2025, to kick off the season against the New England Patriots. The Patriots open as 2.5-point home favorites (ML ~ –150), while the Raiders are +140 underdogs; the betting total is set around 42.5–43.5 points, with trends favoring the under. Las Vegas vs New England AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Sep 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New England Patriots NFL Preview

The New England Patriots enter the 2025 season with cautious optimism and a rejuvenated sense of purpose as new head coach Mike Vrabel makes his long-awaited debut at Gillette Stadium, ushering in a new era following back-to-back 4–13 campaigns that led to the end of the Bill Belichick era. Vrabel, a former Patriots linebacker and Titans head coach, brings intensity, structure, and accountability to a franchise looking to rebuild from the ground up, and his immediate challenge is to groom rookie quarterback Drake Maye into a capable and confident leader of a revamped offense. Maye, the third overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, has been praised throughout camp for his maturity, arm talent, and poise, and he’ll have the benefit of operating under offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, who returns to Foxborough with a reputation for maximizing young quarterbacks through simplified progressions and play-action-based schemes. Supporting Maye is a work-in-progress offensive line anchored by first-round pick Will Campbell, who has quickly earned the starting left tackle job, alongside veterans Cole Strange and David Andrews providing interior leadership. The Patriots’ offensive weapons are not star-laden but functional, with wideouts Kendrick Bourne, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and tight end Hunter Henry giving Maye reliable intermediate targets while running backs Rhamondre Stevenson and Kevin Harris handle ground duties in a split workload. Defensively, Vrabel’s influence is already being felt, with emphasis on speed, pressure, and smart situational play, which should benefit a front seven featuring Christian Barmore, Keion White, and Josh Uche.

The linebackers remain solid with Ja’Whaun Bentley and Marte Mapu rotating, while the secondary boasts one of the league’s most promising young corners in Christian Gonzalez, who will likely be tasked with shadowing Raiders star Davante Adams. New England’s game plan will likely focus on disrupting Geno Smith’s timing and limiting rookie RB Ashton Jeanty’s space in the second level, forcing Las Vegas into third-and-long situations where Vrabel’s disguised coverages can create confusion. Special teams should also return to form with veteran kicker Chad Ryland and return man Marcus Jones capable of flipping field position, an often overlooked but critical piece in low-total games like this one. With the Patriots entering as 2.5-point home favorites, the oddsmakers are signaling cautious confidence but not overwhelming belief in a blowout; much will depend on Maye’s composure and the offensive line’s ability to keep him upright in his NFL debut. Gillette Stadium has historically been a tough environment for visiting quarterbacks, especially early in the season, and if New England’s crowd can generate pressure and rattle Smith, it could be a long day for a Raiders team still adapting to Pete Carroll’s system. To secure a win and cover, the Patriots will need to win the turnover battle, protect Maye, and maintain manageable down-and-distance scenarios while capitalizing on red-zone opportunities. If they can do that, the Vrabel era will begin with a well-earned victory and a much-needed tone-setter for a team eager to restore its identity and relevance in the AFC.

Las Vegas vs. New England Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Raiders and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Smith under 240.5 Passing Yards.

Las Vegas vs. New England Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Raiders and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on New England’s strength factors between a Raiders team going up against a possibly healthy Patriots team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Las Vegas vs New England picks, computer picks Raiders vs Patriots, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Raiders Betting Trends

The Raiders struggled in season openers over recent years, going 4–6 ATS, including last year’s 4–13 season where they finished at the bottom of the AFC West and failed to cover many spreads.

Patriots Betting Trends

New England posted ATS records in the low .500s under previous regimes—last season as home favorites they showed moderate value, with improvement expected in 2025 under new head coach Mike Vrabel.

Raiders vs. Patriots Matchup Trends

This matchup features two franchises undergoing major rebuilds, and while the Patriots are favored, betting markets have shifted slightly in favor of the Raiders to cover—reflecting skepticism about New England’s new quarterback and offensive line cohesion.

Las Vegas vs. New England Game Info

Las Vegas vs New England starts on September 07, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.

Spread: New England -3.0
Moneyline: Las Vegas +136, New England -161
Over/Under: 42.5

Las Vegas: (0-0)  |  New England: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Smith under 240.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

This matchup features two franchises undergoing major rebuilds, and while the Patriots are favored, betting markets have shifted slightly in favor of the Raiders to cover—reflecting skepticism about New England’s new quarterback and offensive line cohesion.

LV trend: The Raiders struggled in season openers over recent years, going 4–6 ATS, including last year’s 4–13 season where they finished at the bottom of the AFC West and failed to cover many spreads.

NE trend: New England posted ATS records in the low .500s under previous regimes—last season as home favorites they showed moderate value, with improvement expected in 2025 under new head coach Mike Vrabel.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Las Vegas vs. New England Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Las Vegas vs New England trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Las Vegas vs New England Opening Odds

LV Moneyline: +136
NE Moneyline: -161
LV Spread: +3
NE Spread: -3.0
Over/Under: 42.5

Las Vegas vs New England Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 30, 2025 8:15PM EDT
Baltimore Ravens
Miami Dolphins
10/30/25 8:15PM
Ravens
Dolphins
-420
+330
-7.5 (-115)
+7.5 (-105)
O 51.5 (-105)
U 51.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
11/2/25 1PM
Bears
Bengals
-154
+130
-3 (-102)
+3 (-120)
O 50.5 (-118)
U 50.5 (-104)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/2/25 1PM
Colts
Steelers
-158
+134
-3 (-115)
+3 (-105)
O 50.5 (-104)
U 50.5 (-118)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
11/2/25 1PM
Panthers
Packers
+700
-1100
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-112)
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
New England Patriots
11/2/25 1PM
Falcons
Patriots
+194
-235
+5.5 (-115)
-5.5 (-105)
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
11/2/25 1PM
Broncos
Texans
+102
-120
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-112)
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
11/2/25 1PM
49ers
Giants
-148
+126
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-115)
U 48.5 (-105)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans
11/2/25 1PM
Chargers
Titans
-480
+370
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 1:00PM EST
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
11/2/25 1PM
Vikings
Lions
+370
-480
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 4:05PM EST
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
11/2/25 4:05PM
Saints
Rams
+730
-1150
+14.5 (-115)
-14.5 (-105)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Nov 2, 2025 4:05PM EST
Jacksonville Jaguars
Las Vegas Raiders
11/2/25 4:05PM
Jaguars
Raiders
-158
+134
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 2, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
11/2/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Bills
-134
+114
-1.5 (-114)
+1.5 (-106)
O 52.5 (-105)
U 52.5 (-115)
Nov 2, 2025 8:20PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Commanders
11/2/25 8:20PM
Seahawks
Commanders
-166
+140
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Nov 3, 2025 8:15PM EST
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
11/3/25 8:15PM
Cardinals
Cowboys
+128
-152
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-118)
O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
Nov 6, 2025 8:15PM EST
Las Vegas Raiders
Denver Broncos
11/6/25 8:15PM
Raiders
Broncos
+370
-480
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
O 42.5 (-120)
U 42.5 (-102)
Nov 9, 2025 9:30AM EST
Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts
11/9/25 9:30AM
Falcons
Colts
+290
-360
+7 (-105)
-7 (-115)
O 48.5 (-108)
U 48.5 (-112)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots on September 07, 2025 at Gillette Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN
GB@ARI JORDAN LOVE 1Q PASS YDS OVER 54.5 56.6% 6 WIN
PIT@CIN JONNU SMITH RECEPTIONS OVER 3.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
BUF@ATL BUF -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
CHI@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 1.5 PASS TDS 56.6% 6 WIN
TEN@LV UNDER 42 54.8% 3 WIN
DET@KC DET +2.5 55.7% 7 LOSS
SEA@JAC SEA -112 55.7% 5 WIN
LAC@MIA LAC -3.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
ARI@IND IND -8.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TEN@LV TEN +4.5 56.7% 6 LOSS
LAR@BAL LAR -7 56.2% 6 WIN
SF@TB SF +3.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
CLE@PIT JAYLEN WARREN UNDER 46.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
DEN@NYJ BREECE HALL OVER 26.5 RECV YDS 55.0% 4 LOSS
KC@JAC UNDER 45.5 54.9% 3 LOSS
KC@JAC PATRICK MAHOMES UNDER 23.5 PASS COMP 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAL HOU -125 58.5% 7 WIN
DET@CIN DET -10 55.6% 5 WIN
DAL@NYJ NYJ +1.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
TB@SEA TB +3.5 54.9% 4 WIN
TEN@ARI ARI -7 (BUY 0.5) 54.9% 4 LOSS
DEN@PHI DEN +4.5 57.5% 7 WIN
MIA@CAR TETAIROA MCMILLAN OVER 58.5 RECV YDS 54.5% 4 WIN
LV@IND ASHTON JEANTY UNDER 67.5 RUSH YDS 54.4% 4 WIN
SF@LAR DEMARCUS ROBINSON OVER 29.5 RECV YDS 55.7% 5 WIN
NYJ@MIA NYJ +3 53.8 3 LOSS
CIN@DEN DEN -7.5 54.8 4 WIN
NYJ@MIA OVER 44 52.9% 2 WIN
CIN@DEN UNDER 44.5 53.7% 3 WIN
NYJ@MIA GARRETT WILSON UNDER 9 TARGETS 53.7% 3 WIN
CIN@DEN TEE HIGGINS OVER 6.5 RECV TARGETS 55.5% 5 LOSS
WAS@ATL ATL -2.5 54.3 4 WIN
BAL@KC BAL -2.5 56.3% 6 LOSS